Rice Acquisition 3 (KRSP)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $10.33 | Market Cap: $475.2 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings
Rice Acquisition 3 (KRSP)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $10.33Market Cap: $475.2 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Multi-Sector Holdings
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 7.6% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.8%, Dist 3Y High is -3.8% | Key risksKRSP key risks include [1] failing to complete a business combination before its mandated liquidation deadline and [2] the potential poor performance of an acquired company, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 7.6% |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.8%, Dist 3Y High is -3.8% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% |
| Key risksKRSP key risks include [1] failing to complete a business combination before its mandated liquidation deadline and [2] the potential poor performance of an acquired company, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Rice Acquisition 3 (KRSP) remained a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) without an announced business combination during the period.
As a "blank check company," KRSP's primary asset is the cash held in its trust account, which is typically around the initial public offering (IPO) price of $10.00 per share. Until a definitive merger target is identified and announced, the stock price tends to hover around this trust value, reflecting the redemption option available to shareholders. KRSP's IPO priced at $10.00 per unit in October 2025.
2. The absence of a definitive merger target or significant company-specific news limited price catalysts.
KRSP was incorporated in 2025 with the purpose of effecting a business combination within the energy value chain. However, as of early March 2026, the company had not announced a specific acquisition target nor initiated substantive discussions. Without such a catalyst, the market had no new fundamental information to drive the stock significantly above or below its trust value, contributing to its stable price trend.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KRSP | -2.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | -15.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | -10.0% | -7.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KRSP | ||
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | -21.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | -10.8% | -4.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KRSP | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | -21.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | -7.1% | -4.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KRSP | ||
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | -21.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 40.5% | -4.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KRSP Return | - | - | - | - | -4% | 0% | -4% |
| Peers Return | 50% | 26% | -6% | 11% | 7% | 25% | 165% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KRSP Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 0% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 73% | 60% | 52% | 50% | 65% | 87% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KRSP Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -4% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -3% | -9% | -22% | -9% | -9% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: COP, EOG, NEE, DUK, ENB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
KRSP has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 525 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 515.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,470 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to COP, EOG, NEE, DUK, ENB
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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About Rice Acquisition 3 (KRSP)
AI Analysis | Feedback
It's like a focused private equity firm specializing in the energy sector, but instead of managing a portfolio, its sole purpose is to find and acquire one private energy company and bring it to the public stock market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Business Combination Facilitation: Rice Acquisition 3's primary function is to facilitate a merger, acquisition, or similar business combination with one or more private operating businesses, bringing them into the public market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlBased on the provided background, Rice Acquisition 3 (KRSP) is a newly organized blank check company (SPAC). It was formed for the purpose of effecting a business combination and has not yet identified or acquired a target business.
The company explicitly states: "We have generated no operating revenues to date, and we do not expect that we will generate operating revenues until we consummate our initial business combination."
Therefore, Rice Acquisition 3 (KRSP) currently has no major customers.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
J. Kyle Derham, Chief Executive Officer and Director
J. Kyle Derham is a Partner at Rice Investment Group, a multi-strategy investment fund. He has extensive prior SPAC experience, having served on the executive team of Rice Acquisition II, which completed its business combination with NET Power (NYSE: NPWR) in 2023.
James Rogers, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer
James Rogers is a Partner at Rice Investment Group. He has prior SPAC experience, serving alongside J. Kyle Derham on the executive team of Rice Acquisition II, which completed its combination with NET Power in 2023.
Anne Cameron, Chief Strategy Officer
Anne Cameron also serves as the Head of Public Investments at Mercuria.
AI Analysis | Feedback
For Rice Acquisition 3 (KRSP), a blank check company, the key risks are primarily related to its structure and current stage of operation.
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Failure to Complete an Initial Business Combination
As a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC), Rice Acquisition 3's sole purpose is to complete a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, or similar business combination with one or more entities. The company has not yet identified a target or initiated substantive discussions. If it fails to complete a business combination within the predetermined timeframe (typically two years from its initial public offering), it will be forced to liquidate, returning the funds held in trust to shareholders. This can result in shareholders receiving only their initial investment, or even less, especially if they purchased shares at a premium above the IPO price.
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Lack of Operating History and Dependence on Management's Ability to Identify and Execute an Acquisition
Rice Acquisition 3 currently has no operating business or revenues, and it does not expect to generate any until it consummates an initial business combination. Investors are essentially relying on the expertise and discretion of the management team to identify a suitable target business within the broadly defined energy value chain, and then successfully complete an acquisition. There is no guarantee that the management team will be able to find an attractive target or negotiate a favorable deal, which introduces significant uncertainty and speculative risk.
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Competition for Target Businesses
The company intends to focus its search for a target business in the energy value chain, specifically in areas such as upstream oil and gas, power generation, energy infrastructure, and critical metals and minerals. This sector can be highly competitive, with other SPACs, private equity firms, and strategic buyers also vying for attractive acquisition targets. This competition could make it more challenging for Rice Acquisition 3 to identify and secure a desirable business combination, potentially driving up acquisition costs or forcing the company to consider less favorable opportunities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
The expected drivers of future revenue growth for Rice Acquisition 3 (KRSP) over the next 2-3 years are:
- Successful completion of an initial business combination with an operating company within the broadly defined energy value chain, such as upstream oil and gas, power generation, energy infrastructure, or critical metals and minerals. This initial acquisition is the foundational driver for KRSP to generate any operating revenue.
- Organic growth of the acquired business through operational improvements, asset optimization, and increased production or service delivery, leveraging the management team's extensive operational experience and hands-on ownership approach.
- Expansion into new geographical markets or customer segments within the energy value chain by the acquired entity, thereby broadening its revenue base.
- Strategic bolt-on acquisitions or partnerships by the combined entity, enabling it to expand its asset portfolio, enhance its service offerings, or increase its market share within its target energy sub-sectors.
- Favorable market conditions, including positive trends in commodity prices (e.g., oil, natural gas, critical metals) or increased demand for energy infrastructure and services, which would directly boost the revenue of the acquired energy business.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Rice Acquisition 3 priced its initial public offering (IPO) on September 30, 2025, issuing 30 million units at $10.00 per unit.
- The IPO raised $300 million, with the offering closing on October 2, 2025.
Inbound Investments
- The company raised $300 million from its initial public offering in October 2025, with proceeds held in trust for a future business combination.
- Rice Acquisition 3 is backed by affiliates of Rice Investment Group and Mercuria.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to KRSP.
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| 02282026 | NDAQ | Nasdaq | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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| 02272026 | FOUR | Shift4 Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 110.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 110.0 |
| Rev LTM | 32,237 |
| Op Inc LTM | 8,577 |
| FCF LTM | 3,211 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 4,792 |
| CFO LTM | 12,330 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 12,349 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 26.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 25.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 38.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 37.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 110.0 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 11.9 |
| P/E | 20.3 |
| P/CFO | 8.3 |
| Total Yield | 7.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 15.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 17.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 26.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 47.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 10.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 23.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 22.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 13.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -7.9% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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