Tearsheet

Gran Tierra Energy (GTE)


Market Price (1/27/2026): $5.47 | Market Cap: $193.0 Mil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Gran Tierra Energy (GTE)


Market Price (1/27/2026): $5.47
Market Cap: $193.0 Mil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 370%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Supply & Security. Themes include Conventional Oil & Gas Production, Hydrocarbon Exploration & Development, and South American Upstream Energy.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 49x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.4%
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -49%
5   Key risks
GTE key risks include [1] a hostile political and tax environment in Colombia that threatens operational stability and profitability, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Supply & Security. Themes include Conventional Oil & Gas Production, Hydrocarbon Exploration & Development, and South American Upstream Energy.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 370%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 49x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.4%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -49%
8 Key risks
GTE key risks include [1] a hostile political and tax environment in Colombia that threatens operational stability and profitability, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Gran Tierra Energy (GTE) stock has gained about 25% since 9/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Gran Tierra Energy's strong third-quarter 2025 operational and financial results, coupled with enhanced liquidity and debt management, boosted investor confidence. The company announced continued exploration success in Ecuador, including new discoveries at Conejo A-1, A-2, and Chanangue-1, and reported that Colombia's Cohembi field achieved its highest production in a decade due to effective waterflood response. Furthermore, Gran Tierra secured a $200 million prepayment facility and an extended Canadian credit facility, while also outlining a clear strategy to address a $180 million debt amortization due in October 2026 through projected free cash flow and available credit.

2. The company's 2026 guidance and strategic shift towards free cash flow generation were positively received. On December 10, 2025, Gran Tierra announced its 2026 capital budget and operational update, highlighting a renewed focus on generating free cash flow, targeting $60 to $80 million in its base case scenario. This strategic pivot was underscored by the completion of exploration commitments in Ecuador during 2025, allowing for a transition to development projects aimed at maximizing portfolio value and ensuring quick payouts.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 25.5% change in GTE stock from 9/30/2025 to 1/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 25.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020251262026Change
Stock Price ($)4.355.4625.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)622620-0.3%
P/S Multiple0.20.325.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)35350.1%
Cumulative Contribution25.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 1/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GTE25.5% 
Market (SPY)4.0%2.6%
Sector (XLE)10.2%44.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 14.5% change in GTE stock from 6/30/2025 to 1/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020251262026Change
Stock Price ($)4.775.4614.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)635620-2.4%
P/S Multiple0.30.315.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)36351.4%
Cumulative Contribution14.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 1/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GTE14.5% 
Market (SPY)12.4%8.1%
Sector (XLE)17.1%47.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -24.5% change in GTE stock from 12/31/2024 to 1/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.9% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)123120241262026Change
Stock Price ($)7.235.46-24.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)630620-1.6%
P/S Multiple0.40.3-11.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3135-12.9%
Cumulative Contribution-24.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2024 to 1/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GTE-24.5% 
Market (SPY)19.2%28.1%
Sector (XLE)17.8%55.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -44.8% change in GTE stock from 12/31/2022 to 1/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -40.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120221262026Change
Stock Price ($)9.905.46-44.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)695620-10.9%
P/S Multiple0.50.3-40.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)37354.1%
Cumulative Contribution-44.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2022 to 1/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GTE-44.8% 
Market (SPY)87.9%28.6%
Sector (XLE)23.5%60.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
GTE Return109%30%-43%28%-41%29%50%
Peers Return107%32%167%-15%7%7%613%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%2%85%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GTE Win Rate50%67%33%58%33%100% 
Peers Win Rate47%42%42%39%56%100% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%100% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GTE Max Drawdown-1%0%-52%-14%-53%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-1%-0%-25%-24%-35%-5% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VET, BTE, OVV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/26/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGTES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-77.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven344.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-86.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven635.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven706 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-76.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven316.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-77.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven336.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven774 days1,480 days

Compare to VET, BTE, OVV

In The Past

Gran Tierra Energy's stock fell -77.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -77.5% loss requires a 344.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Gran Tierra Energy (GTE)

Gran Tierra Energy Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas properties in Colombia and Ecuador. As of December 31, 2021, it had total proved undeveloped reserves of 24.8 million barrels of oil equivalent in Colombia. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Gran Tierra Energy (GTE):

  • Like a smaller EOG Resources, but focused on conventional oil exploration and production in Latin America (mainly Colombia).

  • Similar to Barrick Gold, but they explore for and produce oil in Latin America instead of gold globally.

  • A significantly smaller ConocoPhillips, concentrated on conventional oil fields in Latin America.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Crude Oil: Gran Tierra Energy explores for, develops, and produces crude oil primarily in Colombia and Ecuador for sale in international markets.
  • Natural Gas: The company also produces natural gas, often in conjunction with oil production, which is sold to regional markets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Gran Tierra Energy (GTE) is an oil and gas exploration and production company. As such, it sells its crude oil and natural gas primarily to other companies rather than directly to individuals.

According to Gran Tierra Energy's 2023 Annual Information Form, its major customers include:

  • Ecopetrol S.A. (BVC: ECOPETROL, NYSE: EC) - This national oil company of Colombia accounted for approximately 53% of Gran Tierra Energy's total revenue in 2023.
  • An international crude oil marketing and trading company - This unnamed company accounted for approximately 28% of Gran Tierra Energy's total revenue in 2023. Public companies often do not disclose the names of all significant customers, especially trading firms, due to commercial confidentiality.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Gary S. Guidry, President and Chief Executive Officer

Gary S. Guidry has over 40 years of experience in the international oil and gas industry. Prior to joining Gran Tierra Energy in May 2015, Mr. Guidry served as President and CEO of Caracal Energy Inc., a London Stock Exchange-listed company with operations in Chad, Africa, from mid-2011 until its acquisition by Glencore plc for $1.8 billion in mid-2014. In 2014, he received the Oil Council Executive of the Year award for his leadership with Caracal. Before Caracal, Mr. Guidry was the President and CEO of Orion Oil and Gas (TSX listed), which operated in western Canada from mid-2009 until it was sold in mid-2011. From May 2005 to December 2008, he was President and CEO of Tanganyika Oil Company (TSX listed), operating in Syria and Egypt. Prior to Tanganyika, Mr. Guidry was CEO of Calpine Natural Gas Trust. He also previously served as Senior Vice President and President of Alberta Energy Company International, and President and General Manager of Canadian Occidental Petroleum's Nigerian operations.

Ryan Ellson, Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Finance

Ryan Ellson has over 22 years of experience in international corporate finance and accounting. Before joining Gran Tierra Energy in May 2015, Mr. Ellson was Head of Finance for Glencore E&P (Canada) Inc., and prior to that, Vice President, Finance at Caracal Energy Inc., a London Stock Exchange-listed company with operations in Chad, Africa. Glencore E&P (Canada) acquired Caracal in July 2014. While at Caracal, he was instrumental in negotiating a $330 million farm-out to Glencore, securing a $250 million reserve-based lending facility, and was involved in multiple capital raises totaling approximately $500 million. He also played a key role in Caracal's successful listing on the London Stock Exchange. Before Caracal, Mr. Ellson held various management and executive positions with companies operating in Egypt, India, and Canada. Over his career, he has been involved in raising over $2 billion in debt and equity and multiple mergers and acquisitions totaling over $3 billion.

Sebastien Morin, Chief Operating Officer

Sebastien Morin was appointed Gran Tierra's Chief Operating Officer on November 6, 2023, and brings more than 20 years of experience in the oil and gas industry. Prior to this role, he served as President and Chief Operating Officer at WesternZagros Resources, a privately-owned petroleum operating company in the Kurdistan region of Iraq, from October 2021 to October 2023. Before his time at WesternZagros, Mr. Morin held progressively senior positions at Gran Tierra Energy, including Vice President Global Drilling and Completions, from 2014 to 2020.

Lawrence West, Chief Geology Advisor

Lawrence West has 43 years of experience as an executive, explorationist, and geologist. He is currently the Chief Geology Advisor at Gran Tierra Energy and was previously the Vice President of Exploration at the company, where he oversaw multiple drilling and seismic programs. Prior to joining Gran Tierra, Mr. West was the VP of Exploration at Caracal Energy, where he built a multi-disciplinary team to assess resources and grow reserves and led a successful exploration program. Before Caracal, he was involved with starting and growing several public and private companies, including Reserve Royalty Corp., Chariot Energy, Auriga Energy, and Orion Oil and Gas. His career began with Imperial Oil, and he also worked at Alberta Energy Company (AEC), where he was part of the team that merged with Conwest.

Jim Evans, Executive Vice President, Corporate Services

Jim Evans has over 30 years of experience, including 18 years in the international oil and gas industry. Most recently, he was the Head of Compliance & Corporate Services for Glencore E&P (Canada) and previously served as Vice President of Compliance & Corporate Services at Caracal Energy. At Caracal Energy, he oversaw corporate strategy, developed and implemented a robust corporate compliance program, and managed IT, document control, security, and administration. He also managed staff recruitment, training, and retention and oversaw the company's growth from seven employees to over 400 as Caracal Energy exceeded 20,000 barrels of oil per day at the time of its sale to Glencore. Before Caracal, Mr. Evans held senior management and executive positions at Orion Oil and Gas and Tanganyika Oil, with operating experience in Egypt, Syria, and Canada.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Gran Tierra Energy (GTE) faces several key risks, primarily stemming from its operational environment and financial structure:
  1. Jurisdiction and Political Risk in Colombia: Gran Tierra Energy operates in Colombia, where it is exposed to significant political and regulatory uncertainties. This includes high existing taxes, the implementation of windfall profits taxes that can lead to an effective tax rate as high as 140% for periods, and the current administration's stance on the oil and gas industry, which has included banning fracking and considering further restrictions. Additionally, the company is susceptible to socio-political factors such as protests and blockades, which can disrupt operations.
  2. High Debt Burden and Financial Health: The company carries a substantial debt load relative to its profitability, presenting a major financial risk. There is a continuous challenge in allocating capital effectively between funding necessary capital expenditures to maintain production and reducing its debt. If Gran Tierra Energy does not prioritize debt reduction, it faces the risk of refinancing at significantly higher interest rates. The company's ability to maintain adequate cash flow to service its debt is also a concern.
  3. Commodity Price Volatility: As an oil and gas exploration and production company, Gran Tierra Energy's financial performance and outlook are heavily reliant on stable and favorable commodity prices. Fluctuations in global and regional demand, supply, and prices of oil and natural gas directly impact the company's revenues and profitability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The global energy transition away from fossil fuels, driven by the accelerating adoption of renewable energy technologies and the electrification of transportation and industrial processes, poses a clear emerging threat to Gran Tierra Energy's core business by diminishing long-term demand for oil and gas. This trend is exacerbated by increasing governmental regulations aimed at decarbonization and growing investor pressure regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors, which collectively raise the cost of capital for fossil fuel projects and could limit future growth and asset value.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Gran Tierra Energy (symbol: GTE) operates primarily in Colombia and Ecuador, with additional assets in Canada, focusing on the exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The addressable markets for these products in their key operational regions are outlined below:

Crude Oil

  • Colombia:
    • In 2023, Colombia's crude petroleum exports were valued at $13 billion.
    • Colombia's crude oil market is projected to experience an 8.17% growth by 2027.
  • Ecuador:
    • In 2023, Ecuador's crude petroleum exports amounted to $13.1 billion.
    • The crude oil refining segment within Ecuador's oil and gas downstream market contributed $2.5 billion in 2023, with projections to reach $3.2 billion by 2032. The overall Ecuador oil and gas downstream market is estimated at $476.76 million in 2025, expected to grow to $550.82 million by 2030.
  • South America:
    • The total crude oil and condensate production in South America increased by 15.38% in 2023 compared to 2022.
    • South America is expected to add over 560,000 barrels per day (bpd) of crude and condensate in 2025, with additions potentially exceeding 750,000 bpd by 2026.

Natural Gas

  • Colombia:
    • The Colombian gas sector is a mature market, with consumption reported at 1.263 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) in December 2023. Average gas demand over the past six years has been around 960 million cubic feet per day (MMcfd).
    • In 2020, domestic dry natural gas consumption in Colombia was 413 billion cubic feet (Bcf).
  • Ecuador:
    • Ecuador's natural gas market is less developed compared to its oil sector.
    • In 2020, Ecuador's natural gas production was approximately 12 billion cubic feet per day. Marketed production was 310 million cubic meters (Cub m mn) in December 2023.
    • Natural gas consumption in Ecuador was 15,751 million cubic feet (MMcf) per year as of 2017.
  • Latin America / South America:
    • The total demand for natural gas in South America was estimated at approximately 25 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) in 2023.
    • Latin America's annual natural gas consumption is projected to reach 275 billion cubic meters (Bm³) by 2050, up from approximately 150 Bm³ in 2023.

Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs)

  • Latin America:
    • The Natural Gas Liquids market in Latin America was valued at USD 877.11 million in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 1361.5 million by 2031.
  • Colombia:
    • The Natural Gas Liquids market in Colombia was valued at USD 78.06 million in 2024.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Gran Tierra Energy (GTE) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
  • Increased Production from Development Drilling: Gran Tierra Energy has outlined plans to significantly increase its production through an active development drilling program. For 2025, the company forecasts production of 47,000-53,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOEPD), representing a 44% increase from 2024 production levels at the midpoint. This includes drilling 10 to 14 net development wells, with a focus on the Cohembi oil field in Colombia's Suroriente block (5-7 gross wells) and continuing appraisal programs in Ecuador, particularly in the highly prospective Arawana/Zabaleta productive trend (2-3 appraisal wells).
  • High-Impact Exploration Success: The company is allocating a significant portion of its capital program (20-30% in 2025) to high-impact exploration activities, with plans to drill 6 to 8 exploration wells in Colombia and Ecuador. Recent successes, such as the Conejo A-1 and A-2 wells and a new discovery at Chanangue-1 in Ecuador, are expected to transition into development phases, further boosting production. The fulfillment of exploration commitments in Ecuador in 2025 positions the company to focus on increasing production into the development phase for long-term growth in the region.
  • Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) and Field Optimization: Gran Tierra is committed to optimizing its existing assets through continued waterflood expansion activities and gas-to-power generation upgrades. Notably, the Cohembi waterflood project has already demonstrated significant success, more than doubling output, and total field production recently exceeded 9,000 barrels per day. These efforts aim to reduce unit costs, offset natural declines, and increase overall recovery from mature fields like Acordionero.
  • Strategic Acquisitions and Portfolio Longevity: The strategic acquisition in Canada contributed to a substantial increase in Q3 2025 production. Gran Tierra's ongoing strategy involves profitably growing reserves and production across its diversified asset base in Colombia, Ecuador, and Canada, pursuing new growth opportunities, and investing in infrastructure projects to maximize long-term value. The company's focus on portfolio longevity and a robust portfolio of conventional and unconventional oil and gas assets are expected to sustain future growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • From January 1, 2023, to July 28, 2025, Gran Tierra Energy repurchased approximately 5.2 million shares, representing 15% of shares issued and outstanding as of January 1, 2023.
  • During 2024, the Company repurchased approximately 6.7% of its outstanding shares.
  • A new Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) was approved, effective November 6, 2025, to repurchase up to 2,925,720 shares, which represents 10% of the public float, through November 5, 2026.
  • Under a previous NCIB that expired on November 5, 2025, Gran Tierra purchased 1,180,752 shares at a volume-weighted average price of USD$5.61.

Inbound Investments

  • Gran Tierra is progressing towards closing a $200 million prepayment facility, backed by crude oil deliveries, expected in the third quarter of 2025, with proceeds intended for debt repayment and funding select capital initiatives.
  • Oriente Crude Oil Agreements were executed, providing an initial advance of up to $150 million and an additional $50 million, to be repaid via scheduled deliveries of Ecuadorian Oriente crude oil.

Outbound Investments

  • In August 2024, Gran Tierra acquired i3 Energy plc through a recommended cash and share offer.
  • In December 2020, Gran Tierra sold 218,012,500 common shares of PetroTal Corp. for approximately GBP21.67 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • Gran Tierra's expected capital expenditure budget for 2025 is between $240 million and $280 million, with a primary focus on drilling 10-14 development wells and 6-8 high-impact exploration wells.
  • In 2024, capital expenditures totaled $234.2 million, an increase of $7.7 million or 3% from 2023, primarily due to a higher number of wells drilled.
  • The 2025 capital program is allocated approximately 55% to Colombia, 30% to Ecuador, and 15% to Canada, with about 75% directed to development activities and 25% to exploration.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

GTEVETBTEOVVMedian
NameGran Tie.Vermilio.Baytex E.Ovintiv  
Mkt Price5.469.443.3441.367.45
Mkt Cap0.21.52.610.62.0
Rev LTM6202,3783,8308,9493,104
Op Inc LTM203316162,071474
FCF LTM-1063734201,484396
FCF 3Y Avg-105433981,458470
CFO LTM1831,0231,7273,7181,375
CFO 3Y Avg2321,0991,5893,8201,344

Growth & Margins

GTEVETBTEOVVMedian
NameGran Tie.Vermilio.Baytex E.Ovintiv  
Rev Chg LTM-1.6%25.7%-10.0%-11.7%-5.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.7%-10.0%13.2%-10.7%-6.8%
Rev Chg Q-1.4%15.4%-13.7%-11.1%-6.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.3%2.7%-3.7%-2.8%-1.6%
Op Mgn LTM3.2%13.9%16.1%23.1%15.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.8%16.4%18.2%25.7%18.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-7.1%-0.7%-1.4%-0.6%-1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM29.5%43.0%45.1%41.5%42.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg36.7%49.2%42.7%38.4%40.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-17.1%15.7%11.0%16.6%13.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.7%24.1%10.4%14.7%12.6%

Valuation

GTEVETBTEOVVMedian
NameGran Tie.Vermilio.Baytex E.Ovintiv  
Mkt Cap0.21.52.610.62.0
P/S0.30.60.71.20.6
P/EBIT49.25.15.015.410.3
P/E-2.2-6.212.044.94.9
P/CFO1.11.41.52.91.5
Total Yield-44.7%-13.5%11.1%5.2%-4.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.7%2.7%2.9%2.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-12.2%33.9%17.3%13.5%15.4%
D/E4.00.90.80.60.8
Net D/E3.70.90.80.60.8

Returns

GTEVETBTEOVVMedian
NameGran Tie.Vermilio.Baytex E.Ovintiv  
1M Rtn31.6%15.4%7.1%8.9%12.2%
3M Rtn41.8%28.5%45.0%11.6%35.2%
6M Rtn16.4%12.8%56.1%-2.2%14.6%
12M Rtn-13.1%1.7%36.1%-5.1%-1.7%
3Y Rtn-43.7%-32.1%580.4%-12.2%-22.2%
1M Excs Rtn29.4%13.8%5.1%8.2%11.0%
3M Excs Rtn32.7%22.6%37.1%6.6%27.7%
6M Excs Rtn9.1%7.7%54.9%-7.5%8.4%
12M Excs Rtn-31.4%-13.8%20.9%-20.4%-17.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-120.1%-110.5%502.1%-87.1%-98.8%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Exploration and production of oil and natural gas637711474238571
Total637711474238571


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$5.46 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.2 
First Trading Date12/21/2005 
Distance from 52W High-13.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$4.43$4.41
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA23.4%23.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility64.1%63.4%
Downside Capture-167.6391.70
Upside Capture45.8464.29
Correlation (SPY)-14.2%29.6%
GTE Betas & Captures as of 12/31/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.99-0.430.410.680.971.09
Up Beta3.71-0.230.610.090.840.82
Down Beta-2.49-1.600.981.351.451.37
Up Capture-179%89%1%26%33%58%
Bmk +ve Days11233772143431
Stock +ve Days10222957113352
Down Capture-42%-98%16%89%105%108%
Bmk -ve Days11182755108320
Stock -ve Days9163265129384

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GTE
GTE-16.8%63.7%-0.04-
Sector ETF (XLE)9.4%25.0%0.3256.7%
Equity (SPY)14.7%19.3%0.5829.7%
Gold (GLD)84.5%20.5%2.9012.9%
Commodities (DBC)9.2%15.4%0.3754.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.0%16.5%0.0624.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-14.0%39.8%-0.2917.2%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GTE
GTE0.8%66.4%0.29-
Sector ETF (XLE)22.0%26.5%0.7662.3%
Equity (SPY)14.3%17.1%0.6726.5%
Gold (GLD)22.1%15.7%1.1419.2%
Commodities (DBC)12.0%18.7%0.5254.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%18.8%0.1919.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)20.0%57.9%0.5513.4%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GTE
GTE-12.0%68.6%0.11-
Sector ETF (XLE)10.4%29.7%0.3962.1%
Equity (SPY)15.8%17.9%0.7633.7%
Gold (GLD)16.2%14.9%0.908.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.7%17.6%0.4152.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.9%20.8%0.2526.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)73.4%66.6%1.127.8%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 1215202561.3%
Average Daily Volume0.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3
Basic Shares Quantity35.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/31/20252.6%25.7%35.9%
7/31/2025-12.1%-14.5%-8.3%
5/2/2025-5.7%4.1%14.0%
1/24/2025-5.4%-13.7%-25.3%
11/4/20245.0%3.6%9.7%
7/31/2024-7.5%-18.4%-17.7%
5/2/2024-0.7%5.5%2.1%
1/23/20244.7%12.1%14.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111113
# Negative131311
Median Positive3.3%5.5%12.1%
Median Negative-5.4%-6.6%-15.2%
Max Positive32.1%35.9%78.6%
Max Negative-12.1%-18.4%-32.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/02/202510-Q
12/31/202402/24/202510-K
09/30/202411/04/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/20/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/08/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q
12/31/202102/23/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Lm, Asset (im) IncSee NoteBuy122220253.87140,000542,26214,219,659Form
2Lau, DanielSee NoteBuy121920253.95360,0001,423,72813,965,190Form
3Evans, JimEVP, Corporate ServicesDirectSell121620253.963,24012,830184,441Form
4Evans, JimEVP, Corporate ServicesSpouseSell121620253.962,90011,48412,672Form
5Equinox, Partners Investment Management Llc Equinox Partners, L.P.Buy120120254.361,0254,46911,267,565Form