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FTC Solar (FTCI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.76 | Market Cap: $127.8 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

FTC Solar (FTCI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.76
Market Cap: $127.8 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -50 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -79%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, and Renewable Energy Equipment.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 122%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 201%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -34%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -48%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -83%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 107%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, and Renewable Energy Equipment.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -50 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -79%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 122%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 201%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -34%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -48%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -83%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 107%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FTCI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Third-Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: FTC Solar reported a substantial 157% year-over-year increase in revenue to $26 million for the third quarter of 2025. This performance marked the company's first positive gross margin since late 2023, indicating a notable turnaround in profitability.

2. Significant Analyst Price Target Increases and Upgrades: On November 13, 2025, TD Cowen raised its price target for FTC Solar to $12.50 from $8.00, representing a 56.25% increase, while maintaining a Buy rating. Additionally, Roth Capital upgraded FTC Solar to a Buy rating from Neutral around November 22, 2025, and UBS increased its price target to $10 from $5.50 on December 2, 2025, reflecting an 81.82% increase.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FTCI Return---65%-74%-20%75%-87%
Peers Return46%17%-5%13%-4%5%85%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FTCI Win Rate-38%50%58%50%70% 
Peers Win Rate52%42%32%42%35%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FTCI Max Drawdown---76%-84%-70%-59% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-12%-30%-12%-16%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFTCIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3271.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ


In The Past

FTC Solar's stock fell -97.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2021. A -97.0% loss requires a 3271.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About FTC Solar (FTCI)

Better Bets than FTC Solar (FTCI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Can FTC Solar Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FTCI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for FTC Solar

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FTCIQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameFTC SolarQualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Price9.76174.18256.06137.6836.1927.5386.94
Mkt Cap0.1187.827.54.52.0-4.5
Rev LTM6444,2844,34374344669594
Op Inc LTM-5012,3941,362-965-38-16
FCF LTM-3112,820-9437480-2127
FCF 3Y Avg-4011,277-557-165--1
CFO LTM-3014,01229997100-1699
CFO 3Y Avg-3912,5047621985-85

Growth & Margins

FTCIQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameFTC SolarQualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Rev Chg LTM-17.5%13.7%15.4%47.1%10.5%-13.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-33.7%1.2%20.6%-0.7%-12.3%--0.7%
Rev Chg Q74.9%10.0%8.6%23.8%2.7%-10.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM15.4%2.4%2.0%5.6%0.7%-2.4%
Op Mgn LTM-78.7%28.0%31.3%-12.9%1.2%-54.6%-5.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-68.6%25.9%22.9%-15.6%5.4%-5.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM12.9%-0.2%-0.9%3.2%-3.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-46.5%31.6%6.9%13.1%22.5%-22.6%10.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-45.6%31.5%21.7%2.8%19.4%-19.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-47.8%28.9%-21.7%9.9%17.9%-29.7%-5.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-46.9%28.4%-14.8%0.1%14.8%-0.1%

Valuation

FTCIQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameFTC SolarQualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Cap0.1187.827.54.52.0-4.5
P/S0.94.05.45.85.0-5.0
P/EBIT-1.413.517.1-52.3420.2-13.5
P/E-1.332.418.8-50.0125.0-18.8
P/CFO-2.012.879.144.222.4-22.4
Total Yield-78.9%5.2%5.3%-2.0%2.9%-2.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%0.0%0.0%2.1%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-51.1%7.0%-2.6%-0.1%2.2%--0.1%
D/E0.20.10.00.00.0-0.0
Net D/E0.10.0-0.0-0.1-0.1--0.0

Returns

FTCIQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameFTC SolarQualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
1M Rtn16.6%-3.6%-3.6%7.6%-12.5%-6.0%-3.6%
3M Rtn55.7%10.7%27.1%5.1%-17.1%-28.3%7.9%
6M Rtn122.3%18.2%60.2%9.9%-32.9%-18.2%
12M Rtn201.2%9.5%23.4%22.7%-44.2%-22.7%
3Y Rtn-60.0%47.6%52.1%-2.8%-52.4%--2.8%
1M Excs Rtn16.6%-3.6%-3.6%7.6%-12.5%-6.0%-3.6%
3M Excs Rtn57.6%3.7%21.5%-3.3%-23.9%-37.5%0.2%
6M Excs Rtn107.6%3.5%45.5%-4.9%-47.7%-3.5%
12M Excs Rtn196.4%-1.2%14.9%10.9%-57.3%-10.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-123.0%-16.6%-18.2%-72.8%-123.3%--72.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,050,654
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.3%
Average Daily Volume662,929
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.58
Basic Shares Quantity13,098,825
Short % of Basic Shares8.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021321202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211112202110-Q 9/30/2021