Tearsheet

Rice Acquisition 3 (KRSP)


Market Price (1/17/2026): $10.35 | Market Cap: $-
Sector: Financials | Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings

Rice Acquisition 3 (KRSP)


Market Price (1/17/2026): $10.35
Market Cap: $-
Sector: Financials
Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 10%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3%
Key risks
KRSP key risks include [1] failing to complete a business combination before its mandated liquidation deadline and [2] the potential poor performance of an acquired company, Show more.
1  Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78%
 
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 10%
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78%
3 Key risks
KRSP key risks include [1] failing to complete a business combination before its mandated liquidation deadline and [2] the potential poor performance of an acquired company, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KRSP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why the stock of Rice Acquisition 3 (KRSP) moved during the approximate time period from October 31, 2025, to January 17, 2026:

1. IPO Completion and Initial Trading Activity: Rice Acquisition Corporation 3 completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in October 2025, raising $300 million by offering 30 million units at $10.00 per unit. The company concurrently completed a private placement, depositing $345 million into a segregated trust account. Its units (KRSP.U) began trading on the New York Stock Exchange around October 1, 2025, establishing its presence in the market.

2. Separation of Class A Ordinary Shares and Warrants: Effective November 21, 2025, holders of Rice Acquisition Corporation 3 units gained the ability to separately trade their Class A ordinary shares (KRSP) and warrants (KRSP WS). This event typically enhances liquidity and provides investors with more flexibility in trading the individual components of the SPAC units.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 1/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KRSP  
Market (SPY)1.4%-20.3%
Sector (XLF)4.0%3.1%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 1/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KRSP  
Market (SPY)9.7%-20.3%
Sector (XLF)4.3%3.1%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 1/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KRSP  
Market (SPY)15.9%-20.3%
Sector (XLF)6.9%3.1%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 1/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KRSP  
Market (SPY)76.5%-20.3%
Sector (XLF)55.7%3.1%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
KRSP Return-----4%1%-3%
Peers Return50%26%-6%11%7%2%116%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%85%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KRSP Win Rate----0%100% 
Peers Win Rate73%60%52%50%65%80% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%100% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KRSP Max Drawdown-----4%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-3%-9%-22%-9%-9%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%0% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: COP, EOG, NEE, DUK, ENB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/16/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

KRSP has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,470 days1,480 days

Compare to COP, EOG, NEE, DUK, ENB

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Rice Acquisition 3 (KRSP)

We are a newly organized blank check company incorporated as a Cayman Islands exempted company on June 6, 2025. We were formed for the purpose of effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, recapitalization, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses or entities, which we refer to as “our initial business combination.” To date, our efforts have been limited to organizational activities as well as activities related to this offering. We have not selected any business combination target, and we have not, nor has anyone on our behalf, initiated any substantive discussions, directly or indirectly, with any potential business combination target regarding entering into a business combination with us. We have generated no operating revenues to date, and we do not expect that we will generate operating revenues until we consummate our initial business combination. We intend to focus our search for a target business in the broadly defined energy value chain. Specifically, although we may pursue an acquisition opportunity in any business industry or sector, we plan to concentrate our search on the areas of upstream oil and gas, power generation, energy infrastructure, and critical metals and minerals, enabling us to draw on our management’s extensive experience building and operating successful companies within the energy value chain. We intend to identify and acquire a business that could benefit from a hands-on owner with extensive operational experience and the public company expertise our management team possesses, and/or a business that relies on the target’s executive and operational expertise but presents potential for an attractive risk-adjusted return profile under our stewardship. Our executive offices are located in Carnegie, Pennsylvania.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • Business Combination: Rice Acquisition 3 (KRSP) aims to effect a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more operating businesses.
  • Public Listing Pathway: It serves as a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), providing a mechanism for a private company to become publicly traded without undergoing a traditional initial public offering.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Rice Acquisition 3 (symbol: KRSP) is a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC). A SPAC is a shell company created solely to raise capital through an initial public offering (IPO) with the purpose of acquiring and merging with an existing private company, thereby taking that private company public.

As a SPAC, KRSP does not have any ongoing business operations, products, or services that it sells to other companies or individuals. Consequently, it does not have traditional "major customers" in the sense of buyers of goods or services.

Its primary activity is to identify and complete a business combination with a private operating company. The funds raised from its IPO are held in trust until such an acquisition is completed.

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J. Kyle Derham, Chief Executive Officer & Director

J. Kyle Derham serves as the Chief Executive Officer and a Director of Rice Acquisition Corporation 3 since June 2025. He is also a Partner at Rice Investment Group, a position he has held since January 2018. Mr. Derham has extensive experience with Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs), having previously served as CEO and a board member of Rice Acquisition Corp. II, which completed its combination with NET Power in 2023. He continues to serve as a Director of NET Power. Furthermore, he was President and Chief Financial Officer of Rice Acquisition Corp I, which merged with Archaea Energy in 2021. After the business combination, Mr. Derham served as a Director of Archaea Energy until it was sold to bp in 2022 for $4 billion. He also served as interim Chief Financial Officer of EQT Corporation from July 2019 through December 2021 and subsequently as a strategic advisor, following his role in leading a successful shareholder campaign to revamp EQT's strategic direction. Prior to these roles, Mr. Derham was Vice President, Corporate Development and Finance of Rice Energy and Rice Midstream from January 2014 through November 2017. His background also includes experience as an associate at First Reserve, an energy-focused private equity fund, and as an investment banker at Barclays.

James Wilmot Rogers, Chief Financial Officer & Chief Accounting Officer

James Wilmot Rogers has served as the Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer of Rice Acquisition Corporation 3 since June 2025. He is also a Partner at Rice Investment Group. Mr. Rogers has previous SPAC experience, having served as Chief Accounting Officer of Rice Acquisition Corp II from its formation in February 2021, and as Chief Financial Officer from February 2022 until its business combination with Net Power in June 2023. Before his SPAC roles, Mr. Rogers served as Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer, and Administrative Officer, Treasurer of Rice Energy from April 2011 through November 2017. Rice Energy was acquired by EQT Corp. in November 2017.

Anne Cameron, Chief Strategy Officer

Anne Cameron is the Chief Strategy Officer of Rice Acquisition Corporation 3. She also holds the position of Head of Public Investments at Mercuria, an energy and commodity company that is a co-sponsor of Rice Acquisition Corporation 3.

Daniel Rice IV, Partner at Rice Investment Group

Daniel Rice IV is a Partner at Rice Investment Group and currently serves as the Chief Executive Officer of NET Power Inc. He previously held leadership positions at Rice Energy Inc., including Chief Executive Officer, Chief Operating Officer, and Chief Financial Officer, before its acquisition by EQT in 2017. Mr. Rice co-founded Rice Energy in 2007, which attracted private equity investors and went public in 2014, eventually being acquired by EQT Corp. for $6.7 billion. He was also a director of Archaea Energy until its acquisition by BP in 2022 and a director of Whiting Petroleum until its combination with Oasis Petroleum in 2022. Earlier in his career, he worked as an investment banker for Tudor Pickering Holt & Co. and as a Senior Analyst of Corporate Planning for Transocean.

Toby Rice, Partner at Rice Investment Group

Toby Rice is a Partner at Rice Investment Group and currently serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer of EQT. He co-founded Rice Energy with his brothers Daniel and Derek in 2007, serving as President and Chief Operating Officer. Rice Energy was subsequently acquired by EQT Corp. for $6.7 billion in 2017.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks for Rice Acquisition 3 (KRSP), a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC), are primarily associated with its nature as a blank check company seeking to acquire an operating business. Unlike traditional operating companies, SPACs have no intrinsic business operations and their success hinges on a successful acquisition and the subsequent performance of the acquired entity.

  1. Failure to complete a business combination: Rice Acquisition 3 has a limited timeframe, typically 24 months from its IPO, to identify and complete a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, or similar business combination. If it fails to do so within this period, the company will be forced to liquidate and return the funds held in trust to its public shareholders. This risk is inherent to the SPAC model, as the company effectively ceases to exist as an operating entity if an acquisition is not completed.
  2. Difficulty in identifying and acquiring a suitable target business: Although Rice Acquisition 3 intends to focus its search on businesses within the broadly defined energy value chain, including upstream oil and gas, power generation, energy infrastructure, and critical metals and minerals, identifying a suitable acquisition target that meets its criteria and is willing to combine can be challenging. The competitive landscape for attractive targets, combined with the specific requirements and valuation expectations, could make a successful acquisition difficult.
  3. Performance of the acquired business: Even if Rice Acquisition 3 successfully completes an acquisition, there is no guarantee that the acquired business will perform as expected or generate positive returns for shareholders. The past performance of a SPAC sponsored by the same management team, Rice Acquisition II, which combined with NET Power (NPWR), saw a significant decline from its initial offer price. This highlights the risk that the ultimate success of KRSP depends entirely on the future performance and integration of an as-yet-unidentified private company.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • A significantly more challenging market environment for Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs), marked by increased investor skepticism, making it difficult for Rice Acquisition 3 to identify and secure an attractive acquisition target within its specified timeframe. This heightened difficulty is due to a reduced pool of private companies willing to go public via SPACs, and increased competition among existing SPACs for fewer viable targets.
  • The high probability of substantial shareholder redemptions during the de-SPAC transaction. This widespread trend in the current market can severely diminish the amount of capital available to the target company post-merger, potentially jeopardizing the financial viability of the combined entity or the completion of the merger itself.
  • Growing regulatory scrutiny from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the prospect of new regulations. These potential changes could impose stricter liability standards, increase disclosure requirements, and add complexity to the SPAC process, making it less attractive for both SPAC sponsors and prospective target companies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Rice Acquisition 3 (KRSP) is a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) that completed its initial public offering (IPO) in late 2025. As such, KRSP currently has no operating business or revenue of its own. Its sole purpose is to identify and complete a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, recapitalization, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses or entities. Therefore, the expected drivers of future revenue growth for KRSP over the next 2-3 years are entirely dependent on the nature and characteristics of the target company it eventually acquires. KRSP intends to focus its search for a target business within the broadly defined energy value chain, specifically in the upstream oil and gas, power generation, energy infrastructure, and critical metals and minerals subsectors. Given this structure, the prospective drivers of future revenue growth for KRSP will arise from:
  1. Successful Business Combination: The most critical driver of future revenue for KRSP will be the successful identification and completion of an initial business combination with a revenue-generating company within its target sectors.
  2. Growth in the Acquired Company's Core Markets: Once an acquisition is made, the future revenue growth will be driven by factors specific to the acquired entity, such as expansion of its customer base or increased demand for its existing products and services within its established markets.
  3. Expansion into New Markets or Geographies by the Acquired Company: Post-acquisition, the combined entity may pursue revenue growth through the strategic entry into new geographical regions or adjacent market segments where the acquired company's offerings can gain traction.
  4. Launch of New Products, Services, or Technologies by the Acquired Company: The introduction of innovative products, services, or technologies by the acquired company, or the development of new applications for existing ones, could be a significant driver of revenue growth.
  5. Strategic Investments and Capital Deployment in the Energy Value Chain: As Rice Acquisition 3 is backed by Rice Investment Group and Mercuria, who have a strong focus and capital deployment history in the energy sector, the combined entity may benefit from strategic investments and initiatives aimed at optimizing and expanding assets within the broadly defined energy value chain, particularly in areas like power generation and energy infrastructure.

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Share Issuance

  • Rice Acquisition 3 priced its Initial Public Offering (IPO) of 30,000,000 units at $10.00 per unit on September 30, 2025, raising a total of $300 million.
  • Each unit issued in the IPO consists of one Class A ordinary share and one-sixth of one redeemable warrant.
  • The company granted the underwriters an option to purchase up to an additional 4,500,000 units, which, if fully exercised at the IPO price, would represent a potential additional issuance of $45 million.

Inbound Investments

  • Rice Acquisition Corporation 3 was formed with the primary purpose of effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, or similar business combination with one or more businesses or entities.
  • The company intends to focus its search for a target business within the broadly defined energy value chain, including upstream oil and gas, power generation, energy infrastructure, and critical metals and minerals subsectors.
  • As of its IPO, Rice Acquisition 3 had not yet selected any specific business combination target or initiated substantive discussions for an acquisition.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to KRSP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique Key

Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for Rice Acquisition 3

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KRSPCOPEOGNEEDUKENBMedian
NameRice Acq.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.NextEra .Duke Ene.Enbridge  
Mkt Price10.3598.19105.3283.63119.2247.5990.91
Mkt Cap-122.357.0172.792.8103.8103.8
Rev LTM-59,78822,57926,29831,65964,23431,659
Op Inc LTM-12,5497,5397,4048,58311,1998,583
FCF LTM-7,0883,8913,073-9214,0543,891
FCF 3Y Avg-8,9105,1672,421-2,1226,7075,167
CFO LTM-19,93510,19511,96712,04912,82112,049
CFO 3Y Avg-20,72011,45311,84710,53913,19111,847

Growth & Margins

KRSPCOPEOGNEEDUKENBMedian
NameRice Acq.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.NextEra .Duke Ene.Enbridge  
Rev Chg LTM-8.2%-5.0%0.2%4.8%32.3%4.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--6.6%-7.6%11.4%5.2%8.6%5.2%
Rev Chg Q-15.3%-2.3%5.3%4.8%-1.6%4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.4%-0.6%1.5%1.2%-0.4%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM-21.0%33.4%28.2%27.1%17.4%27.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-24.1%36.4%31.5%25.1%19.1%25.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--1.0%-0.8%-1.4%0.3%0.1%-0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-33.3%45.2%45.5%38.1%20.0%38.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-35.6%49.0%44.6%34.6%25.6%35.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-11.9%17.2%11.7%-2.9%6.3%11.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-15.3%22.1%9.3%-7.1%13.5%13.5%

Valuation

KRSPCOPEOGNEEDUKENBMedian
NameRice Acq.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.NextEra .Duke Ene.Enbridge  
Mkt Cap-122.357.0172.792.8103.8103.8
P/S-2.02.56.62.91.62.5
P/EBIT-8.47.823.010.07.98.4
P/E-13.810.326.618.617.217.2
P/CFO-6.15.614.47.78.17.7
Total Yield-10.4%13.4%6.4%6.2%13.7%10.4%
Dividend Yield-3.2%3.7%2.6%0.9%7.9%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.2%7.8%1.5%-2.7%7.9%7.2%
D/E-0.20.10.51.01.00.5
Net D/E-0.10.10.51.01.00.5

Returns

KRSPCOPEOGNEEDUKENBMedian
NameRice Acq.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.NextEra .Duke Ene.Enbridge  
1M Rtn0.1%3.4%1.5%4.2%1.5%1.4%1.5%
3M Rtn-3.3%14.6%0.1%-0.4%-6.4%2.5%-0.1%
6M Rtn-3.3%9.0%-8.8%11.7%2.4%8.6%5.5%
12M Rtn-3.3%-3.8%-20.3%20.8%13.3%14.6%5.0%
3Y Rtn-3.3%-9.8%-9.3%6.4%28.8%39.3%1.6%
1M Excs Rtn-2.1%6.1%2.4%0.8%1.1%-0.1%0.9%
3M Excs Rtn-8.0%9.3%-4.6%-5.7%-10.3%-2.5%-5.1%
6M Excs Rtn-13.5%-1.2%-19.0%1.5%-7.8%-1.6%-4.7%
12M Excs Rtn-19.9%-20.3%-36.4%7.8%-0.6%-2.9%-11.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-78.1%-83.1%-81.2%-67.5%-47.8%-34.3%-72.8%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,264
Short Interest: % Change Since 1215202597.2%
Average Daily Volume12,323
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1