Lazard (LAZ)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $49.54 | Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets
Lazard (LAZ)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $49.54Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Capital Markets
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 9.0% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Key risksLAZ key risks include [1] persistent net outflows in its Asset Management segment and [2] slower-than-peer growth in Managing Director hiring, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 9.0% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, Show more. |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.7% |
| Key risksLAZ key risks include [1] persistent net outflows in its Asset Management segment and [2] slower-than-peer growth in Managing Director hiring, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LAZ Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate -12.2% movement in Lazard (LAZ) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025:
1. Significant AUM Outflows and Early Client Relationship Closure in November 2025. Lazard's preliminary assets under management (AUM) for November 2025 decreased by 6.3% from the previous month, primarily due to $18.0 billion in net outflows. A substantial portion of this, $16.8 billion, resulted from the earlier-than-anticipated closure of a single U.S. sub-advised client relationship, leading to a 3% drop in the stock on December 10, 2025, and signaling instability to investors.
2. Stock Decline Amidst Q3 2025 Earnings Beat Due to Broader Market Trends. Despite Lazard surpassing Wall Street's earnings per share and revenue expectations in its third-quarter 2025 report on October 23, 2025, the stock experienced a decline of 2.22% on the announcement day. This downturn was influenced by broader market trends and existing investor concerns rather than the company's positive financial results.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LAZ Return | � | � | � | � | � | 2% | � |
| Peers Return | � | 37% | -18% | 35% | 58% | 19% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LAZ Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 73% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 77% | 68% | 43% | 50% | 65% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LAZ Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -3% | -38% | -13% | -8% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GS, MS, EVR, MC, PWP. See LAZ Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
LAZ has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 525 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 515.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,470 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LAZ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 2.0% | -0.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.1% | -12.1% | -12.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 2.0% | -0.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.1% | -12.1% | -12.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lazard
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 123.50 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.3 |
| Rev LTM | 3,298 |
| Op Inc LTM | 277 |
| FCF LTM | 481 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 197 |
| CFO LTM | 518 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 222 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 19.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.3 |
| P/S | 3.7 |
| P/EBIT | 19.0 |
| P/E | 20.2 |
| P/CFO | 10.9 |
| Total Yield | 6.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 11.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 30.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 126.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 13.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 45.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/23/2025 | -1.3% | -2.9% | -6.2% |
| 7/24/2025 | -0.7% | -3.3% | -2.2% |
| 4/25/2025 | -3.1% | -1.1% | 9.2% |
| 1/30/2025 | 4.6% | 1.9% | -4.0% |
| 10/31/2024 | 4.5% | 20.4% | 15.5% |
| 7/25/2024 | 11.9% | 13.5% | 13.1% |
| 4/25/2024 | -1.0% | -2.7% | 4.7% |
| 10/26/2023 | |||
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| # Negative | 21 | 21 | 20 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 13.5% | 11.1% |
| Median Negative | -1.2% | -2.8% | -4.0% |
| Max Positive | 11.9% | 20.4% | 15.5% |
| Max Negative | -3.1% | -3.3% | -6.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10272025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7252025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7312023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10312022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |