PowerFleet (AIOT)


Market Price (11/10/2026): $2.82 | Market Cap: $378.5 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

PowerFleet (AIOT)


Market Price (11/10/2026): $2.82
Market Cap: $378.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Future of Freight, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -11%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.67, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 70%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%

Key risks
AIOT key risks include [1] a significant debt load creating liquidity concerns, Show more.

0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Future of Freight, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -11%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.67, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 70%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
6 Key risks
AIOT key risks include [1] a significant debt load creating liquidity concerns, Show more.

AIOT in ETFs

Weight = AIOT's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.01%
IWN0.02%
VTWO0.01%
SCHA0.01%
VGT0.00%
DFAS0.00%
+3 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/9/2026

PowerFleet (AIOT) stock has lost about 30% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Disappointing Fiscal Q1 2027 Revenue Performance and Updated Guidance.

PowerFleet reported its fiscal Q1 2027 earnings on August 10, 2026, with revenue reaching $110.79 million, falling short of analyst estimates of $115.54 million. This revenue miss, alongside an updated guidance discussed during the Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings call, led to a significant single-day stock drop of 30.61% on August 10, 2026.

2. Negative Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Reductions.

Following the fiscal Q1 2027 results, analyst sentiment shifted negatively. On August 11, 2026, Craig Hallum reduced its price target for AIOT from $9.00 to $6.00. Additionally, Wall Street Zen downgraded PowerFleet's stock from a "hold" to a "sell" rating on August 15, 2026. These revisions to price targets and ratings contributed to downward pressure on the stock throughout the period.

Show more
Updated on 11/9/2026

PowerFleet (AIOT) stock has lost about 30% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Disappointing Fiscal Q1 2027 Revenue Performance and Updated Guidance.

PowerFleet reported its fiscal Q1 2027 earnings on August 10, 2026, with revenue reaching $110.79 million, falling short of analyst estimates of $115.54 million. This revenue miss, alongside an updated guidance discussed during the Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings call, led to a significant single-day stock drop of 30.61% on August 10, 2026.

2. Negative Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Reductions.

Following the fiscal Q1 2027 results, analyst sentiment shifted negatively. On August 11, 2026, Craig Hallum reduced its price target for AIOT from $9.00 to $6.00. Additionally, Wall Street Zen downgraded PowerFleet's stock from a "hold" to a "sell" rating on August 15, 2026. These revisions to price targets and ratings contributed to downward pressure on the stock throughout the period.

3. Contraction in Gross Margin.

Although PowerFleet's fiscal Q2 2027 results, released on November 9, 2026, showed record revenue, the gross margin for the quarter was 53%, a decrease from 56% in the comparable prior-year period. This contraction in gross margin, despite revenue growth, indicated potential efficiency challenges or pricing pressures, which likely concerned investors and weighed on the stock's performance during the specified period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -28.8% change in AIOT stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)731202611092026Change
Stock Price ($)3.922.79-28.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4444501.5%
P/S Multiple1.20.8-29.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1341340.0%
Cumulative Contribution-28.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIOT-28.8% 
Market (SPY)0.8%30.0%
Sector (XLK)-2.5%27.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -13.4% change in AIOT stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -16.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611092026Change
Stock Price ($)3.222.79-13.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4334504.0%
P/S Multiple1.00.8-16.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)134134-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution-13.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIOT-13.4% 
Market (SPY)5.0%30.2%
Sector (XLK)7.3%21.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -45.3% change in AIOT stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -52.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202511092026Change
Stock Price ($)5.102.79-45.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)39145015.1%
P/S Multiple1.70.8-52.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)133134-0.6%
Cumulative Contribution-45.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIOT-45.3% 
Market (SPY)11.3%42.8%
Sector (XLK)14.1%33.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 50.8% change in AIOT stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 238.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)1031202311092026Change
Stock Price ($)1.852.7950.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)133450238.6%
P/S Multiple0.50.867.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)36134-73.5%
Cumulative Contribution50.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIOT50.8% 
Market (SPY)86.2%45.5%
Sector (XLK)112.1%38.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AIOT Return-36%-43%27%95%-20%-48%-62%
Peers Return29%-38%65%33%-10%-1%56%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%96%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AIOT Win Rate42%25%42%50%33%36% 
Peers Win Rate81%42%56%56%44%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%36% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AIOT Max Drawdown-50%-58%-49%-25%-55%-58% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-48%-26%-22%-37%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: IOT, TRMB, DSGX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/9/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventAIOTS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-39.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven54 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-57.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven136.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven632 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-65.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven191.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven288 days140 days

Compare to IOT, TRMB, DSGX

In The Past

PowerFleet's stock fell -3.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 3.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventAIOTS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-39.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven54 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-57.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven136.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven632 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-65.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven191.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven288 days140 days

Compare to IOT, TRMB, DSGX

In The Past

PowerFleet's stock fell -3.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 3.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PowerFleet (AIOT)

PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT) specializes in providing wireless Internet-of-Things (IoT) asset management solutions across the United States, Israel, and internationally. The company empowers organizations by capturing real-time IoT data from various types of assets using devices and sensors. This intelligence is designed to increase operational efficiencies, improve safety and security, and boost profitability through easy-to-understand reports, dashboards, and real-time alerts.

The core of PowerFleet's offerings includes a comprehensive suite of hardware and software under its PowerFleet, Pointer, and Cellocator brands. Beyond the physical devices and sensors, the company provides Software as a Service (SaaS), which encompasses system monitoring, technical support, routine diagnostic data analysis, and software updates. Additionally, PowerFleet offers hosting, maintenance, support, and consulting services, alongside application programming interfaces (APIs) to integrate with other enterprise management systems and third-party applications.

PowerFleet serves a wide array of commercial and government sectors. Its solutions are critical for industries such as manufacturing (including automotive), wholesale and retail, food and grocery distribution, pharmaceutical and medical distribution, construction, mining, utilities, heavy industry, aerospace and defense, homeland security, vehicle rental, logistics, shipping, and freight transportation. The company distributes its products through both direct sales and indirect channels, including original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), vehicle importers, distributors, and industrial equipment dealers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few brief analogies for PowerFleet (AIOT):

  • PowerFleet is like Samsara for diverse industrial asset management.
  • PowerFleet is like Verizon Connect for a wider range of enterprise and government assets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • IoT Asset Management Solutions: Provides real-time intelligence by capturing IoT data from various types of assets using devices and sensors.
  • IoT Devices and Sensors: Hardware components used to collect data from physical assets for their asset management solutions.
  • Software as a Service (SaaS): A comprehensive cloud-based offering that includes system monitoring, technical support, diagnostic data analysis, and software updates.
  • Data Visualization and Reporting: Delivers actionable insights through easy-to-understand reports, dashboards, and real-time alerts.
  • Application Programming Interfaces (APIs): Tools provided for integrating their solutions with other enterprise management systems and third-party applications.
  • Hosting, Maintenance, and Support Services: Provides operational support including system hosting, ongoing upkeep, and technical assistance.
  • Consulting Services: Offers expert advice and guidance for implementing, optimizing, and utilizing their IoT asset management solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

PowerFleet (AIOT) sells its wireless Internet-of-Things asset management solutions primarily to other companies and government entities, rather than individuals. The provided background information does not specify the names of individual major customer companies.

However, PowerFleet's major customer sectors and industries include:

  • Manufacturing (including automotive manufacturing)
  • Wholesale and retail
  • Food and grocery distribution
  • Pharmaceutical and medical distribution
  • Construction
  • Mining
  • Utilities
  • Heavy industry
  • Aerospace and defense
  • Homeland security
  • Vehicle rental, logistics, shipping, and freight transportation
  • Indirect sales channels such as Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs), vehicle importers, distributors, and industrial equipment dealers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Here is the management team for PowerFleet (AIOT):

Steve Towe

Chief Executive Officer

Steve Towe joined PowerFleet as CEO in January 2022. He has a strong background in scaling high-value, global technology organizations. Before joining PowerFleet, he served as President and Chief Operating Officer at Aptos, a global leader in unified commerce solutions in the retail enterprise SaaS market, for five years. He was also the Chief Commercial Officer of Masternaut, a global telematics provider, from 2011 to 2016, where he significantly grew revenue and expanded profit. Earlier in his career, Towe was the Managing Director of Cybit, a telemetry data business, where he drove international organic growth and market consolidation through acquisitions. He has experience managing both publicly traded and private equity-backed companies, indicating a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.

David Wilson

Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary

David Wilson brings over 20 years of executive leadership and finance experience in both public and private markets. He has a proven track record of guiding companies through business transformations, high-multiple merger and acquisition transactions, and capital raises exceeding $1 billion. Prior to PowerFleet, Wilson held CFO positions at various B2B SaaS companies, including NSONE Inc., Symphony Communications (a privately held encrypted communication company valued at over $1 billion), and Ooyala Inc., where he played a key role in its sale to Telstra. His experience also includes serving as CFO for Alaska Communications Systems, a former Nasdaq-listed telecommunications provider.

Jeff Lautenbach

Chief Revenue Officer

Jeff Lautenbach is responsible for PowerFleet's global go-to-market strategy and sales initiatives. Before joining PowerFleet, he served as Chief Revenue Officer at Conga, an enterprise SaaS company specializing in Revenue Lifecycle Management. His previous roles also include President of Global Field Operations for Cornerstone OnDemand and President of Worldwide Field Operations at Jive Software.

Melissa Ingram

Chief Corporate Development Officer

Melissa Ingram has a solid background in leading transformation journeys for companies in high-growth phases. Before her tenure at PowerFleet, she served for over five years as the Transformation and Growth Leader at Aptos. In this role, she led the integration of four acquisitions, standardized global operations, and initiated multi-million dollar profit improvement programs.

Catherine Lewis

Chief Customer Officer

Catherine Lewis joined PowerFleet as Chief Customer Officer after dedicating 10 years as the Executive Vice President of Technology and Managing Director of central services at MiX. With over 20 years at MiX, she held various global roles, overseeing areas such as software and hardware engineering, SaaS operations and support, manufacturing & supply chain, marketing, product management, business systems, and IT. She holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Information Systems from the University of Cape Town.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to PowerFleet (AIOT) include significant integration challenges and indebtedness stemming from its acquisition-led growth strategy, the pressures of a highly competitive and rapidly evolving market, and exposure to geopolitical instabilities and currency fluctuations due to its international operations.

  1. Integration Challenges and Indebtedness from Acquisitions: PowerFleet has grown through strategic acquisitions, such as MiX Telematics and Fleet Complete. However, the integration of these acquired businesses presents operational, cultural, and logistical challenges that could negatively impact the company's financial condition and operational results. Furthermore, the company has incurred substantial debt to finance these acquisitions, which could restrict its operational flexibility and heighten its vulnerability to fluctuations in market interest rates.

  2. Highly Competitive and Rapidly Evolving Market: PowerFleet operates in the telematics and AIoT (Artificial Intelligence of Things) space, which is characterized by intense competition from both established players and new entrants. This highly competitive and fragmented market necessitates continuous innovation and adaptation to maintain market relevance, and intense competition could exert pressure on pricing and market share.

  3. Geopolitical Risks and Currency Fluctuations: Given PowerFleet's international presence, particularly in regions like the Middle East and South Africa, it is exposed to geopolitical risks. For instance, ongoing conflicts in the Middle East have already impacted the company's supply chain and workforce stability in Israel. Additionally, currency fluctuations, especially involving the South African rand, Mexican peso, Brazilian real, Israeli new shekel, and Canadian dollar, can materially affect the company's income and expenses due to the translation of its foreign subsidiaries' financial statements into U.S. dollars.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The expansion of hyperscale cloud providers (e.g., Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure) into comprehensive, end-to-end Internet-of-Things (IoT) asset management platforms poses an emerging threat. These platforms offer increasingly sophisticated device management, data ingestion, analytics, and visualization capabilities directly to enterprises. This could empower PowerFleet's customers to build or integrate similar solutions leveraging their existing cloud infrastructure, potentially reducing the reliance on specialized third-party providers like PowerFleet for their IoT asset management needs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

PowerFleet (AIOT) operates within several significant addressable markets related to wireless Internet-of-Things (IoT) asset management solutions, telematics, and fleet management.

The estimated addressable markets for PowerFleet's main products and services are as follows:

  • Global Telematics Market: This market was estimated at approximately $129.16 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $681.8 billion by 2035, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.33%. Another projection indicates the global automotive telematics market, which includes consumer connected cars and embedded OEM systems, to be around $49.6 billion in 2025, reaching nearly $80 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of approximately 5.5%.
  • Global Fleet Telematics Market: This specific segment of the telematics market, covering hardware, software, and services for managing vehicle fleets, was estimated at approximately $11.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to rise to about $26.9 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of roughly 10.3%.
  • Global Commercial Vehicle Telematics Market: Valued at $61.52 billion in 2024, this market is projected to reach $130.08 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 13.8% from 2025 to 2030. North America held the largest share of this market, accounting for 34.1% of global revenue in 2024.
  • Global Fleet Management Solutions Market: This market was valued at $27.85 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to $52.21 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 12.9%. Other estimates place this market at $32.87 billion in 2025, forecasted to climb to $67.03 billion by 2030 with a 15.32% CAGR. Another source indicates a market size of $28.8 billion in 2024, anticipated to reach $61.0 billion by 2033, exhibiting an 8.63% CAGR. Furthermore, the fleet management solutions market is expected to reach $84.3 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 17.4% from 2025 to 2032.
  • Global IoT-based Asset Tracking and Monitoring Market: This market was calculated at $4.84 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately $10.67 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 8.23% from 2026 to 2035. Another projection values the market at $5.76 billion in 2025, growing to $17.36 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 13.04%. The market for IoT asset tracking solutions specifically was valued at $4.67 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $10.77 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 12.9%.
  • Global Assets Management IoT Market: This broader market, which includes various applications of IoT for asset management, was valued at $26.43 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $57.08 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 10.1%.
  • Global Industrial IoT (IIoT) Market: The larger Industrial IoT market, which encompasses PowerFleet's offerings, is projected to reach $2.1 trillion by 2034, growing at a 17% CAGR.

AI Analysis | Feedback

PowerFleet (AIOT) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategies:

  1. Continued Shift to a SaaS-Centric Business Model: PowerFleet is actively transforming into a subscription-first business, with recurring Software as a Service (SaaS) revenue constituting a significant and expanding portion of its total revenue. This shift provides more predictable and higher-margin revenue streams, with the company aiming for 83% recurring revenue by 2027.
  2. Leveraging Strategic Acquisitions and Integration: The successful integration of major acquisitions, specifically MiX Telematics and Fleet Complete, has dramatically expanded PowerFleet's subscriber base from 700,000 to 2.8 million and significantly increased its annualized revenue. This expanded base provides a foundation for further growth through synergy realization and a broader market reach.
  3. Cross-sell and Upsell Opportunities within an Expanded Customer Base: With a substantially larger customer base resulting from recent acquisitions, PowerFleet is observing strong momentum in cross-sell and upsell initiatives. The company identifies opportunities with more than half of the Fortune 500 across key industry segments, capitalizing on its extended customer relationships.
  4. Growth of Key Technology Solutions (AI Video, Data Highway, In-Warehouse): PowerFleet is experiencing accelerated growth in specific high-value product areas. Its AI video pipeline grew by 120% quarter-over-quarter, and its unique data highway pipeline increased by 50% quarter-over-quarter. Demand for its in-warehouse safety solutions is also fueling new customer acquisition.
  5. International Expansion and Strategic Partnerships: The company's international operations have demonstrated resilience, achieving 13% organic growth in FY25. Furthermore, a strategic partnership with MTN Group positions PowerFleet to reach an additional 300 million potential customers, expanding its global footprint and market penetration.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • PowerFleet issued $21.343 million in shares related to the Fleet Complete acquisition in fiscal year 2025.
  • The company issued $1.108 million in shares for preferred stock dividends in fiscal year 2025.
  • PowerFleet received $61.9 million in equity proceeds from the Fleet Complete transaction.

Outbound Investments

  • PowerFleet strategically acquired Fleet Complete for a total transaction value of $200 million, with the transaction expected to close on October 1, 2024.
  • The company completed the acquisition of MiX Telematics, achieving significant cost synergies and contributing to its transformation.
  • PowerFleet acquired licensed intellectual property related to the Movingdots acquisition for $1.517 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were approximately $17.036 million for fiscal year 2025 and $3.673 million for fiscal year 2024.
  • The company reported capital expenditures of $21.12 million in the last 12 months.
  • R&D investments, including $2.4 million in capitalized software, totaled $5.8 million in Q2 FY2025, reflecting a focus on software development and optimized spend post-acquisition.

Better Bets vs. PowerFleet (AIOT)

Peer Outperformance in Application Software

AIOT has trailed 52% of its 125 Application Software peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it is PLTR. Application Software ranks 12th of 12 industries in Information Technology by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Application Software constituents that AIOT has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
32%
of 151 industry peers · -42.9% return
3Y
73%
of 136 industry peers · 34.8% return
5Y
48%
of 125 industry peers · -58.6% return
Application Software peers with revenue growth within 4pp of AIOT's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
AIOT PowerFleet 55.7% -20.0x -42.9%34.8%-58.6% —
PLTR Palantir Technologies 52.9% 110.9x -4.9%760.2%597.7% +656pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Information Technology sector, ranked by 5Y. Application Software is AIOT's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Electronic Manufacturing Services 10 15.6%110.8%187.8% FLEX 499% · TTMI 428% · JBL 303%
Technology Distributors 9 50.7%59.2%59.9% AVT 146% · SNX 118% · CNXN 77%
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment 28 39.5%48.2%43.1% AXTI 370% · KLAC 281% · LRCX 274%
Communications Equipment 36 10.5%99.8%38.1% AAOI 806% · LITE 546% · ANET 461%
Electronic Components 24 20.6%78.5%33.8% CLS 1838% · BELFA 1082% · APH 310%
Electronic Equipment & Instruments 27 -5.1%32.8%-0.4% PI 129% · OSIS 112% · MIR 70%
Semiconductors 55 12.1%44.0%-5.3% MU 893% · AVGO 526% · NVDA 485%
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals 21 13.0%88.7%-8.8% WDC 592% · DELL 581% · SMCI 538%
IT Consulting & Other Services 30 -17.7%-7.7%-25.2% APLD 293% · IBM 142% · GIB -10%
Internet Services & Infrastructure 6 -9.8%38.8%-29.7% GDDY 56% · VRSN 33% · AKAM -27%
Systems Software 70 -7.3%17.7%-52.9% ZETA 227% · CRWD 212% · CVLT 145%
Application Software ← 126 -11.5%-11.7%-55.7% PLTR 598% · FROG 180% · AGYS 141%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AIOTIOTTRMBDSGXMedian
NamePowerFle.Samsara Trimble Descarte. 
Mkt Price2.8242.1554.7894.7848.46
Mkt Cap0.424.612.78.110.4
Rev LTM4501,8483,8487751,311
Op Inc LTM2219671248135
FCF LTM-3255798299277
FCF 3Y Avg-18140530243192
CFO LTM34288825306297
CFO 3Y Avg13164560250207

Growth & Margins

AIOTIOTTRMBDSGXMedian
NamePowerFle.Samsara Trimble Descarte. 
Rev Chg LTM15.1%29.5%6.9%13.2%14.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg55.7%33.4%1.2%13.8%23.6%
Rev Chg Q6.4%29.9%7.3%11.8%9.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%6.8%1.7%2.8%2.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM325.9%116.0%17.0%24.4%70.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-24.0%59.4%13.5%18.7%16.1%
Op Mgn LTM4.9%1.0%17.4%32.0%11.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-4.7%-9.4%15.0%30.2%5.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%1.7%-0.2%0.9%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM7.6%15.6%21.4%39.4%18.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg2.4%10.1%15.0%36.0%12.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.7%13.8%20.7%38.5%17.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.5%8.5%14.2%35.0%11.3%

Valuation

AIOTIOTTRMBDSGXMedian
NamePowerFle.Samsara Trimble Descarte. 
Mkt Cap0.424.612.78.110.4
P/S0.813.33.310.56.9
P/Op Inc17.31,271.219.032.825.9
P/EBIT19.41,271.2177.131.9104.5
P/E-20.2271.9-81.043.211.5
P/CFO11.185.415.426.621.0
Total Yield-5.0%0.4%-1.2%2.3%-0.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.0%0.7%3.6%3.1%1.9%
D/E0.80.00.10.00.1
Net D/E0.7-0.00.1-0.00.0

Returns

AIOTIOTTRMBDSGXMedian
NamePowerFle.Samsara Trimble Descarte. 
1M Rtn4.4%1.4%-8.8%14.4%2.9%
3M Rtn-7.8%5.7%-6.3%18.5%-0.3%
6M Rtn-14.3%45.0%-5.6%37.6%16.0%
12M Rtn-42.3%8.6%-30.6%12.4%-11.0%
3Y Rtn36.2%75.6%30.9%21.9%33.6%
1M Excs Rtn10.1%7.0%-3.3%20.0%8.5%
3M Excs Rtn3.9%9.1%-1.0%24.3%6.5%
6M Excs Rtn-13.8%45.5%-5.1%38.1%16.5%
12M Excs Rtn-50.9%0.9%-40.3%3.2%-19.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-9.5%14.9%-40.1%-41.0%-24.8%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Services360277228479
Products8486125057
Total44436334134136


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$2.79 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.4 
First Trading Date10/03/2019 
Distance from 52W High-50.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$2.79$3.44
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-0.1%-18.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility53.6%64.2%
Downside Capture94.14268.45
Upside Capture87.71172.55
Correlation (S&P 500)35.0%42.0%
AIOT Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.820.821.551.422.041.97
Up Beta0.37-1.120.20-0.131.351.66
Down Beta1.022.11-1.301.091.872.07
Up Capture100%61%215%212%291%1461%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days13223162117360
Down Capture62%85%313%191%171%113%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days8203161129375

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AIOT
AIOT-41.8%64.2%-0.57-
Sector ETF (XLK)18.7%28.5%0.5932.2%
Equity (SPY)13.3%13.7%0.6542.1%
Gold (GLD)3.7%28.8%0.1216.9%
Commodities (DBC)38.2%21.3%1.42-21.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.7%14.3%0.6526.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-25.3%43.6%-0.5530.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AIOT
AIOT-15.9%66.5%0.01-
Sector ETF (XLK)17.1%26.5%0.5832.2%
Equity (SPY)11.8%17.3%0.5134.4%
Gold (GLD)17.8%19.1%0.755.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%19.6%0.293.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.5%18.9%-0.0321.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.4%51.6%0.2719.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AIOT
AIOT-6.2%65.6%0.14-
Sector ETF (XLK)23.1%25.3%0.8332.1%
Equity (SPY)15.3%18.0%0.7235.7%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.5%0.605.5%
Commodities (DBC)7.6%18.1%0.3312.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.1%20.7%0.2527.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.0%66.3%1.0020.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302026-1.4%
Average Daily Volume1.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity134.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares10.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 11/9/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/10/2026-30.6%-29.5%-32.9%
6/15/2026-1.9%-7.3%1.7%
2/9/2026-1.2%-19.6%-31.4%
11/10/20254.9%0.6%9.2%
8/11/202513.4%18.1%27.9%
6/16/202511.9%0.7%1.8%
2/10/202531.1%36.1%-1.7%
11/12/2024-5.1%14.8%25.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111314
# Negative12109
Median Positive7.4%14.8%10.5%
Median Negative-3.3%-9.0%-7.7%
Max Positive31.1%36.1%43.4%
Max Negative-30.6%-29.5%-32.9%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/10/2026-30.6%-29.5%-32.9%
6/15/2026-1.9%-7.3%1.7%
2/9/2026-1.2%-19.6%-31.4%
11/10/20254.9%0.6%9.2%
8/11/202513.4%18.1%27.9%
6/16/202511.9%0.7%1.8%
2/10/202531.1%36.1%-1.7%
11/12/2024-5.1%14.8%25.0%
8/22/2024-0.4%0.0%1.4%
3/12/20249.0%35.2%43.4%
11/9/20234.5%15.1%16.1%
8/8/2023-12.5%-21.3%-6.8%
5/9/20233.7%-3.0%11.7%
3/9/20233.7%-3.1%4.1%
11/8/2022-3.8%7.7%-7.7%
8/8/20227.4%32.0%17.2%
5/10/2022-17.6%-21.8%-16.2%
3/9/2022-2.7%-0.3%-4.4%
11/4/2021-5.4%-7.4%-16.0%
8/5/20216.1%7.0%7.0%
5/5/2021-1.3%-10.6%-4.8%
2/25/2021-2.0%9.1%6.8%
11/9/202019.8%15.6%15.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111314
# Negative12109
Median Positive7.4%14.8%10.5%
Median Negative-3.3%-9.0%-7.7%
Max Positive31.1%36.1%43.4%
Max Negative-30.6%-29.5%-32.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/10/202610-Q
03/31/202606/15/202610-K
12/31/202502/09/202610-Q
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/11/202510-Q
03/31/202506/26/202510-K
12/31/202402/10/202510-Q
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/28/202410-Q
03/31/202408/22/202410-KT
12/31/202305/09/202410-K
09/30/202311/13/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202203/31/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/10/202610-Q
03/31/202606/15/202610-K
12/31/202502/09/202610-Q
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/11/202510-Q
03/31/202506/26/202510-K
12/31/202402/10/202510-Q
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/28/202410-Q
03/31/202408/22/202410-KT
12/31/202305/09/202410-K
09/30/202311/13/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202203/31/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202208/09/202210-Q
03/31/202205/10/202210-Q
12/31/202103/16/202210-K
09/30/202111/10/202110-Q
06/30/202108/10/202110-Q
03/31/202105/12/202110-Q
12/31/202003/22/202110-K
09/30/202011/13/202010-Q
06/30/202008/14/202010-Q
03/31/202005/15/202010-Q
12/31/201904/08/202010-K
09/30/201911/13/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 11/9/2026

Latest: Q2 2027 Earnings Reported 11/9/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2027 Annualized Revenue Run RateReported 495.00 Mil    
Q4 2027 Adjusted EBITDA MarginReported 27.0%    
2027 RevenueReported468.00 Mil470.50 Mil473.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 470.50 Mil for 2027
2027 Revenue GrowthReported 6.0%    
2027 Adjusted EBITDAReported111.00 Mil112.50 Mil114.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 112.50 Mil for 2027
2027 Adjusted EBITDA MarginReported 24.0%    
2027 Interest ExpenseReported 27.00 Mil    
2027 TaxesReported 10.00 Mil    
2027 Weighted-Average Shares OutstandingReported 136.00 Mil    
2027 Free Cash FlowReported 20.00 Mil -7.0% LoweredGuidance: 21.50 Mil for 2027


Prior: Q1 2027 Earnings Reported 8/10/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Net LossReported-8.00 Mil-7.00 Mil-6.00 Mil   
2027 RevenueReported468.00 Mil470.50 Mil473.00 Mil-3.5% LoweredGuidance: 487.50 Mil for 2027
2027 Adjusted EBITDAReported111.00 Mil112.50 Mil114.00 Mil-8.9% LoweredGuidance: 123.50 Mil for 2027
2027 Free Cash FlowReported20.00 Mil21.50 Mil23.00 Mil-33.8% LoweredGuidance: 32.50 Mil for 2027

Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 6/15/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 RevenueReported485.00 Mil487.50 Mil490.00 Mil10.2% Higher NewGuidance: 442.50 Mil for 2026
2027 Services RevenueReported 400.00 Mil    
2027 Adjusted EBITDAReported122.00 Mil123.50 Mil125.00 Mil   
2027 Net IncomeReported4.00 Mil6.00 Mil8.00 Mil   
2027 Free Cash FlowReported30.00 Mil32.50 Mil35.00 Mil   

Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 2/9/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 RevenueReported440.00 Mil442.50 Mil445.00 Mil0.6% RaisedGuidance: 440.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA GrowthReported 45.0%  -5.0%LoweredGuidance: 50.0% for 2026
2026 Adjusted net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage ratioReported 2.4 6.7% LoweredGuidance: 2.25 for 2026

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 10, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
325 Capital LLC$11.8 Mil4.3%12Hold13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Voss Capital, LP$21.0 Mil1.1%48Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
325 Capital LLC$11.8 Mil4.3%12Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/9/2026