Tearsheet

Hour Loop (HOUR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.1 | Market Cap: $73.8 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

Hour Loop (HOUR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.1
Market Cap: $73.8 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 65x
1   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 258%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 65x
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 258%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HOUR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Hour Loop (HOUR) experienced significant movement in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, with several key factors contributing to its upward trend. Shares soared, with investors reacting positively to financial news and operational improvements.

1. Jump in Earnings Per Share and Improved Operating Margins: The company's stock saw an eye-opening surge due to an enthusiastic investor response to a jump in earnings per share. This growth occurred despite a slight dip in revenue and challenges from new U.S. trade measures. Improved operating margins and a sharp focus on efficiency further contributed to this positive sentiment.

2. Tighter Cost Controls and Internal Enhancements: Hour Loop's leadership attributed the unexpected gains to stricter cost controls and internal improvements. These measures were designed to help the company navigate ongoing market disruptions.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HOUR Return----47%63%-6%-19%
Peers Return48%24%-21%34%8%14%138%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HOUR Win Rate--55%25%58%30% 
Peers Win Rate40%37%18%37%30%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HOUR Max Drawdown----50%-39%-49% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-9%-29%-10%-9%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MELI, M, BBBY, SBDS, AMZN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHOURS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-83.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven514.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to MELI, M, BBBY, SBDS, AMZN


In The Past

Hour Loop's stock fell -83.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2022. A -83.7% loss requires a 514.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Hour Loop (HOUR)

Better Bets than Hour Loop (HOUR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HOUR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hour Loop

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HOURMELIMBBBYSBDSAMZNMedian
NameHour LoopMercadoL.Macy's Bed Bath.Solo Bra.Amazon.c. 
Mkt Price2.092,119.8322.466.597.65232.3815.05
Mkt Cap0.1107.56.10.4-2,471.86.1
Rev LTM13826,19322,7021,074407670,03811,888
Op Inc LTM13,132849-105-3976,190425
FCF LTM-28,610603-95-6713,481301
FCF 3Y Avg-16,370406-121621,677206
CFO LTM-29,8311,396-72-51121,137697
CFO 3Y Avg-17,1691,383-911896,977700

Growth & Margins

HOURMELIMBBBYSBDSAMZNMedian
NameHour LoopMercadoL.Macy's Bed Bath.Solo Bra.Amazon.c. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.1%36.9%-3.4%-27.2%-17.3%10.9%-2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg28.9%39.5%-4.5%-20.0%-3.5%11.3%3.9%
Rev Chg Q-3.4%39.5%-1.9%-17.4%-29.9%13.3%-2.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.7%8.7%-0.4%-4.8%-8.8%3.0%-0.6%
Op Mgn LTM0.6%12.0%3.7%-9.8%-9.5%11.4%2.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.3%13.1%4.6%-9.3%-0.6%7.9%2.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%-0.3%-0.1%2.4%-1.2%0.3%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-1.1%37.5%6.1%-6.7%-12.5%18.1%2.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-0.5%35.9%5.9%-6.7%2.5%15.8%4.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.1%32.9%2.7%-8.9%-16.4%2.0%0.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.6%32.1%1.7%-8.9%-0.0%3.5%0.9%

Valuation

HOURMELIMBBBYSBDSAMZNMedian
NameHour LoopMercadoL.Macy's Bed Bath.Solo Bra.Amazon.c. 
Mkt Cap0.1107.56.10.4-2,471.86.1
P/S0.44.50.10.5-3.50.5
P/EBIT39.939.84.2-3.5-27.427.4
P/E65.057.06.4-4.1-33.133.1
P/CFO-32.212.12.3-8.2-19.32.3
Total Yield1.5%1.8%21.8%-24.5%-3.0%1.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%6.2%0.0%-0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.2%6.7%10.6%--1.1%3.9%
D/E0.00.11.70.0-0.10.1
Net D/E0.00.01.5-0.2-0.00.0

Returns

HOURMELIMBBBYSBDSAMZNMedian
NameHour LoopMercadoL.Macy's Bed Bath.Solo Bra.Amazon.c. 
1M Rtn14.8%-8.5%12.6%-13.6%-49.0%-8.5%-8.5%
3M Rtn64.6%-10.7%39.5%-22.9%-27.1%2.8%-3.9%
6M Rtn66.7%-17.6%101.4%--12.1%39.4%
12M Rtn46.2%9.9%43.3%--8.9%26.6%
3Y Rtn-31.5%124.3%9.0%--146.9%66.6%
1M Excs Rtn14.9%-8.5%12.7%-13.6%-49.0%-8.5%-8.5%
3M Excs Rtn5.2%-17.7%26.3%-30.1%-40.5%-6.7%-12.2%
6M Excs Rtn51.9%-32.4%86.7%---2.6%24.7%
12M Excs Rtn24.0%-6.8%31.9%---1.8%11.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-104.3%57.3%-62.3%--74.5%-2.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity132,528
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025668.0%
Average Daily Volume168,606
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity35,160,095
Short % of Basic Shares0.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024327202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023326202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021401202210-K 12/31/2021
630202110282021S-1 6/30/2021