Tearsheet

Knightscope (KSCP)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.93 | Market Cap: $34.5 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Security & Alarm Services

Knightscope (KSCP)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.93
Market Cap: $34.5 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Security & Alarm Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -251%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Machine Learning, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -197%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -197%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -94%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 109%
5   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Machine Learning, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -251%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -197%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -197%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -94%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 109%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KSCP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Knightscope (KSCP) experienced an approximate 18.7% stock decline between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, primarily due to several key factors.

1. The company reported a significant earnings per share (EPS) miss for its Third Quarter 2025 results. Knightscope announced its Q3 2025 earnings on November 12, 2025, reporting an EPS of -$0.98, which notably missed the consensus estimate of -$0.72. This shortfall likely fueled investor concern regarding profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KSCP Return----68%-58%-65%-95%
Peers Return-7%24%-10%24%21%8%68%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KSCP Win Rate--9%17%25%40% 
Peers Win Rate50%57%47%65%47%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KSCP Max Drawdown----80%-83%-79% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-10%-29%-17%-9%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BCO, MG, NL, CIX, ADT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKSCPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5512.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to BCO, MG, NL, CIX, ADT


In The Past

Knightscope's stock fell -98.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/31/2022. A -98.2% loss requires a 5512.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Knightscope (KSCP)

Better Bets than Knightscope (KSCP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KSCP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Knightscope

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KSCPBCOMGNLCIXADTMedian
NameKnightsc.Brink's MISTRAS NL Indus.Compx In.ADT  
Mkt Price4.91118.3011.825.5822.318.149.98
Mkt Cap0.05.00.40.30.36.70.3
Rev LTM115,1467151591595,113437
Op Inc LTM-285064740221,30644
FCF LTM-22418-0-27151,3877
FCF 3Y Avg-23347713211,16317
CFO LTM-2263627-23181,97022
CFO 3Y Avg-235583115231,87327

Growth & Margins

KSCPBCOMGNLCIXADTMedian
NameKnightsc.Brink's MISTRAS NL Indus.Compx In.ADT  
Rev Chg LTM-6.6%3.1%-3.2%5.5%5.5%6.3%4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg63.2%5.1%1.3%-0.3%-0.3%3.4%2.3%
Rev Chg Q-14.2%6.1%7.0%18.7%18.7%4.4%6.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.0%1.5%1.8%4.1%4.1%1.1%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM-250.8%9.8%6.6%25.1%13.7%25.5%11.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-259.2%9.9%5.1%12.1%13.9%26.1%11.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-8.1%0.5%1.2%-0.4%0.4%-0.5%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-196.8%12.4%3.7%-14.6%11.4%38.5%7.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-209.3%11.2%4.3%9.8%14.7%40.1%10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-197.2%8.1%-0.0%-16.8%9.3%27.1%4.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-211.0%7.0%1.0%8.4%13.3%24.7%7.7%

Valuation

KSCPBCOMGNLCIXADTMedian
NameKnightsc.Brink's MISTRAS NL Indus.Compx In.ADT  
Mkt Cap0.05.00.40.30.36.70.3
P/S3.11.00.41.91.81.41.6
P/EBIT-1.39.28.119.613.25.68.6
P/E-1.128.817.131.014.911.116.0
P/CFO-1.67.711.7-12.915.93.65.7
Total Yield-90.0%3.5%5.8%12.3%8.0%11.7%6.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%9.1%1.3%2.7%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-69.0%8.2%2.7%4.5%7.1%18.2%5.8%
D/E0.20.90.80.00.01.10.5
Net D/E-0.00.60.7-0.3-0.21.10.3

Returns

KSCPBCOMGNLCIXADTMedian
NameKnightsc.Brink's MISTRAS NL Indus.Compx In.ADT  
1M Rtn4.9%7.0%23.3%-3.8%2.7%-7.4%3.8%
3M Rtn-13.1%5.3%24.9%-11.3%-4.6%-5.5%-5.1%
6M Rtn-19.0%42.7%54.7%-12.9%0.4%-4.1%-1.8%
12M Rtn-71.9%25.9%30.6%-25.6%-12.2%11.3%-0.4%
3Y Rtn-95.7%106.2%203.1%2.1%51.9%-9.8%27.0%
1M Excs Rtn4.9%7.0%23.3%-3.8%2.8%-7.4%3.9%
3M Excs Rtn-16.2%-1.1%15.4%-18.7%-10.8%-13.1%-11.9%
6M Excs Rtn-33.7%28.0%40.0%-27.6%-14.3%-18.8%-16.6%
12M Excs Rtn-86.3%10.1%13.4%-36.8%-25.7%-3.7%-14.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-168.5%32.4%124.2%-72.4%-24.9%-76.1%-48.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,633,037
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202554.6%
Average Daily Volume527,727
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.09
Basic Shares Quantity6,995,145
Short % of Basic Shares23.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024516202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021
9302021314202210-Q 9/30/2021