Tearsheet

Kadant (KAI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $292.35 | Market Cap: $3.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Kadant (KAI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $292.35
Market Cap: $3.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is 0.0%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.47, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Sustainable Resource Management, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Sustainable Resource Management, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.47, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is 0.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KAI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Kadant's Third Quarter 2025 Operating Margin Declined: The company's operating margin for the third quarter of 2025 decreased to 15.7% from 18% in the same period of the previous year, indicating reduced profitability.

2. Fourth Quarter 2025 Revenue Guidance Missed Analyst Estimates: Kadant provided fourth-quarter revenue guidance of $275 million at the midpoint, which fell short of analysts' consensus estimates of $279.6 million. This weak forecast overshadowed beats on revenue and earnings for Q3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KAI Return35%64%-23%59%24%-18%176%
Peers Return6%-1%-19%64%66%13%161%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KAI Win Rate75%67%33%67%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%50%42%67%54%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KAI Max Drawdown-48%-2%-31%0%-8%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-15%-38%-2%-6%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GGG, GHM, ADVEN, BENN, HRDG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKAIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven392 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-52.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven82 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-32.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven569 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-80.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven401.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven862 days1480 days

Compare to GGG, GHM, ADVEN, BENN, HRDG


In The Past

Kadant's stock fell -34.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/23/2021. A -34.2% loss requires a 51.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Kadant (KAI)

Better Bets than Kadant (KAI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KAI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
KAI_12312017_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312017KAIKadantQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.8%-18.1%-22.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
KAI_12312017_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312017KAIKadantQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.8%-18.1%-22.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kadant

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KAIGGGGHMADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameKadant Graco Graham AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
Mkt Price291.7782.9957.30---82.99
Mkt Cap3.413.80.6---3.4
Rev LTM1,0242,192228---1,024
Op Inc LTM15558217---155
FCF LTM146625-11---146
FCF 3Y Avg13049612---130
CFO LTM16267213---162
CFO 3Y Avg15662226---156

Growth & Margins

KAIGGGGHMADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameKadant Graco Graham AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.0%2.9%16.0%---2.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.8%1.0%17.0%---4.8%
Rev Chg Q-0.0%4.7%23.3%---4.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.0%1.1%5.8%---1.1%
Op Mgn LTM15.2%26.6%7.4%---15.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.5%28.0%5.1%---16.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-0.1%-0.4%----0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM15.9%30.7%5.7%---15.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.5%28.7%13.5%---15.5%
FCF/Rev LTM14.2%28.5%-4.7%---14.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.9%22.8%6.8%---12.9%

Valuation

KAIGGGGHMADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameKadant Graco Graham AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
Mkt Cap3.413.80.6---3.4
P/S3.46.42.6---3.4
P/EBIT22.423.035.6---23.0
P/E34.428.344.1---34.4
P/CFO21.620.946.4---21.6
Total Yield3.4%4.8%2.3%---3.4%
Dividend Yield0.4%1.3%0.0%---0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.9%3.6%6.0%---3.9%
D/E0.10.00.0---0.0
Net D/E0.0-0.0-0.0----0.0

Returns

KAIGGGGHMADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameKadant Graco Graham AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
1M Rtn5.4%1.9%-8.0%---1.9%
3M Rtn-8.7%-1.5%20.9%----1.5%
6M Rtn-8.8%-0.9%40.1%----0.9%
12M Rtn-28.8%-7.6%27.6%----7.6%
3Y Rtn53.8%22.7%487.7%---53.8%
1M Excs Rtn5.4%1.9%-8.0%---1.9%
3M Excs Rtn-16.3%-8.7%11.2%----8.7%
6M Excs Rtn-23.5%-15.6%25.4%----15.6%
12M Excs Rtn-42.6%-21.2%14.3%----21.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-14.8%-47.2%414.9%----14.8%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Industrial Processing443419406380375
Flow Control392387382263262
Material Handling326336335274281
Corporate Expenses15791121
Total1,1761,1501,132928939


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,419,258
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.1%
Average Daily Volume105,372
Days-to-Cover Short Interest13.47
Basic Shares Quantity11,777,000
Short % of Basic Shares12.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023510202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022810202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022511202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021301202210-K 1/1/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0O'Mara Rebecca Martinez 11122025Sell266.5234291,151399,254Form