Grace Therapeutics (GRCE)
Market Price (4/16/2026): $4.6 | Market Cap: $77.9 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Grace Therapeutics (GRCE)
Market Price (4/16/2026): $4.6Market Cap: $77.9 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -13% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 102% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% Key risks[GRCE] key risks include [1] its total reliance on the successful development and commercialization of its sole lead product candidate, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -13% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 102% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
| Key risks[GRCE] key risks include [1] its total reliance on the successful development and commercialization of its sole lead product candidate, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. FDA PDUFA Date and NDA Progress for GTx-104.
Grace Therapeutics announced that the FDA established April 23, 2026, as the PDUFA target date for the review of its New Drug Application (NDA) for GTx-104, a novel injectable formulation for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). This regulatory milestone provided a clear timeline for potential market entry and significantly boosted investor confidence.
2. Positive Phase 3 STRIVE-ON Trial Results for GTx-104.
The company presented positive data from its pivotal Phase 3 STRIVE-ON Safety Trial of GTx-104. The trial met its primary endpoint, demonstrating a 19% reduction in clinically significant hypotension for GTx-104 compared to oral nimodipine (28% versus 35%). Additionally, 54% of patients receiving GTx-104 achieved a relative dose intensity of 95% or higher, compared to only 8% on oral nimodipine, and 29% more patients on GTx-104 experienced favorable functional outcomes at 90 days.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 26.0% change in GRCE stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.46 | 4.36 | 26.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 16 | 17 | -6.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRCE | 26.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 16.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | -4.5% | 33.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 46.5% change in GRCE stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.98 | 4.36 | 46.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 16 | 17 | -6.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRCE | 46.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 4.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 6.6% | 23.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 91.2% change in GRCE stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.28 | 4.36 | 91.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12 | 17 | -32.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRCE | 91.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 31.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 2.6% | 32.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 58.0% change in GRCE stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.76 | 4.36 | 58.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 7 | 17 | -56.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRCE | 58.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 15.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | 19.5% | 12.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GRCE Return | -52% | -60% | -4% | 29% | -7% | 24% | -73% |
| Peers Return | -11% | -51% | -9% | 91% | 110% | -30% | 10% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 2% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GRCE Win Rate | 33% | 17% | 33% | 58% | 58% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 44% | 33% | 50% | 52% | 50% | 38% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GRCE Max Drawdown | -59% | -73% | -41% | -26% | -52% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -67% | -42% | -27% | -41% | -41% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: QNCX, CPIX, HRMY, PRAX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/15/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GRCE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3154.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -92.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1248.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -85.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 586.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to QNCX, CPIX, HRMY, PRAX
In The Past
Grace Therapeutics's stock fell -96.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -96.9% loss requires a 3154.2% gain to breakeven.
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About Grace Therapeutics (GRCE)
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Grace Therapeutics:Analogies for Grace Therapeutics (GRCE):
- Like Vertex Pharmaceuticals, but focused on a different set of rare and orphan diseases.
- An early-stage Gilead Sciences, but focused on developing breakthrough treatments for rare and orphan diseases.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- GTX-104: An intravenous infusion designed to treat subarachnoid hemorrhage.
- GTX-102: An oral mucosal betamethasone spray developed for the treatment of ataxia-telangiectasia.
- GTX-101: A topical bioadhesive film-forming bupivacaine spray intended for postherpetic neuralgia.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Grace Therapeutics (GRCE) sells its pharmaceutical products primarily to other companies within the healthcare supply chain, rather than directly to individual patients. However, the provided background information does not specify the names of Grace Therapeutics' major customer companies.
Based on the nature of its business and the types of pharmaceutical products it develops and commercializes (intravenous infusions, oral sprays, and topical sprays), Grace Therapeutics' major customers would typically be:
- Pharmaceutical Wholesale Distributors: These companies purchase pharmaceutical products from manufacturers like Grace Therapeutics and then distribute them to various healthcare providers.
- Hospitals and Hospital Systems: For products requiring administration within a clinical setting, such as the GTX-104 intravenous infusion for subarachnoid hemorrhage.
- Specialty and Retail Pharmacies: For dispensing prescribed products like the GTX-102 oral spray and GTX-101 topical spray to individual patients.
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Prashant Kohli, Chief Executive Officer
Prashant Kohli has served as the Chief Executive Officer of Grace Therapeutics since April 2023. He brings over 20 years of commercialization experience, having led strategy, sales, marketing, and product management. Before becoming CEO, Mr. Kohli was VP, Commercial Operations of Grace Therapeutics, a position he held since December 2017, prior to joining the company in August 2021. His background includes expertise in developing go-to-market strategies for products addressing unmet needs and building sales and marketing organizations. Mr. Kohli has previously worked at Archi-Tech Systems, Cardinal Health, IMS Health, Rosenbluth, and Dun & Bradstreet. He holds an MBA from The Wharton School.
Robert J. DelAversano, Vice President, Finance, Principal Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer
Robert J. DelAversano joined Grace Therapeutics in November 2023 as Vice President, Finance, and serves as the principal financial officer and principal accounting officer. He is a certified public accountant with over twenty-five years of accounting experience, including thirteen years in public accounting. From 2018 to July 2023, Mr. DelAversano held increasingly senior roles at OncoSec Medical Incorporated, a clinical-stage immuno-oncology company, where his positions included Vice President of Finance, Principal Accounting Officer, and Controller, with global responsibility for accounting, external financial reporting, and financial controls.
R. Loch Macdonald, MD, PhD, Chief Medical Officer
Dr. R. Loch Macdonald is the Chief Medical Officer at Grace Therapeutics. He is a scientist, researcher, and neurosurgeon, recognized as an expert on brain hemorrhage, including subarachnoid hemorrhage and delayed cerebral ischemia. For the past 25 years, his research has focused on improving patient outcomes after brain hemorrhage, specifically aiming to develop a cure for cerebral vasospasm and DCI. Dr. Macdonald previously served as the Head of the Division of Neurosurgery at St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, and was the Chief Scientific Officer of Edge Therapeutics, Inc.
Carrie D'Andrea, Vice President, Clinical Operations
Carrie D'Andrea serves as the Vice President of Clinical Operations for Grace Therapeutics. She is an experienced clinical operations executive with over 25 years of experience in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry. Prior to joining Grace Therapeutics, she was the Vice President of Clinical Operations for several smaller companies, including Edge Therapeutics and Erydel. Her expertise includes clinical strategic planning, global clinical trial management, and quality oversight.
Amresh Kumar, PhD, Vice President, Program Management
Dr. Amresh Kumar is the Vice President of Program Management at Grace Therapeutics. He possesses over 20 years of experience in the biopharmaceutical industry, leading drug development, CMC (Chemistry, Manufacturing, and Controls), and program management activities for investigational and marketed products, particularly in rare diseases and neurology. Before his current role, he was the Senior Director of Program Management with Foresee Pharma, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company. He has also held positions as a program leader at Grace Therapeutics, Senior Manager R&D at Sun Pharmaceuticals, and various product development roles at Revogenex Inc, Colorcon, and Alembic Limited. Dr. Kumar earned a Ph.D. in Pharmaceutical Science.
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Here are the key risks to Grace Therapeutics (GRCE):- Regulatory Approval Risk: Grace Therapeutics' future success is heavily dependent on the successful completion of clinical trials and subsequent regulatory approval of its product candidates, most notably GTX-104. The company's lead product candidate, GTX-104, for the treatment of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), has an anticipated Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) target action date of April 23, 2026, for a U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) decision. Any delays or failure to obtain regulatory approval for GTX-104 or other pipeline candidates, such as GTX-102 and GTX-101, would significantly harm the business, operations, and financial prospects. There is also a risk that regulatory authorities may disagree with the company's chosen 505(b)(2) regulatory pathway or require more extensive clinical data than anticipated.
- Financial Risk and Need for Additional Capital: As a biopharmaceutical company primarily focused on product development without significant revenue, Grace Therapeutics faces substantial financial risks. The company has a limited cash runway and will likely need to raise additional capital to fund its ongoing research and development, regulatory processes, and potential commercialization efforts. Such capital raises could lead to significant dilution for existing shareholders. The company's current financial metrics indicate challenges with profitability, including a negative EPS and returns on equity, assets, and invested capital.
- Commercialization and Market Acceptance Risk: Even if Grace Therapeutics' product candidates receive regulatory approval, there is a risk that they may not achieve widespread commercial success or market acceptance. The company may face challenges in differentiating its drug candidates from existing therapies or potential generic products. Furthermore, the company is exposed to potential product liability claims that could result in substantial liability and costs once products are marketed.
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Grace Therapeutics (GRCE) is focused on developing and commercializing pharmaceutical products for rare and orphan diseases, including GTX-104 for subarachnoid hemorrhage, GTX-102 for ataxia-telangiectasia, and GTX-101 for postherpetic neuralgia.
Addressable Markets for Grace Therapeutics' Products:
- GTX-104 (Subarachnoid Hemorrhage): The market targeted by Grace Therapeutics' lead program, GTX-104, is projected to grow from $2.1 billion in 2024 to $5 billion by 2037 (global market). More broadly, the global subarachnoid hemorrhage market was valued at approximately USD 1.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 2.5 billion by 2034. North America holds the largest share of this global market.
- GTX-102 (Ataxia-Telangiectasia): The ataxia-telangiectasia market across the top 7 major markets (the U.S., EU4 - Germany, France, Italy, and Spain, the UK, and Japan) reached a value of USD 628.1 million in 2024. This market is expected to grow to USD 1,335.5 million by 2035. The United States holds a significant share of this market.
- GTX-101 (Postherpetic Neuralgia): The global Post Herpetic Neuralgia Therapies Market is projected to increase from USD 9.05 billion in 2026 to USD 12.8 billion by 2035. Another estimate indicates the global Post Herpetic Neuralgia Drugs market size was valued at USD 1.45 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 2.78 billion by 2034. North America dominates the post-herpetic neuralgia treatment market, with Canada's market expected to register a CAGR of 5.2%.
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Grace Therapeutics (GRCE) is poised for potential revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven primarily by the anticipated commercialization of its lead product candidate and the strategic advancement of its pipeline. The company focuses on developing and commercializing pharmaceutical products for rare and orphan diseases.
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:
- Commercial Launch and Market Penetration of GTx-104 for aSAH: The most significant driver of near-term revenue growth for Grace Therapeutics is the potential approval and subsequent commercial launch of GTx-104, an intravenous infusion for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). The FDA accepted the New Drug Application (NDA) for GTx-104 with a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) target date of April 23, 2026. The company has been actively engaged in pre-commercial planning, building a commercial team, and preparing for market entry, with commercialization anticipated shortly after approval in late 2026. GTx-104 is a novel formulation of nimodipine designed to address shortcomings of the oral formulation in aSAH patients, potentially improving outcomes.
- Global Market Expansion for GTx-104: Beyond its initial expected launch in the United States, Grace Therapeutics aims to commercialize GTx-104 in other developed regions globally. Analyst reports suggest potential market expansion into areas such as China and Europe. Successful penetration into these international markets would significantly broaden the patient base and, consequently, drive substantial revenue growth for the company over the next few years.
- Strategic Partnerships or Licensing Agreements for Pipeline Candidates (GTx-102 and GTx-101): While Grace Therapeutics' primary focus is currently on GTx-104, its other pipeline assets, GTx-102 and GTx-101, represent additional potential revenue streams. GTx-102, targeting Ataxia-Telangiectasia, is ready for a Phase III program, and GTx-101, for postherpetic neuralgia, has completed Phase I studies. Although the company has deprioritized the internal development of GTx-102 in favor of GTx-104, it may license or sell GTx-102. Similarly, further development of GTx-101 is contingent on additional capital or partnerships. Successful partnerships or licensing agreements for these candidates could generate revenue through upfront payments, milestone achievements, and royalties.
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Share Issuance
- As part of the merger with Grace Therapeutics in August 2021, Acasti Pharma issued 145,929,867 common shares to Grace stockholders.
- In February 2025, Grace Therapeutics secured approximately $15 million in upfront funding from new and existing institutional investors through the issuance of 4.42 million common shares and accompanying common warrants.
- In October 2025, Grace Therapeutics issued 1,345,464 new shares of common stock at an exercise price of $3.003 per share, raising approximately $4.0 million from the exercise of common warrants from a September 2023 private placement.
Inbound Investments
- In August 2021, Acasti Pharma Inc. acquired Grace Therapeutics in a share-for-share merger, leading to a combined company with anticipated cash of approximately $64 million at closing to advance lead clinical assets.
- Grace Therapeutics completed a private placement in September 2023, generating approximately $7.5 million in gross proceeds from institutional and accredited investors.
- In February 2025, Grace Therapeutics entered into securities purchase agreements with institutional investors for a private placement that secured approximately $15 million in initial upfront funding, with the potential for an additional $15 million from warrant exercises.
Capital Expenditures
- Research and development expenses for the three months ended December 31, 2025 (Q3 fiscal year 2026), were $0.5 million, a decrease of $1.7 million from the prior year, primarily due to the completion of the GTx-104 pivotal Phase 3 STRIVE-ON safety clinical trial.
- Research and development expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2025 (Q2 fiscal year 2026), were $0.6 million, a decrease of $2.4 million from the prior year, mainly due to the completion of the GTx-104 pivotal Phase 3 STRIVE-ON safety trial.
- Grace Therapeutics plans to use its cash and cash equivalents to fund the regulatory review process for GTx-104, pre-commercial planning, commercial team buildout, and product launch if GTx-104 is approved.
Trade Ideas
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | PGNY | Progyny | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | CNC | Centene | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -0.6% |
| 03272026 | OSCR | Oscar Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.0% | 3.0% | -2.6% |
| 03202026 | WAT | Waters | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.4% | -0.4% | -3.3% |
| 03202026 | GILD | Gilead Sciences | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 4.36 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -11 |
| FCF LTM | -10 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -13 |
| CFO LTM | -10 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -13 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 17.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 21.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 24.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | -6.6 |
| P/E | -12.3 |
| P/CFO | -0.2 |
| Total Yield | -6.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -22.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -18.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 54.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -30.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -12.8% |
Segment Financials
Net Income by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development and commercialization of pharmaceutical applications of its patents and licensed rights | -13 | ||||
| Total | -13 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development and commercialization of pharmaceutical applications of its patents and licensed rights | 79 | 129 | 62 | 23 | |
| Total | 79 | 129 | 62 | 23 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $4.36 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/06/2011 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -15.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $4.06 | $3.43 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 7.3% | 27.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 80.2% | 55.9% |
| Downside Capture | 0.33 | 0.04 |
| Upside Capture | 235.06 | 93.02 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 10.0% | 12.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.15 | 0.66 | 0.55 | 0.15 | 0.81 | 0.67 |
| Up Beta | 5.38 | 0.74 | 0.97 | 0.73 | 0.94 | 0.49 |
| Down Beta | -1.22 | -0.23 | -0.18 | -0.07 | 0.87 | 0.67 |
| Up Capture | 145% | 270% | 212% | 77% | 97% | 61% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 25 | 35 | 66 | 128 | 344 |
| Down Capture | -42% | -30% | -19% | -62% | 35% | 91% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 16 | 24 | 54 | 111 | 362 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GRCE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRCE | 122.4% | 56.3% | 1.64 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.5% | 16.0% | 0.38 | 25.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 22.0% | 12.9% | 1.36 | 15.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 49.0% | 27.5% | 1.44 | -0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 25.0% | 16.1% | 1.38 | -13.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 17.3% | 13.7% | 0.92 | 21.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.4% | 42.6% | -0.14 | 4.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GRCE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRCE | -30.3% | 72.8% | -0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 6.5% | 14.6% | 0.26 | 11.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 10.9% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 17.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.9% | 17.8% | 1.01 | 2.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.5% | 18.8% | 0.50 | 4.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.0% | 18.8% | 0.12 | 11.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.1% | 56.5% | 0.31 | 6.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GRCE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRCE | -24.3% | 111.8% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.5% | 16.5% | 0.47 | 10.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 14.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | 2.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.7% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 5.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 9.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 5.1% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/12/2026 | -1.7% | 8.6% | 17.0% |
| 11/13/2025 | 2.3% | 3.0% | 6.9% |
| 6/23/2025 | -2.3% | -1.0% | 11.7% |
| 2/13/2025 | 0.1% | -2.4% | -37.3% |
| 11/13/2024 | -4.4% | -1.3% | 22.3% |
| 6/21/2024 | 4.8% | -5.7% | -7.9% |
| 2/12/2024 | 6.5% | 34.7% | 40.0% |
| 11/13/2023 | -3.3% | -2.4% | -2.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 8 | 8 |
| # Negative | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.4% | 12.1% | 19.6% |
| Median Negative | -1.8% | -2.4% | -27.2% |
| Max Positive | 22.4% | 51.9% | 40.0% |
| Max Negative | -4.4% | -14.5% | -37.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 06/23/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 06/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 06/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 06/21/2022 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Cash Runway | 12 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 12 for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 11/13/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Cash Runway | 12 | 0 | Same New | Actual: 12 for 2026 | |||
| 2028 Potential Gross Proceeds from Warrant Exercise | 15.00 Mil | ||||||
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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