Kyverna Therapeutics (KYTX)
Market Price (12/16/2025): $10.03 | Market Cap: $435.5 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Kyverna Therapeutics (KYTX)
Market Price (12/16/2025): $10.03Market Cap: $435.5 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -64% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -172 Mil | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 243%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 145% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -66% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 104% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -64% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -172 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 243%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 145% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -66% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 104% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KYTX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for the stock movement of Kyverna Therapeutics (KYTX) from the approximate time period of August 31, 2025, to December 16, 2025:
1. Positive Topline Data from Registrational KYSA-8 Trial in Stiff Person Syndrome (SPS)
Kyverna Therapeutics announced on December 15, 2025, positive topline data from its registrational Phase 2 KYSA-8 trial of miv-cel (KYV-101) in stiff person syndrome (SPS). The study demonstrated statistically significant clinical benefits across all primary and secondary endpoints, showing the potential to reverse disability and eliminate immunotherapies after a single dose. This landmark result positions miv-cel as a potential first FDA-approved CAR T-cell therapy for an autoimmune disease, with a Biologics License Application (BLA) submission planned for the first half of 2026. This news led to a significant surge in the stock price, with shares rising over 26% on the day of the announcement.
2. Strengthened Financial Position and Extended Cash Runway
Kyverna Therapeutics has maintained a strong financial position, reporting sufficient cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities to extend its cash runway into 2027. This financial stability is crucial for supporting key clinical and regulatory milestones, including the BLA filing for SPS and the Phase 3 trial for myasthenia gravis. Furthermore, in November 2025, the company secured up to $150 million in non-dilutive financing from Oxford Finance, further bolstering its financial flexibility.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KYTX Return | � | � | � | � | � | 135% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KYTX Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 20% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 37% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KYTX Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/15/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
KYTX has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 599 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1100 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KYTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.1% | 18.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -8.8% | -8.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.0% | 1.0% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.8% | 15.8% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.1% | 18.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -8.8% | -8.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.0% | 1.0% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.8% | 15.8% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Kyverna Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -92 |
| FCF LTM | -78 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -8 |
| CFO LTM | -78 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -8 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 168.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -280.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 987.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -285.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -286.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| P/S | 8.5 |
| P/EBIT | 10.4 |
| P/E | -2.9 |
| P/CFO | -3.0 |
| Total Yield | -22.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 23.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 122.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 71.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 49.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 16.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 109.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 52.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -30.2% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/12/2025 | -11.6% | 12.3% | 47.6% |
| 8/12/2025 | 14.9% | 9.3% | 37.4% |
| 3/27/2025 | -15.1% | -16.3% | -13.0% |
| 11/13/2024 | -5.1% | -18.6% | -12.6% |
| 8/12/2024 | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% |
| 3/26/2024 | -3.0% | -11.8% | -35.9% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| # Negative | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 11.0% | 9.3% | 37.4% |
| Median Negative | -8.4% | -16.3% | -13.0% |
| Max Positive | 14.9% | 12.3% | 47.6% |
| Max Negative | -15.1% | -18.6% | -35.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11122025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8122024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082024 | 424B4 12/31/2022 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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