Vir Biotechnology (VIR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.14 | Market Cap: $853.0 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Vir Biotechnology (VIR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.14Market Cap: $853.0 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -51% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -144% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -553 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3937% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -77%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -52%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -122% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3231%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3277% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -67% | ||
| Key risksVIR key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the clinical and regulatory success of its key Hepatitis Delta virus (HDV) and oncology programs, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -51% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -144% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -553 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3937% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -77%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -52%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -122% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3231%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3277% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -67% |
| Key risksVIR key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the clinical and regulatory success of its key Hepatitis Delta virus (HDV) and oncology programs, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
VIR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate 24.3% stock movement for Vir Biotechnology (VIR) between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025:
1. Licensing Agreement with Norgine for Chronic Hepatitis Delta Treatment.
On December 16, 2025, Vir Biotechnology granted Norgine Pharma UK Limited an exclusive license for the commercial rights to its combination treatment of tobevibart and elebsiran for chronic hepatitis delta (CHD) in Europe, Australia, and New Zealand. This agreement includes an initial reimbursement payment of EUR 55 million (approximately $64.6 million), up to EUR 495 million (approximately $581.6 million) in potential clinical, regulatory, and sales milestones, and tiered royalties on net sales. Norgine will also contribute 25% to the ongoing clinical development costs for the ECLIPSE registrational program, significantly extending Vir's cash runway into the fourth quarter of 2027.
2. Positive Phase 2 SOLSTICE Trial Results for Chronic Hepatitis Delta.
On November 9, 2025, Vir Biotechnology announced positive Week 48 endpoint analysis from its Phase 2 SOLSTICE trial for chronic hepatitis delta. The data showed that participants receiving a monthly dose of the tobevibart and elebsiran combination achieved robust and sustained rates of undetectable hepatitis delta virus (HDV) RNA, including those with cirrhosis and high baseline HDV RNA. Specifically, 66% of treated participants achieved and maintained HDV RNA "target not detected" at 48 weeks, and the treatment was well-tolerated.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VIR Return | 113% | 56% | -40% | -60% | -27% | -12% | -48% |
| Peers Return | 93% | 47% | 14% | -6% | -8% | 21% | 237% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VIR Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 33% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 55% | 50% | 47% | 48% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VIR Max Drawdown | -4% | -2% | -56% | -69% | -33% | -42% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -4% | -24% | -26% | -27% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GILD, REGN, AMGN, MRNA, ALNY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VIR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -90.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 970.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -57.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 136.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 148 days |
Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, CRMO
In The Past
Vir Biotechnology's stock fell -90.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -90.7% loss requires a 970.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to VIR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Vir Biotechnology
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 223.69 |
| Mkt Cap | 64.6 |
| Rev LTM | 8,729 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,036 |
| FCF LTM | 2,051 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,955 |
| CFO LTM | 2,668 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,478 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 64.6 |
| P/S | 4.7 |
| P/EBIT | 11.9 |
| P/E | 14.9 |
| P/CFO | 11.5 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 14.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 19.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 17.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -52.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business of powering the immune system to transform lives by discovering and developing medicines | 86 | ||||
| Collaboration revenue | 1,505 | 917 | 0 | ||
| Contract revenue | 53 | 170 | 44 | 1 | |
| Grant revenue | 35 | 8 | 9 | 7 | |
| License revenue from a related party | 22 | 0 | 23 | 0 | |
| Total | 86 | 1,616 | 1,095 | 76 | 8 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -5.2% | 5.7% | 21.9% |
| 8/6/2025 | -14.4% | -10.0% | 3.7% |
| 5/7/2025 | -3.6% | -19.8% | -2.9% |
| 2/26/2025 | -11.8% | -10.7% | -27.5% |
| 10/31/2024 | 23.6% | 30.4% | 8.8% |
| 8/1/2024 | -5.3% | -11.4% | -15.1% |
| 5/2/2024 | 13.2% | 4.1% | 15.8% |
| 2/22/2024 | 11.9% | 9.1% | -2.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| # Negative | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 6.9% | 7.4% | 15.8% |
| Median Negative | -5.3% | -10.0% | -19.6% |
| Max Positive | 23.6% | 30.4% | 29.8% |
| Max Negative | -44.9% | -39.0% | -46.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |