Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -446%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -145%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.3
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Inflammation & Autoimmune Therapeutics.
  Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
2   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1266%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 1595%
5   Key risks
GRI key risks include [1] the potential clinical trial failure of its lead candidate, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -446%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Inflammation & Autoimmune Therapeutics.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -145%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171%
3 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.3
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1266%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 1595%
8 Key risks
GRI key risks include [1] the potential clinical trial failure of its lead candidate, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GRI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. GRI Bio faced significant uncertainty regarding its ability to continue as a going concern, with its cash runway projected to extend only into the fourth quarter of 2025. This disclosure in the Q2 2025 earnings report highlighted severe financial instability, raising substantial doubt about the company's long-term viability without further financing.

2. The company undertook multiple dilutive public offerings, including an $8.0 million offering in December 2025. This offering involved selling 10,666,667 shares of common stock and accompanying warrants at a combined price of $0.75 per share, leading to substantial dilution for existing shareholders. Public offerings, especially when the stock is already declining, often contribute to further price drops due to the increased share count and the offering price typically being below the market rate.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GRI Return0%-88%-95%-96%-98%-97%-100%
Peers Return14%-21%-4%49%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GRI Win Rate0%42%33%17%17%25% 
Peers Win Rate52%48%45%47%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GRI Max Drawdown0%-92%-96%-96%-99%-97% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-50%-38%-59% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UTHR, PLRX, AUPH, FGEN, VTYX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGRIS&P 500
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss -33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven 51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-10.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven11.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven37 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven227.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3,752 days1,480 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

GRI Bio's stock fell null during the 2020 Covid Pandemic from a high on 1/1/2020. A null loss requires a null gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About GRI Bio (GRI)

Better Bets than GRI Bio (GRI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1GRI Bio Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GRI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for GRI Bio

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GRIUTHRPLRXAUPHFGENVTYXMedian
NameGRI Bio United T.Pliant T.Aurinia .FibroGen Ventyx B. 
Mkt Price0.34517.131.2316.188.608.748.67
Mkt Cap0.022.70.12.10.00.60.3
Rev LTM03,1280266804
Op Inc LTM-111,522-18687-38-117-25
FCF LTM-91,116-159120-17-88-13
FCF 3Y Avg-9926-14037-165-137-73
CFO LTM-91,556-158120-17-88-13
CFO 3Y Avg-91,216-13837-164-136-72

Growth & Margins

GRIUTHRPLRXAUPHFGENVTYXMedian
NameGRI Bio United T.Pliant T.Aurinia .FibroGen Ventyx B. 
Rev Chg LTM-13.5%-20.6%117.5%-20.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-19.0%-27.5%4.4%-19.0%
Rev Chg Q-6.8%-8.4%774.8%-8.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.6%-2.2%13.0%-2.2%
Op Mgn LTM-48.7%-32.7%-458.6%-32.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-49.1%--11.8%--18.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--1.4%-6.2%383.1%-6.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-49.7%-45.2%-203.8%-45.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-44.8%-11.6%--28.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-35.7%-45.1%-206.0%-35.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-34.3%-11.3%--22.8%

Valuation

GRIUTHRPLRXAUPHFGENVTYXMedian
NameGRI Bio United T.Pliant T.Aurinia .FibroGen Ventyx B. 
Mkt Cap0.022.70.12.10.00.60.3
P/S-7.2-8.04.2-7.2
P/EBIT-0.113.4-0.425.4-0.8-5.3-0.3
P/E-0.117.8-0.427.40.2-5.80.0
P/CFO-0.114.6-0.517.8-2.1-7.1-0.3
Total Yield-1,261.6%5.6%-232.4%3.6%620.1%-17.1%-6.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6,630.7%6.3%-68.9%2.5%-6,089.8%-50.4%-59.7%
D/E0.10.00.80.00.00.00.0
Net D/E-4.5-0.1-2.4-0.1-3.4-0.3-1.4

Returns

GRIUTHRPLRXAUPHFGENVTYXMedian
NameGRI Bio United T.Pliant T.Aurinia .FibroGen Ventyx B. 
1M Rtn-79.9%8.5%-18.0%6.4%0.6%-7.7%-3.6%
3M Rtn-81.2%23.8%-14.0%24.5%-24.0%280.0%4.9%
6M Rtn-74.2%77.9%-3.9%108.2%49.6%286.7%63.7%
12M Rtn-97.4%43.6%-90.8%79.0%-2.7%283.3%20.4%
3Y Rtn-100.0%88.7%-93.5%262.0%-97.6%-72.3%-82.9%
1M Excs Rtn-82.8%5.6%-20.9%3.6%-2.3%-10.6%-6.5%
3M Excs Rtn-85.1%22.6%-20.1%21.7%-31.8%206.7%0.8%
6M Excs Rtn-87.5%67.1%-15.0%93.2%45.8%250.7%56.5%
12M Excs Rtn-110.4%23.2%-104.4%56.5%-14.1%255.8%4.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-171.1%15.8%-164.6%175.4%-168.8%-145.3%-155.0%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity142,328
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202518.8%
Average Daily Volume237,722
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity2,621,498
Short % of Basic Shares5.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/17/2025-6.2%38.1%-74.8%
11/14/2024-19.6%-28.2%-20.2%
8/14/2024-7.6%-4.5%-1.8%
4/1/2024-1.3%-31.7%-43.4%
11/15/2023-6.5%-15.8%-63.9%
8/14/20233.2%2.5%-53.6%
2/24/2023-1.9%-34.4%-35.3%
11/3/2022-0.9%1.0%-6.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive264
# Negative12810
Median Positive6.6%1.9%36.8%
Median Negative-4.2%-22.0%-39.3%
Max Positive10.0%49.2%100.0%
Max Negative-19.6%-54.5%-74.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
123120222242023S-4/A 12/31/2022