Tearsheet

Kyverna Therapeutics (KYTX)


Market Price (12/16/2025): $10.03 | Market Cap: $435.5 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Kyverna Therapeutics (KYTX)


Market Price (12/16/2025): $10.03
Market Cap: $435.5 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -64%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -172 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 243%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 145%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -66%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -64%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -172 Mil
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 243%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 145%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -66%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KYTX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the stock movement of Kyverna Therapeutics (KYTX) from the approximate time period of August 31, 2025, to December 16, 2025: 1. Positive Topline Data from Registrational KYSA-8 Trial in Stiff Person Syndrome (SPS)

Kyverna Therapeutics announced on December 15, 2025, positive topline data from its registrational Phase 2 KYSA-8 trial of miv-cel (KYV-101) in stiff person syndrome (SPS). The study demonstrated statistically significant clinical benefits across all primary and secondary endpoints, showing the potential to reverse disability and eliminate immunotherapies after a single dose. This landmark result positions miv-cel as a potential first FDA-approved CAR T-cell therapy for an autoimmune disease, with a Biologics License Application (BLA) submission planned for the first half of 2026. This news led to a significant surge in the stock price, with shares rising over 26% on the day of the announcement.

2. Strengthened Financial Position and Extended Cash Runway

Kyverna Therapeutics has maintained a strong financial position, reporting sufficient cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities to extend its cash runway into 2027. This financial stability is crucial for supporting key clinical and regulatory milestones, including the BLA filing for SPS and the Phase 3 trial for myasthenia gravis. Furthermore, in November 2025, the company secured up to $150 million in non-dilutive financing from Oxford Finance, further bolstering its financial flexibility.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KYTX Return135%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KYTX Win Rate20%75% 
Peers Win Rate37% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KYTX Max Drawdown-51% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/15/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

KYTX has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-16.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven599 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-40.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1100 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Kyverna Therapeutics (KYTX)

Better Bets than Kyverna Therapeutics (KYTX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KYTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.1%18.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.8%-8.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.0%1.0%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.8%15.8%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.1%18.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.8%-8.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.0%1.0%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.8%15.8%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kyverna Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KYTXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameKyverna .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price10.82455.712.370.9312.0017.6311.41
Mkt Cap0.5116.5--0.5-0.5
Rev LTM011,7230-0130
Op Inc LTM-172-92-7--124-73-92
FCF LTM-1583,337-7--87-78-78
FCF 3Y Avg-1002,064-8----8
CFO LTM-1573,718-7--87-78-78
CFO 3Y Avg-992,419-8----8

Growth & Margins

KYTXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameKyverna .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%---333.3%168.0%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----560.1%-280.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%---1,973.2%987.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----602.0%-285.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----602.0%-286.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

KYTXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameKyverna .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.5116.5--0.5-0.5
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-1.622.4----10.4
P/E-2.927.2---4.4--2.9
P/CFO-3.026.9---5.8--3.0
Total Yield-34.3%3.7%---22.8%--22.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%--0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.3%----2.3%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.6-0.0-----0.3

Returns

KYTXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameKyverna .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn57.3%4.2%-20.4%-8.5%-3.7%4.2%
3M Rtn176.7%15.9%--23.3%-23.3%
6M Rtn243.5%1.1%----122.3%
12M Rtn144.8%-1.7%----71.5%
3Y Rtn-49.5%----49.5%
1M Excs Rtn65.8%3.7%-29.7%-4.2%-4.4%3.7%
3M Excs Rtn176.4%13.3%--16.9%-16.9%
6M Excs Rtn230.5%-11.9%----109.3%
12M Excs Rtn118.7%-14.7%----52.0%
3Y Excs Rtn--30.2%-----30.2%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,530,429
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202513.5%
Average Daily Volume555,489
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.36
Basic Shares Quantity43,415,367
Short % of Basic Shares8.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/2025-11.6%12.3%47.6%
8/12/202514.9%9.3%37.4%
3/27/2025-15.1%-16.3%-13.0%
11/13/2024-5.1%-18.6%-12.6%
8/12/20247.2%6.9%7.0%
3/26/2024-3.0%-11.8%-35.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive233
# Negative433
Median Positive11.0%9.3%37.4%
Median Negative-8.4%-16.3%-13.0%
Max Positive14.9%12.3%47.6%
Max Negative-15.1%-18.6%-35.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024327202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023326202410-K 12/31/2023
123120222082024424B4 12/31/2022