Home Depot (HD)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $344.95 | Market Cap: $342.5 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Home Improvement Retail
Home Depot (HD)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $344.95Market Cap: $342.5 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Home Improvement Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 2.7% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -42%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -64% | Key risksHD key risks include [1] a high sensitivity to the housing market slowdown, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 18 Bil, FCF LTM is 14 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 2.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 18 Bil, FCF LTM is 14 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -42%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -64% |
| Key risksHD key risks include [1] a high sensitivity to the housing market slowdown, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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Here are five key points explaining the approximate -14.2% stock movement for Home Depot (HD) for the period from a recent high in mid-September 2023 to late 2023, serving as the most recent available information. **1. Home Depot reported a decrease in third-quarter sales and comparable sales.** The company's sales for the third quarter of fiscal 2023 decreased by 3.0% from the same period in fiscal 2022, with comparable sales falling by 3.1%, and comparable sales in the U.S. decreasing by 3.5%. This indicated a slowdown in consumer spending on home improvement.**2. The company narrowed its fiscal 2023 guidance downwards.** Home Depot updated its full-year fiscal 2023 guidance, projecting sales and comparable sales to decline between 3% and 4% compared to fiscal 2022. Diluted earnings per share were also expected to decline between 9% and 11% year-over-year. This revised outlook signaled cautious growth ahead to investors.
**3. There was sustained pressure in big-ticket, discretionary categories.** While customer engagement continued with smaller projects, Home Depot experienced ongoing weakness in larger, discretionary purchases. This suggests consumers were holding back on significant home renovation projects due to economic uncertainty and higher borrowing costs.
**4. A lack of major storm activity negatively impacted sales.** The absence of significant storm events in the third quarter led to less demand for storm-related repair items, such as roofing materials and power generators, which historically contribute to sales. This unexpected calm contributed to the company missing its internal expectations.
**5. Analyst downgrades and concerns about the housing market weighed on the stock.** Ahead of and following the Q3 report, several brokerages, including Stifel, downgraded Home Depot's stock or lowered price targets, citing weakness and a potentially deteriorating home improvement retail sector. The housing market faced pressure with turnover at "40-year lows," impacting demand for major renovations often associated with new homeownership. Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -15.5% change in HD stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -15.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9232025 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 408.27 | 344.97 | -15.50% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 165054.00 | 166189.00 | 0.69% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.86% | 8.77% | -1.00% |
| P/E Multiple | 27.68 | 23.49 | -15.15% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 992.00 | 993.00 | -0.10% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -15.50% |
Market Drivers
9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HD | -15.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.7% | 18.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 2.7% | 37.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -3.1% change in HD stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -2.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6242025 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 356.08 | 344.97 | -3.12% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 162952.00 | 166189.00 | 1.99% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.98% | 8.77% | -2.33% |
| P/E Multiple | 24.13 | 23.49 | -2.64% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 992.00 | 993.00 | -0.10% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -3.12% |
Market Drivers
6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HD | -3.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.7% | 25.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 13.5% | 45.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.9% change in HD stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -9.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12232024 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 382.90 | 344.97 | -9.91% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 154596.00 | 166189.00 | 7.50% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.45% | 8.77% | -7.15% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.97 | 23.49 | -9.55% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 991.00 | 993.00 | -0.20% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -9.91% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HD | -9.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.7% | 50.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.3% | 61.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.8% change in HD stock from 12/24/2022 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 33.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12242022 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 295.32 | 344.97 | 16.81% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 157291.00 | 166189.00 | 5.66% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.87% | 8.77% | -19.27% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.62 | 23.49 | 33.32% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1020.00 | 993.00 | 2.65% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.73% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HD | 3.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.4% | 49.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 38.2% | 57.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HD Return | 25% | 60% | -22% | 13% | 15% | -9% | 83% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HD Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 58% | 75% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HD Max Drawdown | -30% | -6% | -35% | -11% | -6% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, WMT, COST, LOW, BBBY. See HD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 751 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -38.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 68 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 199 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -56.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 132.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,019 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AMZN, WMT, COST, LOW, BBBY
In The Past
Home Depot's stock fell -35.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/7/2021. A -35.9% loss requires a 56.1% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Home Depot:
Walmart for home improvement: Home Depot is a massive retail chain, similar in scale and breadth of products within its category (home improvement, tools, building materials, garden supplies) to how Walmart operates for general merchandise.
Costco for home renovation and building supplies: Like Costco, Home Depot operates large warehouse-style stores and caters to both individual consumers (DIYers) and professional contractors, offering a vast array of products often in larger quantities or specialized for construction/renovation projects.
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Home Depot (HD) Major Products and Services
- Building Materials: A wide range of construction essentials including lumber, drywall, roofing, insulation, and concrete.
- Home Improvement Products: Thousands of items for DIY and professional projects, such as tools, hardware, paint, flooring, lighting, appliances, and garden supplies.
- Installation Services: Professional installation for various products purchased, including kitchen and bath remodels, flooring, windows, doors, and HVAC systems.
- Tool & Equipment Rental: Rental of a comprehensive selection of tools, heavy machinery, and moving equipment for short-term project needs.
- Pro Xtra Program & Services: Tailored benefits and services for professional contractors, including dedicated account support, bulk pricing, and jobsite delivery.
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Home Depot (Symbol: HD) - Major Customers
Home Depot primarily serves individual consumers and small businesses, often referred to as "Pro" customers. Therefore, the company sells primarily to individuals in different capacities rather than to other large corporate entities for resale.
The major categories of customers Home Depot serves are:
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1. Do-It-Yourself (DIY) Customers
These are individual homeowners and renters who purchase products for their own home improvement, maintenance, repair, and decoration projects. They typically shop for materials, tools, appliances, and décor to complete tasks around their homes themselves.
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2. Professional (Pro) Customers
This category includes contractors, remodelers, repair professionals, tradespeople (such as plumbers, electricians, landscapers, and painters), and property managers. These customers purchase materials, tools, and supplies for their businesses and the projects they undertake for their clients. Home Depot offers specialized services, bulk pricing, and dedicated programs (e.g., Pro Xtra) to cater to the specific needs of this segment.
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Ted Decker, Chair, President & Chief Executive Officer
Ted Decker has served as Chair, President, and CEO of The Home Depot since 2022, and has been a member of the company's board of directors since 2022. He joined The Home Depot in 2000 as director of business valuation and has held various strategic positions including senior director of business valuation, vice president, senior vice president of strategic business development, and senior vice president of retail finance. From 2020 to 2022, he served as president and chief operating officer. Before joining The Home Depot, Decker worked in business development, strategic planning, and finance at Kimberly-Clark Corp. and Scott Paper Co. He also held corporate finance, lending, and credit positions at PNC Bank and has international experience from living and working in England and Australia.
Richard McPhail, Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Richard McPhail was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of The Home Depot in September 2019, having joined the company in 2005. He is responsible for the company's financial operations, including financial performance management, capital allocation, financial services, controllership, investor relations, tax, treasury, real estate, corporate strategy, and strategic business development. Prior to his CFO role, McPhail held senior positions in strategic planning, financial planning, business development, and international financial management at The Home Depot. Before joining Home Depot, he served as executive vice president of corporate finance with the Marconi Corporation plc in London, England, and also held positions at Wachovia Securities and Arthur Andersen.
Fahim Siddiqui, Executive Vice President & Chief Information Officer
Fahim Siddiqui is the Executive Vice President and Chief Information Officer at The Home Depot, a role he was named to in April 2022. He leads the company's technology strategy, infrastructure, software development, and cybersecurity for all retail stores, supply chain facilities, store support centers, and online systems. Siddiqui joined The Home Depot in 2018 as Senior Vice President of Information Technology, focusing on developing applications and solutions for online, marketing, merchandising, and supply chain functions. With over three decades of experience, he has led software development in the retail, energy, and telecom sectors, including roles at Staples (as Senior Vice President and CIO – e-commerce & digital), Vidyo, Intralinks, Sereniti (which he founded), K2 Software, MCI, Time Warner Telecom, and Sprint. He holds five U.S. patents for his technical contributions.
Molly Battin, Senior Vice President & Chief Marketing Officer
Molly Battin is the Senior Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer at The Home Depot, a position she assumed in 2022. Her responsibilities encompass branding, marketing strategy, loyalty programs, personalization efforts, and the company's retail media network, Orange Apron Media. Before joining The Home Depot, Battin held executive leadership roles across notable brands such as Coca-Cola, Warner Media, and Delta Air Lines, where she led global corporate brand strategy and brand management.
Ann-Marie Campbell, Executive Vice President of U.S. Stores
Ann-Marie Campbell serves as the Executive Vice President of U.S. Stores for The Home Depot. She has held this role since February 2016. Her extensive career at Home Depot spans over 30 years, during which she has held various leadership positions across store operations, merchandising, and human resources.
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The Home Depot (HD) faces several key risks to its business, primarily driven by macroeconomic factors, a highly competitive retail landscape, and complexities within its extensive supply chain.- Economic Fluctuations and Housing Market Sensitivity: Home Depot's performance is highly sensitive to the overall health of the economy, particularly the housing market. High mortgage rates and low housing turnover significantly impact consumer spending on home improvement projects, especially larger renovations. The company has reported weak sales growth and lower foot traffic, missing expectations and signaling that economic pressures are anticipated to keep sales sluggish through 2026. Consumer uncertainty and affordability constraints disproportionately affect home improvement demand, leading to customers deferring big projects.
- Intense Competition: Home Depot operates in a highly competitive market, facing pressure from both traditional brick-and-mortar retailers like Lowe's and Menards, as well as online giants such as Amazon and Walmart. This intense competitive landscape puts constant pressure on pricing, product assortment, and customer service, requiring continuous innovation and significant investment to maintain market share and an edge over rivals. The rapid growth of e-commerce also poses a significant threat, as online competitors often offer a wider range of products, potentially at lower prices.
- Supply Chain Disruptions: The Home Depot's vast and complex global supply chain is susceptible to various disruptions. Factors such as natural disasters, geopolitical tensions, global health crises, and transportation issues can lead to stockouts, delayed deliveries, and increased operational costs. Labor shortages within the supply chain and trucking industry, as well as rising shipping and fuel costs, further contribute to these challenges. Such disruptions can impact product availability, pricing, and overall customer satisfaction.
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The Home Depot, Inc. (symbol: HD) operates within several large addressable markets for its main products and services. These markets primarily encompass home improvement retail, building materials, home appliances, tools, outdoor living and garden products, and installation services.
Addressable Market Sizes:
-
Home Improvement Market (Overall):
U.S. Market: The total U.S. home improvement market was valued at approximately USD 574.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach about USD 688 billion by 2029. Another estimate places the U.S. market at USD 534.57 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 682.40 billion by 2033. Further data suggests the U.S. home improvement market revenue was around USD 409.7 billion in 2024, with expectations to reach USD 603.3 billion by 2034.
Global Market: The global home improvement market size was valued at USD 894.2 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 1.32 trillion by 2034. Another report estimates the global market at USD 872.4 billion in 2024, anticipated to reach USD 1318.5 billion by 2033.
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Residential Remodeling Market:
U.S. Market: The U.S. residential remodeling market was estimated at USD 527.36 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow to USD 716.18 billion by 2030.
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Home Services Market (including Installation Services):
U.S. Market: The U.S. home services market was valued at approximately USD 0.78 trillion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 1.42 trillion by 2030. Other estimates for the U.S. market include USD 211.71 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 893.18 billion by 2032, and USD 506 billion in 2020.
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Building Materials Market:
U.S. Market: The U.S. construction materials market is valued at USD 145.0 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 196.1 billion by 2032. For Lumber & Building Material Stores in the U.S., the market size was USD 160.1 billion in 2024.
Global Market: The global building materials market size was USD 1.35 trillion in 2024, with projections to reach around USD 2 trillion by 2034.
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Home Appliance Market:
U.S. Market: The U.S. home appliance market size was valued at USD 129.83 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow to USD 204.99 billion by 2032. Another report states the U.S. household appliances market size was estimated at USD 99.34 billion in 2024. The major home appliances segment in the United States was estimated at USD 42.73 billion in 2025.
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Power Tools Market:
U.S. Market: The U.S. power tools market size was valued at USD 11.60 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 15.78 billion by 2033.
Global Market: The global power tools market size was estimated at USD 32.95 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 54.50 billion by 2030. Another source estimates the global market at USD 39.5 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 45.5 billion by 2029.
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Outdoor Living and Garden Products Market:
U.S. Outdoor Living Products Market: The U.S. outdoor living product market was analyzed at USD 43 billion in 2023.
U.S. Outdoor Living Structures Market: This segment, which includes pergolas, patios, pavilions, and gazebos, was estimated at USD 892.9 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 1.22 billion by 2030.
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Home Furnishings Market:
U.S. Market: The U.S. home furnishing market size was estimated to be beyond USD 392 billion in 2024, with projections reaching USD 649 billion by 2031. Given the global market of USD 1,018.2 billion in 2024, and the U.S. accounting for 67.56% of this, the U.S. home furnishing market would be approximately USD 687.9 billion in 2024.
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Home Depot (HD) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives aimed at both professional (Pro) and do-it-yourself (DIY) customers, alongside operational enhancements:
- Expansion and Fortification of the Pro Market: Home Depot is aggressively expanding its focus on professional contractors, a segment that already accounts for over 50% of its sales. This expansion is being driven by significant acquisitions, such as SRS Distribution in 2024 and GMS Inc. in 2025, which enhance its logistics capabilities with an expanded network of over 1,200 facilities and 8,000 trucks for faster delivery services. The company's strategy involves improving the shopping experience for Pros through digital upgrades like job site deliveries, bulk pricing, and personalized accounts, along with increased workforce training and dedicated Pro desks in stores.
- Omnichannel and Digital Investment: The company continues to invest heavily in its digital capabilities and omnichannel strategy to provide a seamless shopping experience. This includes enhancing its e-commerce platforms, improving the mobile app with features like store navigation and inventory tracking, and offering flexible shopping options such as Buy Online, Pick Up In Store (BOPIS) and curbside pickup. These digital advancements are designed to drive higher engagement and spending from both Pro and DIY customers.
- Strategic Store Expansion: While not a rapid expansion, Home Depot continues to grow its physical footprint with strategic new store openings. The company opened 12 new stores in 2024 and plans to open approximately 13 more in 2025, contributing to overall sales growth and market penetration.
- Product Innovation and Solutions: Home Depot is focused on offering innovative product solutions that simplify projects and provide value to customers by saving them time and money. This includes bringing new products to the market that cater to evolving customer needs and preferences.
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Share Repurchases
- In August 2023, Home Depot's Board approved a new $15.0 billion share repurchase authorization, replacing a previous $15.0 billion authorization from August 2022. Approximately $11.7 billion of this authorization remained available as of February 2, 2025.
- During fiscal 2024, Home Depot made cash payments of $649 million for common stock repurchases through open market purchases, with repurchases paused in March 2024 in anticipation of the SRS acquisition.
- From 2019 to 2023, Home Depot spent $37.2 billion on share repurchases.
Share Issuance
- There is no information available indicating significant share issuances by Home Depot over the last 3-5 years. The company's annual basic shares outstanding have shown a decline, suggesting a net reduction in shares due to repurchases.
Outbound Investments
- Home Depot acquired SRS Distribution Inc. for $18.25 billion in March 2024, expanding its presence in professional contracting markets, including roofing, landscaping, and pool supplies.
- In September 2025, Home Depot completed the acquisition of Gypsum Management & Supply, Inc. (GMS) for approximately $4.3 billion, which is complementary to SRS's business and targets the Pro contractor market.
- Home Depot re-acquired HD Supply Holdings in December 2020 for $8 billion, strengthening its position in the maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) sector.
Capital Expenditures
- Home Depot's capital expenditures for fiscal 2024 were $3.5 billion, and for fiscal 2023, they were $3.2 billion.
- The company expects capital expenditures to be approximately 2.5% of sales for fiscal 2025.
- Capital expenditures are primarily focused on reinvesting in the business to drive growth, advance goals, build an interconnected customer experience, and expand its store footprint by opening approximately 80 new stores over a five-year period, with 12 new stores opened in fiscal 2024.
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| 06302022 | HD | Home Depot | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.3% | 16.4% | -2.2% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Home Depot
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 237.14 |
| Mkt Cap | 361.0 |
| Rev LTM | 223,290 |
| Op Inc LTM | 16,093 |
| FCF LTM | 11,242 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 11,295 |
| CFO LTM | 16,206 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 16,062 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 361.0 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 21.2 |
| P/E | 29.2 |
| P/CFO | 19.9 |
| Total Yield | 3.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -0.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 92.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -16.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 13.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $344.97 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 342.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/22/1981 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -18.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $363.01 | $369.24 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -5.0% | -6.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 23.5% | 23.2% |
| Downside Capture | 83.44 | 77.80 |
| Upside Capture | -11.28 | 55.62 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 18.6% | 50.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.76 | 0.42 | 0.45 | 0.65 | 0.63 | 0.76 |
| Up Beta | 0.54 | 0.81 | 1.01 | 1.19 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| Down Beta | -1.25 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.21 | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| Up Capture | 53% | -13% | -7% | 44% | 44% | 58% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 56 | 109 | 378 |
| Down Capture | 142% | 84% | 77% | 87% | 90% | 99% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 69 | 138 | 371 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of HD With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HD | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -10.2% | 7.8% | 18.8% | 72.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | -11.4% |
| Annualized Volatility | 23.3% | 24.3% | 19.5% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.53 | 0.25 | 0.76 | 2.72 | 0.36 | 0.05 | -0.14 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 61.1% | 50.8% | -4.6% | 4.6% | 63.4% | 16.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of HD With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HD | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 35.5% |
| Annualized Volatility | 23.7% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.29 | 0.38 | 0.70 | 0.98 | 0.51 | 0.16 | 0.62 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 62.4% | 59.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 60.1% | 19.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of HD With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HD | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 12.8% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 69.1% |
| Annualized Volatility | 24.6% | 22.0% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.51 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.85 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 71.0% | 69.4% | 5.7% | 19.6% | 62.7% | 16.2% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/18/2025 | -6.0% | -6.0% | -0.2% |
| 8/19/2025 | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% |
| 5/20/2025 | -0.6% | -2.4% | -8.0% |
| 2/25/2025 | 2.8% | 1.9% | -5.0% |
| 11/12/2024 | -1.3% | 0.5% | 3.7% |
| 8/13/2024 | 1.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% |
| 5/14/2024 | -0.1% | -0.9% | 1.6% |
| 2/20/2024 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 5.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| # Negative | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -2.4% | -4.9% |
| Max Positive | 5.7% | 10.2% | 20.0% |
| Max Negative | -8.9% | -8.9% | -22.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 11252025 | 10-Q 11/2/2025 |
| 7312025 | 8262025 | 10-Q 8/3/2025 |
| 4302025 | 5282025 | 10-Q 5/4/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3212025 | 10-K 2/2/2025 |
| 10312024 | 11192024 | 10-Q 10/27/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8202024 | 10-Q 7/28/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5212024 | 10-Q 4/28/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3132024 | 10-K 1/28/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11212023 | 10-Q 10/29/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8222023 | 10-Q 7/30/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5232023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3152023 | 10-K 1/29/2023 |
| 10312022 | 11222022 | 10-Q 10/30/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8232022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 5242022 | 10-Q 5/1/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3232022 | 10-K 1/30/2022 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Padilla Hector A | EVP - US Sales and Operations | 8222025 | Sell | 404.17 | 1,585 | 640,609 | 5,629,506 | Form |
| 1 | Roseborough Teresa Wynn | EVP, Gen. Counsel & Corp. Sec. | 5292025 | Sell | 369.28 | 5,406 | 1,996,328 | 6,413,122 | Form |
| 2 | Siddiqui Fahim | EVP and CIO | 5272025 | Sell | 367.14 | 2,600 | 954,564 | 2,919,130 | Form |
| 3 | BRENNEMAN GREGORY D | 3182025 | Buy | 346.66 | 1,442 | 499,884 | 499,884 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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