Tearsheet

Hagerty (HGTY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.79 | Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Hagerty (HGTY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.79
Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -0.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -27%
 
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 13%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Collectible & Classic Vehicle Assets.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 13%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Collectible & Classic Vehicle Assets.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -0.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -27%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HGTY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Hagerty (HGTY) stock movements were significantly influenced by several key positive developments, primarily surrounding its strong financial performance and strategic business initiatives.

1. Hagerty Reported Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results and Increased Full-Year Outlook. The company announced impressive third-quarter results on November 4, 2025, with net income reaching $46 million, a 143% increase compared to Q3 2024. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter grew by 106% to $50 million. For the year-to-date through Q3 2025, total revenue increased by 18% to $1.068 billion, driven by a 14% rise in commission and fee revenue and an exceptional 54% growth in membership, marketplace, and other revenue. Operating income also saw a substantial increase of 240% to $34.3 million in Q3, with operating margins expanding by nearly six percentage points. Consequently, Hagerty raised its full-year 2025 outlook for total revenue growth to 14-15%, net income growth to 58-65%, and adjusted EBITDA growth to 37-41%.

2. Continued Growth in Membership and Written Premium. Hagerty added 258,000 new members during the first nine months of 2025, contributing to a 13% growth in written premium, which reached $934 million year-to-date. Policy retention remained strong at 88.6%, supported by a high Net Promoter Score of 82. Written premium increased 16% for Q3 2025, further supported by accelerating State Farm policy conversions.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HGTY Return---41%-7%24%35%-8%
Peers Return4%27%11%16%31%12%151%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HGTY Win Rate-67%50%42%75%70% 
Peers Win Rate60%57%53%62%68%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HGTY Max Drawdown---47%-10%-1%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-6%-11%-14%-1%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHGTYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-59.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven148.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV


In The Past

Hagerty's stock fell -59.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/13/2021. A -59.7% loss requires a 148.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Hagerty (HGTY)

Better Bets than Hagerty (HGTY)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HGTY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hagerty

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HGTYHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameHagerty Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Mkt Price12.81133.0458.19227.18295.05284.27180.11
Mkt Cap1.237.415.8133.2117.263.750.5
Rev LTM1,36027,69213,29782,37658,90048,40938,050
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM1555,8656,72716,47213,3219,9858,356
FCF 3Y Avg1284,9226,25012,35013,4098,6827,466
CFO LTM1775,9886,87216,80013,3219,9858,428
CFO 3Y Avg1545,1096,38812,63413,4098,6827,535

Growth & Margins

HGTYHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameHagerty Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Rev Chg LTM17.5%6.9%7.4%21.5%6.7%6.7%7.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg22.6%8.6%-0.7%20.0%12.2%10.1%11.2%
Rev Chg Q17.7%6.4%16.8%21.3%8.2%4.8%12.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.4%1.6%4.0%4.9%2.2%1.2%3.1%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM13.0%21.6%51.7%20.4%22.6%20.6%21.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.1%19.6%51.9%18.0%24.8%19.4%19.5%
FCF/Rev LTM11.4%21.2%50.6%20.0%22.6%20.6%20.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.8%18.9%50.8%17.6%24.8%19.4%19.1%

Valuation

HGTYHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameHagerty Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Mkt Cap1.237.415.8133.2117.263.750.5
P/S0.91.41.11.91.91.31.3
P/EBIT-8.19.111.78.58.18.5
P/E26.710.514.215.011.610.712.9
P/CFO6.56.32.29.38.46.36.4
Total Yield3.7%11.1%10.6%8.5%10.0%10.2%10.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.6%3.6%1.8%1.3%0.8%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.6%15.8%50.1%10.3%12.9%17.2%14.7%
D/E0.20.10.30.00.20.10.2
Net D/E-0.1-0.5-1.8-0.0-0.2-1.4-0.3

Returns

HGTYHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameHagerty Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
1M Rtn13.5%7.5%5.1%11.5%6.0%6.2%6.9%
3M Rtn8.9%0.4%-1.7%-7.9%6.4%3.2%1.8%
6M Rtn28.2%4.9%9.4%-19.4%1.8%5.4%5.1%
12M Rtn9.4%12.0%-4.2%-11.7%4.5%10.9%6.9%
3Y Rtn33.0%85.9%75.3%76.6%40.7%58.9%67.1%
1M Excs Rtn13.5%7.6%5.1%11.6%6.1%6.2%6.9%
3M Excs Rtn6.0%-6.1%-8.2%-14.1%0.4%-3.2%-4.7%
6M Excs Rtn13.5%-9.9%-5.3%-34.1%-12.9%-9.3%-9.6%
12M Excs Rtn-4.8%-3.4%-18.6%-27.3%-10.0%-4.9%-7.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-27.2%16.1%-0.1%7.2%-29.7%-11.1%-5.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity647,033
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.7%
Average Daily Volume185,461
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.49
Basic Shares Quantity96,167,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024304202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023312202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022314202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021324202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0KAUFFMAN ROBERT I 10282025Sell11.1215,270169,8029,986,839Form
1KAUFFMAN ROBERT I 10242025Sell11.189,495106,15410,543,836Form
2KAUFFMAN ROBERT I 10212025Sell11.3314,644165,91711,025,200Form
3KAUFFMAN ROBERT I 10162025Sell12.1655,524675,17212,446,064Form
4KAUFFMAN ROBERT I 10092025Sell11.906,86181,64613,109,968Form