loanDepot (LDI)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $1.405 | Market Cap: $321.7 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance
loanDepot (LDI)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $1.405Market Cap: $321.7 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92% Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.32 | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1503% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -77%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -80% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29% Key risksLDI key risks include [1] losing market share to intense competition and [2] sharp stock declines driven by regulatory uncertainty. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.32 |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1503% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -77%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -80% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29% |
| Key risksLDI key risks include [1] losing market share to intense competition and [2] sharp stock declines driven by regulatory uncertainty. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. loanDepot experienced consecutive earnings and revenue misses, significantly underperforming analyst expectations. In Q4 2025, reported on March 10, 2026, the company posted an adjusted loss per share of -$0.10, missing estimates of -$0.04 by 150%. Revenue for the quarter was $310.3 million, falling short of the $337.3 million consensus. This negative trend continued into Q1 2026, with results announced on May 5, 2026, where an adjusted net loss of $33.6 million (or -$0.16 EPS) significantly missed analyst expectations of -$0.02 per share. Adjusted revenue of $299.3 million also missed the consensus of $322.66 million, representing a 7.33% downside surprise.
2. The company faced compressed gain-on-sale margins, a direct impact of persistent interest rate volatility and a shifting product mix within the mortgage market. LoanDepot's pull-through weighted gain-on-sale margins declined significantly from 324 basis points in Q4 2025 to 271 basis points in Q1 2026, a drop of 53 basis points. This compression was driven by a volatile interest rate environment and a shift in the company's product mix, with purchase originations decreasing to 41% of total volume in Q1 2026 from 72% a year earlier, indicating a move towards lower-margin refinance products.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -35.8% change in LDI stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -35.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.18 | 1.40 | -35.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 846 | 908 | 7.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 0.4 | -35.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 211 | 229 | -7.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -35.8% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LDI | -35.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 52.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | -3.6% | 37.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -53.6% change in LDI stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -54.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.02 | 1.40 | -53.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 814 | 908 | 11.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.8 | 0.4 | -54.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 208 | 229 | -9.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -53.6% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LDI | -53.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 44.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | -1.3% | 35.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 26.1% change in LDI stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 25.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.11 | 1.40 | 26.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 725 | 908 | 25.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.4 | 19.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 193 | 229 | -15.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 26.1% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LDI | 26.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 29.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.7% | 26.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -23.5% change in LDI stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.3% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.83 | 1.40 | -23.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,095 | 908 | -17.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.4 | 25.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 169 | 229 | -26.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -23.5% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LDI | -23.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 21.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 62.1% | 25.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LDI Return | -77% | -65% | 113% | -42% | 1% | -32% | -93% |
| Peers Return | -34% | -42% | 71% | 34% | 20% | -23% | -20% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 95% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LDI Win Rate | 27% | 25% | 50% | 42% | 33% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 38% | 52% | 50% | 50% | 30% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LDI Max Drawdown | -79% | -73% | -28% | -57% | -50% | -36% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -53% | -11% | -26% | -22% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RKT, UWMC, PFSI, FOA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LDI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 71 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -48.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 48 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -39.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.6% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 113 days | 31 days |
In The Past
loanDepot's stock fell -38.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 62.7% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | LDI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 71 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -48.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 48 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -39.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.6% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 113 days | 31 days |
In The Past
loanDepot's stock fell -38.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 62.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About loanDepot (LDI)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 analogies to describe loanDepot (LDI):
- A mortgage lender like Rocket Mortgage (Rocket Companies).
- Like the home loan department of a large bank such as Wells Fargo or Chase, but as an independent, specialized company.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Residential Mortgage Loans: The company originates, finances, sells, and services various types of residential mortgage loans, including conventional agency-conforming, prime jumbo, and federal assistance mortgages.
- Home Equity Loans: loanDepot provides loans that allow homeowners to borrow against the equity in their homes.
- Settlement Services: These services encompass captive title and escrow businesses related to real estate transactions.
- Real Estate Services: The company offers real estate referral services through its captive real estate business.
- Insurance Services: loanDepot provides insurance policies, including those for homeowners and other consumer insurance products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
loanDepot (LDI) primarily sells its services to individuals, rather than other companies. Based on its business description, its major customer categories are:
- Prospective Homebuyers: Individuals or families seeking to purchase a new home (primary residence, vacation home, or investment property) who require conventional agency-conforming, prime jumbo, or federal assistance residential mortgage loans.
- Existing Homeowners Seeking Refinancing: Individuals who currently own a home and are looking to refinance their existing mortgage to secure better interest rates, lower monthly payments, or extract cash from their home equity.
- Homeowners Seeking Home Equity Loans: Individuals who own a home and wish to borrow against their home's equity for various purposes, such as home improvements, debt consolidation, or other financial needs.
AI Analysis | Feedback
loanDepot (LDI) relies on several major suppliers for its operations, particularly in areas such as credit reporting, mortgage technology, property data, and title insurance underwriting. These include:
- Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)
- Equifax (EFX)
- Experian (EXPN.L)
- TransUnion (TRU)
- CoStar Group (CSGP)
- Fidelity National Financial (FNF)
- First American Financial Corporation (FAF)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Anthony Hsieh, Founder, Chief Executive Officer, Chairman and President
Anthony Hsieh founded loanDepot in 2010 and has served as Chair of the Board since 2009 (or 2010, per different sources). He was appointed permanent Chief Executive Officer in July 2025, after serving as interim CEO since June 2025, succeeding Frank Martell. Hsieh is a lifelong entrepreneur and veteran in the mortgage industry. Prior to loanDepot, he founded LoansDirect.com, which was sold to E*Trade in 2001, and HomeLoanCenter.com, which was sold to LendingTree in 2004.
David Hayes, Chief Financial Officer
David Hayes has served as Chief Financial Officer of loanDepot since June 2023. In this role, he is responsible for managing loanDepot's financial activities, including accounting, treasury, tax, corporate finance, and investor and lender relations. Before joining loanDepot, Mr. Hayes spent 13 years at CoreLogic, Inc., an information services company, where he held senior finance roles, including Executive, Finance and Treasurer from 2018 to 2023. He also previously held leadership positions at Prospect Mortgage LLC and Indymac FSB.
Joseph Grassi, Chief Risk Officer
Joseph Grassi has served as loanDepot's Chief Risk Officer since 2022, overseeing the company's enterprise risk management and compliance programs. His prior roles include General Counsel and Chief Risk Officer for Celebrity Home Loans (2021-2022) and Chief Risk Officer for Guaranteed Rate (2020). He also served as Principal Deputy General Counsel for the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development from 2018 to 2020 and as EVP, General Counsel for Prospect Mortgage, where he helped lead the company through its acquisition by HomeBridge Financial in 2017.
Gregory Smallwood, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary
Gregory Smallwood has served as loanDepot's Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary since 2022. In this position, he is responsible for loanDepot's legal strategy and operations, as well as enterprise, shareholder, and corporate governance matters. Before joining loanDepot, Mr. Smallwood was Executive Vice President and General Counsel of Caliber Home Loans, a mortgage lender, from October 2016 to January 2022.
Dominick Marchetti, Chief Digital Officer
Dominick Marchetti serves as loanDepot's Chief Digital Officer. He was instrumental in scaling the company during its first decade of growth, working with Anthony Hsieh to develop the mello platform, loanDepot's proprietary technology designed to accelerate loan approvals, reduce paperwork, and enhance customer experience. He recently returned to loanDepot in this role.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to loanDepot's (LDI) business are primarily driven by the macroeconomic environment and internal financial pressures:
- Interest Rate Environment and Market Volatility: loanDepot's business is highly sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates. High interest rates significantly reduce mortgage origination volumes, particularly for refinancing, and compress gain-on-sale margins, directly impacting the company's revenue and profitability. The Federal Reserve's tightening cycle has reshaped the market, leading to industry-wide margin compression and a decline in loanDepot's market share. This volatility makes it challenging to forecast revenue streams and maintain consistent financial performance.
- Financial Leverage and Profitability Challenges: loanDepot operates with a substantial debt load, which poses a significant risk to its financial stability. The company has faced persistent net losses for several quarters, and while it has made efforts to reduce these losses, achieving consistent profitability remains a significant hurdle. High interest expenses further erode profitability and contribute to leverage-related risks. The company's balance sheet shows stress with increasing ratios of Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSR) to total equity and debt obligations to total equity.
- Intense Competition and Market Share Erosion: The mortgage market is highly competitive, and loanDepot has experienced a decline in its market share, even as the total mortgage market has expanded. This intense competition, coupled with rising operational costs, places additional pressure on the company's ability to maintain its position and achieve consistent profitability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat to loanDepot stems from the rapid advancement and deployment of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) within the financial technology (fintech) sector, specifically in mortgage origination and servicing. New or evolving digital-native lenders leveraging these technologies could establish platforms that offer significantly faster, more automated, and potentially lower-cost mortgage processes. This would allow them to provide a superior customer experience through instantaneous pre-approvals, hyper-personalized loan products, and streamlined underwriting, thereby undercutting the market share and operational models of more traditional lenders like loanDepot who may face challenges in integrating such advanced capabilities at the same speed and scale due to legacy systems or operational structures.
AI Analysis | Feedback
loanDepot, Inc. (LDI) operates in several addressable markets within the United States. Based on recent market data for 2024 and 2025, the estimated sizes for their main products and services are as follows:
- Residential Mortgage Origination: The total mortgage origination volume in the U.S. is estimated at $1.79 trillion for 2024 and is projected to increase to $2.3 trillion in 2025.
- Home Equity Lending: The U.S. home equity lending market was valued at approximately USD 179.21 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 186.59 billion in 2026.
- Title and Settlement Services: The revenue for the U.S. Title and Settlement Services industry reached $15.4 billion in 2025.
- Real Estate Services (Referral Business): The U.S. Real Estate Services Market size is expected to be USD 159.72 billion in 2025.
- Homeowners Insurance: The market size of Homeowners' Insurance in the U.S. was $171.7 billion in 2024 and is projected to be $175.1 billion in 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
loanDepot (LDI) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategies:- Increased Loan Origination Volume and Market Share Expansion: loanDepot has demonstrated a focus on increasing its loan origination volume and expanding its market share. The company reported its highest quarterly loan origination volume since 2022 in the fourth quarter of 2025, reaching $8.04 billion, and grew its market share by 19% to 1.4%. Furthermore, loanDepot recently announced its reentry into the wholesale lending channel, which is anticipated to provide an additional avenue for loan origination volume. The company has provided guidance for Q1 2026 with an expected origination volume between $6.75 billion and $7.75 billion.
- Optimization of Gain-on-Sale Margins: The company is focused on improving its pull-through weighted gain-on-sale (GOS) margins. This is achieved through a strategic loan mix, including a higher proportion of profitable FHA and VA loans by focusing on first-time homebuyers. In Q4 2025, the pull-through weighted gain-on-sale margin was 3.24%, with guidance for Q1 2026 set between 270 and 300 basis points.
- Growth and Leverage of the Servicing Portfolio: loanDepot's servicing portfolio provides a stable and recurring revenue stream. The unpaid principal balance of its servicing portfolio increased to $119.1 billion in Q4 2025, accompanied by a 71% preliminary organic refinance recapture rate. The growth of this portfolio and the ability to recapture refinancing business are crucial for sustained revenue.
- Investments in Technology and Artificial Intelligence (AI): loanDepot is leveraging technology and AI to enhance operational efficiency and improve customer acquisition and retention. Management has emphasized harnessing automation and AI-driven digital capabilities to capture market share. AI has been deployed in lead acquisition, conversion, and underwriting processes to improve efficiency, and is also suggested to potentially increase recapture rates by better predicting customer refinancing needs.
- Expansion into New Product Areas and Channels: Beyond its core mortgage offerings, there are indications of potential expansion into other product areas. Analysts have pointed to loanDepot's multichannel sales model potentially opening up home equity opportunities. The reentry into the wholesale lending channel is a concrete step in expanding its distribution channels.
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Share Issuance
- In April 2025, stockholders were asked to approve a Third Amendment to the 2021 Omnibus Incentive Plan to increase the number of LDI Class A Shares authorized for issuance by 15,000,000 shares.
- As of February 11, 2025, a share class conversion resulted in 228.6 million Class A shares and 106.2 million Class B shares outstanding, with no Class C or D shares remaining.
- As of March 10, 2026, there were 228,821,318 shares of Class A common stock and 106,207,433 shares of Class B common stock outstanding.
Outbound Investments
- loanDepot plans to continue investing in recruiting and hiring sales talent across all origination channels.
- The company intends to further leverage technology to improve the customer experience and manufacturing processes.
- loanDepot expects to make additional investments in critical hardware and data upgrades to position for future growth and mitigate risk.
- In March 2026, loanDepot launched a new wholesale lending channel to broaden its origination strategy.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $43 million in 2022, $21 million in 2023, and $26 million in 2024.
- In Q3 2025, loanDepot invested $4.7 million in capital expenditures, focusing on funding long-term assets and infrastructure.
- The company's 2025 strategy includes investments in technology, hardware, and data upgrades for growth and risk mitigation.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| ARTICLES | ||
| LoanDepot Stock Jumps 35% In A Week, Time To Buy? | 09/18/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to LDI.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04242026 | HOMB | Home BancShares | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | HBAN | Huntington Bancshares | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | NP | Neptune Insurance | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -4.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.69 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| Rev LTM | 1,553 |
| Op Inc LTM | 552 |
| FCF LTM | -2,722 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1,989 |
| CFO LTM | -2,648 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -1,948 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 26.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 45.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 13.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 19.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -81.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -89.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -82.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -92.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/Op Inc | 8.6 |
| P/EBIT | 8.6 |
| P/E | 3.7 |
| P/CFO | -0.5 |
| Total Yield | 12.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -150.9% |
| D/E | 5.5 |
| Net D/E | 5.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -16.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -27.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 0.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 43.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -23.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -36.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -30.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -47.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.40 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/11/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -69.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.57 | $2.33 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | -10.9% | -40.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 59.3% | 93.3% |
| Downside Capture | 1.78 | 1.08 |
| Upside Capture | 84.03 | 175.15 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 45.2% | 28.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.40 | 2.06 | 1.93 | 2.50 | 2.17 | 1.15 |
| Up Beta | 1.53 | 2.18 | 2.29 | 2.59 | 2.07 | 0.80 |
| Down Beta | 8.11 | 0.97 | 1.15 | 3.06 | 2.73 | 0.12 |
| Up Capture | 218% | 112% | 97% | 134% | 302% | 594% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 16 | 22 | 47 | 110 | 325 |
| Down Capture | 995% | 302% | 255% | 228% | 159% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 25 | 37 | 72 | 128 | 384 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LDI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDI | 25.9% | 92.9% | 0.64 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 5.2% | 14.6% | 0.13 | 25.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.0% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 28.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.8% | 27.0% | 1.22 | 10.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.6% | 18.0% | 2.21 | -9.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.5% | 0.66 | 35.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.4% | 42.1% | -0.34 | 14.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LDI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDI | -39.9% | 77.4% | -0.33 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.9% | 18.6% | 0.36 | 26.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 26.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 5.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 19.1% | 0.59 | 0.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 31.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.0% | 56.0% | 0.34 | 18.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LDI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDI | -23.3% | 80.1% | -0.29 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.6% | 22.2% | 0.52 | 25.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 26.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.69 | 5.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 17.8% | 0.44 | 0.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 30.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 17.1% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/10/2026 | -6.9% | -17.0% | -26.6% |
| 11/6/2025 | 3.8% | -1.1% | -0.4% |
| 3/11/2025 | -8.7% | -11.8% | -28.0% |
| 11/5/2024 | 19.5% | 28.8% | 5.6% |
| 8/6/2024 | 11.1% | 17.4% | 22.7% |
| 3/12/2024 | -7.9% | -13.4% | -1.2% |
| 11/7/2023 | 8.4% | 13.3% | 46.2% |
| 8/8/2023 | 0.5% | -9.9% | -10.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| # Negative | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 6.4% | 15.3% | 16.8% |
| Median Negative | -7.5% | -11.8% | -17.8% |
| Max Positive | 22.0% | 28.8% | 46.2% |
| Max Negative | -11.9% | -24.7% | -28.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Origination Volume | 7.25 Bil | 8.25 Bil | 9.25 Bil | 13.8% | Higher New | Guidance: 7.25 Bil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Pull-through weighted rate lock volume | 5.75 Bil | 6.75 Bil | 7.75 Bil | -18.2% | Lower New | Guidance: 8.25 Bil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Pull-through weighted gain on sale margin | 3.3% | 3.45% | 3.6% | 21.0% | 0.6% | Higher New | Guidance: 2.85% for Q1 2026 |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/10/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Origination volume | 6.75 Bil | 7.25 Bil | 7.75 Bil | -3.3% | Lowered | Guidance: 7.50 Bil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Pull-through weighted rate lock volume | 7.75 Bil | 8.25 Bil | 8.75 Bil | 17.9% | Raised | Guidance: 7.00 Bil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Pull-through weighted gain on sale margin | 2.7% | 2.85% | 3.0% | -8.8% | -0.3% | Lowered | Guidance: 3.13% for Q4 2025 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hsieh, Anthony LI | Executive Chair, CEO & Pres. | JLSSAA Trust | Sell | 1162026 | 2.70 | 884,495 | Form | ||
| 2 | Hsieh, Anthony LI | Executive Chair, CEO & Pres. | JLSSAA Trust | Sell | 1162026 | 2.66 | 415,505 | 1,103,540 | 2,349,130 | Form |
| 3 | Hsieh, Anthony LI | Executive Chair, CEO & Pres. | JLSSAA Trust | Sell | 12192025 | 2.28 | 217,774 | Form | ||
| 4 | Hsieh, Anthony LI | Executive Chair, CEO & Pres. | JLSSAA Trust | Sell | 12192025 | 2.32 | 223,488 | 519,118 | 505,845 | Form |
| 5 | Hsieh, Anthony LI | Executive Chair, CEO & Pres. | JLSSAA Trust | Sell | 12192025 | 2.29 | 308,379 | 706,990 | 1,011,637 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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