PowerFleet (AIOT)
Market Price (6/25/2026): $3.795 | Market Cap: $509.1 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
PowerFleet (AIOT)
Market Price (6/25/2026): $3.795Market Cap: $509.1 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Future of Freight, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3% Key risksAIOT key risks include [1] a significant debt load creating liquidity concerns, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Future of Freight, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3% |
| Key risksAIOT key risks include [1] a significant debt load creating liquidity concerns, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
PowerFleet (AIOT) stock has gained about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. PowerFleet reported stronger-than-expected fiscal Q4 2026 results and issued optimistic fiscal year 2027 guidance. The company announced Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings on June 15, 2026, with an EPS of $0.04, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.00. Quarterly revenue reached $114.49 million, exceeding analysts' expectations of $112.98 million. The company achieved 11% year-over-year revenue growth in Q4, with services revenue increasing by 14%. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter rose 42% year-over-year to $26.4 million, achieving a 23.1% margin. For fiscal year 2027, PowerFleet provided guidance for revenue between $485 million and $490 million, above consensus, and projected adjusted EBITDA of $122 million to $125 million, alongside $30 million to $35 million in free cash flow.
2. The company secured a substantial public sector contract with the South African National Treasury. PowerFleet highlighted a major contract win, estimated to be worth between $100 million and $120 million in total value, with the South African National Treasury. This significant contract is expected to contribute to future recurring revenue and demonstrates strong momentum in securing large-scale government business.
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PowerFleet (AIOT) stock has gained about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. PowerFleet reported stronger-than-expected fiscal Q4 2026 results and issued optimistic fiscal year 2027 guidance. The company announced Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings on June 15, 2026, with an EPS of $0.04, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.00. Quarterly revenue reached $114.49 million, exceeding analysts' expectations of $112.98 million. The company achieved 11% year-over-year revenue growth in Q4, with services revenue increasing by 14%. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter rose 42% year-over-year to $26.4 million, achieving a 23.1% margin. For fiscal year 2027, PowerFleet provided guidance for revenue between $485 million and $490 million, above consensus, and projected adjusted EBITDA of $122 million to $125 million, alongside $30 million to $35 million in free cash flow.
2. The company secured a substantial public sector contract with the South African National Treasury. PowerFleet highlighted a major contract win, estimated to be worth between $100 million and $120 million in total value, with the South African National Treasury. This significant contract is expected to contribute to future recurring revenue and demonstrates strong momentum in securing large-scale government business.
3. Strategic partnerships and new product launches boosted market confidence in PowerFleet's AIoT SaaS solutions. In the specified period, PowerFleet announced key strategic initiatives, including a partnership with Accenture to launch Advanced Safety Solutions in Central Europe on May 27, 2026. Additionally, on April 27, 2026, the company introduced an Advanced AI Video SaaS Solution with TELUS, aimed at expanding its growth in North America. These developments underscore PowerFleet's commitment to innovation and expansion within the artificial intelligence of things (AIoT) software-as-a-service (SaaS) sector.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.2% change in AIOT stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 3.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.57 | 3.79 | 6.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 433 | 444 | 2.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 134 | 134 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.2% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AIOT | 6.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.2% | 52.5% |
| Sector (XLK) | 32.1% | 43.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -23.7% change in AIOT stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.97 | 3.79 | -23.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 426 | 444 | 4.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.6 | 1.1 | -26.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 134 | 134 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -23.7% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AIOT | -23.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.9% | 56.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 28.3% | 47.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -16.7% change in AIOT stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -44.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.55 | 3.79 | -16.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 294 | 444 | 51.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.0 | 1.1 | -44.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 132 | 134 | -1.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -16.7% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AIOT | -16.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 25.8% | 54.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 59.5% | 45.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 21.1% change in AIOT stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 227.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.13 | 3.79 | 21.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 136 | 444 | 227.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.8 | 1.1 | 39.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 134 | -73.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 21.1% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AIOT | 21.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 82.4% | 46.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 127.5% | 40.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AIOT Return | -36% | -43% | 27% | 95% | -20% | -28% | -48% |
| Peers Return | 29% | -38% | 65% | 33% | -10% | -24% | 20% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 96% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AIOT Win Rate | 42% | 25% | 42% | 50% | 33% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 81% | 42% | 56% | 56% | 44% | 39% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AIOT Max Drawdown | -50% | -58% | -49% | -25% | -55% | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -48% | -26% | -22% | -37% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: IOT, TRMB, DSGX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/24/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AIOT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 54 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -57.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 136.3% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 632 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -65.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 191.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 288 days | 140 days |
In The Past
PowerFleet's stock fell -3.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 3.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | AIOT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 54 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -57.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 136.3% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 632 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -65.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 191.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 288 days | 140 days |
In The Past
PowerFleet's stock fell -3.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 3.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About PowerFleet (AIOT)
PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT) specializes in providing wireless Internet-of-Things (IoT) asset management solutions across the United States, Israel, and internationally. The company empowers organizations by capturing real-time IoT data from various types of assets using devices and sensors. This intelligence is designed to increase operational efficiencies, improve safety and security, and boost profitability through easy-to-understand reports, dashboards, and real-time alerts.
The core of PowerFleet's offerings includes a comprehensive suite of hardware and software under its PowerFleet, Pointer, and Cellocator brands. Beyond the physical devices and sensors, the company provides Software as a Service (SaaS), which encompasses system monitoring, technical support, routine diagnostic data analysis, and software updates. Additionally, PowerFleet offers hosting, maintenance, support, and consulting services, alongside application programming interfaces (APIs) to integrate with other enterprise management systems and third-party applications.
PowerFleet serves a wide array of commercial and government sectors. Its solutions are critical for industries such as manufacturing (including automotive), wholesale and retail, food and grocery distribution, pharmaceutical and medical distribution, construction, mining, utilities, heavy industry, aerospace and defense, homeland security, vehicle rental, logistics, shipping, and freight transportation. The company distributes its products through both direct sales and indirect channels, including original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), vehicle importers, distributors, and industrial equipment dealers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few brief analogies for PowerFleet (AIOT):
- PowerFleet is like Samsara for diverse industrial asset management.
- PowerFleet is like Verizon Connect for a wider range of enterprise and government assets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- IoT Asset Management Solutions: Provides real-time intelligence by capturing IoT data from various types of assets using devices and sensors.
- IoT Devices and Sensors: Hardware components used to collect data from physical assets for their asset management solutions.
- Software as a Service (SaaS): A comprehensive cloud-based offering that includes system monitoring, technical support, diagnostic data analysis, and software updates.
- Data Visualization and Reporting: Delivers actionable insights through easy-to-understand reports, dashboards, and real-time alerts.
- Application Programming Interfaces (APIs): Tools provided for integrating their solutions with other enterprise management systems and third-party applications.
- Hosting, Maintenance, and Support Services: Provides operational support including system hosting, ongoing upkeep, and technical assistance.
- Consulting Services: Offers expert advice and guidance for implementing, optimizing, and utilizing their IoT asset management solutions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
PowerFleet (AIOT) sells its wireless Internet-of-Things asset management solutions primarily to other companies and government entities, rather than individuals. The provided background information does not specify the names of individual major customer companies.
However, PowerFleet's major customer sectors and industries include:
- Manufacturing (including automotive manufacturing)
- Wholesale and retail
- Food and grocery distribution
- Pharmaceutical and medical distribution
- Construction
- Mining
- Utilities
- Heavy industry
- Aerospace and defense
- Homeland security
- Vehicle rental, logistics, shipping, and freight transportation
- Indirect sales channels such as Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs), vehicle importers, distributors, and industrial equipment dealers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Steve Towe
Chief Executive Officer
Steve Towe joined PowerFleet as CEO in January 2022. He has a strong background in scaling high-value, global technology organizations. Before joining PowerFleet, he served as President and Chief Operating Officer at Aptos, a global leader in unified commerce solutions in the retail enterprise SaaS market, for five years. He was also the Chief Commercial Officer of Masternaut, a global telematics provider, from 2011 to 2016, where he significantly grew revenue and expanded profit. Earlier in his career, Towe was the Managing Director of Cybit, a telemetry data business, where he drove international organic growth and market consolidation through acquisitions. He has experience managing both publicly traded and private equity-backed companies, indicating a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.
David Wilson
Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary
David Wilson brings over 20 years of executive leadership and finance experience in both public and private markets. He has a proven track record of guiding companies through business transformations, high-multiple merger and acquisition transactions, and capital raises exceeding $1 billion. Prior to PowerFleet, Wilson held CFO positions at various B2B SaaS companies, including NSONE Inc., Symphony Communications (a privately held encrypted communication company valued at over $1 billion), and Ooyala Inc., where he played a key role in its sale to Telstra. His experience also includes serving as CFO for Alaska Communications Systems, a former Nasdaq-listed telecommunications provider.
Jeff Lautenbach
Chief Revenue Officer
Jeff Lautenbach is responsible for PowerFleet's global go-to-market strategy and sales initiatives. Before joining PowerFleet, he served as Chief Revenue Officer at Conga, an enterprise SaaS company specializing in Revenue Lifecycle Management. His previous roles also include President of Global Field Operations for Cornerstone OnDemand and President of Worldwide Field Operations at Jive Software.
Melissa Ingram
Chief Corporate Development Officer
Melissa Ingram has a solid background in leading transformation journeys for companies in high-growth phases. Before her tenure at PowerFleet, she served for over five years as the Transformation and Growth Leader at Aptos. In this role, she led the integration of four acquisitions, standardized global operations, and initiated multi-million dollar profit improvement programs.
Catherine Lewis
Chief Customer Officer
Catherine Lewis joined PowerFleet as Chief Customer Officer after dedicating 10 years as the Executive Vice President of Technology and Managing Director of central services at MiX. With over 20 years at MiX, she held various global roles, overseeing areas such as software and hardware engineering, SaaS operations and support, manufacturing & supply chain, marketing, product management, business systems, and IT. She holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Information Systems from the University of Cape Town.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to PowerFleet (AIOT) include significant integration challenges and indebtedness stemming from its acquisition-led growth strategy, the pressures of a highly competitive and rapidly evolving market, and exposure to geopolitical instabilities and currency fluctuations due to its international operations.
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Integration Challenges and Indebtedness from Acquisitions: PowerFleet has grown through strategic acquisitions, such as MiX Telematics and Fleet Complete. However, the integration of these acquired businesses presents operational, cultural, and logistical challenges that could negatively impact the company's financial condition and operational results. Furthermore, the company has incurred substantial debt to finance these acquisitions, which could restrict its operational flexibility and heighten its vulnerability to fluctuations in market interest rates.
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Highly Competitive and Rapidly Evolving Market: PowerFleet operates in the telematics and AIoT (Artificial Intelligence of Things) space, which is characterized by intense competition from both established players and new entrants. This highly competitive and fragmented market necessitates continuous innovation and adaptation to maintain market relevance, and intense competition could exert pressure on pricing and market share.
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Geopolitical Risks and Currency Fluctuations: Given PowerFleet's international presence, particularly in regions like the Middle East and South Africa, it is exposed to geopolitical risks. For instance, ongoing conflicts in the Middle East have already impacted the company's supply chain and workforce stability in Israel. Additionally, currency fluctuations, especially involving the South African rand, Mexican peso, Brazilian real, Israeli new shekel, and Canadian dollar, can materially affect the company's income and expenses due to the translation of its foreign subsidiaries' financial statements into U.S. dollars.
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The expansion of hyperscale cloud providers (e.g., Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure) into comprehensive, end-to-end Internet-of-Things (IoT) asset management platforms poses an emerging threat. These platforms offer increasingly sophisticated device management, data ingestion, analytics, and visualization capabilities directly to enterprises. This could empower PowerFleet's customers to build or integrate similar solutions leveraging their existing cloud infrastructure, potentially reducing the reliance on specialized third-party providers like PowerFleet for their IoT asset management needs.
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PowerFleet (AIOT) operates within several significant addressable markets related to wireless Internet-of-Things (IoT) asset management solutions, telematics, and fleet management.
The estimated addressable markets for PowerFleet's main products and services are as follows:
- Global Telematics Market: This market was estimated at approximately $129.16 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $681.8 billion by 2035, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.33%. Another projection indicates the global automotive telematics market, which includes consumer connected cars and embedded OEM systems, to be around $49.6 billion in 2025, reaching nearly $80 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of approximately 5.5%.
- Global Fleet Telematics Market: This specific segment of the telematics market, covering hardware, software, and services for managing vehicle fleets, was estimated at approximately $11.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to rise to about $26.9 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of roughly 10.3%.
- Global Commercial Vehicle Telematics Market: Valued at $61.52 billion in 2024, this market is projected to reach $130.08 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 13.8% from 2025 to 2030. North America held the largest share of this market, accounting for 34.1% of global revenue in 2024.
- Global Fleet Management Solutions Market: This market was valued at $27.85 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to $52.21 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 12.9%. Other estimates place this market at $32.87 billion in 2025, forecasted to climb to $67.03 billion by 2030 with a 15.32% CAGR. Another source indicates a market size of $28.8 billion in 2024, anticipated to reach $61.0 billion by 2033, exhibiting an 8.63% CAGR. Furthermore, the fleet management solutions market is expected to reach $84.3 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 17.4% from 2025 to 2032.
- Global IoT-based Asset Tracking and Monitoring Market: This market was calculated at $4.84 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately $10.67 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 8.23% from 2026 to 2035. Another projection values the market at $5.76 billion in 2025, growing to $17.36 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 13.04%. The market for IoT asset tracking solutions specifically was valued at $4.67 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $10.77 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 12.9%.
- Global Assets Management IoT Market: This broader market, which includes various applications of IoT for asset management, was valued at $26.43 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $57.08 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 10.1%.
- Global Industrial IoT (IIoT) Market: The larger Industrial IoT market, which encompasses PowerFleet's offerings, is projected to reach $2.1 trillion by 2034, growing at a 17% CAGR.
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PowerFleet (AIOT) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategies:
- Continued Shift to a SaaS-Centric Business Model: PowerFleet is actively transforming into a subscription-first business, with recurring Software as a Service (SaaS) revenue constituting a significant and expanding portion of its total revenue. This shift provides more predictable and higher-margin revenue streams, with the company aiming for 83% recurring revenue by 2027.
- Leveraging Strategic Acquisitions and Integration: The successful integration of major acquisitions, specifically MiX Telematics and Fleet Complete, has dramatically expanded PowerFleet's subscriber base from 700,000 to 2.8 million and significantly increased its annualized revenue. This expanded base provides a foundation for further growth through synergy realization and a broader market reach.
- Cross-sell and Upsell Opportunities within an Expanded Customer Base: With a substantially larger customer base resulting from recent acquisitions, PowerFleet is observing strong momentum in cross-sell and upsell initiatives. The company identifies opportunities with more than half of the Fortune 500 across key industry segments, capitalizing on its extended customer relationships.
- Growth of Key Technology Solutions (AI Video, Data Highway, In-Warehouse): PowerFleet is experiencing accelerated growth in specific high-value product areas. Its AI video pipeline grew by 120% quarter-over-quarter, and its unique data highway pipeline increased by 50% quarter-over-quarter. Demand for its in-warehouse safety solutions is also fueling new customer acquisition.
- International Expansion and Strategic Partnerships: The company's international operations have demonstrated resilience, achieving 13% organic growth in FY25. Furthermore, a strategic partnership with MTN Group positions PowerFleet to reach an additional 300 million potential customers, expanding its global footprint and market penetration.
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Share Issuance
- PowerFleet issued $21.343 million in shares related to the Fleet Complete acquisition in fiscal year 2025.
- The company issued $1.108 million in shares for preferred stock dividends in fiscal year 2025.
- PowerFleet received $61.9 million in equity proceeds from the Fleet Complete transaction.
Outbound Investments
- PowerFleet strategically acquired Fleet Complete for a total transaction value of $200 million, with the transaction expected to close on October 1, 2024.
- The company completed the acquisition of MiX Telematics, achieving significant cost synergies and contributing to its transformation.
- PowerFleet acquired licensed intellectual property related to the Movingdots acquisition for $1.517 million.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were approximately $17.036 million for fiscal year 2025 and $3.673 million for fiscal year 2024.
- The company reported capital expenditures of $21.12 million in the last 12 months.
- R&D investments, including $2.4 million in capitalized software, totaled $5.8 million in Q2 FY2025, reflecting a focus on software development and optimized spend post-acquisition.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| PowerFleet Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| With PowerFleet Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 40.69 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,242 |
| Op Inc LTM | 127 |
| FCF LTM | 258 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 177 |
| CFO LTM | 276 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 191 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 17.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 24.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 66.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 14.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $3.79 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/03/2019 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -32.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $3.55 | $4.37 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.6% | -13.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 58.4% | 57.8% |
| Downside Capture | 173.44 | 272.60 |
| Upside Capture | 183.59 | 186.92 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 48.0% | 53.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.30 | 1.34 | 1.81 | 2.41 | 2.65 | 2.02 |
| Up Beta | -2.02 | 1.46 | 1.87 | 1.98 | 2.55 | 1.82 |
| Down Beta | 0.48 | -0.53 | 1.99 | 2.47 | 3.16 | 2.09 |
| Up Capture | 333% | 161% | 165% | 240% | 324% | 1148% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 23 | 30 | 58 | 119 | 351 |
| Down Capture | 171% | 134% | 177% | 238% | 189% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 17 | 32 | 65 | 126 | 380 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AIOT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIOT | -10.7% | 57.6% | 0.01 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 51.6% | 23.5% | 1.70 | 44.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.40 | 53.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.7% | 27.7% | 0.57 | 15.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 18.2% | 18.6% | 0.76 | -6.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.6% | 13.8% | 0.56 | 27.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.6% | 42.4% | -1.11 | 39.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AIOT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIOT | -11.8% | 63.7% | 0.06 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 21.8% | 25.3% | 0.76 | 33.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.2% | 17.1% | 0.60 | 35.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.4% | 18.3% | 0.73 | 4.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.9% | 19.5% | 0.26 | 8.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.7% | 18.9% | 0.04 | 21.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 10.4% | 54.1% | 0.39 | 18.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AIOT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIOT | -3.3% | 65.0% | 0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 25.1% | 24.7% | 0.92 | 33.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 36.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.5% | 16.1% | 0.59 | 5.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.7% | 18.0% | 0.24 | 15.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 27.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.2% | 66.5% | 0.97 | 20.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/25/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/15/2026 | -1.9% | -7.3% | |
| 2/9/2026 | -1.2% | -19.6% | -31.4% |
| 11/10/2025 | 4.9% | 0.6% | 9.2% |
| 8/11/2025 | 13.4% | 18.1% | 27.9% |
| 6/16/2025 | 11.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% |
| 2/10/2025 | 31.1% | 36.1% | -1.7% |
| 11/12/2024 | -5.1% | 14.8% | 25.0% |
| 8/22/2024 | -0.4% | 0.0% | 1.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 14 | 13 |
| # Negative | 12 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 7.4% | 11.9% | 11.7% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -7.4% | -6.8% |
| Max Positive | 31.1% | 36.1% | 43.4% |
| Max Negative | -17.6% | -21.8% | -31.4% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/15/2026 | -1.9% | -7.3% | |
| 2/9/2026 | -1.2% | -19.6% | -31.4% |
| 11/10/2025 | 4.9% | 0.6% | 9.2% |
| 8/11/2025 | 13.4% | 18.1% | 27.9% |
| 6/16/2025 | 11.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% |
| 2/10/2025 | 31.1% | 36.1% | -1.7% |
| 11/12/2024 | -5.1% | 14.8% | 25.0% |
| 8/22/2024 | -0.4% | 0.0% | 1.4% |
| 3/12/2024 | 9.0% | 35.2% | 43.4% |
| 11/9/2023 | 4.5% | 15.1% | 16.1% |
| 8/8/2023 | -12.5% | -21.3% | -6.8% |
| 5/9/2023 | 3.7% | -3.0% | 11.7% |
| 3/9/2023 | 3.7% | -3.1% | 4.1% |
| 11/8/2022 | -3.8% | 7.7% | -7.7% |
| 8/8/2022 | 7.4% | 32.0% | 17.2% |
| 5/10/2022 | -17.6% | -21.8% | -16.2% |
| 3/9/2022 | -2.7% | -0.3% | -4.4% |
| 11/4/2021 | -5.4% | -7.4% | -16.0% |
| 8/5/2021 | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| 5/5/2021 | -1.3% | -10.6% | -4.8% |
| 2/25/2021 | -2.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% |
| 11/9/2020 | 19.8% | 15.6% | 15.1% |
| 8/6/2020 | -0.2% | 2.0% | -6.3% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 14 | 13 |
| # Negative | 12 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 7.4% | 11.9% | 11.7% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -7.4% | -6.8% |
| Max Positive | 31.1% | 36.1% | 43.4% |
| Max Negative | -17.6% | -21.8% | -31.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 06/15/2026 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/09/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 06/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/28/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 08/22/2024 | 10-KT |
| 12/31/2023 | 05/09/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 06/15/2026 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/09/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 06/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/28/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 08/22/2024 | 10-KT |
| 12/31/2023 | 05/09/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/16/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/12/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/22/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/13/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/14/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/15/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 04/08/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/13/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/14/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/16/2026Latest: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 6/15/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Revenue | 485.00 Mil | 487.50 Mil | 490.00 Mil | 10.2% | Raised | Guidance: 442.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2027 Services Revenue | 400.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2027 Net Income | 4.00 Mil | 6.00 Mil | 8.00 Mil | ||||
| 2027 Adjusted EBITDA | 122.00 Mil | 123.50 Mil | 125.00 Mil | ||||
| 2027 Free Cash Flow | 30.00 Mil | 32.50 Mil | 35.00 Mil | ||||
Prior: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 2/9/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 440.00 Mil | 442.50 Mil | 445.00 Mil | 0.6% | Raised | Guidance: 440.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Growth | 45.0% | -10.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 50.0% for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Adjusted net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage ratio | 2.4 | 6.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 2.25 for 2026 | |||
Industry Resources
| Information Technology Resources |
| TechCrunch |
| Wired |
| CIO |
| MIT Technology Review |
| Gartner Insights |
| Ars Technica |
| Systems Software Resources |
| CNET |
| ZDNet |
| Gartner |
| Software Development Times |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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