Tearsheet

Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $134.52 | Market Cap: $860.8 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $134.52
Market Cap: $860.8 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20%, FCF Yield is 17%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -0.5%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 115%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, and Green Building Certification.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20%, FCF Yield is 17%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, and Green Building Certification.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -0.5%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 115%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HOV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the approximate -4.5% stock movement for Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV) around September 25, 2025:

1. Significant Decline in Fiscal Third Quarter 2025 Net Income. Hovnanian Enterprises reported a substantial decrease in net income for the three months ended July 31, 2025, falling to $16.6 million, or $1.99 per diluted common share, from $72.9 million, or $9.75 per diluted common share, in the same period of the previous fiscal year.

2. Substantial Decrease in Consolidated Contract Backlog. As of July 31, 2025, the company's consolidated contract backlog significantly decreased by 27.6% to $838.8 million compared to $1.16 billion as of July 31, 2024. This decline suggests potential challenges for future revenue.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HOV Return57%287%-67%270%-14%-3%520%
Peers Return16%55%-21%75%7%10%191%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HOV Win Rate58%67%33%75%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate65%75%38%58%58%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HOV Max Drawdown-73%-4%-74%0%-17%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-4%-41%-0%-7%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CVCO, DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHOVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven328.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven419 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-81.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven451.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven152 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-93.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1442.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven572 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-98.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven6275.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to CVCO, DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR


In The Past

Hovnanian Enterprises's stock fell -76.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/27/2021. A -76.7% loss requires a 328.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV)

Better Bets than Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HOV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hovnanian Enterprises

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HOVCVCODHILENPHMNVRMedian
NameHovnania.Cavco In.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR  
Mkt Price133.98586.69165.00133.13130.337,679.42149.49
Mkt Cap0.94.650.234.025.622.123.8
Rev LTM3,1402,14434,57534,76617,62310,47614,049
Op Inc LTM1712254,8923,4703,3951,7822,589
FCF LTM1141802,785-7131,5521,292736
FCF 3Y Avg1801872,7072,7831,8751,4301,652
CFO LTM1352102,911-5681,6681,319765
CFO 3Y Avg1992102,8562,9181,9831,4571,720

Growth & Margins

HOVCVCODHILENPHMNVRMedian
NameHovnania.Cavco In.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR  
Rev Chg LTM7.8%15.8%-7.3%-4.7%1.8%3.4%2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.4%1.2%2.9%3.0%5.4%1.4%3.0%
Rev Chg Q10.8%9.7%-7.4%-6.4%-1.6%-4.5%-3.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%2.3%-2.1%-1.7%-0.4%-1.2%-0.8%
Op Mgn LTM5.4%10.5%14.2%10.0%19.3%17.0%12.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.9%10.5%16.3%13.6%20.6%18.4%15.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%0.4%-1.0%-1.5%-0.7%-0.6%-0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM4.3%9.8%8.4%-1.6%9.5%12.6%8.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.0%10.7%8.1%8.4%11.6%14.4%9.6%
FCF/Rev LTM3.6%8.4%8.1%-2.1%8.8%12.3%8.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.3%9.5%7.7%8.0%10.9%14.2%8.8%

Valuation

HOVCVCODHILENPHMNVRMedian
NameHovnania.Cavco In.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR  
Mkt Cap0.94.650.234.025.622.123.8
P/S0.22.11.10.91.52.21.3
P/EBIT2.818.78.09.37.612.28.6
P/E4.223.39.912.09.916.110.9
P/CFO5.021.813.5-56.715.617.514.5
Total Yield23.7%4.3%11.3%10.0%10.8%6.2%10.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.2%1.6%0.7%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg27.9%6.1%6.5%7.3%9.2%6.3%6.9%
D/E1.40.00.20.20.10.00.1
Net D/E1.1-0.10.10.10.0-0.00.1

Returns

HOVCVCODHILENPHMNVRMedian
NameHovnania.Cavco In.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR  
1M Rtn9.5%9.6%14.1%10.4%9.7%8.6%9.7%
3M Rtn-3.6%9.9%-3.9%-0.3%-2.1%-6.2%-2.8%
6M Rtn39.8%37.5%34.3%21.8%28.4%6.5%31.4%
12M Rtn-31.9%14.6%0.0%-22.0%-2.0%-16.4%-9.2%
3Y Rtn170.3%144.5%96.8%57.4%199.8%63.8%120.6%
1M Excs Rtn9.6%9.6%14.1%10.4%9.8%8.6%9.7%
3M Excs Rtn-15.3%0.3%-11.7%-8.5%-10.5%-14.0%-11.1%
6M Excs Rtn25.1%22.8%19.6%7.1%13.7%-8.2%16.7%
12M Excs Rtn-45.4%0.5%-14.6%-35.9%-16.4%-30.4%-23.4%
3Y Excs Rtn119.0%96.3%31.7%-9.9%132.2%-0.0%64.0%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity320,565
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202512.0%
Average Daily Volume121,524
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.64
Basic Shares Quantity6,399,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025829202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025530202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025228202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241218202410-K 10/31/2024
7312024830202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024531202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024301202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231218202310-K 10/31/2023
7312023901202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023605202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023306202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221219202210-K 10/31/2022
7312022906202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022606202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022307202210-Q 1/31/2022
10312021104202210-K 10/31/2021