Gran Tierra Energy (GTE)
Market Price (4/22/2026): $7.78 | Market Cap: $275.0 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Gran Tierra Energy (GTE)
Market Price (4/22/2026): $7.78Market Cap: $275.0 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Supply & Security. Themes include Conventional Oil & Gas Production, Hydrocarbon Exploration & Development, and South American Upstream Energy. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.8% Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 218% Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 125% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 97% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -70% Key risksGTE key risks include [1] a hostile political and tax environment in Colombia that threatens operational stability and profitability, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Supply & Security. Themes include Conventional Oil & Gas Production, Hydrocarbon Exploration & Development, and South American Upstream Energy. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.8% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 218% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 125% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 97% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -70% |
| Key risksGTE key risks include [1] a hostile political and tax environment in Colombia that threatens operational stability and profitability, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Significant Surge in Global Oil Prices. Crude oil and petroleum product prices experienced a sharp increase in the first quarter of 2026, primarily due to military action in the Middle East and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude oil prices, a key benchmark, escalated from approximately $61 per barrel at the beginning of the year to $118 per barrel by the end of Q1 2026, representing a roughly 93% increase and the largest inflation-adjusted price jump since 1988. This substantial rise in commodity prices directly and positively impacted Gran Tierra Energy's revenue and profitability outlook as an oil exploration and production company.
2. Successful Debt Restructuring Initiatives. Gran Tierra Energy successfully completed a bond exchange offer, which improved its financial flexibility. The company announced the final results of its exchange offer on March 2, 2026, achieving approximately 90.52% participation from holders of its 9.500% Senior Secured Amortizing Notes due 2029 for new 9.750% Senior Secured Amortizing Notes due 2031. This strategic move extended debt maturities and modified covenants, which was highlighted as a positive development in the Q4 2025 earnings call. Additionally, the company enhanced its liquidity by amending and expanding its prepayment agreement, adding up to $175 million in incremental capacity.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 96.2% change in GTE stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 102.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.24 | 8.32 | 96.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 620 | 602 | -2.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.5 | 102.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 35 | 35 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 96.2% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GTE | 96.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 7.4% |
| Sector (XLE) | 25.0% | 54.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 91.3% change in GTE stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 97.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.35 | 8.32 | 91.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 622 | 602 | -3.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.5 | 97.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 35 | 35 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 91.3% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GTE | 91.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 6.1% |
| Sector (XLE) | 26.1% | 52.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 68.8% change in GTE stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 79.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.93 | 8.32 | 68.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 622 | 602 | -3.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.5 | 79.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 34 | 35 | -2.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 68.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GTE | 68.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 23.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | 22.6% | 57.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -5.4% change in GTE stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.79 | 8.32 | -5.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 711 | 602 | -15.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.5 | 11.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 35 | 35 | 0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -5.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GTE | -5.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 26.4% |
| Sector (XLE) | 47.8% | 59.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GTE Return | 109% | 30% | -43% | 28% | -41% | 89% | 121% |
| Peers Return | 107% | 32% | 167% | -15% | 7% | 37% | 807% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 4% | 89% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GTE Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 33% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 42% | 42% | 39% | 56% | 75% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GTE Max Drawdown | -1% | 0% | -52% | -14% | -53% | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -1% | -0% | -25% | -24% | -35% | -5% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VET, BTE, OVV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GTE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -77.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 344.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -86.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 635.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 706 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -76.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 316.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -77.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 336.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 774 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to VET, BTE, OVV
In The Past
Gran Tierra Energy's stock fell -77.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -77.5% loss requires a 344.0% gain to breakeven.
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About Gran Tierra Energy (GTE)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Gran Tierra Energy:
- Gran Tierra Energy is like the exploration and production arm of **ExxonMobil**, but exclusively focused on oil and gas fields in Colombia and Ecuador.
- Think of Gran Tierra Energy as a regional version of **Chevron**, specializing in oil and gas exploration and production in South America.
- It's akin to an **Occidental Petroleum** or **ConocoPhillips**, but purely operating and developing oil reserves in Colombia and Ecuador.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Oil and Gas Exploration: This service involves identifying and evaluating potential crude oil and natural gas reserves in Colombia and Ecuador.
- Oil and Gas Production: This service focuses on extracting crude oil and natural gas from discovered reserves for commercial sale.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE) is an exploration and production company that primarily sells crude oil and natural gas to other companies, rather than directly to individuals.
Based on the company's public filings, Gran Tierra Energy does not disclose the specific names of its major customers. While the company has indicated that its largest customer accounted for approximately 25% of total sales in 2023, the identity of this customer is not publicly available. Gran Tierra Energy states that crude oil and natural gas are commodities, and it expects to be able to sell its production to other customers, implying a diversified market of buyers.
Therefore, based on the typical business model for an oil and gas exploration and production company operating in the commodity market, Gran Tierra Energy's customers would generally fall into the following categories:
- Refineries: Companies that purchase crude oil to process into refined petroleum products such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel.
- Trading Companies and Brokers: Entities that buy and sell crude oil and natural gas in the commodity markets, facilitating sales between producers and end-users or other market participants.
- National Oil Companies (NOCs) and Integrated Energy Companies: Large state-owned or private corporations that may operate in various segments of the oil and gas industry, including refining, marketing, and distribution, and purchase crude oil for their own operations or for resale. In Colombia, for example, Ecopetrol (NYSE: EC) is a significant integrated energy company.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Gary S. Guidry
President and Chief Executive Officer
Gary S. Guidry has over 40 years of experience developing and maximizing assets in the international oil and gas industry, with direct experience managing large, international projects across Latin America, Africa, the Middle East, and Asia. Before joining Gran Tierra, he served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Caracal Energy Inc., a London Stock Exchange-listed oil and gas company with operations in Chad, Africa, which was acquired by Glencore plc for $1.8 billion in mid-2014. In 2014, Mr. Guidry received the Oil Council Executive of the Year award for his leadership role with Caracal. Prior to Caracal, he was President and Chief Executive Officer of Orion Oil and Gas (TSX listed), which merged in mid-2011. From May 2005 until December 2008, he was President and Chief Executive Officer of Tanganyika Oil Company (TSX listed), operating in Syria and Egypt, and prior to that, he was CEO of Calpine Natural Gas Trust. His appointment as CEO of Gran Tierra in mid-2015 was part of a governance change driven by activist investors.
Ryan Ellson
Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Finance
Ryan Ellson possesses over 22 years of experience in a wide array of international corporate finance and accounting roles. He most recently held the position of Head of Finance for Glencore E&P (Canada) Inc. Previously, he was Vice President, Finance at Caracal Energy Inc., a company that Glencore E&P (Canada) acquired in July 2014. During his tenure at Caracal Energy, Mr. Ellson played a crucial role in negotiating a $330 million farm-out to Glencore, securing a $250 million reserve-based lending facility, and participating in multiple capital raises totaling approximately $500 million. He was also instrumental in Caracal Energy's successful listing on the London Stock Exchange. Before his time at Caracal, Mr. Ellson held various management and executive positions with companies operating in Egypt, India, and Canada. He has been involved in raising over $2 billion in debt and equity and multiple mergers and acquisitions exceeding $3 billion.
Sebastien Morin
Chief Operating Officer
Sebastien Morin was appointed as Gran Tierra's Chief Operating Officer on November 6, 2023, and brings over 20 years of experience in various management positions within the oil and gas industry. Before this role, he served as President and Chief Operating Officer at WesternZagros Resources, a privately-owned petroleum operating company in the Kurdistan region of Iraq, from October 2021 to October 2023. Prior to WesternZagros, Mr. Morin was Vice President Global Drilling and Completions at Gran Tierra, having held progressively more senior positions within the company in Colombia and the Calgary corporate office from August 2014 to September 2021. From May 2001 to July 2014, he gained extensive experience at Imperial Oil (Esso) and ExxonMobil in technical and managerial roles across upstream and downstream operations, including drilling, completions, reservoir development, production, customer service, and distribution.
Phillip Abraham
Executive Vice President, Legal and Land
Phillip Abraham has been a part of Gran Tierra in various capacities since January 2016 and also serves as the company's Corporate Secretary. He is a lawyer with more than 25 years of corporate and legal experience, specializing in international oil and gas law. His corporate background includes leadership positions at Cenovus Energy, Encana Corporation, and Nexen Inc. Mr. Abraham's experience in the oil and gas sector encompasses both onshore and offshore projects in diverse international jurisdictions, including Canada, Latin America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and the Middle East.
Jim Evans
Executive Vice President, Corporate Services
Jim Evans has over 28 years of experience, with 16 years specifically in the international oil and gas industry. His most recent role prior to Gran Tierra was as Head of Compliance & Corporate Services for Glencore E&P (Canada). Before that, he was Vice President of Compliance & Corporate Services at Caracal Energy, where he was responsible for the execution of corporate strategy and goals, the development and implementation of a robust corporate compliance program, and the management of IT, document control, security, and administration. Mr. Evans oversaw Caracal Energy's growth from seven employees to over 400, and its production exceeded 20,000 barrels of oil per day at the time of its sale to Glencore. Prior to Caracal, he held senior management and executive positions at Orion Oil and Gas and Tanganyika Oil.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Gran Tierra Energy (GTE) faces several significant risks to its business operations and financial stability.Key Risks to Gran Tierra Energy
- Financial Stress and High Debt Levels: Gran Tierra Energy is experiencing ongoing financial stress, characterized by liquidity pressure and high debt levels. The company's debt is estimated at roughly 3x its projected 2026 EBITDA, significantly higher than the industry-accepted leverage standard. Efforts to extend debt maturities and modify restrictive covenants are indicative of this financial strain. In 2025, Gran Tierra reported a significant net loss, heavily influenced by impairment charges, further highlighting its financial challenges.
- Commodity Price Volatility: Fluctuations in oil and gas prices represent a constant concern for Gran Tierra Energy, directly impacting its revenue and operational cash flow. Lower commodity prices were a key factor contributing to impairment charges and the net loss reported in Q4 2025. The company's adjusted EBITDA and funds flow from operations have also decreased in line with reductions in Brent oil prices.
- Geopolitical Instability and Regulatory Risks in Operating Regions: Operating primarily in Colombia and Ecuador, Gran Tierra Energy is exposed to significant challenges from regulatory shifts and geopolitical instability in these regions. Historically, the company has faced temporary production reductions due to national protests and road blockades in Colombia, which impede the transportation of supplies and oil sales. Such disruptions can impact operational efficiency and profitability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat to Gran Tierra Energy is the increasing political and regulatory pressure in Colombia, its primary country of operation, to significantly restrict or halt new oil and and gas exploration and development activities. This pressure stems from the current government's stated energy transition and environmental policies, which aim to reduce the nation's reliance on fossil fuels. Such policies could directly impede Gran Tierra Energy's ability to acquire new exploration licenses, develop existing undeveloped reserves, and ultimately replenish its production and reserve base, posing a fundamental challenge to its long-term business sustainability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (symbol: GTE) focuses on the exploration and production of oil and natural gas in Colombia and Ecuador. The addressable markets for their main products, crude oil and natural gas, in these regions can be characterized by production, consumption, and trade volumes.
Colombia
The oil and gas sector is a significant contributor to Colombia's economy, accounting for approximately 10% of its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and 20% of its exports.
- Crude Oil: Colombia's average crude oil production was 753,750 barrels per day (b/d) in 2022. In 2021, crude oil production was 738,000 b/d, while consumption was 349,000 b/d. In 2020, Colombia exported 552,000 b/d of crude oil.
- Natural Gas: In 2022, Colombia's natural gas production reached an average of 1.7 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d). In 2021, natural gas production was 1.22 Bcf/d, and consumption was 1.2 Bcf/d.
- Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs) / Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG): The total market volume for LPG in Colombia was 313.16 million gallons in 2022, with consumption projected to grow at an average annual rate of 2.2% from 2022 to 2035.
Ecuador
- Crude Oil: Ecuador produced approximately 482,000 b/d of petroleum and other liquids in 2022. Crude oil accounted for 63.4% of Ecuador's total energy consumption in 2021 and 27% of the country's total exports by value. As of 2022, Ecuador held about 8.27 billion barrels of proven oil reserves, representing 0.5% of the global share.
- Natural Gas: Ecuador's natural gas market is less developed than its oil sector. The country had 385 billion cubic feet (Bcf) of proven natural gas reserves as of 2022. Natural gas production in Ecuador is relatively small, accounting for less than 1% of the country's total energy production in 2021.
- Petroleum Gas (including NGLs): In 2024, Ecuador imported $752 million of Petroleum Gas.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Gran Tierra Energy (GTE) is poised for future revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven by several key factors in its oil and gas exploration and production operations.
One primary driver is **increased production from its existing and recently acquired assets** in South America and Canada. The company achieved a significant 32% increase in average working interest production in 2025 compared to 2024, attributed to successful exploration well results in Ecuador and full-year production from its Canadian operations. Gran Tierra expects to build on this momentum, forecasting an exit production rate between 47,000 and 50,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOEPD) for 2025 and projecting a production range of 47,000 to 53,000 BOEPD for 2025. The 2026 capital program is strategically focused on quick-payback development projects, including drilling 8 to 10 gross development wells. This includes four gross development wells planned for the Cohembi oil field in Colombia. Additionally, the Ecuador program is transitioning from exploration to appraisal and development, and the successful integration of the Perico and Espejo acquisitions is expected to unlock operational and cost synergies, further bolstering production.
A second significant driver is the **strategic expansion into new regions**, notably Azerbaijan. Gran Tierra's CEO has highlighted this entry as a "capital-efficient addition to its portfolio" that promises "future growth," with capital allocation becoming more relevant in 2027 following the ratification of a Production Sharing Contract (PSC).
Third, **favorable commodity prices** are expected to be a crucial determinant of revenue growth. As an oil and gas producer, Gran Tierra's revenue is directly tied to global oil benchmarks. The company's sales in Colombia are based on the monthly average Brent price, while in Ecuador, they are based on the prior month's pricing (M minus 1), and in Canada, on the average WTI price for the month. While commodity price volatility remains a risk, an upward trend or sustained high prices for Brent and WTI would directly translate into higher revenues for Gran Tierra, assuming stable or increasing production volumes.
Finally, **consistent reserve replacement and exploration success** underpin the company's long-term production and, consequently, its revenue potential. Gran Tierra has demonstrated a strong track record, achieving its seventh consecutive year of South American reserves growth with over 100% reserve replacement for both Proved Developed Producing (PDP) and Proved plus Probable (2P) categories. This consistent replenishment and expansion of its reserve base, driven by exploration successes, particularly in Ecuador, ensures a sustainable foundation for future oil and gas production and sales.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Since January 1, 2022, through its Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) programs, Gran Tierra Energy repurchased approximately 7.5 million shares, representing about 21% of shares outstanding as of December 31, 2025.
- In 2024, the company repurchased approximately 6.7% of its outstanding shares.
- On November 3, 2025, Gran Tierra announced a new NCIB to purchase for cancellation up to 2,925,720 shares, representing 10% of its public float, for a one-year period.
Outbound Investments
- Gran Tierra Energy made a strategic entry into Canada in 2024, which diversified its production base.
- The company successfully closed the Perico and Espejo acquisition in Ecuador, which is expected to enhance and strengthen its portfolio in the region.
Capital Expenditures
- In 2025, capital expenditures increased by $8.2 million (3%) to $256.3 million, primarily due to a higher number of wells drilled across Colombia, Ecuador, and Canada. The capital program for 2025 included plans to drill 10-14 development wells and 6-8 high-impact exploration wells, with approximately 55% allocated to Colombia, 30% to Ecuador, and 15% to Canada.
- For 2024, actual capital expenditures were $234.2 million. The budgeted capital program was $210-240 million, with about 60-70% directed to development and 30-40% to exploration activities. Development efforts in Colombia primarily focused on the Acordionero and Costayaco fields.
- Gran Tierra plans a 2026 base capital program of $120–$160 million, with over 90% focused on development activities. Approximately 60% of this budget is directed to Colombia, 30% to Canada, and 10% to Ecuador.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With Gran Tierra Energy Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.18 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,835 |
| Op Inc LTM | 204 |
| FCF LTM | 353 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 387 |
| CFO LTM | 1,215 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,271 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -11.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -22.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -40.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -2.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 49.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 45.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.6 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/Op Inc | 8.4 |
| P/EBIT | 5.1 |
| P/E | -2.2 |
| P/CFO | 2.1 |
| Total Yield | -24.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 38.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 84.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 90.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 13.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -12.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 34.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 76.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 50.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -64.5% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $8.32 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/21/2005 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -10.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.48 | $5.13 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 11.2% | 62.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 83.1% | 67.9% |
| Downside Capture | -0.32 | -0.12 |
| Upside Capture | 282.50 | 57.19 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 7.5% | 7.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.44 | 0.87 | 0.49 | 0.34 | 0.86 | 1.03 |
| Up Beta | -8.48 | -1.66 | -1.95 | -0.45 | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| Down Beta | 1.20 | 2.18 | 2.34 | 1.61 | 1.68 | 1.50 |
| Up Capture | 251% | 259% | 253% | 97% | 67% | 73% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 27 | 41 | 69 | 127 | 367 |
| Down Capture | -291% | -53% | -241% | -126% | 28% | 103% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 14 | 21 | 53 | 115 | 367 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTE | 78.5% | 68.0% | 1.13 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 40.8% | 20.0% | 1.60 | 53.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.7% | 12.7% | 1.52 | 6.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 41.4% | 27.5% | 1.25 | 18.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 22.4% | 16.2% | 1.25 | 55.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.8% | 0.72 | 1.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.4% | 42.7% | -0.14 | 8.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTE | 3.9% | 64.2% | 0.33 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 22.1% | 26.1% | 0.76 | 64.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 10.8% | 17.1% | 0.49 | 26.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.6% | 17.8% | 0.99 | 20.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.9% | 18.8% | 0.47 | 58.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.1% | 18.8% | 0.12 | 17.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.8% | 56.4% | 0.29 | 10.6% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTE | -10.7% | 69.1% | 0.14 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 10.0% | 29.5% | 0.38 | 61.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 32.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.7% | 15.9% | 0.71 | 10.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 52.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 25.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.0% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 8.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/29/2026 | 9.5% | 0.7% | 5.8% |
| 10/31/2025 | 2.6% | 25.7% | 35.9% |
| 7/31/2025 | -12.1% | -14.5% | -8.3% |
| 5/2/2025 | -5.7% | 4.1% | 14.0% |
| 1/24/2025 | -5.4% | -13.7% | -25.3% |
| 11/4/2024 | 5.0% | 3.6% | 9.7% |
| 7/31/2024 | -7.5% | -18.4% | -17.7% |
| 5/2/2024 | -0.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 12 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.0% | 4.8% | 11.7% |
| Median Negative | -5.6% | -6.1% | -12.7% |
| Max Positive | 32.1% | 35.9% | 78.6% |
| Max Negative | -12.1% | -18.4% | -30.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/04/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/04/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Future Development Costs | 888.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Future Development Costs (2P) | 1.68 Bil | ||||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/31/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Production Exit Rate | 47,000 | 48,500 | 50,000 | ||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lm, Asset (im) Inc | See Note | Buy | 12222025 | 3.87 | 140,000 | 542,262 | 14,219,659 | Form | |
| 2 | Lau, Daniel | See Note | Buy | 12192025 | 3.95 | 360,000 | 1,423,728 | 13,965,190 | Form | |
| 3 | Evans, Jim | EVP, Corporate Services | Direct | Sell | 12162025 | 3.96 | 3,240 | 12,830 | 184,441 | Form |
| 4 | Evans, Jim | EVP, Corporate Services | Spouse | Sell | 12162025 | 3.96 | 2,900 | 11,484 | 12,672 | Form |
| 5 | Equinox, Partners Investment Management Llc | Equinox Partners, L.P. | Buy | 12012025 | 4.36 | 1,025 | 4,469 | 11,267,565 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.