Gran Tierra Energy (GTE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.66 | Market Cap: $164.5 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Gran Tierra Energy (GTE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.66Market Cap: $164.5 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 464% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Supply & Security. Themes include Conventional Oil & Gas Production, Hydrocarbon Exploration & Development, and South American Upstream Energy. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 39x | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.4% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -60% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Supply & Security. Themes include Conventional Oil & Gas Production, Hydrocarbon Exploration & Development, and South American Upstream Energy. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 464% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 39x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.4% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -60% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GTE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate 13.4% stock movement for Gran Tierra Energy (GTE) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Third Quarter 2025 Operational Success and Results
Gran Tierra Energy reported significant operational achievements in its third quarter 2025 results, announced on October 30, 2025. The company highlighted increased average working interest production of 42,685 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd), a 30% rise from the third quarter of 2024. This was primarily driven by production from Canadian operations acquired in 2024 and positive exploration well drilling results in Ecuador. Additionally, the Cohembi field in Colombia's Southern Putumayo achieved its highest production in a decade.
2. Exploration Success in Ecuador
The third quarter results also showcased further exploration success in Ecuador, with new discoveries at the Conejo A-1 and A-2 wells and the confirmation of a new discovery at Chanangue-1. These successes underscore the significant potential of Gran Tierra's acreage position in the region.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GTE Return | -72% | 109% | 30% | -43% | 28% | -37% | -65% |
| Peers Return | -39% | 91% | 65% | 8% | -3% | -3% | 93% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GTE Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 70% | 58% | 57% | 48% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GTE Max Drawdown | -86% | -1% | 0% | -52% | -14% | -53% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -73% | -1% | 0% | -14% | -12% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GTE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -77.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 344.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -86.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 635.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 706 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -76.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 316.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -77.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 336.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 774 days | 1480 days |
Compare to COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY
In The Past
Gran Tierra Energy's stock fell -77.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -77.5% loss requires a 344.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is Gran Tierra Energy Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GTE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Gran Tierra Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 67.13 |
| Mkt Cap | 53.0 |
| Rev LTM | 24,864 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6,562 |
| FCF LTM | 4,334 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 5,456 |
| CFO LTM | 11,170 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 11,909 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -5.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 39.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 39.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 53.0 |
| P/S | 1.7 |
| P/EBIT | 8.2 |
| P/E | 10.5 |
| P/CFO | 4.6 |
| Total Yield | 11.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -11.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -12.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -26.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -85.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |