Tearsheet

PowerFleet (AIOT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.1 | Market Cap: $679.9 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

PowerFleet (AIOT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.1
Market Cap: $679.9 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 122%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -0.7%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.5%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -51%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 64x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Future of Freight, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 122%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -51%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Future of Freight, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -0.7%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.5%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 64x
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AIOT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting the reasons for PowerFleet's (AIOT) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:



1. Strong Financial Performance: Powerfleet reported impressive Q2 FY26 financial results on November 10, 2025, with total revenue increasing 45% year-over-year to $111.7 million and adjusted EBITDA rising over 70% to $24.8 million. The company also achieved significant margin expansion, with adjusted gross margin exceeding 60% and adjusted service gross margins at 77%.

2. Raised Revenue Guidance: Following the strong Q2 FY26 performance, PowerFleet raised its full-year FY26 revenue guidance to a range of $435–$445 million, indicating continued confidence in future growth.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AIOT Return14%-36%-43%27%95%-27%-25%
Peers Return9%6%-31%39%-9%-3%-4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AIOT Win Rate58%42%25%42%50%30% 
Peers Win Rate12%27%20%38%33%72% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AIOT Max Drawdown-58%-38%-55%-35%-15%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown0%-1%-34%-10%-22%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAIOTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-80.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven423.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven202.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven289 days148 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK


In The Past

PowerFleet's stock fell -80.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -80.9% loss requires a 423.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PowerFleet (AIOT)

Better Bets than PowerFleet (AIOT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AIOT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PowerFleet

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AIOTGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NamePowerFle.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Mkt Price5.1127.1914.8616.969.8018.3315.91
Mkt Cap0.716.78.05.6--6.8
Rev LTM3914,4731,497907--1,202
Op Inc LTM-101,697-46-328---28
FCF LTM-331,30031017--163
FCF 3Y Avg-181,463268-44--125
CFO LTM91,32433541--188
CFO 3Y Avg31,480282-22--143

Growth & Margins

AIOTGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NamePowerFle.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Rev Chg LTM121.9%16.2%8.3%25.4%--20.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg52.0%16.5%14.6%45.6%--31.0%
Rev Chg Q38.0%25.3%14.4%21.7%--23.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.9%5.8%3.1%5.0%--5.4%
Op Mgn LTM-2.5%37.9%-3.1%-36.2%---2.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.5%36.7%-12.6%-53.2%---10.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.7%-1.3%5.8%2.1%--3.4%
CFO/Rev LTM2.3%29.6%22.4%4.5%--13.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.1%37.1%20.7%-5.5%--10.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-8.5%29.1%20.7%1.8%--11.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.8%36.7%19.6%-8.7%--6.4%

Valuation

AIOTGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NamePowerFle.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Mkt Cap0.716.78.05.6--6.8
P/S1.53.94.66.7--4.2
P/EBIT-53.910.9-148.1-19.8---36.9
P/E-14.830.7340.3-14.1--8.3
P/CFO63.913.220.5148.8--42.2
Total Yield-6.8%5.0%0.3%-7.1%---3.2%
Dividend Yield-0.0%1.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.9%9.5%3.6%-1.0%--1.3%
D/E0.50.50.00.0--0.3
Net D/E0.40.5-0.2-0.1--0.2

Returns

AIOTGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NamePowerFle.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
1M Rtn0.6%3.9%-6.4%-4.1%11.4%-24.4%-1.7%
3M Rtn12.8%-7.9%36.6%-5.9%--3.5%
6M Rtn10.6%-5.7%13.9%-5.6%--2.5%
12M Rtn-27.4%-10.3%3.3%-38.4%---18.8%
3Y Rtn104.4%21.7%2.3%14.7%--18.2%
1M Excs Rtn0.6%4.0%-6.3%-4.0%11.4%-24.4%-1.7%
3M Excs Rtn9.0%-12.8%31.6%-11.9%---1.5%
6M Excs Rtn-4.1%-20.4%-0.9%-20.3%---12.2%
12M Excs Rtn-41.0%-23.9%-9.0%-52.9%---32.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-0.7%-47.0%-49.8%-67.2%---48.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Services2284797368
Products1250575346
Total34134136126114


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,796,775
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.7%
Average Daily Volume1,836,783
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.97
Basic Shares Quantity133,313,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025626202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024828202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024822202410-KT 3/31/2024
12312023509202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211110202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0McConnell Michael J8182025Buy4.6410,00046,400130,050Form
1Towe Steven MarkChief Executive Officer8142025Buy4.4223,157102,35410,864,020Form
2Lewis Catherine JChief Customer Officer12092024Sell7.0582,010578,1701,698,782Form