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Keros Therapeutics (KROS)


Market Price (2/2/2026): $17.92 | Market Cap: $728.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Keros Therapeutics (KROS)


Market Price (2/2/2026): $17.92
Market Cap: $728.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -111%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -142%
Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -93%
  Key risks
KROS key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on the successful clinical development and approval of its key product candidates, Show more.
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37798%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -93%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37798%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -111%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -142%
7 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
8 Key risks
KROS key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on the successful clinical development and approval of its key product candidates, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 17.7% change in KROS stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 224.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)103120252012026Change
Stock Price ($)15.2217.9117.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2332476.0%
Net Income Margin (%)8.1%26.1%224.0%
P/E Multiple32.911.3-65.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)41410.0%
Cumulative Contribution17.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KROS17.7% 
Market (SPY)1.5%13.6%
Sector (XLV)7.3%14.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 25.1% change in KROS stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 1231.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120252012026Change
Stock Price ($)14.3217.9125.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)21524714.9%
Net Income Margin (%)2.0%26.1%1231.6%
P/E Multiple137.911.3-91.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4141-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution25.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KROS25.1% 
Market (SPY)9.8%19.4%
Sector (XLV)19.2%18.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 57.1% change in KROS stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 37798.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120252012026Change
Stock Price ($)11.4017.9157.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)124737798.3%
P/S Multiple658.32.9-99.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3841-7.5%
Cumulative Contribution57.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KROS57.1% 
Market (SPY)16.0%6.9%
Sector (XLV)6.8%12.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -69.4% change in KROS stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -96.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120232012026Change
Stock Price ($)58.5717.91-69.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)202471133.6%
P/S Multiple74.82.9-96.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2641-37.1%
Cumulative Contribution-69.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KROS-69.4% 
Market (SPY)76.6%14.7%
Sector (XLV)21.4%15.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
KROS Return-17%-18%-17%-60%29%-12%-74%
Peers Return-10%41%-16%39%-23%1%15%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%2%86%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KROS Win Rate42%50%50%33%50%0% 
Peers Win Rate50%58%47%53%47%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%100% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KROS Max Drawdown-59%-56%-44%-61%-40%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-25%-28%-8%-48%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MRK, SRPT, UTHR, GERN, AGIO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/30/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKROSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-65.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven189.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven72.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven22 days148 days

Compare to MRK, SRPT, UTHR, GERN, AGIO

In The Past

Keros Therapeutics's stock fell -65.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2021. A -65.4% loss requires a 189.2% gain to breakeven.

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About Keros Therapeutics (KROS)

Keros Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel treatments for patients suffering from hematological and musculoskeletal disorders with high unmet medical need. The company's lead protein therapeutic product candidate is KER-050, which is being developed for the treatment of low blood cell counts, or cytopenias, including anemia and thrombocytopenia in patients with myelodysplastic syndromes, and in patients with myelofibrosis. It is also developing small molecule product candidate KER-047 that is being developed for the treatment of anemia, and is currently in Phase 1 clinical trial; and KER-012, which is in Phase 1 clinical trial to treat disorders associated with bone loss, such as osteoporosis and osteogenesis imperfecta, and for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Lexington, Massachusetts.

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Analogy 1: An early-stage Biogen, focused on blood, muscle, and lung disorders.

Analogy 2: A clinical-stage Vertex Pharmaceuticals, specializing in rare blood and bone diseases.

Analogy 3: A younger Regeneron, but concentrating on different therapeutic areas.

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  • KER-050 (elosakembat): A novel ACVR2A ligand trap in clinical development for the treatment of hematological disorders such as Myelodysplastic Syndromes (MDS) and Myelofibrosis (MF).
  • KER-012: An oral ACVR1/ACVR2B inhibitor being investigated for the treatment of Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension (PAH) and other fibrotic and oncological indications.
  • KER-065: An oral ACVR1/BMP inhibitor in development for the treatment of anemia in various hematological conditions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Keros Therapeutics (KROS) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel treatments for a wide range of debilitating diseases.

As a clinical-stage company, Keros Therapeutics does not currently have any approved products on the market generating sales revenue. Therefore, it does not have "major customers" in the traditional sense of selling products or services at this time.

The company's primary focus is on research and development, funded mainly through equity financing. Future potential revenue for Keros Therapeutics would typically come from:

  • Licensing or collaboration agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies (representing a business-to-business model).
  • Eventual direct product sales after regulatory approval, either through its own commercialization efforts or through partners, to distributors, pharmacies, and healthcare providers (which would then serve individual patients).

Because Keros Therapeutics does not currently sell products, it does not primarily sell to other companies nor primarily to individuals. Consequently, there are no major customer companies to list, nor categories of individual customers to describe, based on current sales activity.

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Jasbir S. Seehra, Ph.D., Chief Executive Officer, President, and Chair of the Board

Dr. Seehra has served as Chief Executive Officer of Keros Therapeutics since December 2015 and became President in August 2025. He was appointed Chair of the Board in July 2024. Prior to joining Keros, Dr. Seehra served as Chief Scientific Officer at Ember Therapeutics. He was also a Co-founder and Chief Scientific Officer of Acceleron Pharma. Previously, he held the position of Vice President of Biological Chemistry at Wyeth and led the small molecule lead discovery effort at Genetics Institute, where he contributed to building their drug discovery capabilities. Dr. Seehra holds a B.Sc. and Ph.D. in Biochemistry from the University of Southampton and completed postdoctoral work at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He also serves on the board of directors of Eloxx Pharmaceuticals.

Keith Regnante, Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Regnante joined Keros Therapeutics as Chief Financial Officer in February 2020. Before Keros, he served as Chief Financial Officer at Wave Life Sciences, a period that included significant organizational growth, clinical pipeline advancements, and multiple capital raises. Prior to Wave, Mr. Regnante was a Vice President of Finance at Shire, where he managed finance for a global Research & Development organization. He also held various positions of increasing responsibility at Biogen, leading finance teams for Corporate Finance, Research & Development, and Business Development. Earlier in his career, he worked as a Consultant with The Boston Consulting Group. Mr. Regnante earned his MBA from the MIT Sloan School of Management and a BA in Economics from Tufts University.

Lorena Lerner, Ph.D., Chief Scientific Officer

Dr. Lerner was promoted to Chief Scientific Officer in August 2025. Before this promotion, she served as the company's Senior Vice President for Research.

Esther Cho, Senior Vice President & General Counsel

Ms. Cho serves as the Senior Vice President and General Counsel at Keros Therapeutics.

John Oram, Senior Vice President, Program and Portfolio Management

Mr. Oram is the Senior Vice President of Program and Portfolio Management at Keros Therapeutics.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Keros Therapeutics (KROS) faces several key risks inherent to clinical-stage biopharmaceutical companies, primarily centered around the success of its product pipeline and the financial resources required for development.
  1. Clinical Trial Success and Product Development: Keros Therapeutics' business heavily relies on the successful development, regulatory approval, and commercialization of its product candidates, including KER-065 and elritercept. There is a significant risk of delays in initiating, enrolling, or completing clinical trials, and early or interim results may not accurately predict final outcomes. A notable recent example is the voluntary halting of all dosing in the Phase 2 TROPOS trial for cibotercept (KER-012) due to safety concerns related to pericardial effusion adverse events, which led to a substantial drop in the company's stock value. The failure of any key product candidate in clinical trials or to gain regulatory approval would materially harm the business.
  2. Limited Operating History, Historical Losses, and Need for Additional Funding: Keros has a limited operational history and has consistently incurred losses. As a clinical-stage company, it requires substantial capital to fund its research and development activities, including ongoing and future clinical trials, and potential commercialization efforts. While the company has reported sufficient cash and cash equivalents to fund operations into 2029, the need for additional financing is a recurring risk, especially if development timelines are extended or expenses increase beyond current projections.
  3. Competition and Intellectual Property: The biopharmaceutical industry is highly competitive, and Keros competes with numerous third parties that are developing or have developed products for similar therapeutic uses. Maintaining and protecting its intellectual property (e.g., patents, trade secrets) is crucial to Keros's ability to commercialize its product candidates and sustain its business. The failure to obtain, maintain, or protect its intellectual property could significantly undermine its competitive position.

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Merck's recently approved drug, Sotatercept (brand name Winrevair), poses a clear emerging threat to Keros Therapeutics. Sotatercept, which received FDA approval in March 2024, is a first-in-class activin receptor type IIA-Fc fusion protein developed for the treatment of Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension (PAH). It operates by rebalancing TGF-beta superfamily signaling, a mechanism conceptually similar to Keros's own pipeline candidate KER-012, which is also being developed for PAH and other fibrotic and cardiovascular disorders. Sotatercept has demonstrated significant efficacy in Phase 3 trials (STELLAR trial), establishing itself as a disease-modifying therapy and setting a new high bar in the PAH treatment landscape. This creates a formidable competitive environment for Keros's KER-012, which will need to demonstrate superior efficacy, safety, or other compelling advantages to capture market share against an already approved, highly effective, and pioneering drug in the same therapeutic area.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Keros Therapeutics (NASDAQ: KROS) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with several product candidates in development targeting various disorders. The addressable markets for their main products or services are as follows:

KER-050 (elritercept)

Keros' most advanced product candidate, KER-050 (elritercept), is being developed to treat low blood cell counts (cytopenias), including anemia and thrombocytopenia, in patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and myelofibrosis (MF).
  • Myelodysplastic Syndromes (MDS): The market for MDS is projected to reach $1.5 billion globally by 2030.
  • Myelofibrosis (MF): The myelofibrosis market in the seven major markets (7MM), which includes the United States, EU4 (Germany, Spain, Italy, France), the United Kingdom, and Japan, was approximately $2.2 billion in 2024. This market is anticipated to grow to $5.6 billion by 2034, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9% from 2025 to 2034. The United States alone accounted for nearly $1.7 billion of this market in 2024.

KER-012 (cibotercept)

KER-012 (cibotercept) is being developed for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH).
  • Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension (PAH): The global Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension drug market is estimated at $8.58 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $12.81 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 5.9% from 2025 to 2032. Another estimate values the global market at $8.48 billion in 2025, reaching $13.50 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 5.30%. The U.S. PAH market size was approximately $2.31 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to around $3.90 billion by 2034, demonstrating a CAGR of 5.37% from 2025 to 2034. North America held the largest revenue share of 41% in the PAH market in 2024.

KER-065

KER-065 is in development for the treatment of obesity and neuromuscular diseases, with an initial focus on Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD).
  • Obesity: The weight loss market is expected to exceed $100 billion globally by 2030.
  • Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD): The global Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy market across the seven major markets is expected to reach $5.2 billion by 2033.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Keros Therapeutics (KROS) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Milestone Payments from Elritercept (KER-050) Partnership with Takeda: Keros Therapeutics is eligible to receive significant development, commercial, and sales milestone payments totaling up to $1.1 billion, in addition to tiered annual net sales royalties, as part of its global license agreement with Takeda Pharmaceuticals for elritercept (KER-050). Takeda's plan to advance elritercept into a Phase 3 clinical trial for myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) positions Keros to recognize these milestone payments as the development progresses.
  2. Royalties from Elritercept (KER-050) Sales: Beyond milestone payments, Keros Therapeutics stands to generate future revenue from tiered annual net sales royalties on elritercept if successfully commercialized by Takeda. This long-term revenue stream will commence upon market approval and sales of the drug.
  3. Advancement and Potential Commercialization of KER-065 for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD): Keros plans to initiate a Phase 2 clinical trial for KER-065 in patients with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) in the first quarter of 2026. Successful progression through clinical trials and eventual commercialization of KER-065, addressing a significant unmet medical need in a market with few therapies, could become a substantial driver of revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • Keros Therapeutics announced a comprehensive $375 million capital return program in October 2025.
  • As part of this program, Keros repurchased approximately $181 million in shares from ADAR1 Capital Management and Pontifax Venture Capital at $17.75 per share, with these transactions closing on October 15, 2025.
  • The company plans to launch a tender offer by the end of October 2025 to repurchase up to an additional $194 million of common stock at $17.75 per share.

Share Issuance

  • Keros Therapeutics went public in 2020, raising net proceeds of $100.1 million through an initial public offering at $16 per share.
  • In November 2020, the company conducted a public offering, raising $130 million by issuing 2,600,000 shares at $50 per share.
  • In January 2024, Keros closed an upsized underwritten public offering of 4,025,000 shares of common stock at $40.00 per share, which included the full exercise of the underwriters' option.

Inbound Investments

  • Keros Therapeutics entered into a global license agreement with Takeda Pharmaceuticals U.S.A., Inc. for its product candidate, elritercept (formerly KER-050).
  • Under this agreement, Keros received an upfront payment of $200 million and is eligible for potential development, registration, and commercial milestone payments exceeding $1.1 billion, in addition to tiered royalties.
  • Keros received a $10 million development milestone payment in July 2025 following the dosing of the first patient in Takeda's Phase 3 trial for myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS).

Capital Expenditures

  • Keros Therapeutics anticipates that its cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2025, after accounting for the $375.0 million capital return program, will be sufficient to fund its operating expenses and capital expenditure requirements into the first half of 2028.
  • The proceeds from the January 2024 public offering were expected to fund the company's operating expenses and capital expenditure requirements into 2027.

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Unique Key

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

KROSMRKSRPTUTHRGERNAGIOMedian
NameKeros Th.Merck Sarepta .United T.Geron Agios Ph. 
Mkt Price17.91110.2720.34469.491.3727.4423.89
Mkt Cap0.7275.12.020.60.91.61.8
Rev LTM24764,2352,4143,128183451,330
Op Inc LTM4522,391-861,522-63-476-9
FCF LTM8713,049-3891,116-133-424-23
FCF 3Y Avg-5913,685-495926-171-354-115
CFO LTM8917,065-2451,556-133-410-22
CFO 3Y Avg-5717,506-3791,216-170-343-114

Growth & Margins

KROSMRKSRPTUTHRGERNAGIOMedian
NameKeros Th.Merck Sarepta .United T.Geron Agios Ph. 
Rev Chg LTM37,798.3%1.7%47.1%13.5%522.1%36.3%41.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15,245.3%2.9%40.6%19.0%3,214.2%71.7%56.1%
Rev Chg Q3,575.8%3.7%-14.5%6.8%67.1%43.7%25.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.0%1.0%-2.7%1.6%11.5%9.6%3.8%
Op Mgn LTM18.2%34.9%-3.6%48.7%-34.4%-1,061.8%7.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-658,009.9%23.7%-11.6%49.1%-19,342.9%-1,299.8%-655.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM17.5%3.7%-3.5%-1.4%12.7%67.3%8.2%
CFO/Rev LTM36.0%26.6%-10.1%49.7%-72.5%-915.2%8.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-509,222.8%28.2%-26.8%44.8%-17,301.2%-1,040.8%-533.8%
FCF/Rev LTM35.3%20.3%-16.1%35.7%-72.5%-946.8%2.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-518,809.9%22.0%-33.7%34.3%-17,397.4%-1,077.8%-555.7%

Valuation

KROSMRKSRPTUTHRGERNAGIOMedian
NameKeros Th.Merck Sarepta .United T.Geron Agios Ph. 
Mkt Cap0.7275.12.020.60.91.61.8
P/S2.94.30.86.65.035.64.6
P/EBIT10.811.9-8.812.2-19.9-3.43.7
P/E11.314.5-7.516.2-11.4-4.03.7
P/CFO8.216.1-8.313.2-6.9-3.92.2
Total Yield8.9%9.9%-13.3%6.2%-8.8%-25.2%-1.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.9%5.2%-9.8%6.1%-12.6%-23.1%-8.9%
D/E0.00.20.60.00.10.00.1
Net D/E-0.90.10.2-0.1-0.3-0.6-0.2

Returns

KROSMRKSRPTUTHRGERNAGIOMedian
NameKeros Th.Merck Sarepta .United T.Geron Agios Ph. 
1M Rtn-3.4%3.6%-4.6%-5.5%3.8%1.0%-1.2%
3M Rtn17.7%29.3%-15.3%5.4%8.7%-36.5%7.1%
6M Rtn25.1%41.6%27.8%59.5%17.1%-21.6%26.5%
12M Rtn57.1%15.8%-82.1%33.7%-52.3%-20.2%-2.2%
3Y Rtn-69.1%16.8%-83.1%80.9%-59.0%-9.1%-34.0%
1M Excs Rtn-12.3%3.3%-6.0%-6.0%1.6%-0.2%-3.1%
3M Excs Rtn18.4%27.7%-14.0%2.4%10.7%-35.3%6.5%
6M Excs Rtn15.6%34.3%14.4%61.5%9.7%-35.7%15.0%
12M Excs Rtn42.6%1.5%-97.3%11.1%-67.5%-33.5%-16.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-141.8%-61.5%-156.3%3.8%-132.5%-83.6%-108.1%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment0    
Research collaboration revenue    10
Total0   10


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment 307255269 
Total 307255269 


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$17.91 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.7 
First Trading Date04/08/2020 
Distance from 52W High-18.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$19.28$15.86
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-7.1%13.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility50.5%46.5%
Downside Capture28.8916.17
Upside Capture121.7360.13
Correlation (SPY)13.8%7.1%
KROS Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.451.040.600.840.170.66
Up Beta6.370.020.861.260.510.66
Down Beta1.020.990.090.22-0.580.32
Up Capture-248%133%124%118%48%29%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days8182965129378
Down Capture-33%106%30%81%26%106%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days12233159118367

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with KROS
KROS57.9%46.5%1.12-
Sector ETF (XLV)7.7%17.2%0.2712.9%
Equity (SPY)16.1%19.2%0.657.2%
Gold (GLD)76.5%23.4%2.382.8%
Commodities (DBC)11.1%15.9%0.48-1.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.3%16.5%0.146.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-18.9%39.9%-0.438.1%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with KROS
KROS-23.7%69.3%-0.01-
Sector ETF (XLV)7.1%14.5%0.3120.4%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.1%0.6527.0%
Gold (GLD)20.8%16.5%1.039.1%
Commodities (DBC)12.2%18.8%0.533.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%18.8%0.1622.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)21.1%57.5%0.5616.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with KROS
KROS-1.1%70.6%0.35-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.4%16.6%0.5220.5%
Equity (SPY)15.6%17.9%0.7526.8%
Gold (GLD)15.6%15.3%0.859.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.5%17.6%0.404.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.9%20.8%0.2521.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)71.5%66.4%1.1115.5%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 12312025-5.6%
Average Daily Volume0.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity40.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.8%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/15/2025-4.0%2.1%15.8%
8/6/2025-7.3%-3.1%8.2%
2/26/20250.6%6.7%0.5%
11/6/20241.1%-5.1%5.3%
8/7/2024-2.2%-4.5%15.7%
5/8/2024-0.7%-10.0%-17.0%
2/28/2024-0.8%-3.1%-2.7%
11/6/2023-0.8%-7.4%1.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9814
# Negative10115
Median Positive2.8%14.0%14.8%
Median Negative-2.0%-5.1%-13.9%
Max Positive27.7%42.9%37.8%
Max Negative-12.0%-25.4%-27.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202411/06/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/07/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202203/03/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202103/09/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Pontifax, Management 4 Gp (2015) LtdPontifax (Israel) IV, L.P.Sell1017202517.752,284,612  Form
2Pontifax, Management 4 Gp (2015) LtdPontifax (Cayman) IV, L.P.Sell1017202517.751,121,045  Form
3Pontifax, Management 4 Gp (2015) LtdPontifax (China) IV, L.P.Sell1017202517.751,226,412  Form
4Pontifax, Management 4 Gp (2015) LtdPontifax Late Stage Fund, L.P.Sell1017202517.75155,262  Form
5Adar1, Capital Management, LlcADAR1 Partners, LPSell1015202517.754,391,237  Form