Tearsheet

Hess Midstream (HESM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $34.2 | Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Hess Midstream (HESM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $34.2
Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 7.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -27%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 84%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 62%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include North American Energy Infrastructure. Themes include Crude Oil & Natural Gas Midstream, and Energy Logistics & Transportation.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 7.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 16%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 62%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include North American Energy Infrastructure. Themes include Crude Oil & Natural Gas Midstream, and Energy Logistics & Transportation.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -27%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 84%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HESM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I am unable to provide specific reasons for a -15.2% stock movement for Hess Midstream (HESM) during the exact period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, as this timeframe is in the future relative to my last update of information. However, I can highlight key factors that have recently influenced HESM's stock performance and investor sentiment up to the most recent available data, which could explain downward pressure on the stock.

1. Suspension of Capa Gas Plant. Hess Midstream reduced its full-year 2025 capital expenditure guidance to approximately $270 million, reflecting the suspension of the Capa gas plant project and its removal from the company's forward plan. This indicates a change in investment strategy and potentially impacts future growth prospects.

2. Analyst Downgrades and Revised Price Targets. Several analyst firms adjusted their ratings and price targets for HESM around late 2024 and late 2025. For example, Wall Street Zen downgraded Hess Midstream Partners from a "buy" to a "hold" rating in November 2025. Additionally, Raymond James Financial lowered its price target from $48.00 to $35.00 in October 2025, while maintaining an "outperform" rating. These revisions suggest a less optimistic outlook from the analytical community.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HESM Return-5%53%17%14%26%-3%136%
Peers Return-20%38%27%13%50%9%159%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HESM Win Rate58%83%50%67%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate43%73%65%60%72%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HESM Max Drawdown-72%-2%-7%-12%-1%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-0%-1%-8%-3%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ET, MPLX, ENB, WMB, KMI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHESMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-30.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven526 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-75.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven309.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven441 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven896 days120 days

Compare to ET, MPLX, ENB, WMB, KMI


In The Past

Hess Midstream's stock fell -30.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -30.1% loss requires a 43.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Hess Midstream (HESM)

Better Bets than Hess Midstream (HESM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HESM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hess Midstream

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HESMETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NameHess Mid.Energy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
Mkt Price34.15--47.7561.5527.1740.95
Mkt Cap4.4--104.175.260.467.8
Rev LTM1,60979,75711,42064,23411,49516,41613,956
Op Inc LTM1,0009,2404,62611,1993,9414,4594,542
FCF LTM7135,1894,6864,0541,7222,7573,406
FCF 3Y Avg6626,0954,5896,7072,4583,3753,982
CFO LTM99710,8416,08812,8215,5405,7355,912
CFO 3Y Avg92210,2175,70813,1915,4845,9185,813

Growth & Margins

HESMETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NameHess Mid.Energy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
Rev Chg LTM10.8%-4.7%6.3%32.3%9.0%8.3%8.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.1%-3.0%2.5%8.6%0.8%-4.3%1.6%
Rev Chg Q11.1%-3.9%4.6%-1.6%10.2%12.1%7.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.7%-1.0%1.1%-0.4%2.4%2.8%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM62.1%11.6%40.5%17.4%34.3%27.2%30.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg61.6%10.8%40.6%19.1%35.5%27.6%31.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.1%-0.4%0.1%1.6%-0.5%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM61.9%13.6%53.3%20.0%48.2%34.9%41.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg63.5%12.7%52.8%25.6%49.8%37.5%43.7%
FCF/Rev LTM44.3%6.5%41.0%6.3%15.0%16.8%15.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg45.6%7.5%42.5%13.5%22.5%21.5%22.0%

Valuation

HESMETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NameHess Mid.Energy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
Mkt Cap4.4--104.175.260.467.8
P/S2.8--1.76.73.83.3
P/EBIT4.4--8.416.714.111.3
P/E13.6--18.332.723.120.7
P/CFO4.5--8.614.011.09.8
Total Yield14.5%--12.9%6.2%8.4%10.7%
Dividend Yield7.2%--7.4%3.1%4.1%5.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg23.3%--8.3%4.7%7.2%7.8%
D/E0.8--0.90.40.50.7
Net D/E0.8--0.90.40.50.7

Returns

HESMETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NameHess Mid.Energy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
1M Rtn1.3%--3.9%4.3%4.2%4.0%
3M Rtn-15.0%--0.2%7.5%2.8%1.5%
6M Rtn-5.3%--5.3%4.1%-0.9%1.6%
12M Rtn-2.1%--16.4%12.6%3.4%8.0%
3Y Rtn39.9%--43.5%102.0%68.6%56.0%
1M Excs Rtn1.4%--3.9%4.3%4.2%4.1%
3M Excs Rtn-20.7%---4.8%2.5%-2.5%-3.6%
6M Excs Rtn-20.1%---9.4%-10.6%-15.7%-13.1%
12M Excs Rtn-16.3%--3.1%-4.7%-13.2%-9.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-27.2%---31.4%38.1%0.7%-13.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Gathering2,1392,0221,9271,8561,845
Processing and Storage1,0481,0991,1501,1701,055
Interest and Other3381911285667
Terminaling and Export264276281292311
Total3,7903,5883,4863,3743,278


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,102,951
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-6.5%
Average Daily Volume1,931,232
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.68
Basic Shares Quantity130,300,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Gatling John A.President and COO8142025Sell41.5962,4572,597,593 Form
1Schoonman Geurt G 6102025Sell39.103,249127,055 Form