Tearsheet

Jade Biosciences (JBIO)


Market Price (1/7/2026): $13.16 | Market Cap: $520.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Jade Biosciences (JBIO)


Market Price (1/7/2026): $13.16
Market Cap: $520.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -38%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
Key risks
JBIO key risks include [1] the potential clinical trial failure or regulatory delay of its lead candidate, Show more.
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -38%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
3 Key risks
JBIO key risks include [1] the potential clinical trial failure or regulatory delay of its lead candidate, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JBIO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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Here are the key points explaining the 34.4% movement in Jade Biosciences (symbol: JBIO) stock from approximately October 31, 2025, to January 7, 2026:

1. Significant Capital Infusion and Extended Cash Runway: Jade Biosciences bolstered its financial position through two substantial private placements, raising $135 million on October 7, 2025, and an additional $45 million on December 15, 2025. These capital raises contributed to a strong preliminary cash and investment balance of approximately $336 million as of December 31, 2025, which the company expects to fund its operations into the first half of 2028. This extended financial runway provided confidence in the company's ability to advance its clinical pipeline.

2. Positive Clinical Development Updates for Lead Candidate JADE101: The company reported positive momentum for its lead therapeutic candidate, JADE101, an anti-APRIL monoclonal antibody targeting IgA nephropathy. Preclinical safety data and a translational analysis of APRIL-mediated biomarker responses were presented at the American Society of Nephrology Kidney Week in October and November 2025. The ongoing Phase 1 clinical trial in healthy volunteers is progressing, with interim biomarker-rich data anticipated in the first half of 2026, which is expected to inform future Phase 2 and 3 trials.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 34.4% change in JBIO stock from 10/31/2025 to 1/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
103120251062026Change
Stock Price ($)9.8013.1734.39%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)���
Net Income Margin (%)���
P/E Multiple���
Shares Outstanding (Mil)28.4339.58-39.23%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 1/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
JBIO34.4% 
Market (SPY)1.4%20.5%
Sector (XLV)9.6%18.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 83.2% change in JBIO stock from 7/31/2025 to 1/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
73120251062026Change
Stock Price ($)7.1913.1783.17%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)���
Net Income Margin (%)���
P/E Multiple���
Shares Outstanding (Mil)32.2439.58-22.80%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 1/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
JBIO83.2% 
Market (SPY)9.8%25.1%
Sector (XLV)21.8%26.4%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 1/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
JBIO  
Market (SPY)16.0%22.1%
Sector (XLV)9.1%22.1%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 1/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
JBIO  
Market (SPY)76.5%22.1%
Sector (XLV)24.1%22.1%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
JBIO Return----52%-15%29%
Peers Return11%21%13%-8%16%-2%60%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%84%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JBIO Win Rate----67%0% 
Peers Win Rate50%55%52%52%58%0% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%100% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JBIO Max Drawdown-----33%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-12%-11%-13%-18%-13%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%0% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRTX, REGN, BMRN, AMGN, GILD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

JBIO has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-16.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven599 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-40.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,100 days1,480 days

Compare to VRTX, REGN, BMRN, AMGN, GILD

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Jade Biosciences (JBIO)

Aerovate Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of drugs that enhance the lives of patients with rare cardiopulmonary diseases in the United States. The company focuses on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension, which is in Phase 2b/Phase 3 trial. Aerovate Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.

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  • Cannabinoid-based Therapeutic Products: Development of pharmaceutical products utilizing cannabinoids derived from cannabis and hemp for various medical applications.

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I am unable to identify a public company named Jade Biosciences with the stock symbol JBIO that is currently actively trading or widely recognized. My search indicates that:

  • There is no prominent public company named "Jade Biosciences" trading under the symbol "JBIO" on major stock exchanges.
  • While a private entity named "Jade Biosciences Inc." exists (focused on cannabis testing), it is not a public company with the symbol JBIO.
  • Other historical or very illiquid tickers with "JBIO" may exist, but they do not correspond to an active, identifiable public company named "Jade Biosciences" for which customer information is readily available.

Without a verifiable public company matching the provided name and symbol, I cannot identify its major customers or customer categories.

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Tom Frohlich, Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Frohlich is a biotech and pharma industry veteran with over 20 years of experience in company building, business strategy, and product development. Before joining Jade Biosciences, he co-founded and served as Chief Operating Officer (COO) of Chinook Therapeutics, guiding the company's growth through to its $3.2 billion acquisition by Novartis in 2023. He also held leadership roles at Arbutus Biopharma, Johnson & Johnson, and Merck, managing key areas such as commercial strategy and business development.

Brad Dahms, Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Dahms brings over 15 years of financial and strategic leadership experience across the biotechnology and investment banking sectors, with a focus on corporate finance, capital markets, and business development. Prior to joining Jade Biosciences, he was Chief Financial Officer and Chief Business Officer of IDRx, where he led financial operations, investor relations, and business development, including its transition to a public-ready company and sale to GSK for up to $1.15 billion. Before that, he served as Chief Financial Officer of Theseus Pharmaceuticals, guiding the company's initial public offering and sale to Concentra Biosciences. Earlier, Mr. Dahms was Chief Financial Officer at Selecta Biosciences, where he played a central role in securing several financings and leading multiple strategic partnerships. He began his career in healthcare investment banking, holding roles at Cantor Fitzgerald, RBC Capital Markets, and J.P. Morgan.

Andrew King, BVMS, Ph.D., Chief Scientific Officer & Head of R&D

Dr. King brings more than 15 years of leadership experience across the biotech and pharmaceutical industries. He previously served as Chief Scientific Officer of Chinook Therapeutics, where he oversaw discovery research, non-clinical development, and translational medicine teams, and played a leadership role in driving clinical development strategy.

Elizabeth Balta, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary

Ms. Balta serves as the General Counsel & Corporate Secretary for Jade Biosciences.

Jonathan Quick, Senior Vice President, Finance

Mr. Quick is the Senior Vice President, Finance at Jade Biosciences and is responsible for overseeing the company's financial strategy, operations, and fiscal health. His career is marked by a deep understanding of corporate finance, financial planning and analysis, and capital allocation within growth-oriented companies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Jade Biosciences (JBIO) are primarily associated with its nature as a clinical-stage biotechnology company.

  1. Clinical Trial and Regulatory Approval Risks: As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Jade Biosciences' success is highly dependent on the successful development, regulatory approval, and eventual commercialization of its product candidates, notably JADE101. There is a significant risk that these product candidates may fail during development, not receive the necessary regulatory approvals, or face delays that render them commercially unviable.
  2. Financial Health and Profitability: Despite recent private placements that have bolstered its cash position and extended its operational runway, Jade Biosciences continues to face challenges in achieving profitability. The company has reported negative returns on equity and assets, reflecting the substantial ongoing investment required for research and development inherent in its stage of growth.
  3. Dependence on Third-Party Vendors: Jade Biosciences relies on third-party vendors for critical aspects of its business, including the development, manufacture, and supply of its product candidates. This dependence introduces operational risks related to the performance, quality control, and potential disruptions from these external partners.

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Jade Biosciences (symbol: JBIO) is developing therapies for autoimmune diseases, with its lead candidate, JADE101, targeting IgA nephropathy (IgAN). The company also has JADE201 (an anti-BAFF-R antibody) and JADE-003 (an undisclosed antibody discovery program) in preclinical development for autoimmune diseases.

Addressable Markets:

  • IgA Nephropathy (IgAN) for JADE101:

    The global addressable market for IgA nephropathy is projected to reach approximately USD 500.3 billion by 2033, growing from USD 86.9 billion in 2023, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.3%. Another projection estimates the global IgA nephropathy market to grow from USD 46.82 billion in 2025 to USD 99.66 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 7.6%. North America held a significant share of this market, with a value of US$ 39.28 billion in 2023.

  • General Autoimmune Disease Therapeutics for JADE201 and JADE-003:

    The global autoimmune disease therapeutics market was valued at USD 110.52 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 144.28 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 2.4%. Other estimates indicate the global market for autoimmune disease therapeutics is anticipated to reach USD 168.6 billion in 2025 and expand to approximately USD 226.2 billion by 2035, with a CAGR of 3.0%. Additionally, the global market is expected to grow from USD 199.40 billion in 2023 to USD 416.55 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 7.65%. North America leads this market, holding approximately 40% of the market share.

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Jade Biosciences (JBIO), a biotechnology company focused on developing therapies for autoimmune diseases, currently reports no revenue. Therefore, its future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years will be driven by the successful advancement and potential commercialization of its pipeline drug candidates.

Here are the key expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  1. Advancement and Potential Commercialization of JADE101 for IgA Nephropathy (IgAN): JADE101 is Jade Biosciences' lead candidate, an investigational anti-APRIL (A Proliferation-Inducing Ligand) monoclonal antibody being developed for the treatment of immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN), a chronic kidney disease. The company initiated a Phase 1 healthy-volunteer study in the third quarter of 2025, with interim, biomarker-rich data anticipated in the first half of 2026. This data is expected to inform dose and dose interval selection for subsequent clinical trials in IgAN patients. Jade Biosciences believes JADE101 has the potential to be a "best-in-class" therapy for IgAN. Successful progression through clinical trials, regulatory approval, and eventual market launch would be the primary driver of future revenue.
  2. Advancement of JADE201 for Multiple Systemic Autoimmune Diseases: JADE201, an anti-BAFF-R (B-cell activating factor receptor) antibody, represents another significant pipeline candidate. Currently in preclinical development, JADE201 is slated to enter clinical trials in the first half of 2026, targeting multiple systemic autoimmune diseases. The successful development and potential commercialization of JADE201 would broaden Jade Biosciences' product portfolio and address a wider range of autoimmune conditions, contributing to future revenue growth.
  3. Expansion of Pipeline with Undisclosed Antibody Discovery Programs (e.g., JADE-003): Beyond JADE101 and JADE201, Jade Biosciences has an "undisclosed antibody discovery program" known as JADE-003, and generally focuses on developing "innovative, best-in-class therapies" for unmet needs in autoimmune diseases. Continued investment in research and development to identify and advance new drug candidates, like JADE-003, offers the potential for additional future revenue streams through new product launches and market expansion in the longer term.

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Share Issuance

  • Jade Biosciences completed a private placement (PIPE) in October 2025, raising approximately $135 million in gross proceeds through the sale of common stock and pre-funded warrants.
  • Prior to its reverse merger with Aerovate Therapeutics in April 2025, Jade Biosciences closed an oversubscribed private investment round, generating total gross proceeds of approximately $300 million, including the conversion of $95 million in convertible notes.
  • Following the October 2025 PIPE financing, Jade Biosciences expects to have approximately 67.4 million shares of common stock and equivalents outstanding.

Inbound Investments

  • In October 2025, Jade Biosciences secured approximately $135 million through a PIPE financing, attracting participation from new and existing investors, including Janus Henderson Investors, Fairmount, RA Capital Management, Marshall Wace, and Avidity Partners.
  • In April 2025, Jade Biosciences completed a private investment round totaling approximately $300 million from a syndicate of healthcare investors.
  • The company completed a reverse merger with Aerovate Therapeutics, Inc. on April 28, 2025, which led to its shares trading on Nasdaq under the symbol "JBIO".

Outbound Investments

  • In October 2025, Jade Biosciences entered into a license agreement with Paragon Therapeutics for exclusive rights to develop and commercialize antibodies targeting BAFF-R, which includes potential milestone payments up to $22 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • The proceeds from the October 2025 PIPE financing (approximately $135 million) are intended to fund research and development activities, general corporate expenses, and working capital needs, extending funding operations into the first half of 2028.
  • Jade Biosciences' cash and cash equivalents of $220.9 million as of June 30, 2025, were expected to fund operating expenses and capital expenditure requirements through the end of 2027.
  • A primary focus of capital deployment for Jade Biosciences is research and development, particularly for its lead candidate JADE101 for autoimmune diseases.

Latest Trefis Analyses

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1Jade Biosciences Earnings Notes 
Title
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Peer Comparisons for Jade Biosciences

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JBIOVRTXREGNBMRNAMGNGILDMedian
NameJade Bio.Vertex P.Regenero.BioMarin.Amgen Gilead S. 
Mkt Price13.17468.38776.5460.07330.17121.36225.77
Mkt Cap0.5119.780.411.5177.6150.9100.1
Rev LTM-11,72314,2483,09435,97129,08614,248
Op Inc LTM--923,8076158,67111,1513,807
FCF LTM-3,3373,88182611,5399,1623,881
FCF 3Y Avg-2,0643,8533869,0678,8153,853
CFO LTM-3,7185,07191413,1269,6675,071
CFO 3Y Avg-2,4194,84848910,3229,3644,848

Growth & Margins

JBIOVRTXREGNBMRNAMGNGILDMedian
NameJade Bio.Vertex P.Regenero.BioMarin.Amgen Gilead S. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%2.9%12.4%10.6%2.8%10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%1.4%15.5%11.2%2.3%10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%0.9%4.1%12.4%3.0%4.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%0.2%1.0%3.0%0.8%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%26.7%19.9%24.1%38.3%24.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%30.0%13.5%25.4%39.2%26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%-0.9%-5.4%0.6%0.9%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%35.6%29.5%36.5%33.2%33.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%35.4%16.9%32.7%33.1%32.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%27.2%26.7%32.1%31.5%28.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%28.2%13.0%28.8%31.2%28.2%

Valuation

JBIOVRTXREGNBMRNAMGNGILDMedian
NameJade Bio.Vertex P.Regenero.BioMarin.Amgen Gilead S. 
Mkt Cap0.5119.780.411.5177.6150.9100.1
P/S-10.25.63.74.95.25.2
P/EBIT-26.815.516.716.013.816.0
P/E-32.617.622.225.418.622.2
P/CFO-32.215.912.613.515.615.6
Total Yield-3.1%6.0%4.5%6.8%8.0%6.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%2.8%2.6%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.9%4.6%3.3%5.7%7.3%4.6%
D/E0.00.00.00.10.30.20.0
Net D/E-0.4-0.0-0.1-0.10.30.1-0.1

Returns

JBIOVRTXREGNBMRNAMGNGILDMedian
NameJade Bio.Vertex P.Regenero.BioMarin.Amgen Gilead S. 
1M Rtn-2.4%2.8%8.1%12.5%0.1%0.8%1.8%
3M Rtn45.7%14.2%33.3%9.8%12.5%4.6%13.3%
6M Rtn25.7%0.4%42.2%3.6%12.9%10.8%11.8%
12M Rtn29.9%16.4%9.0%-10.4%31.8%36.7%23.1%
3Y Rtn29.9%61.4%5.9%-44.7%32.0%53.1%31.0%
1M Excs Rtn4.9%1.1%6.2%10.3%-4.2%-1.7%3.0%
3M Excs Rtn41.1%13.2%29.8%5.0%10.0%4.5%11.6%
6M Excs Rtn14.1%-11.1%30.6%-8.0%1.3%-0.8%0.3%
12M Excs Rtn11.5%-2.9%-9.2%-28.0%13.1%17.4%4.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-50.5%-18.4%-72.2%-121.8%-42.3%-22.2%-46.4%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,046,137
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-10.2%
Average Daily Volume319,990
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.27
Basic Shares Quantity39,584,489
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/14/202510.5%18.6%65.7%
8/13/2025-7.6%-6.5%5.0%
5/1/202524.8%-10.0%-28.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive212
# Negative121
Median Positive17.7%18.6%35.4%
Median Negative-7.6%-8.3%-28.0%
Max Positive24.8%18.6%65.7%
Max Negative-7.6%-10.0%-28.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/14/202510-Q (09/30/2025)
06/30/202508/13/202510-Q (06/30/2025)
09/30/202412/03/2024S-4 (09/30/2024)