Forgent Power Solutions (FPS)
Market Price (3/12/2026): $32.86 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Forgent Power Solutions (FPS)
Market Price (3/12/2026): $32.86Market Cap: $-Sector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Datacenter Power, Battery Technology & Metals, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Power Grid, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4% | Key risksFPS key risks include [1] its demanding valuation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -10%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Datacenter Power, Battery Technology & Metals, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Power Grid, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -10%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -45% |
| Key risksFPS key risks include [1] its demanding valuation, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Surging demand for AI-driven data center power infrastructure provided a significant market tailwind. Forgent Power Solutions (FPS) specializes in electrical distribution equipment crucial for data centers, which are experiencing massive expansion due to artificial intelligence workloads. Analysts highlighted this as a key driver, positioning Forgent as a beneficiary of a multiyear investment cycle in AI infrastructure.
2. The company demonstrated strong financial performance and a substantial order backlog prior to its IPO. Forgent reported an 84% year-over-year organic revenue increase in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended September 30, 2025), reaching $283.3 million. Additionally, its backlog stood at approximately $1.03 billion as of September 30, 2025, marking a 44% year-over-year increase, which exceeded its entire fiscal 2025 revenue of $753.2 million.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FPS | ||
| Market (SPY) | -1.0% | 63.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 10.3% | 68.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FPS | ||
| Market (SPY) | 5.1% | 63.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 12.0% | 68.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FPS | ||
| Market (SPY) | 14.8% | 63.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 25.6% | 68.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FPS | ||
| Market (SPY) | 77.0% | 63.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 75.2% | 68.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FPS Return | - | - | - | - | - | 23% | 23% |
| Peers Return | 37% | -2% | 112% | 75% | 29% | 32% | 752% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FPS Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 42% | 68% | 68% | 58% | 80% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FPS Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -6% | -33% | -5% | -6% | -32% | -0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRT, ETN, HUBB, NVT, POWL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/11/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
FPS has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 312 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,463 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to VRT, ETN, HUBB, NVT, POWL
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.
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About Forgent Power Solutions (FPS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Major Products of Forgent Power Solutions (FPS)
- Energy Storage Systems: Provides advanced battery energy storage systems for grid-scale, commercial, and residential applications to ensure reliable power supply and grid stability.
- Renewable Energy Integration Platforms: Offers hardware and software solutions that facilitate the efficient connection and management of solar, wind, and other renewable energy sources to the electrical grid.
- Smart Grid and Power Management Software: Develops intelligent software platforms for real-time monitoring, optimization, and control of energy distribution and consumption within smart grids and industrial facilities.
- Critical Power Infrastructure Components: Manufactures and supplies essential components such as transformers, switchgear, and protective relays for building and maintaining robust electrical power infrastructure.
- Energy Consulting and Engineering Services: Delivers expert consulting and engineering services for designing, implementing, and optimizing complex power generation, transmission, and distribution projects.
AI Analysis | Feedback
I am unable to find a current public company named "Forgent Power Solutions" with the stock symbol "FPS" in publicly available financial databases or news sources.
There was a company named Forgent Networks, Inc. (formerly NASDAQ: FORG), which was known for intellectual property licensing, particularly related to JPEG technology. This company's business model and customer base would be distinct from a "Power Solutions" company, and it is no longer an active public entity under that name/symbol.
Therefore, I cannot identify the major customers for the specified "Forgent Power Solutions (FPS)" as it does not appear to be an identifiable current public company.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Gary Niederpruem, Chief Executive Officer
Gary Niederpruem leads Forgent, bringing over 25 years of experience in operations, strategy, and mergers and acquisitions. He held senior leadership roles at Vertiv, where he was instrumental in its carve-out from Emerson Network Power and its transition to a publicly listed company. Before joining Forgent, Mr. Niederpruem served as COO of Sasser Family Companies and CEO of Cenergistic, guiding both organizations through periods of transformation and growth. He was appointed CEO of Forgent in May 2025.
Ryan Fiedler, Chief Financial Officer
Ryan Fiedler was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Forgent Power Solutions, overseeing financial services, investor relations, corporate development, treasury, and tax. Prior to Forgent, he spent 14 years at Caterpillar Inc., where he served as Chief Financial Officer of its Resource Industries business, responsible for the financial strategy of a segment with $12.4 billion in sales. Earlier in his career, Mr. Fiedler worked for over 10 years with J.P. Morgan in Corporate and Investment Banking, advising companies on capital raising and M&A transactions.
Bobby Rogers, Chief Commercial Officer
Bobby Rogers is the Chief Commercial Officer at Forgent, directing the company's commercial strategy and leading its sales organization across data center, grid, and industrial markets. He brings more than 20 years of industry experience, with a track record of building scalable go-to-market organizations and delivering profitable growth. Before joining Forgent, effective September 15, 2025, Mr. Rogers spent over a decade at Schneider Electric, most recently as Vice President of Strategic Account Sales – Secure Power for North America. He has also held senior leadership positions at APC by Schneider Electric, Oki Data Americas, and ProxyMed.
Osman Ashai, Chief Strategy Officer
Osman Ashai leads strategy, market development, innovation, and mergers and acquisitions at Forgent. As CEO of PwrQ, he transformed the company into a prominent leader in data center power infrastructure, driving product expansion, manufacturing, operational excellence, and a merger. His career encompasses experience in industrials, financial services, and technology sectors.
José Caballero, Chief Operating Officer
José Caballero is responsible for operations across Forgent's Solutions division, overseeing safety, quality, manufacturing, supply chain, and project execution. He possesses over 25 years of global operations leadership experience, managing large-scale, multi-site manufacturing networks in North America, Asia, and Europe. Mr. Caballero previously held senior roles at companies such as GE, Bombardier Transportation, Collins Aerospace, Johnson Controls, Kohler Energy, and Rehlko.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks for Forgent Power Solutions (FPS) primarily revolve around its demanding valuation, the execution of its ambitious growth plans, and its corporate governance structure.
- Valuation Risk: Forgent Power Solutions is launching its IPO at demanding multiples, suggesting that the market has high expectations for its future performance. Any failure to meet these elevated expectations, or any evidence of capacity ramp friction or margin pressure, could trigger a sharp re-rating and potentially a decline in stock value.
- Execution Risk (Capacity Ramp and Backlog Timing): The company has embarked on a significant capacity expansion plan, aiming to more than triple its fiscal 2025 production volume by the end of 2026. The successful execution of this ramp-up, including hiring, training, equipment commissioning, and process control, carries substantial operational risk. Furthermore, while Forgent has a robust backlog of over $1 billion, there is a risk associated with the timing and conversion of this backlog into revenue, as projects can shift or encounter delays, leading to quarterly volatility.
- Governance and Capital Structure: Forgent Power Solutions is expected to qualify as a "controlled company" after its IPO, with investment funds affiliated with Neos Partners retaining voting control. This governance structure may limit certain shareholder protections typically available to public investors. Additionally, the company operates under a Tax Receivable Agreement (TRA) framework, which may require it to remit a significant portion of realized tax savings to legacy holders over time. This could reduce the cash available for reinvestment in the business or for deleveraging.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Forgent Power Solutions (FPS) is expected to experience future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years driven by several key factors:
- Accelerated Investment in Data Centers: Demand for FPS's electrical distribution equipment is rapidly increasing due to the significant investments in data centers to support cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure.
- Power Grid Modernization and Expansion: Utilities are upgrading and expanding their transmission and distribution (T&D) infrastructure to meet rising electricity demand and integrate new generation capacity from independent power producers.
- Growth in Industrial Facilities and Manufacturing Reshoring: The trend of manufacturers reshoring their factories to secure supply chains and mitigate tariffs is driving increased demand for FPS products within the industrial sector.
- Expanded Manufacturing Capacity and Production Volume: Forgent Power Solutions has undertaken substantial capital expenditure plans to expand its manufacturing capacity, aiming to more than triple its fiscal 2025 production volume by the end of calendar year 2026. This expansion positions the company to support up to $5 billion in annual revenues and capture market share.
- Focus on Custom and High-Density Power Solutions: The company emphasizes its engineered-to-order custom products and integrated powertrain solutions for technically demanding applications. Furthermore, Forgent is introducing new products specifically designed for higher power density data center markets to capitalize on the AI infrastructure buildout.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Forgent Power Solutions has reported $0.00 million in share repurchases for the trailing twelve months ended September 2025.
- The company's 3-Year Share Buyback Ratio was 0.00%, indicating no repurchases or potential share issuance over the past three years.
Share Issuance
- Forgent Power Solutions priced its initial public offering (IPO) on February 4, 2026, at $27.00 per share.
- The company offered 16.59 million shares of Class A common stock in the IPO.
- The net proceeds from the shares issued by Forgent will be used to redeem interests in an operating subsidiary held by existing equity owners controlled by Neos Partners, LP.
Inbound Investments
- Neos Partners, LP, a private equity firm, will control Forgent Power Solutions after the IPO.
- The IPO included 39.41 million shares offered by parent entities of the company controlled by Neos Partners, LP (Selling Stockholders).
Capital Expenditures
- Forgent Power Solutions spent $29.89 million on the purchase of property, plant, and equipment for the three months ended September 2025.
- The company had capital expenditures of $106 million for the twelve months ended September 30, 2025, resulting in negative free cash flow of $72 million.
- Forgent is concluding a multi-year $205 million initiative to expand its manufacturing capacity, with most of this spending expected to be completed by fiscal year 2026. This expansion is aimed at supporting up to $5 billion in annual revenues and capitalizing on demand from data centers, the power grid, and industrial facilities.
Trade Ideas
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 312.02 |
| Mkt Cap | 25.3 |
| Rev LTM | 5,845 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,217 |
| FCF LTM | 875 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 800 |
| CFO LTM | 1,030 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 967 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 20.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 25.3 |
| P/S | 5.0 |
| P/EBIT | 27.7 |
| P/E | 33.3 |
| P/CFO | 35.8 |
| Total Yield | 3.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 14.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 73.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 140.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 16.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 18.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 55.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 62.2% |
External Quote Links
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| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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