Tearsheet

PowerFleet (AIOT)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $5.29 | Market Cap: $707.1 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

PowerFleet (AIOT)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $5.29
Market Cap: $707.1 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 92%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.79, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -6.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.4%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Future of Freight, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.6%
2   Key risks
AIOT key risks include [1] a significant debt load creating liquidity concerns, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 92%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Future of Freight, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.79, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -6.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.4%
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.6%
5 Key risks
AIOT key risks include [1] a significant debt load creating liquidity concerns, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AIOT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why PowerFleet (AIOT) stock moved by 10.9% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Strong Q1 Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Report. PowerFleet reported its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended June 30, 2025) on August 11, 2025. The company announced earnings of $0.01 per share, aligning with Zacks Consensus Estimate, and revenues of $104.12 million, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.84%. This performance represented a significant improvement compared to a loss of $0.21 per share in the prior year.

2. Strategic Partnership with MTN Business. On August 11, 2025, Powerfleet announced a new enterprise growth partnership with MTN Business South Africa. This collaboration aims to scale AIoT adoption across extensive enterprise operations, combining Powerfleet's Unity AI-driven platform with MTN's network infrastructure to deliver real-time, end-to-end enterprise data intelligence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AIOT Return14%-36%-43%27%95%-21%-19%
Peers Return-38%65%33%-6%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AIOT Win Rate58%42%25%42%50%33% 
Peers Win Rate42%56%56%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AIOT Max Drawdown-58%-38%-55%-35%-15%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown-48%-12%-10%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IOT, TRMB, DSGX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAIOTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-80.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven423.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven202.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven289 days148 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK


In The Past

PowerFleet's stock fell -80.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -80.9% loss requires a 423.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PowerFleet (AIOT)

Better Bets than PowerFleet (AIOT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AIOT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PowerFleet

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AIOTIOTTRMBDSGXMedian
NamePowerFle.Samsara Trimble Descarte. 
Mkt Price5.1838.2278.9089.0258.56
Mkt Cap0.721.418.87.713.2
Rev LTM4261,5213,6017041,112
Op Inc LTM-6-79574209101
FCF LTM-37194315245219
FCF 3Y Avg-2275453217146
CFO LTM18220341251236
CFO 3Y Avg594487223158

Growth & Margins

AIOTIOTTRMBDSGXMedian
NamePowerFle.Samsara Trimble Descarte. 
Rev Chg LTM92.4%29.0%-0.9%11.4%20.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg53.4%37.1%-1.3%14.2%25.6%
Rev Chg Q45.0%29.2%2.9%11.2%20.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.9%6.6%0.7%2.8%4.7%
Op Mgn LTM-1.4%-5.2%15.9%29.7%7.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-5.9%-18.1%13.5%29.1%3.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.1%3.3%1.2%0.6%1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM4.2%14.5%9.5%35.7%12.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.5%6.9%13.3%35.5%10.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-8.6%12.8%8.8%34.8%10.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.5%5.2%12.4%34.5%8.8%

Valuation

AIOTIOTTRMBDSGXMedian
NamePowerFle.Samsara Trimble Descarte. 
Mkt Cap0.721.418.87.713.2
P/S1.614.15.410.98.1
P/EBIT--39.637.238.4
P/E-17.0-505.954.449.216.1
P/CFO39.697.357.030.548.3
Total Yield-5.9%-0.2%1.8%2.0%0.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--3.0%2.9%2.9%
D/E--0.10.00.0
Net D/E--0.1-0.00.0

Returns

AIOTIOTTRMBDSGXMedian
NamePowerFle.Samsara Trimble Descarte. 
1M Rtn15.2%4.8%4.4%10.7%7.7%
3M Rtn-1.6%-1.7%-0.9%-11.0%-1.6%
6M Rtn9.6%-1.2%10.0%-10.0%4.2%
12M Rtn-25.3%-18.3%8.2%-25.4%-21.8%
3Y Rtn107.4%199.3%58.3%29.5%82.9%
1M Excs Rtn14.5%4.1%3.7%9.9%7.0%
3M Excs Rtn-6.2%-5.7%-4.7%-14.1%-6.0%
6M Excs Rtn-2.8%-13.6%-2.3%-22.4%-8.2%
12M Excs Rtn-32.6%-28.1%-3.9%-36.7%-30.4%
3Y Excs Rtn58.9%110.5%-34.2%-41.3%12.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Services2284797368
Products1250575346
Total34134136126114


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,271,462
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202511.5%
Average Daily Volume1,322,791
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.79
Basic Shares Quantity133,676,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/20254.9%0.6%9.2%
8/11/202513.4%18.1%27.9%
5/23/2025-14.4%-19.2%-18.8%
2/10/202531.1%36.1%-1.7%
11/12/2024-5.1%14.8%25.0%
8/5/202415.8%7.5%9.2%
3/12/20249.0%35.2%43.4%
11/9/20234.5%15.1%16.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101311
# Negative968
Median Positive8.2%14.8%15.1%
Median Negative-5.1%-13.3%-7.3%
Max Positive31.1%36.1%43.4%
Max Negative-21.5%-49.9%-21.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025626202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024828202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024822202410-KT 3/31/2024
12312023509202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0McConnell Michael J8182025Buy4.6410,00046,400130,050Form
1Towe Steven MarkChief Executive Officer8142025Buy4.4223,157102,35410,864,020Form
2Lewis Catherine JChief Customer Officer12092024Sell7.0582,010578,1701,698,782Form