Invivyd (IVVD)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $0.9451 | Market Cap: $292.7 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Invivyd (IVVD)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $0.9451Market Cap: $292.7 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -59% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -97% Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.64 | Penny stockMkt Price is 1.0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -82 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -146% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -141%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -142% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 141% Key risksIVVD key risks include [1] significant financial instability and high cash burn, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -59% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -97% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.64 |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 1.0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -82 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -146% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -141%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -142% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 141% |
| Key risksIVVD key risks include [1] significant financial instability and high cash burn, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Invivyd (IVVD) stock has lost about 45% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Worsening Financial Performance and Increased Cash Burn. Invivyd reported a net loss of $41.4 million in fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), a significant increase from a $16.3 million net loss in fiscal Q1 2025. This amplified loss contributed to a substantial cash burn, further evidenced by the company's operating cash flow remaining close to its net loss. Additionally, diluted earnings per share (EPS) for fiscal Q1 2026 came in at -$0.13, missing analysts' expectations of -$0.08 by 62.50%.
2. Increased Operating Expenses with Delayed Returns. Research and Development (R&D) expenses surged to $30.7 million in fiscal Q1 2026, up from $10.6 million in the comparable prior-year period. This increase was primarily driven by costs associated with the VYD2311 DECLARATION pivotal program. While enrollment for the DECLARATION trial was completed in March 2026, top-line data is not anticipated until fiscal Q3 2026, meaning significant expenditure occurred without immediate new revenue generation from this pipeline candidate. Selling, General & Administrative (SG&A) expenses also rose to $25.1 million in fiscal Q1 2026 from $16.8 million in Q1 2025, contributing to the overall rise in operating costs.
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Invivyd (IVVD) stock has lost about 45% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Worsening Financial Performance and Increased Cash Burn. Invivyd reported a net loss of $41.4 million in fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), a significant increase from a $16.3 million net loss in fiscal Q1 2025. This amplified loss contributed to a substantial cash burn, further evidenced by the company's operating cash flow remaining close to its net loss. Additionally, diluted earnings per share (EPS) for fiscal Q1 2026 came in at -$0.13, missing analysts' expectations of -$0.08 by 62.50%.
2. Increased Operating Expenses with Delayed Returns. Research and Development (R&D) expenses surged to $30.7 million in fiscal Q1 2026, up from $10.6 million in the comparable prior-year period. This increase was primarily driven by costs associated with the VYD2311 DECLARATION pivotal program. While enrollment for the DECLARATION trial was completed in March 2026, top-line data is not anticipated until fiscal Q3 2026, meaning significant expenditure occurred without immediate new revenue generation from this pipeline candidate. Selling, General & Administrative (SG&A) expenses also rose to $25.1 million in fiscal Q1 2026 from $16.8 million in Q1 2025, contributing to the overall rise in operating costs.
3. Equity Dilution to Bolster Liquidity. In April 2026, Invivyd raised approximately $20 million in gross proceeds through an at-the-market (ATM) offering facility. This equity financing, while providing additional liquidity, resulted in an increase in shares outstanding. The company reported 295 million shares outstanding in fiscal Q1 2026, marking a 4.5% increase from the prior quarter, which can dilute the value of existing shares.
4. Heightened Regulatory Scrutiny for VYD2311 LIBERTY Trial. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) provided advice for the LIBERTY Phase 3 clinical trial for VYD2311, which includes a head-to-head comparison against an mRNA COVID-19 vaccine. The FDA specifically requested monitoring for adverse events of special interest, such as myocarditis/pericarditis, known risks associated with mRNA COVID vaccines. This targeted monitoring, not requested for other Invivyd trials without an mRNA vaccine arm, suggests heightened regulatory caution and may be perceived by investors as adding risk or complexity to the VYD2311 development pathway.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -42.6% change in IVVD stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.69 | 0.97 | -42.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 50 | 56 | 11.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.7 | 5.4 | -6.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 170 | 310 | -45.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -42.6% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IVVD | -42.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 35.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | -6.4% | 7.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -60.1% change in IVVD stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.43 | 0.97 | -60.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 50 | 56 | 11.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.3 | 5.4 | -34.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 170 | 310 | -45.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -60.1% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IVVD | -60.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 26.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | -4.4% | 2.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 3.7% change in IVVD stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 76.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.94 | 0.97 | 3.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 37 | 56 | 52.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.1 | 5.4 | 76.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 120 | 310 | -61.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 3.7% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IVVD | 3.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 18.4% |
| Sector (XLV) | 14.6% | 5.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -46.1% change in IVVD stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.80 | 0.97 | -46.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 56 | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | 5.4 | |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 109 | 310 | -64.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IVVD | -46.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 10.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 22.9% | 10.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IVVD Return | -65% | -79% | 163% | -89% | 457% | -62% | -96% |
| Peers Return | 44% | 10% | -4% | -4% | 8% | 11% | 76% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IVVD Win Rate | 60% | 42% | 42% | 33% | 67% | 17% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 55% | 45% | 42% | 50% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IVVD Max Drawdown | - | -86% | -58% | -91% | -78% | -70% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -27% | -33% | -32% | -36% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: REGN, VIR, LLY, PFE, MRK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | IVVD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -66.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 197.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 149 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -18.5% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.6% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 18 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -44.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 31 days |
In The Past
Invivyd's stock fell -66.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 197.1% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | IVVD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -66.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 197.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 149 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -44.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 31 days |
In The Past
Invivyd's stock fell -66.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 197.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Invivyd (IVVD)
Invivyd (formerly Adagio Therapeutics, Inc.) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company dedicated to the discovery, development, and commercialization of antibody-based solutions for infectious diseases. Based in Waltham, Massachusetts, the company focuses on creating novel treatments to address significant public health challenges.
The company's lead product candidate is ADG20, also known as adintrevimab. This is a neutralizing antibody currently undergoing Phase 3 clinical trials for both the treatment and prevention of coronavirus disease. Invivyd's primary market will be patients needing effective antibody-based interventions for infectious diseases, with an immediate focus on combating coronavirus, and future potential to expand to other viral threats through strategic research collaborations.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Invivyd (IVVD):
- Like a clinical-stage Regeneron, but specializing in antibody treatments for infectious diseases.
- Think of it as a biotech startup focused on creating antibody drugs for infectious diseases, similar to how Moderna developed mRNA vaccines for them.
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- ADG20 (adintrevimab): A neutralizing antibody currently in Phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment and prevention of coronavirus disease.
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Invivyd (IVVD) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of antibody-based solutions for infectious diseases. Its lead product candidate, ADG20 (adintrevimab), is currently in Phase 3 clinical trials. As such, the company is primarily engaged in research and development and has not yet commercialized its product for widespread sale.
Therefore, Invivyd does not currently have major commercial customers for its products.
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- Adimab, LLC
- The Scripps Research Institute
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William Duke Jr., Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, Principal Accounting Officer and Principal Executive Officer
Mr. Duke has over 25 years of finance, accounting, and operations experience, including more than a decade of senior leadership experience in the biotechnology industry. Before joining Invivyd, he served as the Chief Financial Officer of Apexigen, Inc. and Kaleido Biosciences, Inc., where he was responsible for leading multiple financings. Earlier in his career, he held the position of Chief Financial Officer at Pulmatrix, Inc., where he played a key role in negotiating the company's initial product partnership and oversaw several public offerings. He also held senior financial leadership roles at Valeritas, Inc. Mr. Duke is a certified public accountant and holds a B.S. in Business Administration and an M.B.A.
Robert Allen, Ph.D., Chief Scientific Officer
Dr. Allen is part of Invivyd's leadership team, which is composed of seasoned executives with decades of combined experience developing and commercializing novel medicines for infectious diseases. This team includes individuals with extensive experience in delivering vaccines globally and pioneering the development of monoclonal antibodies for the prevention and treatment of COVID-19.
Jill Andersen, J.D., Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary
Ms. Andersen is a member of Invivyd's leadership team, which consists of seasoned executives with decades of combined experience in developing and commercializing novel medicines for infectious diseases. This team has extensive experience in delivering vaccines worldwide and has been instrumental in the development of monoclonal antibodies for COVID-19.
Timothy Lee, Chief Commercial Officer
Mr. Lee is a member of Invivyd's leadership team, comprising seasoned executives with decades of combined experience in developing and commercializing novel medicines for infectious diseases. The leadership team possesses extensive experience in delivering vaccines globally and has pioneered the development of monoclonal antibodies for COVID-19 prevention and treatment.
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The key risks to Invivyd (IVVD) are:
-
Clinical Trial Failure and Regulatory Approval Risk: Invivyd's lead product candidate, ADG20 (adintrevimab), is currently in Phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment and prevention of coronavirus disease. There is a significant risk that ADG20 may not demonstrate sufficient efficacy or safety in these trials, or may fail to receive the necessary regulatory approvals from health authorities. Failure to successfully complete clinical trials and obtain regulatory approval would prevent the company from commercializing its primary product candidate, severely impacting its business prospects and financial viability.
-
Reliance on a Single Lead Product Candidate: The company's description highlights ADG20 as its lead product candidate. Invivyd's success is heavily dependent on the successful development, approval, and commercialization of ADG20. If ADG20 fails in clinical trials, faces significant delays, or does not achieve market acceptance, the company currently does not appear to have other late-stage product candidates to mitigate the impact, creating a high degree of product concentration risk.
-
Market Competition and Evolving Landscape for Infectious Diseases: ADG20 targets coronavirus disease, a highly competitive and rapidly evolving therapeutic area. The market already includes multiple approved vaccines and treatments, and new therapies are continuously being developed. Even if approved, ADG20 will need to compete effectively in a crowded market, and its efficacy against new or emerging variants of the coronavirus will be critical. Changes in the epidemiology of coronavirus or the public health response could also diminish the market opportunity for ADG20.
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- The widespread adoption of orally administered antiviral medications for COVID-19 treatment, such as Paxlovid, which offer a more convenient alternative to antibody-based therapies.
- The continuous emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants capable of evading neutralization by existing antibodies, posing an ongoing threat to the efficacy and market viability of specific neutralizing antibody treatments like ADG20.
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Invivyd (symbol: IVVD) has several main products and candidates in its pipeline:
- For its monoclonal antibody candidate VBY329, designed for the prevention of Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) infections in newborns, infants, and children, the addressable market is expected to grow to $3-$4 billion in annual revenues globally by 2030.
- For its measles-focused candidates, the global measles vaccine market size is projected to reach $2.95 billion by 2030.
The addressable markets for Invivyd's COVID-19 products, PEMGARDA (pemivibart) and VYD2311, could not be definitively sized based on available information.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Invivyd (IVVD) over the next 2-3 years:
- Continued Commercial Growth of PEMGARDA: Invivyd's currently marketed product, PEMGARDA (pemivibart), is expected to continue driving revenue growth through increased market awareness, adoption, and expanded commercial reach. The company reported significant year-over-year and sequential revenue increases for PEMGARDA in 2025, supported by an expanded Group Purchasing Organization (GPO) network and a high reorder rate among accounts.
- Potential Launch and Commercialization of VYD2311: VYD2311, Invivyd's next-generation monoclonal antibody candidate for COVID-19 prevention, is a key anticipated growth driver. The DECLARATION pivotal Phase 3 trial has reached its target enrollment, with top-line data expected by mid-2026. If approved, VYD2311, positioned as a potent, longer-half-life intramuscular alternative to vaccination, is projected to significantly expand the market for COVID-19 prevention beyond the current patient population served by PEMGARDA.
- Pipeline Expansion into New Infectious Diseases: Invivyd is diversifying its pipeline beyond SARS-CoV-2. The company has identified VBY329 as a potential best-in-class Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) antibody candidate, with advancement toward IND-readiness targeted for the second half of 2026 for development in pediatric RSV prophylaxis, a market expected to grow substantially. Additionally, Invivyd anticipates providing an update on a preclinical measles monoclonal antibody candidate in the first half of 2026, which could open new significant revenue streams.
- Expansion into Long COVID and COVID Vaccine Injury: Invivyd plans to initiate a Phase 2 clinical trial by mid-2026 to evaluate VYD2311 in individuals with Long COVID or COVID vaccine injury. This initiative represents an expansion into new indications for VYD2311, targeting additional unmet medical needs and potentially broadening its market applicability.
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Share Issuance
- Invivyd (then Adagio Therapeutics, Inc.) completed an Initial Public Offering (IPO) in August 2021, generating approximately $355.8 million in gross proceeds from the sale of 20,930,000 shares of common stock at $17.00 per share.
- In July 2021, the company adopted a 2021 Equity Incentive Plan, initially reserving 35,075,122 shares for issuance, with provisions for automatic annual increases.
- Invivyd successfully raised more than $200 million in capital during the latter half of 2025.
Inbound Investments
- Adagio Therapeutics, Inc. launched with a $50 million Series A financing in July 2020, led by Polaris Partners and Mithril Capital, with participation from Fidelity funds, OrbiMed, M28 Capital, and GV.
- The company received approximately $355.8 million in gross proceeds from its IPO in August 2021.
- Invivyd secured over $200 million in capital in the second half of 2025, which is intended to support strategic initiatives including the DECLARATION clinical trial, the potential launch of VYD2311, and ongoing research and development.
Capital Expenditures
- Invivyd reported $0 in capital expenditures for Q4 2025.
- The company's free cash flow has been negative, with figures of approximately $-0.171 billion in 2024, $-0.174 billion in 2023, and $-0.222 billion in 2022, indicating ongoing investments (including capital expenditures) that exceed operating cash flow.
- Capital is expected to be utilized for general corporate purposes, to ensure sufficient working capital for operations, and to support strategic initiatives such as the DECLARATION clinical trial, preparations for the possible launch of VYD2311, and ongoing research and development activities related to pipeline programs targeting diseases like RSV and measles.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Invivyd Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Invivyd Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 69.54 |
| Mkt Cap | 103.5 |
| Rev LTM | 39,117 |
| Op Inc LTM | 8,406 |
| FCF LTM | 6,637 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,647 |
| CFO LTM | 8,498 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7,863 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 26.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 12.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 41.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 19.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -5.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $0.97 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/06/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -66.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.30 | $1.70 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -25.2% | -43.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 113.9% | 141.7% |
| Downside Capture | 532.38 | 221.71 |
| Upside Capture | 168.85 | 192.19 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 35.0% | 17.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.52 | 2.17 | 2.73 | 2.00 | 2.07 | 1.30 |
| Up Beta | -1.17 | 0.51 | 1.78 | 1.91 | 1.16 | 1.77 |
| Down Beta | -2.95 | -0.90 | 0.94 | 2.01 | 2.42 | 1.31 |
| Up Capture | -66% | 130% | 225% | 69% | 313% | 65% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 17 | 26 | 52 | 110 | 319 |
| Down Capture | 505% | 702% | 385% | 239% | 173% | 107% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 20 | 33 | 66 | 128 | 398 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with IVVD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IVVD | 37.3% | 141.4% | 0.80 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 14.0% | 15.0% | 0.66 | 4.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 17.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 13.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -5.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 0.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.5% | -1.08 | 9.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with IVVD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IVVD | -46.1% | 178.8% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 5.4% | 14.7% | 0.19 | 12.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 13.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 5.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | -2.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 8.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 8.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with IVVD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IVVD | -26.6% | 178.8% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.4% | 16.6% | 0.46 | 12.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 13.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 5.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | -2.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 8.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 8.8% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/17/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/14/2026 | -21.1% | -25.9% | -47.6% |
| 3/5/2026 | 1.8% | 11.1% | -25.1% |
| 1/8/2026 | 4.6% | 8.3% | -33.7% |
| 11/6/2025 | 1.3% | 16.4% | 56.6% |
| 8/14/2025 | -11.5% | -34.0% | 60.1% |
| 5/15/2025 | -15.8% | -8.5% | -5.3% |
| 3/20/2025 | 2.6% | -14.5% | -29.2% |
| 11/14/2024 | -11.2% | -13.7% | -38.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 9 | 6 |
| # Negative | 7 | 10 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 2.0% | 8.3% | 19.8% |
| Median Negative | -11.2% | -14.1% | -29.2% |
| Max Positive | 6.3% | 16.4% | 60.1% |
| Max Negative | -21.1% | -34.0% | -62.1% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/14/2026 | -21.1% | -25.9% | -47.6% |
| 3/5/2026 | 1.8% | 11.1% | -25.1% |
| 1/8/2026 | 4.6% | 8.3% | -33.7% |
| 11/6/2025 | 1.3% | 16.4% | 56.6% |
| 8/14/2025 | -11.5% | -34.0% | 60.1% |
| 5/15/2025 | -15.8% | -8.5% | -5.3% |
| 3/20/2025 | 2.6% | -14.5% | -29.2% |
| 11/14/2024 | -11.2% | -13.7% | -38.5% |
| 8/14/2024 | -7.5% | -18.6% | 8.5% |
| 5/9/2024 | -6.6% | 1.2% | -30.6% |
| 11/9/2023 | 0.0% | 7.1% | 18.6% |
| 8/10/2023 | 3.2% | 10.3% | 18.1% |
| 5/11/2023 | 0.7% | -12.6% | -9.1% |
| 3/23/2023 | -8.4% | -17.1% | -24.5% |
| 11/10/2022 | 1.1% | -6.2% | -51.4% |
| 8/15/2022 | 0.0% | 5.3% | 21.1% |
| 5/13/2022 | 2.3% | 11.7% | -0.2% |
| 11/15/2021 | 6.3% | 4.9% | -62.1% |
| 9/20/2021 | 3.5% | -2.4% | -19.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 9 | 6 |
| # Negative | 7 | 10 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 2.0% | 8.3% | 19.8% |
| Median Negative | -11.2% | -14.1% | -29.2% |
| Max Positive | 6.3% | 16.4% | 60.1% |
| Max Negative | -21.1% | -34.0% | -62.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/14/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/05/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/14/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/05/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/13/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/31/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/15/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 09/20/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 08/06/2021 | 424B4 |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/14/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2026 DECLARATION pivotal program top-line data | |||||||
| 2026 Phase 2 clinical trial initiation (Long COVID/vaccine injury) | |||||||
| 2026 VBY329 IND readiness | |||||||
| 2026 VMS063 IND readiness | |||||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2030 RSV Market Revenue | 3.00 Bil | 3.50 Bil | 4.00 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 3.50 Bil for 2030 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 5/21/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Allen, Robert D Iii | Chief Scientific Officer | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 1.58 | 19,392 | 30,597 | 180,638 | Form |
| 2 | Green, Julie | Chief Human Resources Officer | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 1.58 | 20,964 | 33,077 | 169,956 | Form |
| 3 | Duke, William E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 1.58 | 20,964 | 33,077 | 169,956 | Form |
| 4 | Lee, Timothy Edward | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 1.58 | 20,964 | 33,077 | 185,734 | Form |
| 5 | Andersen, Jill | Chief Legal Officer, Secretary | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 1.58 | 34,939 | 55,127 | 286,743 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Allen, Robert D Iii | Chief Scientific Officer | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 1.58 | 19,392 | 30,597 | 180,638 | Form |
| 2 | Green, Julie | Chief Human Resources Officer | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 1.58 | 20,964 | 33,077 | 169,956 | Form |
| 3 | Duke, William E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 1.58 | 20,964 | 33,077 | 169,956 | Form |
| 4 | Lee, Timothy Edward | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 1.58 | 20,964 | 33,077 | 185,734 | Form |
| 5 | Andersen, Jill | Chief Legal Officer, Secretary | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 1.58 | 34,939 | 55,127 | 286,743 | Form |
| 6 | Allen, Robert D Iii | Chief Scientific Officer | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 1.54 | 18,189 | 28,004 | 206,120 | Form |
| 7 | Green, Julie | Chief Human Resources Officer | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 1.54 | 19,663 | 30,273 | 198,117 | Form |
| 8 | Duke, William E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 1.54 | 19,663 | 30,273 | 198,117 | Form |
| 9 | Lee, Timothy Edward | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 1.54 | 19,663 | 30,273 | 213,513 | Form |
| 10 | Andersen, Jill | Chief Legal Officer, Secretary | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 1.54 | 32,771 | 50,454 | 333,593 | Form |
| 11 | McLaughlin, Kevin F | Direct | Buy | 11202025 | 2.50 | 50,000 | 125,000 | 125,000 | Form | |
| 12 | Lee, Timothy Edward | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 0.57 | 29,643 | 16,796 | 33,624 | Form |
| 13 | Duke, William E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 0.57 | 29,643 | 16,796 | 27,958 | Form |
| 14 | Green, Julie | Chief Human Resources Officer | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 0.57 | 29,643 | 16,796 | 27,958 | Form |
| 15 | Andersen, Jill | Chief Legal Officer, Secretary | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 0.57 | 49,402 | 27,991 | 47,847 | Form |
| 16 | Allen, Robert D Iii | Chief Scientific Officer | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 0.57 | 27,420 | 15,536 | 30,068 | Form |
| 17 | Lee, Timothy Edward | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 0.65 | 20,013 | 13,012 | 57,859 | Form |
| 18 | Duke, William E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 0.65 | 20,013 | 13,012 | 51,357 | Form |
| 19 | Green, Julie | Chief Human Resources Officer | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 0.65 | 20,013 | 13,012 | 51,357 | Form |
| 20 | Andersen, Jill | Chief Legal Officer, Secretary | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 0.65 | 33,352 | 21,685 | 87,028 | Form |
| 21 | Allen, Robert D Iii | Chief Scientific Officer | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 0.65 | 18,512 | 12,037 | 52,333 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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