Tearsheet

HubSpot (HUBS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $387.18 | Market Cap: $20.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

HubSpot (HUBS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $387.18
Market Cap: $20.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -47 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.6%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 1,086x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Artificial Intelligence, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.2%
3   Key risks
HUBS key risks include [1] intense competition from both large enterprise companies and specialized providers that could pressure pricing and market share, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Artificial Intelligence, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -47 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.6%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 1,086x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.2%
7 Key risks
HUBS key risks include [1] intense competition from both large enterprise companies and specialized providers that could pressure pricing and market share, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HUBS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The HubSpot (HUBS) stock experienced a significant decline of approximately 19.8% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. Several key factors contributed to this downward movement:

1. Broader Market Trends and Macroeconomic Pressures: HubSpot's stock performance was heavily influenced by wider macroeconomic pressures, including higher interest rates making growth stocks less attractive and concerns about a potential recession. Institutional investors were observed rebalancing portfolios, moving away from the Software as a Service (SaaS) sector, leading to systematic selling pressure on high-growth tech stocks like HubSpot.

2. Valuation Concerns and Market Correction: Despite strong financial performance and positive forecasts from HubSpot, the stock was trading at high multiples for years. The prevailing market environment in late 2025 forced a correction, with investors unwilling to pay premium prices for growth, even for profitable SaaS companies. This suggests the decline was more about a re-evaluation of the stock's valuation rather than issues within the company itself.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HUBS Return150%66%-56%101%20%-47%134%
Peers Return59%-9%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HUBS Win Rate67%50%42%67%67%33% 
Peers Win Rate58%57%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HUBS Max Drawdown-34%-12%-61%-6%-22%-49% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, IBM, CRM, ADBE, BMR. See HUBS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHUBSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-69.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven232.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven72 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven203 days120 days

Compare to MSFT, IBM, CRM, ADBE, BMR


In The Past

HubSpot's stock fell -69.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -69.9% loss requires a 232.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About HubSpot (HUBS)

Better Bets than HubSpot (HUBS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HUBS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for HubSpot

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HUBSMSFTIBMCRMADBEBMRMedian
NameHubSpot MicrosoftInternat.Salesfor.Adobe Beamr Im. 
Mkt Price387.58476.12303.32257.72354.661.94328.99
Mkt Cap20.43,539.0283.3244.3150.0-244.3
Rev LTM2,988293,81265,40240,31723,181-40,317
Op Inc LTM-47135,93711,5448,8808,402-8,880
FCF LTM53078,01711,85412,8959,599-11,854
FCF 3Y Avg38871,30211,75311,1947,925-11,194
CFO LTM707147,03913,48313,5029,792-13,483
CFO 3Y Avg518121,38413,49811,8828,185-11,882

Growth & Margins

HUBSMSFTIBMCRMADBEBMRMedian
NameHubSpot MicrosoftInternat.Salesfor.Adobe Beamr Im. 
Rev Chg LTM19.2%15.6%4.5%8.4%10.7%-10.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg22.4%13.2%2.6%10.0%10.5%-10.5%
Rev Chg Q20.9%18.4%9.1%8.6%10.7%-10.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.9%4.3%2.1%2.1%2.6%-2.6%
Op Mgn LTM-1.6%46.3%17.7%22.0%36.2%-22.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3.0%44.6%16.4%19.2%35.4%-19.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%0.6%0.6%0.8%-0.1%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM23.7%50.0%20.6%33.5%42.2%-33.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.1%47.2%21.4%31.8%39.0%-31.8%
FCF/Rev LTM17.7%26.6%18.1%32.0%41.4%-26.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg15.1%28.0%18.6%30.0%37.7%-28.0%

Valuation

HUBSMSFTIBMCRMADBEBMRMedian
NameHubSpot MicrosoftInternat.Salesfor.Adobe Beamr Im. 
Mkt Cap20.43,539.0283.3244.3150.0-244.3
P/S8.213.14.06.17.1-7.1
P/EBIT1,085.629.623.227.518.8-27.5
P/E-6,954.436.733.333.823.5-33.3
P/CFO34.726.219.518.116.7-19.5
Total Yield-0.0%3.4%5.4%3.4%4.3%-3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%2.4%0.5%0.0%-0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.5%2.3%6.4%4.9%4.0%-4.0%
D/E0.00.00.30.00.0-0.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.2-0.00.0--0.0

Returns

HUBSMSFTIBMCRMADBEBMRMedian
NameHubSpot MicrosoftInternat.Salesfor.Adobe Beamr Im. 
1M Rtn5.0%-6.2%2.1%8.7%9.1%-1.3%3.5%
3M Rtn-23.6%-6.5%17.7%6.4%-2.0%-32.6%-4.3%
6M Rtn-28.8%-0.5%8.4%-0.5%-6.2%-37.8%-3.3%
12M Rtn-47.7%5.5%35.9%-26.1%-22.1%-52.2%-24.1%
3Y Rtn31.2%99.2%141.5%103.0%4.8%-99.2%
1M Excs Rtn4.3%-6.9%1.3%8.0%8.4%-2.0%2.8%
3M Excs Rtn-25.8%-7.5%13.7%4.2%-4.8%-37.1%-6.2%
6M Excs Rtn-41.2%-12.9%-4.0%-12.9%-18.6%-50.2%-15.7%
12M Excs Rtn-57.4%-3.8%23.7%-37.9%-34.9%-58.8%-36.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-37.9%24.6%58.4%27.2%-63.6%-24.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment2,170    
Professional services and other 40423029
Subscription 1,6911,258853646
Total2,1701,7311,301883675


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,116,961
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.7%
Average Daily Volume878,300
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.27
Basic Shares Quantity52,507,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-15.0%-15.1%-17.1%
8/6/2025-6.2%-11.1%-1.0%
5/8/2025-8.7%0.6%-8.2%
2/12/20254.4%-4.8%-22.4%
11/6/20247.8%17.1%24.1%
8/7/20243.4%5.1%7.8%
5/8/2024-0.5%4.1%1.1%
2/14/2024-3.3%-4.7%-4.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161513
# Negative8911
Median Positive7.3%5.9%14.6%
Median Negative-6.2%-5.0%-8.2%
Max Positive16.4%25.9%25.4%
Max Negative-15.0%-15.1%-27.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021214202210-K 12/31/2021