Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -76%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -103%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -140%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Regenerative Medicine & Tissue Engineering, Show more.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -105 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6708%
2   Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 79x
3   Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 571%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6715%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6773%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 119%
7   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 24%
8   Key risks
HUMA key risks include [1] severe financial instability raising "going concern" doubts, Show more.
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -76%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Regenerative Medicine & Tissue Engineering, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -103%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -140%
3 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -105 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6708%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 79x
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 571%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6715%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6773%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 119%
10 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 24%
11 Key risks
HUMA key risks include [1] severe financial instability raising "going concern" doubts, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Humacyte (HUMA) stock has lost about 40% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Dilutive Registered Direct Offering Caused Sharp Decline in March 2026.

Humacyte announced a registered direct offering on March 19, 2026, to sell 25 million shares of common stock, expected to generate gross proceeds of $20 million. The offering price of $0.80 per share represented a significant 25% discount to the stock's closing price of $1.06 on the preceding day. This dilutive event led to a substantial drop in the stock price, tanking more than 20% on March 19, 2026, and an additional 9.84% on March 20, 2026.

2. Negative Analyst Outlook and Forecast Adjustments in November 2025.

Around the beginning of the specified period, in November 2025, Humacyte faced significant negative adjustments to its financial outlook. Consensus revenue estimates decreased by 29%, and analysts indicated the company was no longer forecast to breakeven. Furthermore, price targets were notably reduced, with one instance showing a 35% decrease to $5.50 on November 12, 2025. These revisions contributed to a downward pressure on the stock at the outset of the period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -42.0% change in HUMA stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -42.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253202026Change
Stock Price ($)1.350.78-42.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)220.0%
P/S Multiple136.078.9-42.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1581580.0%
Cumulative Contribution-42.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HUMA-42.0% 
Market (SPY)-4.8%34.4%
Sector (XLV)-7.8%7.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -49.5% change in HUMA stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -73.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253202026Change
Stock Price ($)1.550.78-49.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1292.1%
P/S Multiple294.578.9-73.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)155158-1.8%
Cumulative Contribution-49.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HUMA-49.5% 
Market (SPY)1.1%39.3%
Sector (XLV)6.2%11.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -77.0% change in HUMA stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820253202026Change
Stock Price ($)3.400.78-77.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)029.2233720368547763E17%
P/S Multiple78.9 
Shares Outstanding (Mil)119158-24.6%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HUMA-77.0% 
Market (SPY)10.4%38.4%
Sector (XLV)-1.1%18.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -74.4% change in HUMA stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820233202026Change
Stock Price ($)3.060.78-74.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)029.2233720368547763E17%
P/S Multiple78.9 
Shares Outstanding (Mil)103158-34.9%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HUMA-74.4% 
Market (SPY)70.3%31.0%
Sector (XLV)19.6%15.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
HUMA Return-29%-71%35%78%-81%-11%-92%
Peers Return-33%-38%-29%-55%-48%11%-92%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-3%76%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HUMA Win Rate33%50%75%50%25%67% 
Peers Win Rate31%44%44%36%50%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HUMA Max Drawdown-29%-72%-6%-10%-81%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-52%-49%-60%-61%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-3% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRTX, AKTS, ALPS, DCOY, DFTX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/20/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHUMAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-88.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven753.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-0.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven0.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, AKTS, ALPS, DCOY, DFTX

In The Past

Humacyte's stock fell -88.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2021. A -88.3% loss requires a 753.8% gain to breakeven.

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About Humacyte (HUMA)

Humacyte, Inc. engages in the development and manufacture of off-the-shelf, implantable, and bioengineered human tissues for the treatment of diseases and conditions across a range of anatomic locations in multiple therapeutic areas. The company using its proprietary and scientific technology platform to engineer and manufacture human acellular vessels (HAVs). Its investigational HAVs are designed to be easily implanted into any patient without inducing a foreign body response or leading to immune rejection. The company is developing a portfolio of HAVs, which would target the vascular repair, reconstruction, and replacement market, including vascular trauma; arteriovenous access for hemodialysis; peripheral arterial disease; and coronary artery bypass grafting, as well as developing its HAVs for pediatric heart surgery and cellular therapy delivery, including pancreatic islet cell transplantation to treat Type 1 diabetes. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Durham, North Carolina.

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Here are a few brief analogies for Humacyte:

  • Medtronic for bioengineered human tissues.

  • Carvana for biological spare parts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Human Acellular Vessels (HAVs): Off-the-shelf, implantable, and bioengineered human tissues designed to be easily implanted without inducing a foreign body response or immune rejection.
  • HAV for Vascular Trauma: Bioengineered vessels developed for the repair, reconstruction, and replacement of damaged blood vessels due to trauma.
  • HAV for Arteriovenous Access: Engineered vessels providing access for hemodialysis in patients with kidney failure.
  • HAV for Peripheral Arterial Disease (PAD): Bioengineered vessels for the treatment of conditions affecting blood flow to the limbs.
  • HAV for Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting (CABG): Engineered vessels intended for use in heart bypass surgery.
  • HAV for Pediatric Heart Surgery: Bioengineered vessels tailored for various applications in children's heart surgeries.
  • HAV for Cellular Therapy Delivery: Engineered vessels used for delivering cellular therapies, such as pancreatic islet cells for Type 1 diabetes.

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Humacyte, Inc. (HUMA) is currently in the development and investigational stage for its bioengineered human tissues (HAVs). As such, it does not currently have commercial products available for sale to major customers in the traditional sense. However, once its investigational HAVs are approved and commercialized, Humacyte's products would be sold primarily to healthcare institutions. These institutions are "other companies" in the business-to-business (B2B) model. Based on the therapeutic areas Humacyte is targeting, its major prospective customers would include large operators of hospitals, surgical centers, and dialysis clinics. Below are examples of public companies that would represent major customers for Humacyte's products upon commercialization:
  • HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA): As one of the largest for-profit healthcare providers in the United States, HCA Healthcare operates numerous hospitals and freestanding surgery centers. These facilities would be key customers for Humacyte's HAVs used in vascular trauma, peripheral arterial disease, coronary artery bypass grafting, and pediatric heart surgery.
  • DaVita Inc. (DVA): DaVita is a major provider of kidney care services, operating a vast network of dialysis centers. These centers would be primary customers for Humacyte's HAVs designed for arteriovenous access for hemodialysis.
  • Fresenius Medical Care AG & Co. KGaA (FMS): Another global leader in products and services for individuals with renal diseases, Fresenius Medical Care operates a large number of dialysis clinics worldwide. Similar to DaVita, its facilities would represent significant customers for Humacyte's HAVs targeting arteriovenous access for hemodialysis.

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Laura E. Niklason, President, Chief Executive Officer, and Director

Dr. Niklason is the founder of Humacyte, having established the company in 2004 while a professor at Duke University. She has served as President and CEO since August 2021, and previously from November 2020, and has been a director since 2004. Under her leadership, Humacyte went public in August 2021 through a merger with Alpha Healthcare Acquisition Corp, achieving a valuation of over $1 billion. She is recognized for her groundbreaking work in vascular and lung tissue engineering and is a member of the National Academies of Engineering and Medicine.

Dale Sander, Chief Financial Officer, Chief Corporate Development Officer & Treasurer

Mr. Sander was appointed Chief Financial Officer, Chief Corporate Development Officer, and Treasurer in May 2021. He has extensive financial leadership experience, having served as CFO for six other life science companies through both private and public phases, including two companies dual-listed in the U.S. and international markets. His background includes providing financial leadership during key company transitions such as market launch, rapid commercial growth, global expansion, M&A integration, and initial public offerings (IPOs). He has been a director of Humacyte since 2015.

Heather Prichard, Chief Operating Officer

Ms. Prichard has served as Humacyte's Chief Operating Officer since March 2019 at Legacy Humacyte, continuing in the role at Humacyte (post-merger) since August 2021. She holds a Ph.D. in Biomedical Engineering from Duke University and a B.A. in Chemical Engineering from Georgia Tech. She has been instrumental in leading process and product development teams for the Human Acellular Vessel (HAV) through all phases of clinical development.

Jeffrey H. Lawson, Chief Surgical Officer

Dr. Lawson has served as Humacyte's Chief Surgical Officer since November 2020 and as a member of Humacyte's Board of Directors since July 2018. He was previously President and Chief Executive Officer of Humacyte from June 2018 until Laura Niklason assumed the role in 2020. An innovator, scientist, and vascular surgeon, he has been involved in the development of Humacyte's vascular technologies since its founding in 2004. Dr. Lawson also co-founded InnAVasc, a vascular device company dedicated to safe and reliable vascular access for hemodialysis, which was acquired by Gore. He also held leadership roles at Duke University Medical Center.

Shamik Parikh, Chief Medical Officer

Dr. Parikh was appointed Chief Medical Officer in April 2022. He brings nearly two decades of biopharmaceutical experience, having led teams across clinical strategy and development, medical affairs, and patient safety. After receiving his medical degree, he completed post-graduate training in internal medicine and pediatrics, followed by a clinical fellowship in endocrinology at the NIH.

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Here are the key risks to Humacyte's business:

  1. Safety Concerns and Doubts Regarding Product Efficacy: Humacyte faces significant challenges due to safety concerns, particularly a higher rate of thrombosis observed in clinical trials for its Acellular Tissue Engineered Vessel (ATEV) product. This issue has the potential to limit initial adoption by healthcare providers and patients, who may be hesitant until more real-world data on long-term outcomes and management of thrombotic events become available. Additionally, the FDA's approval of SYMVESS™ (Humacyte's bioengineered blood vessel) for vascular trauma has been met with controversy, including internal warnings within the FDA about "catastrophic, life-threatening failures" and risks deemed "unacceptable" compared to alternative treatments. Reports suggest potential risks such as graft rupture and anastomotic failure. Allegations from a former FDA official and researchers highlight "deficient clinical trial data" and suggest that Humacyte may have counted unsuccessful uses (including patient deaths or amputations) as successes in their reported efficacy rates, casting further doubt on the product's market viability and leading to a significant drop in stock value.

  2. Financial Instability and High Cash Burn: Humacyte operates as a "pre-profit, high-burn entity" with significant financial challenges. The company has reported negative free cash flow and substantial net losses, indicating it is quickly burning through cash. For example, Humacyte incurred a net loss of $148.7 million in 2024, up from $110.8 million in the prior year, driven by increased research and development as well as general and administrative expenses. The company's cash and cash equivalents have been limited, and while a recent capital raise provided some runway, its ability to fund operations beyond the near term is reliant on timely product approval and successful commercial sales. This ongoing financial pressure could complicate commercialization efforts and necessitate further funding, which may be difficult to secure given the existing safety and regulatory concerns.

  3. Regulatory Hurdles and Manufacturing Deficiencies: Despite recent FDA approval for its ATEV in vascular trauma, Humacyte has faced and continues to face significant regulatory challenges and scrutiny over its manufacturing practices. The company has been subject to a class action lawsuit alleging violations of federal securities laws, with claims that Humacyte made false statements about its operations and regulatory compliance. Specifically, the lawsuit and FDA observations have pointed to a failure to maintain good manufacturing practices at its Durham, North Carolina facility, including issues with quality assurance and microbial testing, which contributed to delays in FDA review. These regulatory concerns, including "insanitary conditions" cited by the FDA, intensify scrutiny over the company's compliance readiness and could hinder future approvals or commercial scale-up. Additionally, a group of researchers has formally petitioned the FDA to revoke the approval of SYMVESS™, citing "deficient clinical trial data," underscoring ongoing regulatory risk.

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Humacyte (NASDAQ: HUMA) is engaged in the development and manufacture of bioengineered human tissues, known as Human Acellular Vessels (HAVs), for various therapeutic areas. The addressable markets for their main products and services are as follows:

  • Vascular Trauma: The addressable market in the U.S. is estimated at 26,000 eligible patients per year. The potential market related to the early-stage launch of Symvess in vascular trauma is reported to exceed $600 million. The global vascular injury treatment market was valued at approximately $2.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $4.5 billion by 2032, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.5%. Another estimate places the global vascular injury treatment market at USD 3.37 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 5.33 billion by 2032 with a CAGR of 5.90%.
  • Arteriovenous (AV) Access for Hemodialysis: More than 160,000 patients in the U.S. require new AV access annually, with similar numbers in the EU and Japan. The global arteriovenous fistula (AVF) treatment market is projected to reach approximately USD 868.8 million in 2025 and expand to around USD 1.52 billion by 2035, reflecting a CAGR of 5.9%. The global vascular access for hemodialysis market was valued at USD 3.45 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 5.89 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.1%.
  • Peripheral Arterial Disease (PAD): The global peripheral arterial disease treatment market was valued at $2.95 billion in 2024 and is forecasted to reach approximately $6.11 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 7.56%. Another report indicates the global peripheral artery disease market was valued at $4.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $10.8 billion by 2035, with a CAGR of 7.7%. In 2023, the market size of PAD in the U.S. was approximately USD 2,665 million, while in EU4 and the UK it was around USD 1,004 million, and in Japan it was about USD 387 million.
  • Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting (CABG): The global coronary artery bypass graft market size was valued at USD 14.28 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 35.17 billion by 2034, demonstrating a CAGR of 9.43%. The U.S. coronary artery bypass graft market size was USD 2.03 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach around USD 20.25 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 9.64%.
  • Pediatric Heart Surgery: The global pediatric cardiac surgery market size was estimated at USD 15.6 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 29.7 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 9.8%. The global pediatric cardiology market is anticipated to grow from US$ 6.63 billion in 2024 to US$ 10.38 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 6.6% during 2025-2031. The North American pediatric cardiac surgery market dominated the global market, accounting for a 48.02% revenue share in 2023.
  • Pancreatic Islet Cell Transplantation for Type 1 Diabetes (Biovascular Pancreas): The global market for the treatment of type 1 diabetes is estimated to be approximately $60 billion per year. The global pancreatic islet transplantation market size reached USD 1.32 billion in 2024 and is forecasted to reach USD 2.89 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 9.1%. North America leads this market, accounting for approximately USD 610 million in market revenue in 2024.

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Humacyte (HUMA) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and product advancements:

  1. Increased Commercialization and Market Expansion of Symvess for Vascular Trauma: The company's bioengineered human acellular vessel (HAV), branded Symvess, is expected to see increased adoption following its commercial launch. Evidence from Q3 2025 indicated a rise in Symvess sales due to more hospital approvals and its inclusion in the U.S. Defense Logistics Agency's Electronic Catalog. Furthermore, long-term safety and efficacy data presented in February 2026 showcased high limb salvage rates and low infection rates in extremity arterial trauma patients, reinforcing its clinical value. Humacyte also plans to expand Symvess into new international territories, including Israel, Europe, and the Middle East.
  2. Potential Commercialization of the HAV for Hemodialysis Access: Humacyte is making significant progress in developing its acellular tissue engineered vessel (ATEV) for arteriovenous access for hemodialysis. Positive results have been reported from the V007 Phase 3 trial, and an interim analysis for the VO12 dialysis trial is expected in April 2026, with a potential supplemental Biologics License Application (BLA) filing for dialysis access in the second half of 2026. This represents a substantial new market opportunity if approved.
  3. Advancement of Coronary Tissue Engineered Vessel (CTEV) for Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting (CABG): The company is preparing to initiate the first-in-human study of its Coronary Tissue Engineered Vessel (CTEV) in 2026. This pipeline product targets the significant coronary artery bypass grafting market, offering another potential avenue for future revenue generation.
  4. Development and Patent Protection of Advanced Tissue Constructs: Humacyte has broadened its intellectual property portfolio with new U.S. patents covering the composition of bioengineered esophagus, trachea, and urinary conduits, with protection extending into 2041. While these advanced tissue constructs are currently in earlier preclinical stages, their continued development and eventual commercialization, leveraging Humacyte's proprietary regenerative tissue engineering platform, could provide long-term revenue diversification.

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Share Issuance

  • In October 2025, Humacyte announced a registered direct offering to raise approximately $60.0 million in gross proceeds by selling 28,436,018 shares of common stock along with warrants to purchase an equal number of shares.
  • In March 2025, Humacyte raised an additional $46.6 million through a public stock offering.
  • In March 2024, the company received $43.0 million in net proceeds from a public offering of common stock.

Inbound Investments

  • In 2024, Humacyte received $20 million in proceeds from a draw under its funding arrangement with Oberland Capital Management.
  • For the third quarter of 2025, a research collaboration with a large medical technology company contributed $0.1 million in revenue, with the total for the first nine months of 2025 reaching $0.6 million from this collaboration.

Capital Expenditures

  • In Q3 2025, Humacyte invested $49K in capital expenditures.
  • The company implemented cost reductions, including reduced capital expenditures, anticipated to result in net savings of approximately $13.8 million in 2025 and up to $38.0 million in 2026, compared to original budget forecasts.
  • Forecasted capital expenditures are $1.048 million for 2026, $2.28 million for 2027, and $1.572 million for 2028.

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to HUMA.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
QDEL_2282026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K02282026QDELQuidelOrthoInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
CHE_2272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02272026CHEChemedDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
LLY_2272026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02272026LLYEli LillyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%0.0%
HAE_2202026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02202026HAEHaemoneticsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.5%3.5%0.0%
IQV_2132026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02132026IQVIQVIADip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.1%7.1%-3.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HUMAVRTXAKTSALPSDCOYDFTXMedian
NameHumacyte Vertex P.Aktis On.ALPS Decoy Th.Definium. 
Mkt Price0.78454.0017.700.967.4718.4012.58
Mkt Cap0.1115.1--0.0-0.1
Rev LTM212,001--001
Op Inc LTM-1054,554---5-166-55
FCF LTM-1063,194---4-132-55
FCF 3Y Avg-921,832---9-92-50
CFO LTM-1053,631---4-132-55
CFO 3Y Avg-902,225---9-92-49

Growth & Margins

HUMAVRTXAKTSALPSDCOYDFTXMedian
NameHumacyte Vertex P.Aktis On.ALPS Decoy Th.Definium. 
Rev Chg LTM-8.9%----8.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.4%----10.4%
Rev Chg Q-9.5%----9.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM92.1%2.4%----47.2%
Op Mgn LTM-6,708.4%37.9%-----3,335.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-24.7%----24.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM6,889.6%38.7%----3,464.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-6,715.1%30.3%-----3,342.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-20.5%----20.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-6,772.9%26.6%-----3,373.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-17.0%----17.0%

Valuation

HUMAVRTXAKTSALPSDCOYDFTXMedian
NameHumacyte Vertex P.Aktis On.ALPS Decoy Th.Definium. 
Mkt Cap0.1115.1--0.0-0.1
P/S78.69.6----44.1
P/EBIT-4.724.7---0.1--0.1
P/E-3.329.1---0.1--0.1
P/CFO-1.231.7---0.1--0.1
Total Yield-29.9%3.4%---1,669.4%--29.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%--0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-37.1%1.7%---9,205.1%--37.1%
D/E0.20.0--0.0-0.0
Net D/E0.1-0.0---16.0--0.0

Returns

HUMAVRTXAKTSALPSDCOYDFTXMedian
NameHumacyte Vertex P.Aktis On.ALPS Decoy Th.Definium. 
1M Rtn-27.5%-3.5%0.4%6.3%-18.1%5.9%-1.5%
3M Rtn-29.5%-0.5%∞%1.2%-9.1%22.3%-0.5%
6M Rtn-57.9%18.5%∞%1.3%-85.6%22.3%1.3%
12M Rtn-75.4%-11.0%321,718.2%1.3%-95.4%22.3%-4.9%
3Y Rtn-73.0%50.0%510.3%1.3%-99.7%22.3%11.8%
1M Excs Rtn-26.7%1.9%1.3%12.1%-16.9%11.7%1.6%
3M Excs Rtn-23.6%4.2%∞%1.3%-1.5%25.5%1.3%
6M Excs Rtn-54.4%19.2%∞%3.2%-84.5%24.2%3.2%
12M Excs Rtn-91.0%-26.1%299,885.4%-13.3%-109.8%7.6%-19.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-139.7%-12.9%391.2%-65.9%-166.9%-44.9%-55.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment  1 
Total  1 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment128204 107
Total128204 107


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$0.78 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.1 
First Trading Date12/01/2020 
Distance from 52W High-76.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$1.08$1.59
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-27.5%-50.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility113.8%119.4%
Downside Capture461.13421.41
Upside Capture388.41212.27
Correlation (SPY)32.4%37.0%
HUMA Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.393.062.923.562.312.08
Up Beta-1.481.342.163.152.552.15
Down Beta-0.342.271.582.371.171.25
Up Capture831%508%353%564%412%1399%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days9172353104335
Down Capture370%293%343%300%170%113%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days10213263135398

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HUMA
HUMA-74.8%119.2%-0.59-
Sector ETF (XLV)0.2%17.6%-0.1418.9%
Equity (SPY)15.8%18.9%0.6437.3%
Gold (GLD)48.2%27.0%1.4513.4%
Commodities (DBC)17.8%17.4%0.8314.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.0%16.4%-0.1122.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-19.0%44.2%-0.3523.7%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HUMA
HUMA-40.7%92.6%-0.14-
Sector ETF (XLV)6.3%14.5%0.2617.1%
Equity (SPY)11.8%17.0%0.5430.0%
Gold (GLD)20.7%17.5%0.979.0%
Commodities (DBC)10.9%19.0%0.464.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.8%18.8%0.0621.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.7%56.7%0.3016.2%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HUMA
HUMA-21.7%91.3%-0.09-
Sector ETF (XLV)9.6%16.5%0.4717.2%
Equity (SPY)14.2%17.9%0.6829.7%
Gold (GLD)13.3%15.7%0.709.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%17.6%0.394.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2121.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.9%66.8%1.0616.2%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2272026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity38.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2152026-2.6%
Average Daily Volume4.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity158.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares24.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/19/2026-19.4%  
11/12/2025-2.3%-6.2%2.3%
8/11/2025-29.6%-24.2%-39.5%
3/28/2025-2.5%-27.9%-27.4%
11/8/20249.9%-8.0%-19.9%
8/13/20240.5%-4.3%-14.0%
3/22/2024-8.1%-13.6%2.8%
11/9/20236.3%10.4%24.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive857
# Negative686
Median Positive5.3%8.3%10.0%
Median Negative-6.9%-8.3%-16.9%
Max Positive23.5%10.4%24.0%
Max Negative-29.6%-27.9%-39.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202508/11/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/31/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/13/202410-Q
03/31/202405/13/202410-Q
12/31/202303/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/14/202310-Q
03/31/202305/12/202310-Q
12/31/202203/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
06/30/202208/12/202210-Q
03/31/202205/13/202210-Q
12/31/202103/29/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Dougan, Brady WAyabudge LLCSell82020251.83549,3601,005,3293,095,784Form
2Dougan, Brady WAyabudge LLCSell82020251.631,100,0001,793,000964,447Form
3Dougan, Brady WAyabudge LLCSell82020251.58591,685  Form
4Niklason, Laura EPresident, CEO and DirectorAyabudge LLCSell82020251.83549,3601,005,3293,095,784Form
5Niklason, Laura EPresident, CEO and DirectorAyabudge LLCSell82020251.631,100,0001,793,000964,447Form