Tearsheet

Douglas Elliman (DOUG)


Market Price (1/29/2026): $2.705 | Market Cap: $228.8 Mil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Services

Douglas Elliman (DOUG)


Market Price (1/29/2026): $2.705
Market Cap: $228.8 Mil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Real Estate Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.3%
1   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.3%
2   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30%
4   Key risks
DOUG key risks include [1] its persistent quarterly losses and an operating margin that is below the industry average.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.3%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.3%
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30%
6 Key risks
DOUG key risks include [1] its persistent quarterly losses and an operating margin that is below the industry average.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Douglas Elliman (DOUG) stock has lost about 5% since 9/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Douglas Elliman Inc. reported third-quarter 2025 revenues of $262.8 million, significantly missing analyst forecasts of $315.85 million by 16.78%. This substantial revenue shortfall negatively impacted investor sentiment and contributed to the stock's decline.

2. The company experienced an increase in operating losses, reporting a $10.7 million operating loss in Q3 2025, up from $7.4 million in the third quarter of 2024. This widening operating loss signaled ongoing challenges in profitability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -5.6% change in DOUG stock from 9/30/2025 to 1/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -5.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020251282026Change
Stock Price ($)2.862.70-5.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,0341,031-0.3%
P/S Multiple0.20.2-5.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8485-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution-5.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 1/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DOUG-5.6% 
Market (SPY)4.4%52.2%
Sector (XLRE)-3.0%34.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 16.4% change in DOUG stock from 6/30/2025 to 1/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020251282026Change
Stock Price ($)2.322.7016.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,0491,031-1.7%
P/S Multiple0.20.218.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8485-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution16.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 1/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DOUG16.4% 
Market (SPY)12.9%43.8%
Sector (XLRE)-0.6%34.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 61.7% change in DOUG stock from 12/31/2024 to 1/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 53.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120241282026Change
Stock Price ($)1.672.7061.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9661,0316.7%
P/S Multiple0.10.253.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8485-1.2%
Cumulative Contribution61.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2024 to 1/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DOUG61.7% 
Market (SPY)19.7%37.6%
Sector (XLRE)2.8%34.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -29.2% change in DOUG stock from 12/31/2022 to 1/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)123120221282026Change
Stock Price ($)3.812.70-29.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,2801,031-19.5%
P/S Multiple0.20.2-8.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8285-3.5%
Cumulative Contribution-29.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2022 to 1/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DOUG-29.2% 
Market (SPY)88.6%31.6%
Sector (XLRE)21.4%36.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
DOUG Return0%-63%-23%-43%42%14%-74%
Peers Return109%-61%41%40%78%10%218%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%2%86%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DOUG Win Rate0%25%42%42%50%100% 
Peers Win Rate49%32%52%55%52%100% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%100% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DOUG Max Drawdown0%-68%-58%-65%-8%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-65%-14%-28%-20%-1% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HOUS, COMP, EXPI, REAX, CBRE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/28/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDOUGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven618.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to HOUS, COMP, EXPI, REAX, CBRE

In The Past

Douglas Elliman's stock fell -86.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -86.1% loss requires a 618.8% gain to breakeven.

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About Douglas Elliman (DOUG)

Douglas Elliman Inc. engages in the real estate services and property technology investment business in the United States. It operates in two segments, Real Estate Brokerage, and Corporate and Other. The company conducts residential real estate brokerage operations. It has approximately 100 offices with approximately 6,500 real estate agents in the New York metropolitan areas, as well as in Florida, California, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Colorado, New Jersey, and Texas. Douglas Elliman Inc. was founded in 1911 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida. Douglas Elliman Inc.(NYSE:DOUG) operates independently of Vector Group Ltd. as of December 29, 2021.

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Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Douglas Elliman (DOUG):

  • The Sotheby's (the auction house) for residential real estate.
  • The Tiffany & Co. of residential real estate.

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  • Residential Real Estate Brokerage: Facilitates the buying, selling, and leasing of existing residential properties for individual clients.
  • New Development Marketing and Sales: Provides comprehensive marketing, sales, and advisory services for developers of new residential projects from conception to closing.

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Douglas Elliman (symbol: DOUG) primarily serves individual customers rather than other companies. As a residential real estate brokerage firm, its revenue is primarily derived from commissions on transactions involving individuals buying, selling, or renting homes. The company's major categories of individual customers include:

  1. Residential Property Buyers and Sellers: This broad category includes individuals and families looking to purchase homes (whether primary residences, vacation homes, or investment properties) or sell their existing properties across various price points. This constitutes the core of Douglas Elliman's brokerage business.

  2. Residential Property Renters and Landlords: Douglas Elliman also serves individuals seeking to rent residential properties and property owners (landlords) looking to lease out their properties through the company's rental services. This segment is particularly prominent in urban markets where rentals are a significant part of the housing market.

  3. Luxury Market Clientele and High-Net-Worth Individuals (HNWIs): Given Douglas Elliman's strong presence in prime and luxury markets such as New York City, Los Angeles, South Florida, and Aspen, a significant portion of its clientele consists of high-net-worth individuals and those operating within the high-end and luxury segments of the real estate market. These clients often seek exclusive properties, specialized marketing, and a high level of personalized service.

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Michael S. Liebowitz, President and Chief Executive Officer

Michael Liebowitz is an entrepreneur, private investor, and seasoned business executive with over 25 years of experience in founding, acquiring, and monetizing businesses in the insurance and financial industries. He has founded or acquired companies such as Harbor Group Consulting LLC, National Financial Partners Corp. (NYSE: NFP), Innova Risk Management, and High Street Valuations. Mr. Liebowitz served as President and CEO for Harbor and High Street Valuations until 2023, and for Harbor and Innova until 2018 and 2019, respectively, when they were acquired by Alliant Insurance Services Inc. He also served as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Nocopi Technologies Inc. (OTCQB: NNUP) from October 2022 until February 2025. He has previously served on the boards of Ladenburg Thalmann Financial Services Inc. (NYSE American: LTS) and The Hilb Group; Ladenburg Thalmann was sold to a portfolio company of Reverence Capital Partners in May 2020.

J. Bryant Kirkland III, Executive Vice President, Treasurer and Chief Financial Officer

J. Bryant Kirkland III serves as Executive Vice President, Treasurer, and Chief Financial Officer of Douglas Elliman Inc., with his current employment agreement effective October 30, 2024. He previously served as Chief Financial Officer of Vector Group Ltd. from April 2006 until October 2024, when it was acquired by JT Group Inc. Mr. Kirkland was also Chief Financial Officer of New Valley Corporation from 1998 until December 2005, when it was acquired by Vector Group. Additionally, he served as Chairman of the Board of Directors, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Multi Solutions II, Inc. and Multi-Soft II, Inc., subsidiaries of Vector Group, from 2012 to October 2024.

Bradley H. Brodie, Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary

Bradley H. Brodie serves as Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary. Prior to joining Douglas Elliman in August 2025, Mr. Brodie served as Counsel at Sidley Austin LLP and as Of Counsel at DLA Piper LLP (US). Before DLA Piper, he was Director, Assistant General Counsel at Chewy, Inc. and Vice President - Legal Affairs of Ladenburg Thalmann Financial Services Inc. until its sale in May 2020 to a portfolio company of Reverence Capital Partners.

Stephen T. Larkin, Executive Vice President and Chief Communications Officer

Stephen T. Larkin has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Communications Officer of Douglas Elliman since September 2020, after being Vice President of Public Relations from December 2016 to September 2020. Prior to his tenure at Douglas Elliman, Mr. Larkin served as a Director of Relevance International, an international public relations firm, and previously as a principal of Larkin Public Relations and a Vice President of The Corcoran Group.

Susan de França, President & Chief Executive Officer, DE Development Marketing

Susan de França holds the position of President & Chief Executive Officer for Douglas Elliman Development Marketing.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Douglas Elliman's business (DOUG) are primarily driven by its exposure to the cyclical real estate market, ongoing profitability challenges, and intense industry competition.

  1. Reliance on the Residential Real Estate Market and Economic Cyclicality: Douglas Elliman's financial performance is highly dependent on the health of the residential real estate market. Factors such as elevated interest rates, limited housing inventory, and overall economic downturns directly impact transaction volumes, revenue generation, and overall profitability. The company has experienced significant declines in revenue during challenging market conditions, with its luxury market focus still vulnerable to these broader trends.

  2. Persistent Losses and Profitability Concerns: Douglas Elliman has faced persistent quarterly losses and operates with an operating margin that is below the industry average, indicating ongoing challenges in achieving consistent profitability. The luxury focus of the business entails substantial marketing and operational investments, which can further impact profitability, especially during slower market periods. Achieving consistent positive operating margins is crucial for the company's valuation and long-term financial health.

  3. Intense Competition: The real estate brokerage market is highly competitive, characterized by numerous established firms and the emergence of new, tech-driven platforms. Douglas Elliman faces significant competition for market share, which can put pressure on commissions and require continuous investment in technology and agent recruitment to maintain its competitive edge.

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The National Association of Realtors (NAR) settlement regarding broker commissions, which will eliminate the long-standing rule requiring listing brokers to offer compensation to buyer brokers via the Multiple Listing Service (MLS), represents a clear emerging threat. Effective July 2024, this change will fundamentally alter the traditional commission structure that Douglas Elliman and other residential real estate brokerages rely upon. It is expected to lead to increased pressure on commission rates, force buyers to directly negotiate or pay for their agents' services, and could potentially reduce the overall number of transactions or the profitability of each transaction, particularly for buyer-side representation. This disruption to the core compensation model is comparable in its potential systemic impact to how streaming services threatened traditional media distribution.

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Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) primarily operates as a residential real estate brokerage firm, with a significant focus on the luxury market. The company also offers development marketing, property management, title, and escrow services, as well as mortgage services through its subsidiaries.

Addressable Market Sizes:

  • U.S. Luxury Residential Real Estate Market: This market was valued at approximately USD 289.38 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 338.57 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.19% over the 2025-2030 period.
  • Global Luxury Real Estate Market: The global market for luxury real estate was valued at USD 295.57 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 576.5 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 6.9% from 2025 to 2035. Another estimate places the global market at USD 432.8 billion in 2025, growing to USD 800 billion by 2035. North America held a significant share of this market, valued at USD 150 billion in 2024, with projections indicating a rise to USD 300 billion by 2035.
  • U.S. Real Estate Market (Overall): The broader U.S. real estate market was estimated at USD 1.71 trillion in 2024 and is expected to generate revenue of USD 2.32 trillion by 2033, with a CAGR of 3.10% during 2025–2033. Another estimate for the U.S. real estate market size was USD 130.02 billion in 2024, expected to reach USD 135.37 billion in 2025 and USD 172.13 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 4.1% from 2025 to 2030. The residential property segment constituted the largest share, at 57.1% in 2024.

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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Douglas Elliman (symbol: DOUG) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Development Marketing Pipeline: Douglas Elliman has a significant development marketing pipeline, with a gross transaction value estimated at approximately $25.5 billion, including $16.6 billion in Florida. This pipeline is expected to be a major driver of future revenue as projects close, primarily between 2026 and 2031, leading to the recognition of commission income.
  2. International Expansion: The company is actively pursuing geographic expansion into new luxury markets globally. This includes recent entries into France (Bordeaux, French Riviera), Monaco, and St. Barths, with further plans for expansion into Paris and the French Alps. This international growth is a strategic initiative aimed at driving future revenue.
  3. Investments in Technology and Agent Productivity (PropTech & AI): Douglas Elliman is investing in technology and innovation to enhance agent efficiency and client services. This includes the launch of an AI-powered assistant app, Elli AI, to streamline agent workflows and the development of new offerings like the Elliman Capital mortgage platform. These technological advancements and new service introductions are intended to improve differentiation and increase revenue potential.
  4. Sustained Strength in the Luxury Market: Douglas Elliman continues to focus on and maintain its leadership in the luxury residential real estate market. The company has observed strong luxury home pricing and an increase in the average price per transaction, as well as rising luxury sales volumes (homes above $5 million and $10 million), which are expected to contribute to revenue growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) has undertaken several capital allocation decisions over the last three to five years, primarily focusing on strategic investments and managing its equity structure since its spin-off from Vector Group in late 2021.

Share Repurchases

Douglas Elliman has not announced significant share repurchase programs or executed substantial share repurchases in the period of review based on available public information. The net common equity issued/repurchased data from Macrotrends shows fluctuations but no major, explicit repurchase programs.

Share Issuance

The company was spun off from Vector Group on December 29, 2021, resulting in Douglas Elliman common stock being distributed to Vector Group stockholders. The number of outstanding common shares has seen some changes; for example, from 81,235,626 shares as of April 28, 2022, to 88,853,150 shares outstanding at December 31, 2024, and 91,535,412 shares outstanding at March 1, 2024. As of October 29, 2025, the company had 88,818,970 shares of common stock outstanding.

Inbound Investments

In July 2024, Douglas Elliman secured a $50 million growth investment from Kennedy Lewis Investment Management LLC, aimed at strengthening its balance sheet and supporting strategic growth and expansion. Additionally, in 2025, the company completed the sale of Douglas Elliman Property Management for $85 million, which is expected to result in an after-tax gain of approximately $75 million and improved financial flexibility with approximately $126.5 million in cash and no debt by October 31, 2025.

Outbound Investments

Douglas Elliman has strategically invested in PropTech (property technology) opportunities through its subsidiary, New Valley Ventures LLC. These investments were approximately $14.8 million (carrying value) in PropTech companies as of December 31, 2022, and around $13.4 million (carrying value) as of December 31, 2023. The company also acquired a 50% interest in Partners Land Services LLC, a title insurance services provider in Florida, in June 2021. Furthermore, Douglas Elliman expanded its international footprint through Element International, with a recent entry into France and Monaco, and is investing in agent productivity and client services with new offerings like the LE AI assistant, Element Inspirations, and Element Capital mortgage platform.

Capital Expenditures

While specific aggregate dollar values for capital expenditures are not readily available in the provided snippets, Douglas Elliman has consistently emphasized its focus on technology-driven investments. The company is committed to digitizing, integrating, and simplifying real estate activities for agents and enhancing client experiences through innovative PropTech solutions. This includes adopting new PropTech solutions for agents and clients and investing in select PropTech opportunities.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

DOUGHOUSCOMPEXPIREAXCBREMedian
NameDouglas .Anywhere.Compass eXp WorldReal Bro.CBRE  
Mkt Price2.70-13.059.203.66169.509.20
Mkt Cap0.2-7.41.40.850.41.4
Rev LTM1,031-6,6424,6791,81439,3264,679
Op Inc LTM-34--38-15-101,540-15
FCF LTM-13-188108661,363108
FCF 3Y Avg-31-331674180241
CFO LTM-8-202119701,678119
CFO 3Y Avg-25-50176431,11350

Growth & Margins

DOUGHOUSCOMPEXPIREAXCBREMedian
NameDouglas .Anywhere.Compass eXp WorldReal Bro.CBRE  
Rev Chg LTM6.7%-24.3%5.1%65.6%14.6%14.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.8%-2.8%-0.1%75.5%8.2%2.8%
Rev Chg Q-1.3%-23.6%6.9%52.6%13.5%13.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.3%-5.6%1.9%12.1%3.2%3.2%
Op Mgn LTM-3.3%--0.6%-0.3%-0.6%3.9%-0.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-5.2%--3.9%0.1%-2.0%3.4%-2.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%-0.1%-0.1%0.2%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-0.8%-3.0%2.5%3.9%4.3%3.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-2.6%-0.6%4.0%3.6%3.1%3.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.2%-2.8%2.3%3.6%3.5%2.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.2%-0.3%3.8%3.5%2.2%2.2%

Valuation

DOUGHOUSCOMPEXPIREAXCBREMedian
NameDouglas .Anywhere.Compass eXp WorldReal Bro.CBRE  
Mkt Cap0.2-7.41.40.850.41.4
P/S0.2-1.10.30.41.30.4
P/EBIT-4.2--130.9-97.5-72.332.8-72.3
P/E-3.8--130.9-74.8-76.041.1-74.8
P/CFO-27.0-36.612.211.530.112.2
Total Yield-26.0%--0.8%0.8%-1.3%2.4%-0.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.0%2.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-15.6%--0.9%9.0%6.5%1.9%1.9%
D/E0.6-0.10.00.00.20.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.10.2-0.0

Returns

DOUGHOUSCOMPEXPIREAXCBREMedian
NameDouglas .Anywhere.Compass eXp WorldReal Bro.CBRE  
1M Rtn16.9%-22.0%-0.6%1.9%3.2%3.2%
3M Rtn5.5%-71.5%-11.5%2.5%11.0%5.5%
6M Rtn-4.3%-80.5%-14.3%-8.0%7.7%-4.3%
12M Rtn62.7%-75.9%-20.1%-26.7%18.9%18.9%
3Y Rtn-37.9%-227.1%-42.6%159.6%100.7%100.7%
1M Excs Rtn12.8%-22.5%-3.2%-1.5%2.2%2.2%
3M Excs Rtn-4.0%-60.4%-19.6%-7.4%3.7%-4.0%
6M Excs Rtn-20.7%-67.5%-26.7%-19.8%-2.3%-19.8%
12M Excs Rtn47.6%-69.8%-33.9%-39.8%2.4%2.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-110.8%-208.0%-105.7%103.7%25.7%25.7%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil202420232022
Real Estate Brokerage9561,1531,353
Corporate Activities and Other00 
Total9561,1531,353


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil202420232022
Corporate Activities and Other-28-270
Real Estate Brokerage-3722102
Total-64-5102


Assets by Segment
$ Mil202420232022
Real Estate Brokerage455513548
Corporate Activities and Other383847
Total493550595


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$2.70 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.2 
First Trading Date12/31/2021 
Distance from 52W High-13.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$2.55$2.49
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA6.1%8.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility53.9%74.4%
Downside Capture221.93160.29
Upside Capture239.33186.57
Correlation (SPY)53.6%37.0%
DOUG Betas & Captures as of 12/31/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.882.202.102.611.391.52
Up Beta-0.633.553.744.181.381.34
Down Beta0.221.240.592.701.221.13
Up Capture15%211%181%221%260%466%
Bmk +ve Days11233772143431
Stock +ve Days7162557115340
Down Capture244%215%251%202%126%112%
Bmk -ve Days11182755108320
Stock -ve Days14243561122370

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DOUG
DOUG60.5%74.3%0.94-
Sector ETF (XLRE)-0.4%16.4%-0.2033.6%
Equity (SPY)17.1%19.3%0.6937.1%
Gold (GLD)97.2%20.8%3.183.1%
Commodities (DBC)13.8%15.4%0.6414.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.2%16.5%-0.1035.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-12.7%39.6%-0.2518.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DOUG
DOUG-23.9%71.1%-0.18-
Sector ETF (XLRE)5.4%19.0%0.1938.0%
Equity (SPY)14.1%17.1%0.6636.9%
Gold (GLD)23.2%15.8%1.198.1%
Commodities (DBC)12.6%18.8%0.548.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%18.8%0.1640.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)23.7%57.6%0.6017.0%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DOUG
DOUG-12.8%71.1%-0.18-
Sector ETF (XLRE)7.1%20.5%0.3138.0%
Equity (SPY)16.0%17.9%0.7736.9%
Gold (GLD)16.8%14.9%0.948.1%
Commodities (DBC)9.2%17.6%0.438.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.1%20.8%0.2640.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)70.9%66.5%1.1017.0%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 12312025-47.0%
Average Daily Volume0.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity84.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.0%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-2.0%5.7%6.5%
7/31/2025-22.9%-22.5%-1.1%
3/11/20253.0%15.9%-6.7%
11/7/20244.1%-6.7%25.4%
8/8/2024-1.1%19.8%-12.8%
5/10/2024-18.1%-2.1%-23.6%
3/1/2024-0.5%-3.3%-22.3%
11/8/2023-3.2%9.7%24.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive465
# Negative1089
Median Positive4.3%8.4%16.4%
Median Negative-6.1%-7.5%-12.8%
Max Positive8.4%19.8%25.4%
Max Negative-22.9%-24.3%-25.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202403/17/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/09/202410-Q
03/31/202405/10/202410-Q
12/31/202303/08/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/15/202310-Q
12/31/202203/16/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
03/31/202205/11/202210-Q
12/31/202103/31/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Bartels, Patrick J Jr DirectBuy51220251.8415,20028,030136,786Form
2Bartels, Patrick J Jr DirectBuy51220251.8561,696114,360251,850Form
3Bartels, Patrick J Jr DirectBuy51220251.9258,104111,292371,540Form