Innodata (INOD)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $53.69 | Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Innodata (INOD)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $53.69Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 74% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 85% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence. Themes include AI Software Platforms, AI Data Annotation & Curation, and Generative AI Data Services. | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 74% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence. Themes include AI Software Platforms, AI Data Annotation & Curation, and Generative AI Data Services. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 85% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
INOD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. Strong Second Quarter 2025 Financial Performance and Upgraded Guidance**
Innodata reported robust financial results for the second quarter of 2025 on July 31, 2025, with revenue surging 79% year-over-year to $58.4 million and adjusted EBITDA growing 375% to $13.2 million. Following these strong results, the company raised its full-year 2025 organic revenue growth guidance to 45% or more, an increase from its previous 40% forecast, indicating accelerated business momentum driven by its generative AI initiatives. This positive news reportedly led to an initial stock increase of 18.5% after the announcement.
**2. Exceeding Third Quarter 2025 Earnings and Revenue Expectations**
On November 6, 2025, Innodata announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, which significantly surpassed analyst expectations for both earnings and revenue. The company reported revenue of $62.6 million, a 20% year-over-year increase, exceeding the analyst estimate of approximately $60.98 million. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) reached $0.24, substantially beating the consensus estimate of $0.14. While the stock saw an after-hours gain of over 6.7% after the announcement, it experienced a decline during regular trading hours, despite the strong report.
**3. Strategic Expansion into Federal and Pre-training AI Markets**
Innodata strategically expanded its market reach by launching Innodata Federal on November 6, 2025, a new business unit dedicated to providing artificial intelligence solutions to U.S. defense, intelligence, and civilian agencies. This new unit secured an initial project anticipated to generate approximately $25 million in revenue. Concurrently, the company invested in developing pre-training data capabilities, resulting in $42 million in signed contracts and an additional $26 million in expected contracts, largely contributing to potential revenues in 2026.
**4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets**
Throughout the period, Innodata received favorable assessments and revised price targets from various analyst firms. For instance, Zacks Research upgraded Innodata from a "hold" to a "strong-buy" rating on October 13, 2025. Additionally, Wedbush raised its price target for the stock from $75.00 to $90.00 and issued an "outperform" rating on October 15, 2025. This positive analyst coverage and increased confidence likely contributed to investor interest and a generally upward trend in the stock's valuation.
**5. Significant Insider Stock Sale**
A notable insider transaction occurred on November 11 and 12, 2025, when Innodata's Chief Operating Officer, Ashok Mishra, sold 228,094 shares of common stock. The estimated value of these transactions exceeded $14 million, representing a substantial insider sale. Such a large insider transaction, surpassing the $5 million threshold, could have introduced a degree of downward pressure or investor caution, potentially moderating the stock's overall positive movements during the period.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| INOD Return | 365% | 12% | -50% | 175% | 386% | 44% | 4882% |
| Peers Return | -1% | 2% | -1% | 5% | -16% | -31% | -39% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| INOD Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 7% | 13% | 7% | 16% | 15% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| INOD Max Drawdown | -32% | -5% | -52% | 0% | -30% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -1% | -3% | -0% | -20% | -48% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GIB, ARBB, GLE, GMM, LZMH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | INOD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -74.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 291.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 157 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 51 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 418 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -76.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 331.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 294 days | 1480 days |
Compare to GIB, ARBB, GLE, GMM, LZMH
In The Past
Innodata's stock fell -74.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/2/2021. A -74.4% loss requires a 291.3% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to INOD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | -10.3% | -10.3% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.0% | -1.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | -10.3% | -10.3% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.0% | -1.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Innodata
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 4.99 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.5 |
| Rev LTM | 8,076 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,326 |
| FCF LTM | 1,002 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 961 |
| CFO LTM | 1,143 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,104 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 41.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 28.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.5 |
| P/S | 4.4 |
| P/EBIT | 26.6 |
| P/E | 32.7 |
| P/CFO | 22.0 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -32.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -33.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 796.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -9.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -46.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -50.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 812.9% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 6.9% | ||
| 7/31/2025 | -18.1% | -22.0% | -30.8% |
| 5/8/2025 | -15.8% | -13.9% | 18.4% |
| 2/20/2025 | 13.5% | -3.6% | -23.4% |
| 11/7/2024 | 75.8% | 60.9% | 79.3% |
| 8/8/2024 | 13.3% | 4.5% | -12.9% |
| 5/7/2024 | 55.3% | 63.8% | 124.9% |
| 2/22/2024 | -16.6% | -12.7% | -25.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 12 | 9 |
| # Negative | 5 | 9 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 10.6% | 7.0% | 18.4% |
| Median Negative | -16.6% | -13.3% | -21.5% |
| Max Positive | 75.8% | 63.8% | 124.9% |
| Max Negative | -24.9% | -37.8% | -48.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3042024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | FORLENZA LOUISE C | 2272025 | Sell | 64.99 | 774 | 50,302 | Form | ||
| 1 | Toor Nauman Sabeeh | 2262025 | Sell | 64.33 | 182,724 | 11,754,635 | 1,702,815 | Form | |
| 2 | Toor Nauman Sabeeh | 12232024 | Sell | 44.00 | 110,207 | 4,849,108 | 9,204,536 | Form | |
| 3 | Toor Nauman Sabeeh | 12052024 | Sell | 45.37 | 200,000 | 9,074,000 | 14,491,223 | Form | |
| 4 | Massey Stewart R | 11262024 | Sell | 45.78 | 2,000 | 91,560 | 961,380 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |