Tearsheet

Heritage Distilling (IPST)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $6.07 | Market Cap: $3.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Distillers & Vintners

Heritage Distilling (IPST)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $6.07
Market Cap: $3.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Distillers & Vintners

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -220%
1   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 3699%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -129%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -130%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 294%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4097%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 1588%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -220%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 3699%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -129%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -130%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 294%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4097%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 1588%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IPST Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Concerns about the quality of earnings. Heritage Distilling reported a substantial net income of $196.26 million in Q3 2025, but the company has been noted for a "high level of non-cash earnings" which can lead to investor skepticism regarding the sustainability and genuine profitability of the company, contributing to a stock decline.

2. Significant shareholder dilution. The company experienced "substantial dilution" for shareholders in the past year. This dilution can decrease the value of existing shares by increasing the total number of shares outstanding, thus exerting downward pressure on the stock price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IPST Return------82%-82%
Peers Return5%26%-4%-5%-27%-22%-32%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IPST Win Rate----0%40% 
Peers Win Rate43%43%47%38%25%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IPST Max Drawdown------99% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-4%-14%-13%-28%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: STZ, WVVI, AGCC, BF-B, MGPI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

IPST has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Staples sector ETF (XLP) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-17.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven21.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven682 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-24.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven154 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven404 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-33.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven605 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -17.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -17.5% loss requires a 21.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Heritage Distilling (IPST)

Better Bets than Heritage Distilling (IPST)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to IPST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Heritage Distilling

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IPSTSTZWVVIAGCCBF-BMGPIMedian
NameHeritage.Constell.Willamet.Agencia .Brown-Fo.MGP Ingr. 
Mkt Price6.06138.082.897.1830.0923.8515.52
Mkt Cap0.024.30.0-14.20.50.5
Rev LTM79,62438-3,948579579
Op Inc LTM-163,0420-1,156110110
FCF LTM-91,848-2-5846262
FCF 3Y Avg-91,677-6-4323737
CFO LTM-92,769-1-741121121
CFO 3Y Avg-92,841-2-6249898

Growth & Margins

IPSTSTZWVVIAGCCBF-BMGPIMedian
NameHeritage.Constell.Willamet.Agencia .Brown-Fo.MGP Ingr. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.1%-5.6%-2.2%--3.5%-21.5%-5.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.7%6.6%--0.6%-7.9%0.1%
Rev Chg Q-28.3%-15.0%-1.3%--2.8%-18.9%-15.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-6.7%-4.4%-0.4%--0.7%-5.0%-4.4%
Op Mgn LTM-219.6%31.6%0.4%-29.3%18.9%18.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-149.4%31.7%-1.7%-27.4%20.4%20.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-60.9%-0.1%-0.4%--0.0%-1.5%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-129.0%28.8%-2.7%-18.8%20.9%18.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-118.3%28.8%-6.0%-15.3%14.6%14.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-130.4%19.2%-5.6%-14.8%10.7%10.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-119.9%17.0%-16.7%-10.6%5.8%5.8%

Valuation

IPSTSTZWVVIAGCCBF-BMGPIMedian
NameHeritage.Constell.Willamet.Agencia .Brown-Fo.MGP Ingr. 
Mkt Cap0.024.30.0-14.20.50.5
P/S0.12.50.7-3.20.90.9
P/EBIT-0.011.288.9-10.944.411.2
P/E-0.019.4-64.3-15.1-34.2-0.0
P/CFO-0.08.6-26.2-17.24.34.3
Total Yield-4,092.7%6.7%-1.6%-10.0%-2.4%-1.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.5%0.0%-3.3%0.5%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.9%-27.0%-2.5%4.9%3.7%
D/E37.40.41.1-0.20.50.5
Net D/E37.00.41.1-0.20.50.5

Returns

IPSTSTZWVVIAGCCBF-BMGPIMedian
NameHeritage.Constell.Willamet.Agencia .Brown-Fo.MGP Ingr. 
1M Rtn1,076.7%5.5%-6.5%12.0%9.3%-0.7%7.4%
3M Rtn-26.1%-5.0%-33.9%-6.7%-17.9%-17.9%
6M Rtn-52.7%-20.9%-51.0%--7.9%-19.4%-20.9%
12M Rtn-90.3%-40.3%-12.6%--25.3%-46.5%-40.3%
3Y Rtn--44.1%-52.5%--57.4%-80.1%-54.9%
1M Excs Rtn1,076.7%5.6%-6.4%12.0%9.3%-0.7%7.5%
3M Excs Rtn-31.2%-10.0%-39.9%-1.4%-21.8%-21.8%
6M Excs Rtn-67.4%-35.6%-65.7%--22.6%-34.1%-35.6%
12M Excs Rtn-104.6%-54.8%-27.7%--40.1%-61.2%-54.8%
3Y Excs Rtn--116.1%-125.2%--128.5%-152.8%-126.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity95,647
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-90.3%
Average Daily Volume51,462
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.86
Basic Shares Quantity550,025
Short % of Basic Shares17.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025520202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024428202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241227202410-Q 9/30/2024
33120247052024S-1/A 3/31/2024
1231202311252024424B4 12/31/2023
630202311132023DRS 6/30/2023
1231202212222023DRS/A 12/31/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Varga Andrew M. 2182025Buy1.2347,50058,42564,575Form
1Marker Beth ASVP of Retail Operations2132025Buy1.178,5009,9339,939Form
2Stiefel Justin BCEO & Treasurer2072025Buy1.202,9163,49952,338Form
3Stiefel Jennifer D HPresident & Secretary2072025Buy1.232,4503,01482,772Form
4Varga Andrew M. 1142025Buy1.275,0006,3506,350Form