Flywire (FLYW)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.425 | Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Flywire (FLYW)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.425Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 189x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.2% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Digital Payments, and Travel & Leisure Tech. | Key risksFLYW key risks include [1] high vulnerability to visa policy shifts due to its significant reliance on international student payments and [2] persistent operating losses and a substantial accumulated deficit. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Digital Payments, and Travel & Leisure Tech. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 189x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.2% |
| Key risksFLYW key risks include [1] high vulnerability to visa policy shifts due to its significant reliance on international student payments and [2] persistent operating losses and a substantial accumulated deficit. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FLYW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Flywire (FLYW) stock moved, focusing on the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Flywire reported robust Q3 2025 financial results on November 4, 2025, which saw revenue increase by 27.6% year-over-year to $200.1 million, exceeding Wall Street's expectations. Additionally, GAAP earnings per share of $0.23 surpassed analyst estimates by 20.5%, and Adjusted EBITDA reached $57.1 million, also beating projections.
2. Significant Growth in Total Payment Volume and Client Acquisition: The company's Total Payment Volume grew by 26.4% to $13.9 billion in Q3 2025. Flywire continued to expand its market share by adding over 200 new clients during the third quarter of 2025, demonstrating sustained business momentum across its verticals.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FLYW Return | � | � | -36% | -5% | -11% | -29% | � |
| Peers Return | � | -1% | -30% | 11% | 25% | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FLYW Win Rate | � | 43% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 68% | 47% | 42% | 57% | 55% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FLYW Max Drawdown | � | � | -60% | -20% | -34% | -59% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -27% | -44% | -21% | -21% | -47% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PYPL, GPN, BILL, FOUR, FI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FLYW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -71.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 254.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW
In The Past
Flywire's stock fell -71.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/14/2021. A -71.8% loss requires a 254.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FLYW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| 02282025 | FLYW | Flywire | Dip Buy | DB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % EquityBuying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation | 15.4% | 27.9% | -26.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| 02282025 | FLYW | Flywire | Dip Buy | DB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % EquityBuying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation | 15.4% | 27.9% | -26.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Flywire
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 60.18 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.6 |
| Rev LTM | 7,279 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,206 |
| FCF LTM | 1,588 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,256 |
| CFO LTM | 2,021 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,671 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 17.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.6 |
| P/S | 2.5 |
| P/EBIT | 12.3 |
| P/E | 17.0 |
| P/CFO | 10.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -33.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -12.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -44.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -86.7% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 1.3% | -0.5% | -1.4% |
| 8/5/2025 | 16.8% | 13.5% | 25.7% |
| 5/6/2025 | 8.6% | 10.6% | 1.4% |
| 2/25/2025 | -37.4% | -39.7% | -43.2% |
| 11/7/2024 | 14.7% | 19.0% | 14.7% |
| 8/6/2024 | 2.8% | -0.5% | -1.3% |
| 5/7/2024 | -16.1% | -18.1% | -15.4% |
| 2/27/2024 | 17.7% | 8.1% | 0.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 11 | 11 |
| # Negative | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 5.6% | 9.7% | 14.7% |
| Median Negative | -16.1% | -11.9% | -12.6% |
| Max Positive | 17.7% | 32.2% | 28.8% |
| Max Negative | -37.4% | -39.7% | -43.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3292022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Butterfield Peter | General Counsel and CCO | 9102025 | Sell | 13.14 | 9,563 | 125,706 | 5,185,992 | Form |
| 1 | Butterfield Peter | General Counsel and CCO | 6112025 | Sell | 10.27 | 9,563 | 98,212 | 4,181,595 | Form |
| 2 | Santos Edwin J | 6092025 | Sell | 10.04 | 5,466 | 54,879 | 220,780 | Form | |
| 3 | Butterfield Peter | General Counsel and CCO | 3122025 | Sell | 10.08 | 5,523 | 55,667 | 2,495,217 | Form |
| 4 | Howard Gretchen | 3032025 | Buy | 10.94 | 8,889 | 97,238 | 336,596 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |