Tearsheet

Heritage Global (HGBL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.31 | Market Cap: $45.3 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Heritage Global (HGBL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.31
Market Cap: $45.3 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -24%
  Key risks
HGBL key risks include [1] significant default risk from a high borrower concentration in its specialty lending portfolio and [2] the potential for losses on purchased assets due to miscalculating their resale value.
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Industrial Asset Lifecycle, and Specialized Financial Services. Themes include Industrial Asset Redeployment & Resale, Industrial Auctions & Liquidation Services, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -24%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Industrial Asset Lifecycle, and Specialized Financial Services. Themes include Industrial Asset Redeployment & Resale, Industrial Auctions & Liquidation Services, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%
7 Key risks
HGBL key risks include [1] significant default risk from a high borrower concentration in its specialty lending portfolio and [2] the potential for losses on purchased assets due to miscalculating their resale value.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HGBL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period from August 31, 2025, to today (December 18, 2025) is in the future. Therefore, I cannot provide an explanation for the specified -31.4% stock movement of Heritage Global (HGBL) during this future period. However, based on recent available information for Heritage Global (HGBL), several factors have influenced its stock performance.

1. Heritage Global (HGBL) experienced a stock decline of 2.05% in after-hours trading following its Q3 2025 earnings report. The company reported an EPS of $0.02, missing the analyst forecast by $0.02, and revenue of $11.36 million, which was 11.04% below forecast. Consolidated operating income decreased to $1.3 million from $1.5 million year-over-year.

2. Heritage Global's CEO attributed the Q3 2025 underperformance to the absence of "large auctions that typically boost quarterly results." The CEO also emphasized that the company is "100% now in tactical execution".

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HGBL Return172%-30%26%18%-33%-28%37%
Peers Return58%27%-23%17%23%-4%113%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HGBL Win Rate17%42%50%50%33%33% 
Peers Win Rate65%60%37%62%48%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HGBL Max Drawdown-35%-45%-45%0%-43%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-17%-33%-21%-15%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RBA, CPRT, LQDT, PRAA, ECPG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHGBLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-70.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven239.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven375 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven921 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-28.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven35 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-94.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1587.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven633 days1,480 days

Compare to ABTC, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX, STKE


In The Past

Heritage Global's stock fell -70.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/26/2021. A -70.6% loss requires a 239.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Heritage Global (HGBL)

Better Bets than Heritage Global (HGBL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HGBL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Heritage Global

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HGBLRBACPRTLQDTPRAAECPGMedian
NameHeritage.RB GlobalCopart Liquidit.PRA Encore C. 
Mkt Price1.31104.0239.1131.5116.8254.3135.31
Mkt Cap0.019.337.81.00.61.31.1
Rev LTM504,5294,6554771,1731,5611,367
Op Inc LTM67731,72135209438323
FCF LTM-95441,41259-3713295
FCF 3Y Avg74921,10354-8511585
CFO LTM-19081,85367-33160113
CFO 3Y Avg107991,62061-81167114

Growth & Margins

HGBLRBACPRTLQDTPRAAECPGMedian
NameHeritage.RB GlobalCopart Liquidit.PRA Encore C. 
Rev Chg LTM0.0%8.3%6.7%31.2%11.6%17.5%9.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.0%43.6%9.1%19.7%7.3%2.5%9.6%
Rev Chg Q9.1%11.3%0.7%10.4%10.8%25.4%10.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%2.5%0.2%2.4%2.7%6.4%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM12.3%17.1%37.0%7.4%17.8%28.1%17.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.5%18.0%37.5%7.4%9.8%24.3%17.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-0.4%0.5%0.6%-0.3%2.8%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-1.9%20.0%39.8%14.0%-2.8%10.2%12.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.8%19.7%37.2%16.1%-8.5%12.5%17.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-17.7%12.0%30.3%12.4%-3.2%8.4%10.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.3%11.9%25.2%14.2%-8.9%8.5%12.1%

Valuation

HGBLRBACPRTLQDTPRAAECPGMedian
NameHeritage.RB GlobalCopart Liquidit.PRA Encore C. 
Mkt Cap0.019.337.81.00.61.31.1
P/S1.14.48.12.00.50.61.6
P/EBIT6.526.522.027.8-3.222.0
P/E18.646.023.734.7-1.8-21.521.2
P/CFO-60.222.220.414.6-18.56.110.3
Total Yield5.4%3.3%4.2%2.9%-56.9%-4.7%3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.8%3.1%2.5%7.8%-10.8%6.8%
D/E0.10.20.00.0-4.10.1
Net D/E-0.20.2-0.1-0.2-3.9-0.1

Returns

HGBLRBACPRTLQDTPRAAECPGMedian
NameHeritage.RB GlobalCopart Liquidit.PRA Encore C. 
1M Rtn7.4%5.8%-5.4%41.6%5.1%13.0%6.6%
3M Rtn-29.2%-11.7%-16.1%13.5%0.7%21.6%-5.5%
6M Rtn-37.6%0.0%-18.3%35.1%14.9%42.1%7.5%
12M Rtn-25.1%12.4%-35.5%1.1%-23.7%10.7%-11.3%
3Y Rtn-48.6%101.1%29.5%138.2%-48.3%15.8%22.7%
1M Excs Rtn6.6%5.1%-6.1%40.8%4.3%12.2%5.9%
3M Excs Rtn-28.2%-12.8%-15.3%10.2%-4.1%16.5%-8.4%
6M Excs Rtn-50.0%-12.4%-30.7%22.7%2.5%29.7%-4.9%
12M Excs Rtn-35.4%-0.1%-47.2%-22.4%-31.4%-0.8%-26.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-120.1%28.0%-46.9%75.3%-118.3%-57.9%-52.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Operating Income by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Brokerage952  
Auction and Liquidation583  
Refurbishment & Resale31-0  
Specialty Lending210  
Corporate and other-4-4-2-2-3
Financial Assets Division   33
Industrial Asset Division   63
Total1411363


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,077
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202527.7%
Average Daily Volume38,951
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity34,547,477
Short % of Basic Shares0.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/9/202314.2%13.4%13.0%
11/9/2020-4.4%-16.1%15.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive112
# Negative110
Median Positive14.2%13.4%14.0%
Median Negative-4.4%-16.1% 
Max Positive14.2%13.4%15.0%
Max Negative-4.4%-16.1% 

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022324202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021317202210-K 12/31/2021