Tearsheet

MarineMax (HZO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $23.67 | Market Cap: $509.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Specialty Stores

MarineMax (HZO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $23.67
Market Cap: $509.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Specialty Stores

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Luxury Consumer Goods.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 208%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 51x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.2%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Luxury Consumer Goods.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 208%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 51x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HZO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock movement for MarineMax (HZO) for the period between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, cannot be factually determined as these dates are in the future. However, based on the most recent available information and general factors impacting the company, here are potential key points that could lead to a stock decline of approximately 10.2%:

1. Weak Retail Environment and Soft New Boat Sales: MarineMax has experienced a challenging retail environment, with new boat sales and pricing remaining under pressure. While the company's fiscal 2025 fourth quarter saw a 2.3% increase in same-store sales, this was driven by used boat revenue, finance and insurance, parts and service income, and superyacht services, offsetting lower new boat sales. Continued softness in the industry-wide retail environment for new boats could negatively impact revenue and profitability.

2. Disappointing Earnings or Guidance: Although MarineMax's Q4 2025 earnings reported on November 13, 2025, showed a reported and adjusted net loss per share of $0.04, which beat analyst estimates, the fiscal year 2025 full-year summary showed a reported net loss per share of $1.43. If future earnings reports or guidance for fiscal year 2026 (expected adjusted EPS range of $0.40 to $0.95) fall short of analyst expectations or indicate further deterioration in market conditions, it could lead to a significant stock drop.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HZO Return110%69%-47%25%-26%-19%41%
Peers Return11%102%-8%28%-10%19%180%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HZO Win Rate75%67%42%58%58%30% 
Peers Win Rate67%72%50%57%47%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HZO Max Drawdown-53%-1%-53%-15%-37%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-2%-40%-21%-33%-36% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DKS, FIVE, SIG, SBH, ASO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHZOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven178.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven72 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven365 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-95.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2079.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2156 days1480 days

Compare to DKS, FIVE, SIG, SBH, ASO


In The Past

MarineMax's stock fell -60.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/10/2021. A -60.1% loss requires a 150.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MarineMax (HZO)

Better Bets than MarineMax (HZO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HZO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MarineMax

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HZODKSFIVESIGSBHASOMedian
NameMarineMaxDick's S.Five Bel.Signet J.Sally Be.Academy . 
Mkt Price23.66227.94163.1589.0215.3949.9869.50
Mkt Cap0.518.09.03.71.53.33.5
Rev LTM2,32013,7724,2326,7793,6895,9715,102
Op Inc LTM1161,553349536330488419
FCF LTM-54465345454168239292
FCF 3Y Avg-157761181514158339260
CFO LTM111,421559616265473516
CFO 3Y Avg-941,465475654252531503

Growth & Margins

HZODKSFIVESIGSBHASOMedian
NameMarineMaxDick's S.Five Bel.Signet J.Sally Be.Academy . 
Rev Chg LTM-5.8%2.7%13.9%-1.6%-0.4%-2.2%-1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.4%5.0%13.3%-5.1%-1.4%-3.1%0.0%
Rev Chg Q-13.3%5.0%23.7%3.0%-1.0%3.3%3.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.2%1.3%4.9%0.7%-0.2%0.9%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM5.0%11.3%8.3%7.9%8.9%8.2%8.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.6%11.0%9.6%8.2%8.4%10.1%9.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%-0.2%-0.1%0.2%0.2%-0.4%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM0.5%10.3%13.2%9.1%7.2%7.9%8.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-4.0%11.1%12.7%9.3%6.8%8.7%9.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.3%3.4%8.2%6.7%4.6%4.0%4.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.7%5.8%4.7%7.3%4.2%5.5%5.1%

Valuation

HZODKSFIVESIGSBHASOMedian
NameMarineMaxDick's S.Five Bel.Signet J.Sally Be.Academy . 
Mkt Cap0.518.09.03.71.53.33.5
P/S0.21.11.70.50.30.50.5
P/EBIT11.59.720.77.22.85.88.5
P/E-20.213.326.524.84.88.010.7
P/CFO51.211.012.95.33.56.38.7
Total Yield-5.0%8.1%3.8%5.6%20.9%13.3%6.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%0.0%1.6%0.0%0.8%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-22.1%5.6%2.2%15.3%14.5%9.2%7.4%
D/E2.40.30.30.41.60.60.5
Net D/E2.10.20.20.31.50.50.4

Returns

HZODKSFIVESIGSBHASOMedian
NameMarineMaxDick's S.Five Bel.Signet J.Sally Be.Academy . 
1M Rtn-4.0%4.7%3.0%-9.1%7.8%6.0%3.8%
3M Rtn-5.5%9.0%8.1%0.7%9.0%0.7%4.4%
6M Rtn8.2%30.6%34.6%20.5%68.9%17.4%25.5%
12M Rtn-27.1%11.3%58.1%-7.9%12.3%1.1%6.2%
3Y Rtn-28.4%105.6%-11.4%50.9%35.5%2.5%19.0%
1M Excs Rtn-3.9%4.7%3.0%-9.0%7.8%6.0%3.8%
3M Excs Rtn-14.7%-2.1%1.4%-6.7%3.6%-5.2%-3.7%
6M Excs Rtn-6.5%15.8%19.8%5.8%54.2%2.7%10.8%
12M Excs Rtn-44.6%-1.0%62.4%-23.2%-3.1%-11.0%-7.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-98.6%33.2%-71.4%-24.9%-43.7%-72.3%-57.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,210,114
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.0%
Average Daily Volume431,110
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.77
Basic Shares Quantity21,515,092
Short % of Basic Shares19.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024123202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023125202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231117202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022131202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221118202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021201202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211119202110-K 9/30/2021