Humacyte (HUMA)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $0.94 | Market Cap: $186.0 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Humacyte (HUMA)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $0.94Market Cap: $186.0 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 290% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Regenerative Medicine & Tissue Engineering, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -125%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.9 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -114 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5649% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 90x Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.3% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 518% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5037%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5078% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 113% Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20% Key risksHUMA key risks include [1] severe financial instability raising "going concern" doubts, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 290% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Regenerative Medicine & Tissue Engineering, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -125%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.9 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -114 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5649% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 90x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.3% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 518% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5037%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5078% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 113% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20% |
| Key risksHUMA key risks include [1] severe financial instability raising "going concern" doubts, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Humacyte (HUMA) stock has lost about 15% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Significant Revenue Miss in Fiscal Q1 2026.
Humacyte reported its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on May 13, 2026, with revenue of $0.50 million, which substantially missed analysts' consensus estimates of $1.46 million. Despite an earnings per share (EPS) beat at -$0.09 versus an estimated -$0.10, the significant revenue shortfall likely contributed to investor concerns regarding the company's commercialization progress for Symvess and its overall financial performance. The company also posted a net loss of $17.6 million for the quarter.
2. Dilutive Public Offering to Raise Capital.
On June 10 and 11, 2026, Humacyte announced an underwritten public offering of 47.62 million shares of common stock at $1.05 per share, aiming to raise approximately $50 million in gross proceeds. This offering, intended to fund the commercialization of Symvess, advance a Biologics License Application (BLA) supplement for a hemodialysis indication, and cover general corporate expenses, led to a substantial decline in the stock price. Following the announcement, Humacyte shares experienced a 6% drop in after-hours trading and a 19.40% decrease on June 11, 2026, reflecting investor concerns about significant shareholder dilution.
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Humacyte (HUMA) stock has lost about 15% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Significant Revenue Miss in Fiscal Q1 2026.
Humacyte reported its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on May 13, 2026, with revenue of $0.50 million, which substantially missed analysts' consensus estimates of $1.46 million. Despite an earnings per share (EPS) beat at -$0.09 versus an estimated -$0.10, the significant revenue shortfall likely contributed to investor concerns regarding the company's commercialization progress for Symvess and its overall financial performance. The company also posted a net loss of $17.6 million for the quarter.
2. Dilutive Public Offering to Raise Capital.
On June 10 and 11, 2026, Humacyte announced an underwritten public offering of 47.62 million shares of common stock at $1.05 per share, aiming to raise approximately $50 million in gross proceeds. This offering, intended to fund the commercialization of Symvess, advance a Biologics License Application (BLA) supplement for a hemodialysis indication, and cover general corporate expenses, led to a substantial decline in the stock price. Following the announcement, Humacyte shares experienced a 6% drop in after-hours trading and a 19.40% decrease on June 11, 2026, reflecting investor concerns about significant shareholder dilution.
3. Persistent Financial Losses and Funding Needs.
Humacyte continued to report net losses, with $24.8 million for fiscal Q4 2025 (reported March 27, 2026) and $17.6 million for fiscal Q1 2026. The company's ongoing need for capital was highlighted by previous financing activities, including raising $18.4 million in net proceeds from a registered direct offering and $4.6 million from an at-the-market facility subsequent to fiscal Q4 2025. These consistent losses and recurrent capital raises, combined with a workforce restructuring in Q1 2026 to achieve $14.3 million in cost savings, underscore underlying financial weaknesses and contribute to investor apprehension regarding the company's long-term financial health and profitability.
4. Cautious Broader Biotech Market Sentiment.
The general biotechnology market in fiscal Q1 2026 experienced a more cautious investment environment, particularly for early-stage companies, as venture capital funding declined. While mergers and acquisitions (M&A) accelerated, investors and acquirers prioritized de-risked assets with clear pathways to value, such as approved products or near-commercial assets. This cautious sentiment across the biopharma sector, characterized by a more measured deployment of capital, likely amplified negative reactions to Humacyte's financial performance and dilutive financing efforts, especially given the company's ongoing clinical development and commercialization phases.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -17.1% change in HUMA stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -20.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.11 | 0.92 | -17.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2 | 2 | 28.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 112.4 | 90.7 | -19.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 158 | 198 | -20.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -17.1% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HUMA | -17.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 37.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | -6.4% | 20.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -31.5% change in HUMA stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -33.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.35 | 0.92 | -31.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2 | 2 | 28.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 136.0 | 90.7 | -33.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 158 | 198 | -20.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -31.5% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HUMA | -31.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 34.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | -4.4% | 11.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -65.4% change in HUMA stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -86.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.67 | 0.92 | -65.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 2 | 289.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 679.1 | 90.7 | -86.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 131 | 198 | -33.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -65.4% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HUMA | -65.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 35.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 14.6% | 15.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -73.0% change in HUMA stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.43 | 0.92 | -73.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 2 | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | 90.7 | |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 103 | 198 | -47.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HUMA | -73.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 32.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 22.9% | 15.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HUMA Return | -29% | -71% | 35% | 78% | -81% | 1% | -90% |
| Peers Return | 43% | -20% | 3% | 78% | -33% | -14% | 20% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HUMA Win Rate | 33% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 25% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 50% | 46% | 58% | 75% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HUMA Max Drawdown | -57% | -74% | -60% | -63% | -81% | -54% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -46% | -34% | -26% | -59% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRTX, ATYR, AVLN, CNXU, COAG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HUMA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -11.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -57.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 135.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 593 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Humacyte's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | HUMA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -57.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 135.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 593 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Humacyte's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Humacyte (HUMA)
Humacyte, Inc. (symbol: HUMA) is a biotechnology company dedicated to the development and manufacturing of innovative, off-the-shelf, bioengineered human tissues. The company leverages its proprietary scientific platform to engineer and produce Human Acellular Vessels (HAVs). These investigational HAVs are designed for easy implantation into any patient, aiming to avoid the foreign body response or immune rejection commonly associated with traditional tissue grafts or synthetic materials.
The company is developing a comprehensive portfolio of HAVs primarily targeting the vascular repair, reconstruction, and replacement market. Key applications within this area include treatments for vascular trauma, peripheral arterial disease, and coronary artery bypass grafting. Humacyte's HAVs are also being developed to provide arteriovenous access for hemodialysis patients, addressing a significant need in chronic kidney disease management.
Beyond its core vascular applications, Humacyte is expanding the potential uses of its HAV technology. The company is exploring its application in pediatric heart surgery and as a sophisticated delivery system for cellular therapies, such as pancreatic islet cell transplantation for individuals with Type 1 diabetes. This demonstrates Humacyte's commitment to providing versatile, bioengineered solutions across a wide spectrum of critical medical conditions.
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Here are a few brief analogies for Humacyte:
Medtronic for bioengineered human tissues.
Carvana for biological spare parts.
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- Human Acellular Vessels (HAVs): Off-the-shelf, implantable, and bioengineered human tissues designed to be easily implanted without inducing a foreign body response or immune rejection.
- HAV for Vascular Trauma: Bioengineered vessels developed for the repair, reconstruction, and replacement of damaged blood vessels due to trauma.
- HAV for Arteriovenous Access: Engineered vessels providing access for hemodialysis in patients with kidney failure.
- HAV for Peripheral Arterial Disease (PAD): Bioengineered vessels for the treatment of conditions affecting blood flow to the limbs.
- HAV for Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting (CABG): Engineered vessels intended for use in heart bypass surgery.
- HAV for Pediatric Heart Surgery: Bioengineered vessels tailored for various applications in children's heart surgeries.
- HAV for Cellular Therapy Delivery: Engineered vessels used for delivering cellular therapies, such as pancreatic islet cells for Type 1 diabetes.
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- HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA): As one of the largest for-profit healthcare providers in the United States, HCA Healthcare operates numerous hospitals and freestanding surgery centers. These facilities would be key customers for Humacyte's HAVs used in vascular trauma, peripheral arterial disease, coronary artery bypass grafting, and pediatric heart surgery.
- DaVita Inc. (DVA): DaVita is a major provider of kidney care services, operating a vast network of dialysis centers. These centers would be primary customers for Humacyte's HAVs designed for arteriovenous access for hemodialysis.
- Fresenius Medical Care AG & Co. KGaA (FMS): Another global leader in products and services for individuals with renal diseases, Fresenius Medical Care operates a large number of dialysis clinics worldwide. Similar to DaVita, its facilities would represent significant customers for Humacyte's HAVs targeting arteriovenous access for hemodialysis.
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Laura E. Niklason, President, Chief Executive Officer, and Director
Dr. Niklason is the founder of Humacyte, having established the company in 2004 while a professor at Duke University. She has served as President and CEO since August 2021, and previously from November 2020, and has been a director since 2004. Under her leadership, Humacyte went public in August 2021 through a merger with Alpha Healthcare Acquisition Corp, achieving a valuation of over $1 billion. She is recognized for her groundbreaking work in vascular and lung tissue engineering and is a member of the National Academies of Engineering and Medicine.
Dale Sander, Chief Financial Officer, Chief Corporate Development Officer & Treasurer
Mr. Sander was appointed Chief Financial Officer, Chief Corporate Development Officer, and Treasurer in May 2021. He has extensive financial leadership experience, having served as CFO for six other life science companies through both private and public phases, including two companies dual-listed in the U.S. and international markets. His background includes providing financial leadership during key company transitions such as market launch, rapid commercial growth, global expansion, M&A integration, and initial public offerings (IPOs). He has been a director of Humacyte since 2015.
Heather Prichard, Chief Operating Officer
Ms. Prichard has served as Humacyte's Chief Operating Officer since March 2019 at Legacy Humacyte, continuing in the role at Humacyte (post-merger) since August 2021. She holds a Ph.D. in Biomedical Engineering from Duke University and a B.A. in Chemical Engineering from Georgia Tech. She has been instrumental in leading process and product development teams for the Human Acellular Vessel (HAV) through all phases of clinical development.
Jeffrey H. Lawson, Chief Surgical Officer
Dr. Lawson has served as Humacyte's Chief Surgical Officer since November 2020 and as a member of Humacyte's Board of Directors since July 2018. He was previously President and Chief Executive Officer of Humacyte from June 2018 until Laura Niklason assumed the role in 2020. An innovator, scientist, and vascular surgeon, he has been involved in the development of Humacyte's vascular technologies since its founding in 2004. Dr. Lawson also co-founded InnAVasc, a vascular device company dedicated to safe and reliable vascular access for hemodialysis, which was acquired by Gore. He also held leadership roles at Duke University Medical Center.
Shamik Parikh, Chief Medical Officer
Dr. Parikh was appointed Chief Medical Officer in April 2022. He brings nearly two decades of biopharmaceutical experience, having led teams across clinical strategy and development, medical affairs, and patient safety. After receiving his medical degree, he completed post-graduate training in internal medicine and pediatrics, followed by a clinical fellowship in endocrinology at the NIH.
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Here are the key risks to Humacyte's business:
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Safety Concerns and Doubts Regarding Product Efficacy: Humacyte faces significant challenges due to safety concerns, particularly a higher rate of thrombosis observed in clinical trials for its Acellular Tissue Engineered Vessel (ATEV) product. This issue has the potential to limit initial adoption by healthcare providers and patients, who may be hesitant until more real-world data on long-term outcomes and management of thrombotic events become available. Additionally, the FDA's approval of SYMVESS™ (Humacyte's bioengineered blood vessel) for vascular trauma has been met with controversy, including internal warnings within the FDA about "catastrophic, life-threatening failures" and risks deemed "unacceptable" compared to alternative treatments. Reports suggest potential risks such as graft rupture and anastomotic failure. Allegations from a former FDA official and researchers highlight "deficient clinical trial data" and suggest that Humacyte may have counted unsuccessful uses (including patient deaths or amputations) as successes in their reported efficacy rates, casting further doubt on the product's market viability and leading to a significant drop in stock value.
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Financial Instability and High Cash Burn: Humacyte operates as a "pre-profit, high-burn entity" with significant financial challenges. The company has reported negative free cash flow and substantial net losses, indicating it is quickly burning through cash. For example, Humacyte incurred a net loss of $148.7 million in 2024, up from $110.8 million in the prior year, driven by increased research and development as well as general and administrative expenses. The company's cash and cash equivalents have been limited, and while a recent capital raise provided some runway, its ability to fund operations beyond the near term is reliant on timely product approval and successful commercial sales. This ongoing financial pressure could complicate commercialization efforts and necessitate further funding, which may be difficult to secure given the existing safety and regulatory concerns.
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Regulatory Hurdles and Manufacturing Deficiencies: Despite recent FDA approval for its ATEV in vascular trauma, Humacyte has faced and continues to face significant regulatory challenges and scrutiny over its manufacturing practices. The company has been subject to a class action lawsuit alleging violations of federal securities laws, with claims that Humacyte made false statements about its operations and regulatory compliance. Specifically, the lawsuit and FDA observations have pointed to a failure to maintain good manufacturing practices at its Durham, North Carolina facility, including issues with quality assurance and microbial testing, which contributed to delays in FDA review. These regulatory concerns, including "insanitary conditions" cited by the FDA, intensify scrutiny over the company's compliance readiness and could hinder future approvals or commercial scale-up. Additionally, a group of researchers has formally petitioned the FDA to revoke the approval of SYMVESS™, citing "deficient clinical trial data," underscoring ongoing regulatory risk.
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Humacyte (NASDAQ: HUMA) is engaged in the development and manufacture of bioengineered human tissues, known as Human Acellular Vessels (HAVs), for various therapeutic areas. The addressable markets for their main products and services are as follows:
- Vascular Trauma: The addressable market in the U.S. is estimated at 26,000 eligible patients per year. The potential market related to the early-stage launch of Symvess in vascular trauma is reported to exceed $600 million. The global vascular injury treatment market was valued at approximately $2.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $4.5 billion by 2032, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.5%. Another estimate places the global vascular injury treatment market at USD 3.37 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 5.33 billion by 2032 with a CAGR of 5.90%.
- Arteriovenous (AV) Access for Hemodialysis: More than 160,000 patients in the U.S. require new AV access annually, with similar numbers in the EU and Japan. The global arteriovenous fistula (AVF) treatment market is projected to reach approximately USD 868.8 million in 2025 and expand to around USD 1.52 billion by 2035, reflecting a CAGR of 5.9%. The global vascular access for hemodialysis market was valued at USD 3.45 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 5.89 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.1%.
- Peripheral Arterial Disease (PAD): The global peripheral arterial disease treatment market was valued at $2.95 billion in 2024 and is forecasted to reach approximately $6.11 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 7.56%. Another report indicates the global peripheral artery disease market was valued at $4.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $10.8 billion by 2035, with a CAGR of 7.7%. In 2023, the market size of PAD in the U.S. was approximately USD 2,665 million, while in EU4 and the UK it was around USD 1,004 million, and in Japan it was about USD 387 million.
- Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting (CABG): The global coronary artery bypass graft market size was valued at USD 14.28 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 35.17 billion by 2034, demonstrating a CAGR of 9.43%. The U.S. coronary artery bypass graft market size was USD 2.03 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach around USD 20.25 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 9.64%.
- Pediatric Heart Surgery: The global pediatric cardiac surgery market size was estimated at USD 15.6 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 29.7 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 9.8%. The global pediatric cardiology market is anticipated to grow from US$ 6.63 billion in 2024 to US$ 10.38 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 6.6% during 2025-2031. The North American pediatric cardiac surgery market dominated the global market, accounting for a 48.02% revenue share in 2023.
- Pancreatic Islet Cell Transplantation for Type 1 Diabetes (Biovascular Pancreas): The global market for the treatment of type 1 diabetes is estimated to be approximately $60 billion per year. The global pancreatic islet transplantation market size reached USD 1.32 billion in 2024 and is forecasted to reach USD 2.89 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 9.1%. North America leads this market, accounting for approximately USD 610 million in market revenue in 2024.
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Humacyte (HUMA) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and product advancements:
- Increased Commercialization and Market Expansion of Symvess for Vascular Trauma: The company's bioengineered human acellular vessel (HAV), branded Symvess, is expected to see increased adoption following its commercial launch. Evidence from Q3 2025 indicated a rise in Symvess sales due to more hospital approvals and its inclusion in the U.S. Defense Logistics Agency's Electronic Catalog. Furthermore, long-term safety and efficacy data presented in February 2026 showcased high limb salvage rates and low infection rates in extremity arterial trauma patients, reinforcing its clinical value. Humacyte also plans to expand Symvess into new international territories, including Israel, Europe, and the Middle East.
- Potential Commercialization of the HAV for Hemodialysis Access: Humacyte is making significant progress in developing its acellular tissue engineered vessel (ATEV) for arteriovenous access for hemodialysis. Positive results have been reported from the V007 Phase 3 trial, and an interim analysis for the VO12 dialysis trial is expected in April 2026, with a potential supplemental Biologics License Application (BLA) filing for dialysis access in the second half of 2026. This represents a substantial new market opportunity if approved.
- Advancement of Coronary Tissue Engineered Vessel (CTEV) for Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting (CABG): The company is preparing to initiate the first-in-human study of its Coronary Tissue Engineered Vessel (CTEV) in 2026. This pipeline product targets the significant coronary artery bypass grafting market, offering another potential avenue for future revenue generation.
- Development and Patent Protection of Advanced Tissue Constructs: Humacyte has broadened its intellectual property portfolio with new U.S. patents covering the composition of bioengineered esophagus, trachea, and urinary conduits, with protection extending into 2041. While these advanced tissue constructs are currently in earlier preclinical stages, their continued development and eventual commercialization, leveraging Humacyte's proprietary regenerative tissue engineering platform, could provide long-term revenue diversification.
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Share Issuance
- In October 2025, Humacyte announced a registered direct offering to raise approximately $60.0 million in gross proceeds by selling 28,436,018 shares of common stock along with warrants to purchase an equal number of shares.
- In March 2025, Humacyte raised an additional $46.6 million through a public stock offering.
- In March 2024, the company received $43.0 million in net proceeds from a public offering of common stock.
Inbound Investments
- In 2024, Humacyte received $20 million in proceeds from a draw under its funding arrangement with Oberland Capital Management.
- For the third quarter of 2025, a research collaboration with a large medical technology company contributed $0.1 million in revenue, with the total for the first nine months of 2025 reaching $0.6 million from this collaboration.
Capital Expenditures
- In Q3 2025, Humacyte invested $49K in capital expenditures.
- The company implemented cost reductions, including reduced capital expenditures, anticipated to result in net savings of approximately $13.8 million in 2025 and up to $38.0 million in 2026, compared to original budget forecasts.
- Forecasted capital expenditures are $1.048 million for 2026, $2.28 million for 2027, and $1.572 million for 2028.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Humacyte Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Would You Still Hold Humacyte Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.26 |
| Mkt Cap | 57.5 |
| Rev LTM | 2 |
| Op Inc LTM | -5 |
| FCF LTM | -4 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 941 |
| CFO LTM | -4 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,154 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 150.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 605.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 176.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -2,805.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -171.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -2,501.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -2,523.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $0.92 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/01/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -66.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $0.98 | $1.19 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | -6.0% | -22.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 123.9% | 113.8% |
| Downside Capture | 447.48 | 538.76 |
| Upside Capture | 297.49 | 287.60 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 37.2% | 35.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.73 | 3.02 | 3.91 | 3.56 | 3.53 | 2.32 |
| Up Beta | 1.90 | 1.89 | 1.60 | 2.00 | 2.22 | 2.31 |
| Down Beta | 6.72 | 5.80 | 3.62 | 2.79 | 3.11 | 1.51 |
| Up Capture | 814% | 596% | 703% | 762% | 928% | 2742% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 35 | 58 | 111 | 342 |
| Down Capture | 276% | 151% | 405% | 295% | 218% | 114% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 16 | 28 | 60 | 128 | 390 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HUMA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUMA | -57.7% | 113.4% | -0.22 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 14.0% | 15.0% | 0.66 | 15.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 35.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 13.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -3.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 15.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.5% | -1.08 | 20.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HUMA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUMA | -38.4% | 96.1% | -0.06 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 5.4% | 14.7% | 0.19 | 16.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 30.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 8.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 2.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 21.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 16.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HUMA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUMA | -20.4% | 92.9% | -0.02 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.4% | 16.6% | 0.46 | 17.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 29.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 8.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 2.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 21.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 15.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/11/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/19/2026 | -19.4% | -22.4% | -33.0% |
| 11/12/2025 | -2.3% | -6.2% | 2.3% |
| 8/11/2025 | -29.6% | -24.2% | -39.5% |
| 5/13/2025 | 31.1% | 68.9% | 92.4% |
| 3/28/2025 | -2.5% | -27.9% | -27.4% |
| 11/8/2024 | 9.9% | -8.0% | -19.9% |
| 8/13/2024 | 0.5% | -4.3% | -14.0% |
| 5/10/2024 | 4.0% | 42.0% | 59.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| # Negative | 7 | 11 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 5.7% | 9.6% | 14.3% |
| Median Negative | -6.5% | -8.0% | -19.9% |
| Max Positive | 31.1% | 68.9% | 92.4% |
| Max Negative | -29.6% | -27.9% | -39.5% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/19/2026 | -19.4% | -22.4% | -33.0% |
| 11/12/2025 | -2.3% | -6.2% | 2.3% |
| 8/11/2025 | -29.6% | -24.2% | -39.5% |
| 5/13/2025 | 31.1% | 68.9% | 92.4% |
| 3/28/2025 | -2.5% | -27.9% | -27.4% |
| 11/8/2024 | 9.9% | -8.0% | -19.9% |
| 8/13/2024 | 0.5% | -4.3% | -14.0% |
| 5/10/2024 | 4.0% | 42.0% | 59.3% |
| 3/22/2024 | -8.1% | -13.6% | 2.8% |
| 11/9/2023 | 6.3% | 10.4% | 24.0% |
| 8/14/2023 | 23.5% | 8.9% | 18.7% |
| 5/12/2023 | -6.5% | -0.8% | -7.7% |
| 3/24/2023 | -5.8% | -5.8% | 10.0% |
| 11/10/2022 | 3.8% | -8.6% | -4.5% |
| 8/12/2022 | 5.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| 5/13/2022 | 6.5% | -6.9% | -23.8% |
| 11/12/2021 | 3.1% | 5.7% | -13.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| # Negative | 7 | 11 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 5.7% | 9.6% | 14.3% |
| Median Negative | -6.5% | -8.0% | -19.9% |
| Max Positive | 31.1% | 68.9% | 92.4% |
| Max Negative | -29.6% | -27.9% | -39.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/13/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/12/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/13/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/12/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/13/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/29/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/15/2021 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/19/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Annual Manufacturing Capacity | 40,000 | ||||||
Insider Activity
Updated 5/20/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sebelius, Kathleen | Direct | Buy | 5202026 | 0.88 | 56,818 | 50,000 | 130,262 | Form | |
| 2 | Constantino, Michael T | Direct | Buy | 5202026 | 0.89 | 11,000 | 9,840 | 39,313 | Form | |
| 3 | Sander, Dale A | CFO and Chief Corp. Dev. Off | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 0.90 | 45,887 | 41,147 | 239,610 | Form |
| 4 | Parikh, Shamik J | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 0.90 | 45,887 | 41,147 | 244,542 | Form |
| 5 | Dougan, Brady W | Ayabudge LLC | Sell | 8202025 | 1.58 | 591,685 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sebelius, Kathleen | Direct | Buy | 5202026 | 0.88 | 56,818 | 50,000 | 130,262 | Form | |
| 2 | Constantino, Michael T | Direct | Buy | 5202026 | 0.89 | 11,000 | 9,840 | 39,313 | Form | |
| 3 | Sander, Dale A | CFO and Chief Corp. Dev. Off | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 0.90 | 45,887 | 41,147 | 239,610 | Form |
| 4 | Parikh, Shamik J | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 0.90 | 45,887 | 41,147 | 244,542 | Form |
| 5 | Dougan, Brady W | Ayabudge LLC | Sell | 8202025 | 1.58 | 591,685 | Form | |||
| 6 | Niklason, Laura E | President, CEO and Director | Ayabudge LLC | Sell | 8202025 | 1.58 | 591,685 | Form | ||
| 7 | Dougan, Brady W | Ayabudge LLC | Sell | 8202025 | 1.63 | 1,100,000 | 1,793,000 | 964,447 | Form | |
| 8 | Niklason, Laura E | President, CEO and Director | Ayabudge LLC | Sell | 8202025 | 1.63 | 1,100,000 | 1,793,000 | 964,447 | Form |
| 9 | Dougan, Brady W | Ayabudge LLC | Sell | 8202025 | 1.83 | 549,360 | 1,005,329 | 3,095,784 | Form | |
| 10 | Niklason, Laura E | President, CEO and Director | Ayabudge LLC | Sell | 8202025 | 1.83 | 549,360 | 1,005,329 | 3,095,784 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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