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Vir Biotechnology (VIR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.14 | Market Cap: $853.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Vir Biotechnology (VIR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.14
Market Cap: $853.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -51%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -144%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -553 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3937%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -77%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -52%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -122%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3231%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3277%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -67%
4   Key risks
VIR key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the clinical and regulatory success of its key Hepatitis Delta virus (HDV) and oncology programs, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -51%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -144%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -553 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3937%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -77%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -52%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -122%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3231%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3277%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -67%
7 Key risks
VIR key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the clinical and regulatory success of its key Hepatitis Delta virus (HDV) and oncology programs, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VIR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 24.3% stock movement for Vir Biotechnology (VIR) between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025: 1. Licensing Agreement with Norgine for Chronic Hepatitis Delta Treatment.

On December 16, 2025, Vir Biotechnology granted Norgine Pharma UK Limited an exclusive license for the commercial rights to its combination treatment of tobevibart and elebsiran for chronic hepatitis delta (CHD) in Europe, Australia, and New Zealand. This agreement includes an initial reimbursement payment of EUR 55 million (approximately $64.6 million), up to EUR 495 million (approximately $581.6 million) in potential clinical, regulatory, and sales milestones, and tiered royalties on net sales. Norgine will also contribute 25% to the ongoing clinical development costs for the ECLIPSE registrational program, significantly extending Vir's cash runway into the fourth quarter of 2027. 2. Positive Phase 2 SOLSTICE Trial Results for Chronic Hepatitis Delta.

On November 9, 2025, Vir Biotechnology announced positive Week 48 endpoint analysis from its Phase 2 SOLSTICE trial for chronic hepatitis delta. The data showed that participants receiving a monthly dose of the tobevibart and elebsiran combination achieved robust and sustained rates of undetectable hepatitis delta virus (HDV) RNA, including those with cirrhosis and high baseline HDV RNA. Specifically, 66% of treated participants achieved and maintained HDV RNA "target not detected" at 48 weeks, and the treatment was well-tolerated.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VIR Return113%56%-40%-60%-27%-12%-48%
Peers Return93%47%14%-6%-8%21%237%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VIR Win Rate50%33%42%50%33%58% 
Peers Win Rate57%55%50%47%48%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VIR Max Drawdown-4%-2%-56%-69%-33%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-14%-4%-24%-26%-27%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GILD, REGN, AMGN, MRNA, ALNY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVIRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-90.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven970.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven136.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven78 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, CRMO


In The Past

Vir Biotechnology's stock fell -90.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -90.7% loss requires a 970.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Vir Biotechnology (VIR)

Better Bets than Vir Biotechnology (VIR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VIR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Vir Biotechnology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VIRGILDREGNAMGNMRNAALNYMedian
NameVir Biot.Gilead S.Regenero.Amgen Moderna Alnylam . 
Mkt Price6.14121.36749.79326.0130.51392.10223.69
Mkt Cap0.9150.977.7175.411.951.564.6
Rev LTM1429,08614,24835,9712,2023,2108,729
Op Inc LTM-55311,1513,8078,671-3,4632652,036
FCF LTM-4609,1623,88111,539-2,6632212,051
FCF 3Y Avg-5348,8153,8539,067-3,092571,955
CFO LTM-4549,6675,07113,126-1,9782662,668
CFO 3Y Avg-5199,3644,84810,322-2,4211082,478

Growth & Margins

VIRGILDREGNAMGNMRNAALNYMedian
NameVir Biot.Gilead S.Regenero.Amgen Moderna Alnylam . 
Rev Chg LTM-77.4%2.8%2.9%10.6%-56.4%53.2%2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-51.7%2.3%1.4%11.2%-52.3%51.4%1.9%
Rev Chg Q-122.5%3.0%0.9%12.4%-46.0%149.3%1.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.5%0.8%0.2%3.0%-27.9%30.4%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM-3,937.0%38.3%26.7%24.1%-157.3%8.2%16.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2,059.2%39.2%30.0%25.4%-79.9%-7.1%9.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM216.9%0.9%-0.9%0.6%-50.1%15.6%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-3,230.8%33.2%35.6%36.5%-89.8%8.3%20.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1,737.7%33.1%35.4%32.7%-58.7%3.7%18.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-3,277.0%31.5%27.2%32.1%-120.9%6.9%17.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1,777.8%31.2%28.2%28.8%-76.1%1.3%14.7%

Valuation

VIRGILDREGNAMGNMRNAALNYMedian
NameVir Biot.Gilead S.Regenero.Amgen Moderna Alnylam . 
Mkt Cap0.9150.977.7175.411.951.564.6
P/S56.54.74.14.24.618.74.7
P/EBIT-1.412.711.213.7-3.2460.011.9
P/E-1.617.012.721.7-3.21,375.914.9
P/CFO-1.714.311.511.6-5.1225.511.5
Total Yield-63.0%8.8%8.3%7.9%-30.9%0.1%4.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.9%0.5%3.3%0.0%0.0%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-52.5%8.0%4.9%5.9%-16.2%0.0%2.4%
D/E0.10.20.00.40.10.00.1
Net D/E-0.50.1-0.10.3-0.4-0.0-0.1

Returns

VIRGILDREGNAMGNMRNAALNYMedian
NameVir Biot.Gilead S.Regenero.Amgen Moderna Alnylam . 
1M Rtn11.8%-1.6%6.5%-4.6%23.2%-14.9%2.5%
3M Rtn27.9%8.8%28.2%19.5%22.0%-13.2%20.8%
6M Rtn17.9%13.9%46.4%14.3%20.1%25.5%19.0%
12M Rtn-16.5%34.4%1.9%26.6%-25.1%59.0%14.2%
3Y Rtn-77.0%55.4%4.3%34.2%-84.2%65.5%19.2%
1M Excs Rtn11.1%-2.3%5.7%-5.3%22.5%-15.6%1.7%
3M Excs Rtn17.2%6.2%24.0%17.7%18.5%-14.6%17.4%
6M Excs Rtn5.5%1.5%34.0%1.9%7.7%13.2%6.6%
12M Excs Rtn-28.7%24.7%-8.0%13.3%-38.1%48.7%2.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-144.4%-14.8%-66.9%-38.8%-150.0%-2.2%-52.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business of powering the immune system to transform lives by discovering and developing medicines86    
Collaboration revenue 1,5059170 
Contract revenue 53170441
Grant revenue 35897
License revenue from a related party 220230
Total861,6161,095768


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,110,359
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.1%
Average Daily Volume1,596,727
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.96
Basic Shares Quantity138,930,173
Short % of Basic Shares8.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-5.2%5.7%21.9%
8/6/2025-14.4%-10.0%3.7%
5/7/2025-3.6%-19.8%-2.9%
2/26/2025-11.8%-10.7%-27.5%
10/31/202423.6%30.4%8.8%
8/1/2024-5.3%-11.4%-15.1%
5/2/202413.2%4.1%15.8%
2/22/202411.9%9.1%-2.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12813
# Negative121611
Median Positive6.9%7.4%15.8%
Median Negative-5.3%-10.0%-19.6%
Max Positive23.6%30.4%29.8%
Max Negative-44.9%-39.0%-46.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021