James Hardie Industries (JHX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.14 | Market Cap: $8.7 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Construction Materials
James Hardie Industries (JHX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.14Market Cap: $8.7 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Construction Materials
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.3% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Green Building Materials, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Green Building Materials, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.3% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
JHX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining James Hardie Industries (JHX) stock movement of -1.9% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. The lingering impact of disappointing Q1 FY26 results and North American inventory "destocking" continued to weigh on investor sentiment. James Hardie Industries reported a 9% drop in net sales, a 41% decline in operating income, and a 21% fall in adjusted EBITDA for Q1 FY26, which was announced on August 19, 2025, just before the specified period. The company attributed a 12% year-over-year decline in North America sales volumes to customer "destocking" of inventory, leading to a reduced outlook and a significant 34% stock crash on August 20, 2025.
2. A securities class action lawsuit was filed on December 1, 2025, raising concerns about the company's past disclosures. The lawsuit alleges that James Hardie Industries made false statements and concealed adverse facts regarding deteriorating primary consumer demand in its North America segment, claiming that overstocking, rather than genuine consumer demand, was the primary driver of growth, leading to excessive inventory among distributors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| JHX Return | 51% | 42% | -55% | 116% | -20% | -37% | 3% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 46% | -28% | 66% | 11% | 3% | 132% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| JHX Win Rate | 83% | 67% | 17% | 75% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 73% | 35% | 65% | 58% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| JHX Max Drawdown | -52% | -6% | -57% | 0% | -22% | -46% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -3% | -40% | -3% | -7% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CRH, VMC, MLM, JHX, EXP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | JHX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 435 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 136 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 318 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -76.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 326.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 312 days | 1480 days |
Compare to CRH, VMC, MLM, JHX, EXP
In The Past
James Hardie Industries's stock fell -57.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -57.9% loss requires a 137.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| With James Hardie Industries Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return | ||
| JHX Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| James Hardie Industries (JHX) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Now Is Not The Time To Buy James Hardie Industries Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| James Hardie Industries (JHX) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| James Hardie Industries (JHX) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| James Hardie Industries (JHX) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| James Hardie Industries (JHX) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | November 13th, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | November 12th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to JHX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for James Hardie Industries
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 224.01 |
| Mkt Cap | 37.1 |
| Rev LTM | 7,296 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,585 |
| FCF LTM | 1,007 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 570 |
| CFO LTM | 1,710 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,159 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 37.1 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 20.6 |
| P/E | 33.0 |
| P/CFO | 14.8 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 66.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -11.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -1.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America Fiber Cement | 2,891 | 2,788 | 2,551 | 2,040 | 1,816 |
| Asia Pacific Fiber Cement | 563 | 539 | 575 | 458 | 418 |
| Europe Building Products | 482 | 450 | 488 | 410 | 371 |
| Other Businesses | 1 | ||||
| Total | 3,936 | 3,777 | 3,615 | 2,909 | 2,607 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America Fiber Cement | 921 | 768 | 741 | 586 | 429 |
| Asia Pacific Fiber Cement | 166 | 143 | 161 | 125 | 58 |
| Europe Building Products | 45 | 26 | 63 | 38 | 11 |
| General Corporate and Unallocated R&D costs | -365 | -195 | -248 | -246 | -130 |
| Research and Development | -34 | -29 | -27 | ||
| Total | 767 | 741 | 683 | 473 | 342 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8202025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5202025 | 20-F 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 6-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5202024 | 20-F 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 6-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5162023 | 20-F 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 6-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8162022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5172022 | 20-F 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2072022 | 6-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11092021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |