Lendway (LDWY)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.46 | Market Cap: $6.1 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising
Lendway (LDWY)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.46Market Cap: $6.1 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Advertising
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 95% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.7% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 744% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.1% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -33% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 95% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.7% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 744% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.1% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -33% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LDWY Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. Significant Decline in Q3 2025 Financial Performance:** Lendway announced its financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2025, on November 10, 2025, revealing a net revenue of $5.2 million and reporting a gross loss for the quarter. This marked a substantial decrease from the $23.2 million net revenue reported for the preceding quarter ended June 30, 2025.
**2. Gross Loss Driven by Cost Pressures:** The shift from a gross profit in the second quarter of 2025 to a gross loss in the third quarter of 2025 indicated significant pressure on profit margins. This margin compression was influenced by factors such as elevated bulb costs and exposure to tariffs.
**3. Persistent High Leverage and Working Capital Constraints:** Lendway continued to grapple with high total debt, which stood at $34.08 million around June 30, 2025. Additionally, working capital experienced a seasonal trough, further limiting the company's balance sheet flexibility during this period.
**4. Negative Impact from Foreign Exchange Losses and Interest Expenses:** The company's profitability was also weighed down by non-operating factors, including foreign exchange losses and interest expenses. These headwinds contributed to tempering the bottom-line results, especially in a quarter with weaker operational performance.
**5. Expected Seasonal Revenue Fluctuations:** The notable drop in net revenue from Q2 to Q3 2025 aligns with the seasonal nature of Lendway's primary business, Bloomia, which typically experiences its strongest sales and earnings in the first two quarters of the year due to holidays like Easter and Mother's Day. This inherent seasonality, resulting in a considerably weaker third quarter, likely contributed to investor concerns following the Q3 earnings announcement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LDWY Return | 15% | 293% | -66% | -41% | 5% | -26% | -30% |
| Peers Return | 94% | 12% | -23% | 25% | 16% | -28% | 73% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LDWY Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 33% | 33% | 58% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 51% | 40% | 58% | 55% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LDWY Max Drawdown | -16% | -17% | -76% | -48% | -33% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -18% | -43% | -14% | -19% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DV, TTD, OMC, IPG, MGNI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LDWY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -84.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 526.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 110.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 402 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -68.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 212.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 708 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -84.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 554.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 279 days | 1480 days |
Compare to DV, TTD, OMC, IPG, MGNI
In The Past
Lendway's stock fell -84.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/11/2022. A -84.0% loss requires a 526.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LDWY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lendway
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 14.38 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.5 |
| Rev LTM | 1,762 |
| Op Inc LTM | 307 |
| FCF LTM | 420 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 382 |
| CFO LTM | 551 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 473 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.5 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 16.4 |
| P/E | 31.9 |
| P/CFO | 10.2 |
| Total Yield | 2.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -18.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -32.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -26.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -29.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -29.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -18.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -34.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -41.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -43.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -94.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8282025 | 10-KT 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11192024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8192024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5212024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3092023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11052021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |