Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 111%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Economic Instability & Store of Value, and Resource Extraction & Management. Themes include Inflation Hedging Assets, Precious Metals Mining, Show more.
 
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 111%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Economic Instability & Store of Value, and Resource Extraction & Management. Themes include Inflation Hedging Assets, Precious Metals Mining, Show more.
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GAU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 15, 2025, Galiano Gold's (GAU) stock movement can be attributed to several key positive developments in its operational and financial performance, as well as favorable analyst sentiment.

1. Strong Second Quarter 2025 Financial and Operational Results: Galiano Gold reported robust financial and operational performance for the second quarter of 2025, showing significant improvements across key metrics. The company achieved a 46% increase in gold production from the first quarter, recorded average realized gold prices of $3,317 per ounce, generated $97.3 million in revenue, and posted a net income of $0.07 per share. These results, announced just before the specified period, established a positive outlook for the company.

2. Positive Analyst Rating and Price Target Increase in August 2025: Following its strong Q2 2025 results, H.C. Wainwright & Co. raised its price target for Galiano Gold to $3.20 from $2.80 on August 14, 2025. This analyst update indicated an implied 33.89% upside and maintained a "buy" rating, signaling strong analyst confidence in the company's prospects at the beginning of the period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GAU Return19%-38%-26%81%31%103%163%
Peers Return71%19%-6%9%22%162%571%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GAU Win Rate33%33%42%67%50%83% 
Peers Win Rate52%47%38%53%57%78% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GAU Max Drawdown-25%-46%-49%-10%-7%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-21%-26%-20%-20%-5% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEM, AEM, GOLD, KGC, AU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGAUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-74.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven291.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven655 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1725 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-88.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven733.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1371.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven350 days1480 days

Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM


In The Past

Galiano Gold's stock fell -74.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -74.5% loss requires a 291.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Galiano Gold (GAU)

Better Bets than Galiano Gold (GAU)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GAU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
40.6%40.6%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
40.6%40.6%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Galiano Gold

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GAUNEMAEMGOLDKGCAUMedian
NameGaliano .Newmont Agnico E.Gold.com Kinross .Anglogol. 
Mkt Price2.5898.14168.2731.7227.9282.9257.32
Mkt Cap0.7107.784.50.633.935.634.8
Rev LTM35321,50310,56811,9446,4448,5759,571
Op Inc LTM929,3595,223422,6083,4163,012
FCF LTM86,1223,6454632,2412,5242,383
FCF 3Y Avg22,6362,041201,2741,0711,173
CFO LTM1169,2245,8374753,3483,8523,600
CFO 3Y Avg525,6163,883332,3802,1872,283

Growth & Margins

GAUNEMAEMGOLDKGCAUMedian
NameGaliano .Newmont Agnico E.Gold.com Kinross .Anglogol. 
Rev Chg LTM111.4%26.6%35.2%20.3%32.9%61.8%34.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-23.9%26.0%14.5%29.5%30.1%26.0%
Rev Chg Q60.5%20.0%41.9%35.6%25.8%62.1%38.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM13.9%4.5%9.4%8.8%6.1%12.1%9.1%
Op Mgn LTM26.0%43.5%49.4%0.4%40.5%39.8%40.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-23.9%36.0%0.9%25.0%24.3%24.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.3%4.5%3.6%-0.1%1.8%3.3%2.6%
CFO/Rev LTM32.9%42.9%55.2%4.0%52.0%44.9%43.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-32.6%45.6%0.1%45.2%33.3%33.3%
FCF/Rev LTM2.3%28.5%34.5%3.9%34.8%29.4%29.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-13.8%22.7%-0.1%23.1%14.3%14.3%

Valuation

GAUNEMAEMGOLDKGCAUMedian
NameGaliano .Newmont Agnico E.Gold.com Kinross .Anglogol. 
Mkt Cap0.7107.784.50.633.935.634.8
P/S1.64.38.00.14.74.24.2
P/EBIT-162.28.916.2-11.3-10.1
P/E-12.512.924.686.417.215.816.5
P/CFO4.910.014.51.39.09.39.1
Total Yield-8.0%9.0%4.9%2.7%6.3%9.9%5.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.2%0.8%1.5%0.5%3.6%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.0%3.6%3.9%-8.8%-3.8%
D/E0.10.10.0-0.0-0.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.0--0.0--0.0

Returns

GAUNEMAEMGOLDKGCAUMedian
NameGaliano .Newmont Agnico E.Gold.com Kinross .Anglogol. 
1M Rtn18.3%12.1%0.3%26.7%9.9%5.5%11.0%
3M Rtn2.0%24.2%10.1%18.5%20.1%26.3%19.3%
6M Rtn70.9%70.6%35.9%45.2%77.3%67.2%68.9%
12M Rtn94.0%148.1%103.6%15.3%188.0%249.3%125.9%
3Y Rtn386.8%133.6%257.2%7.5%620.7%378.8%318.0%
1M Excs Rtn10.6%6.1%-2.2%21.9%7.7%-1.2%6.9%
3M Excs Rtn-2.0%20.8%6.5%14.8%17.0%21.6%15.9%
6M Excs Rtn56.6%56.3%21.7%30.9%63.1%53.0%54.7%
12M Excs Rtn79.4%127.4%89.0%1.5%166.0%225.0%108.2%
3Y Excs Rtn297.3%52.0%173.9%-71.4%518.2%305.2%235.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Asanko Gold Mine (AGM)213    
Corporate function 180136204145
Total213180136204145


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,023,714
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-23.0%
Average Daily Volume3,284,847
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity258,791,445
Short % of Basic Shares0.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110720256-K 9/30/2025
630202581420256-K 6/30/2025
331202551520256-K 3/31/2025
12312024317202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110820246-K 9/30/2024
630202480820246-K 6/30/2024
331202450320246-K 3/31/2024
12312023326202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023111420236-K 9/30/2023
630202380220236-K 6/30/2023
331202350420236-K 3/31/2023
12312022329202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110920226-K 9/30/2022
630202281220226-K 6/30/2022
331202250620226-K 3/31/2022
12312021330202240-F 12/31/2021