Legence (LGN)
Market Price (3/1/2026): $58.05 | Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering
Legence (LGN)
Market Price (3/1/2026): $58.05Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Construction & Engineering
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Renewable Integration in Buildings, Building Management Systems, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 57x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.6% | ||
| Key risksLGN key risks include [1] high leverage and a history of weak profitability, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Renewable Integration in Buildings, Building Management Systems, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 57x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.6% |
| Key risksLGN key risks include [1] high leverage and a history of weak profitability, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Analyst Endorsement and Increased Price Targets.
Legence (LGN) received overwhelmingly positive sentiment from Wall Street analysts, with 13 firms issuing "Buy" or "Outperform" ratings and a consensus of "Strong Buy" among 15 analysts. Key firms like Goldman Sachs and Stifel raised their price targets in January and February 2026, with the average one-year price target increasing by 13.60% to $46.70 per share from the previous estimate of $41.11 as of November 14, 2025. This upward revision in analyst expectations signaled confidence in Legence's future performance.
2. Strategic Acquisition of The Bowers Group.
In early January 2026, Legence completed the acquisition of The Bowers Group for an upfront consideration of $325 million, with an additional $50 million in deferred consideration due in 2026. This acquisition is expected to significantly expand Legence's installation and service capabilities, particularly in the critical Washington, D.C. and Northern Virginia markets, and strengthen its mechanical and plumbing expertise for large-scale projects. Analysts project a forward 2-year revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 30.6% as a result of this integration.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 26.3% change in LGN stock from 11/30/2025 to 2/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 2282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 45.98 | 58.05 | 26.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | � | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | � | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | � | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 102 | 102 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 2/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LGN | 26.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.4% | 49.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 15.3% | 31.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 2/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LGN | ||
| Market (SPY) | 6.6% | 41.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 17.0% | 25.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 2/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LGN | ||
| Market (SPY) | 16.5% | 41.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 31.3% | 25.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 2/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LGN | ||
| Market (SPY) | 79.6% | 41.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 83.1% | 25.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LGN Return | - | - | - | - | 41% | 33% | 88% |
| Peers Return | 37% | 11% | 27% | 40% | 35% | 25% | 357% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 84% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LGN Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 75% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 48% | 53% | 48% | 50% | 100% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LGN Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -3% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -6% | -17% | -9% | -8% | -21% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DY, FLR, GVA, MGN, PWR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
LGN has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 312 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,463 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to DY, FLR, GVA, MGN, PWR
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.
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About Legence (LGN)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Johnson Controls, but exclusively focused on integrated decarbonization and smart energy solutions for buildings.
- Like the building energy solutions division of Siemens or Schneider Electric, but as a dedicated, end-to-end decarbonization partner.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Strategic Advisory & Sustainability Consulting: Provides strategic planning, net-zero roadmapping, and ESG reporting guidance to help clients achieve their decarbonization goals.
- Engineering & Design Services: Offers comprehensive mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP) engineering, as well as design for renewable energy systems and high-performance buildings.
- Project Implementation & Delivery: Manages and executes complex energy efficiency retrofits, renewable energy installations, and other decarbonization projects from start to finish.
- Ongoing Building Optimization & Maintenance: Delivers continuous performance monitoring, data analytics, and maintenance services to ensure long-term energy efficiency and operational excellence.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Legence (LGN) primarily sells its energy and infrastructure solutions to other companies and institutions, operating on a business-to-business (B2B) model.
Legence typically does not disclose the names of its individual major customers in its public filings. This is a common practice for companies with a diverse customer base, and their filings generally indicate that no single customer accounts for 10% or more of their consolidated revenues, which would otherwise necessitate disclosure.
However, based on their business description and the nature of their services, their customers broadly fall into the following categories:
- Commercial Building Owners and Developers: Companies that own, manage, or develop large-scale commercial properties, including office buildings, retail centers, and hospitality venues, seeking advanced energy efficiency, HVAC, plumbing, and electrical solutions for new construction and retrofits.
- Data Center Operators: Companies that design, build, and operate critical data infrastructure, requiring specialized and highly efficient cooling, power management, and sustainable energy solutions to ensure uptime and reduce operational costs.
- Healthcare Systems: Hospitals, clinics, and large healthcare networks that need robust, reliable, and energy-efficient mechanical, electrical, and plumbing systems for their complex and critical facilities.
- Educational Institutions: Universities, colleges, and large school districts looking to optimize the performance, energy consumption, and environmental footprint of their campuses and facilities.
- Governmental and Public Sector Entities: Federal, state, and local government agencies that manage public buildings, infrastructure, and facilities, often with specific requirements for sustainability and operational efficiency.
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Jeffrey Sprau, Chief Executive Officer
Jeffrey Sprau has served as the CEO of Legence since 2019, overseeing the company's strategic and operational aspects. Under his leadership, Legence, a Blackstone portfolio company, focuses on energy efficiency and sustainability solutions, accelerating the implementation of Net Zero energy solutions. Legence was formerly Therma Holdings and rebranded under his guidance when it joined the Blackstone portfolio in 2020. Since 2021, Legence has completed over 60 strategic acquisitions. Prior to Legence, he was President of BrandSafway Commercial & Industrial from 2017 to 2018, responsible for a $1.8 billion group of businesses. From 2014 to 2017, he was President of Safway Group's US Division, managing a division with $1.2 billion in revenue, 90 branch locations, and 4,000 employees. He also held other leadership positions within Safway Group and earlier management roles at Johnson Controls and Trane.
Stephen Butz, Chief Financial Officer
Stephen Butz is the Chief Financial Officer of Legence, joining the company in 2021. He has extensive experience in the financial sector, including serving as CFO for two other publicly traded offshore drilling companies prior to Legence. He also held positions as Executive Vice President and CFO at Noble Drilling, Rowan Companies, and Hercules Offshore, and served as a Board Member at ARO Drilling and Discovery Offshore, S.A. Earlier in his career, he worked in corporate credit and spent eight years in Investment Banking as an equity research analyst covering the global energy industry at firms like Jefferies, RBC Capital Markets, and Deutsche Bank. He was involved in taking a private company public within the offshore drilling industry, where he was responsible for M&A, Treasury, Investor Relations, Corporate Communications, and FP&A before being appointed CFO.
Steve Hansen, Chief Operating Officer
Steve Hansen serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Legence.
Deb Cloutier, Chief Sustainability Officer
Deb Cloutier holds the title of Chief Sustainability Officer at Legence.
Greg Barnes, Chief People & Technology Officer
Greg Barnes is the Chief People & Technology Officer at Legence. He is also listed as Chief Human Resources Officer.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Legence (LGN) are primarily related to its financial health, internal controls, and governance structure.- High Leverage and Financial Performance Concerns: Legence carries significant debt, which was a primary target for reduction with its IPO proceeds. The company has demonstrated lower EBITDA margins and weaker free cash flow conversion compared to its peers. Furthermore, Legence has a history of ongoing net losses, which widened in the first half of 2025, raising questions about its consistent profitability. An increase in interest rates could also substantially elevate its annual interest expenses.
- Weaknesses in Internal Controls and Governance: Legence has disclosed material weaknesses in its internal control over financial reporting. This is a significant concern that can undermine the reliability of its financial statements. Additionally, Blackstone retains a controlling stake of over 70% of the voting power, classifying Legence as a "controlled company." This status exempts it from certain NASDAQ governance rules, potentially leading to less oversight and a reduced voice for minority shareholders.
- Valuation and Potential Share Overhang: The company's valuation is considered ambitious by some analysts, trading at a premium compared to more traditional engineering and construction firms, leaving little room for error in execution. There is also a potential share overhang risk if Blackstone decides to further sell down its substantial controlling stake, which could impact the stock's performance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Legence (symbol: LGN) operates within two primary addressable markets: building management systems and the broader engineering services sector.
The worldwide market for building management systems was estimated at $19.8 billion in 2024 and is projected to exceed $82 billion by 2034, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.4% from 2025 to 2034. Legence's offerings, which include engineering, installation, and maintenance services for mission-critical building systems, directly address this global market.
For the engineering services sector, the global market is projected to grow from $3.66 trillion in 2025 to $5.51 trillion by 2034, with a CAGR of 4.64%. Specifically within the United States, Legence's primary operational region, the engineering services market is valued at $367.4 billion in 2025, with an anticipated annual growth rate of 1.9%. Legence provides engineering, consulting, installation, and maintenance services for technically demanding buildings in high-growth sectors such as technology, life sciences, healthcare, and education across the United States.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Below are the key drivers expected to contribute to Legence's (LGN) future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:- Exposure to High-Growth End Markets: Legence is strategically focused on providing mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP) systems for mission-critical facilities in rapidly expanding sectors. These include data centers, technology, healthcare, life sciences, and advanced manufacturing (driven by US onshoring/reshoring initiatives). Data centers, in particular, are highlighted as a significant growth area, with forecasts anticipating a 26% compound annual growth rate from 2024–2028.
- Increasing Demand for Energy-Efficient and Sustainable Infrastructure: The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing need for energy-efficient buildings and decarbonization efforts. This involves designing and implementing solutions that enhance energy efficiency and sustainability in both new and existing facilities, such as upgrading HVAC, lighting, and building controls, and leveraging energy-efficient infrastructure.
- Growth in Recurring Maintenance and Service Revenues: A core component of Legence's growth strategy is to expand its higher-margin recurring revenues derived from maintenance and service contracts. This focuses on increasing wallet share with existing, high-value clients.
- Strategic Bolt-On Acquisitions: Legence plans to accelerate growth through bolt-on acquisitions. This strategy involves acquiring complementary businesses to broaden its geographical reach, enhance its presence in high-demand markets, and expand its service capabilities.
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Share Issuance
- Legence completed its initial public offering (IPO) on September 15, 2025, offering 26,000,000 shares of its Class A common stock at a price of $28.00 per share.
- The IPO aimed to raise up to $754 million.
- Blackstone, which acquired Legence in 2020, retained approximately 74% of the combined voting power following the IPO.
Inbound Investments
- Blackstone acquired Legence, then known as Therma Holdings, from Gemspring Capital in 2020.
Outbound Investments
- Legence has made a total of 11 acquisitions, with peak activity in 2023 (5 acquisitions) and 2024 (4 acquisitions).
- Notable acquisitions include AMA Group in August 2024 and Corporate Sustainability Strategies (CSS) in April 2024.
- These acquisitions have expanded Legence's service offerings, geographic footprint, and technical capabilities in sustainable building solutions.
Capital Expenditures
- Legence's cash flow for capital expenditures for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended June 2025 was -$14.16 million.
- For the three months ended June 2025, capital expenditures amounted to -$9 million.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures includes designing and installing heating, ventilation, and energy-efficiency systems, particularly for technically demanding buildings like data centers, which represented nearly 40% of its 2024 project pipeline for new builds.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to LGN.
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| 01302026 | HTZ | Hertz Global | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -9.8% | -9.8% | -9.8% |
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 96.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.4 |
| Rev LTM | 5,173 |
| Op Inc LTM | 262 |
| FCF LTM | 297 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 175 |
| CFO LTM | 469 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 364 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.4 |
| P/S | 1.4 |
| P/EBIT | 26.8 |
| P/E | 30.4 |
| P/CFO | 20.2 |
| Total Yield | 1.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 13.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 21.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 57.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 83.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 152.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 14.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 23.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 49.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 68.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 86.5% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/14/2025 | 20.9% | 22.9% | 25.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | 20.9% | 22.9% | 25.8% |
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | 20.9% | 22.9% | 25.8% |
| Max Negative | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legence, Parent Ml Llc | Parent ML | Sell | 12162025 | 45.00 | 5,200,808 | 234,036,360 | 8,035,695 | Form | |
| 2 | Legence, Parent Ml Llc | Parent II ML | Sell | 12162025 | 45.00 | 3,201,370 | 144,061,650 | 1,153,934,955 | Form | |
| 3 | Blackstone, Ema Iii Llc | Parent ML | Sell | 12162025 | 45.00 | 5,200,808 | 234,036,360 | 8,035,695 | Form | |
| 4 | Blackstone, Ema Iii Llc | Parent II ML | Sell | 12162025 | 45.00 | 3,201,370 | 144,061,650 | 1,153,934,955 | Form | |
| 5 | Keenen, Terrence | Direct | Buy | 9152025 | 28.00 | 8,928 | 249,984 | 249,984 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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