Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -225%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 571%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 284%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -372%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 475%
5   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -225%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 571%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 284%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -372%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 475%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GLTO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Galecto (GLTO) stock experienced a significant surge, including an increase of over 600% on October 7, 2025. Here are the key points for the stock's movement: 1. Purely speculative and momentum-driven surge. The dramatic increase in Galecto's stock price, particularly in early October 2025, was primarily attributed to speculative trading and algorithms rather than specific company announcements or major news catalysts.

2. Low float and short squeeze. Galecto's ultra-low public float and its status as a penny stock made it highly vulnerable to a "near-textbook short squeeze and momentum frenzy," where a limited supply of shares met outsized demand, fueled by rising retail investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GLTO Return--76%-62%-37%-74%316%-94%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%2%17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GLTO Win Rate50%17%33%58%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GLTO Max Drawdown--82%-65%-55%-74%-52% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGLTOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2445.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-25.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Galecto's stock fell -96.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2021. A -96.1% loss requires a 2445.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Galecto (GLTO)

Better Bets than Galecto (GLTO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GLTO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Galecto

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GLTOVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameGalecto Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price22.14463.132.541.0711.0721.2216.14
Mkt Cap0.0118.4----59.2
Rev LTM011,7230-0100
Op Inc LTM-17-92-5--93-70-70
FCF LTM-133,337-6--60-64-13
FCF 3Y Avg-272,064-10----10
CFO LTM-133,718-6--60-64-13
CFO 3Y Avg-272,419-10----10

Growth & Margins

GLTOVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameGalecto Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----700.7%-350.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----635.6%-302.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----636.5%-304.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

GLTOVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameGalecto Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.0118.4----59.2
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-0.322.4----11.1
P/E-0.327.2----13.5
P/CFO-0.326.9----13.3
Total Yield-367.9%3.7%-----182.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-195.0%2.3%-----96.3%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-2.2-0.0-----1.1

Returns

GLTOVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameGalecto Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn230.4%8.7%---9.9%-8.7%
3M Rtn645.5%16.8%--12.5%-16.8%
6M Rtn570.9%3.9%----287.4%
12M Rtn284.4%1.3%----142.9%
3Y Rtn-41.4%44.1%----1.4%
1M Excs Rtn230.5%8.7%---9.9%-8.7%
3M Excs Rtn632.7%11.3%--4.5%-11.3%
6M Excs Rtn556.2%-10.8%----272.7%
12M Excs Rtn304.2%-14.6%----144.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-112.1%-25.9%-----69.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development of small molecule inhibitors for the treatment of cancer and severe liver diseases387312217257
Total387312217257


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity337,430
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025920.8%
Average Daily Volume6,182,140
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity1,322,553
Short % of Basic Shares25.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024319202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024429202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023308202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023731202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211104202110-Q 9/30/2021