First Capital (FCAP)
Market Price (6/21/2026): $63.88 | Market Cap: $213.1 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
First Capital (FCAP)
Market Price (6/21/2026): $63.88Market Cap: $213.1 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 10% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -195% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. | Key risksFCAP key risks include [1] its exposure to Commercial Real Estate (CRE). |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 10% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -195% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. |
| Key risksFCAP key risks include [1] its exposure to Commercial Real Estate (CRE). |
Qualitative Assessment
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First Capital (FCAP) stock has gained about 25% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Record Fiscal Year 2025 and Strong Fiscal Q4 2025 Earnings.
First Capital reported record net income of $16.4 million, or $4.89 diluted earnings per share (EPS), for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, representing a 37.08% increase compared to fiscal year 2024. Fiscal Q4 2025 net income also saw a significant rise to $4.9 million ($1.46 EPS) from $3.3 million ($0.97 EPS) in the prior year's comparable quarter. The company's tax-equivalent net interest margin for the full fiscal year 2025 increased to 3.61% from 3.20% in fiscal year 2024. This strong financial performance, announced on February 25, 2026, provided a significant positive catalyst at the onset of the specified period.
2. Robust Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Growth and Strong Net Interest Margin.
The company maintained its positive financial trajectory by reporting a diluted EPS of $1.30 for fiscal Q1 2026, a 34% increase from $0.97 in fiscal Q1 2025. This growth was driven by a $1.8 million increase in net interest income after provision for credit losses and an improved tax-equivalent net interest margin, which rose to 3.81% in fiscal Q1 2026 from 3.34% in fiscal Q1 2025. Management highlighted steady operational performance, effective expense management, and stable net interest income even within a challenging interest rate environment.
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First Capital (FCAP) stock has gained about 25% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Record Fiscal Year 2025 and Strong Fiscal Q4 2025 Earnings.
First Capital reported record net income of $16.4 million, or $4.89 diluted earnings per share (EPS), for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, representing a 37.08% increase compared to fiscal year 2024. Fiscal Q4 2025 net income also saw a significant rise to $4.9 million ($1.46 EPS) from $3.3 million ($0.97 EPS) in the prior year's comparable quarter. The company's tax-equivalent net interest margin for the full fiscal year 2025 increased to 3.61% from 3.20% in fiscal year 2024. This strong financial performance, announced on February 25, 2026, provided a significant positive catalyst at the onset of the specified period.
2. Robust Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Growth and Strong Net Interest Margin.
The company maintained its positive financial trajectory by reporting a diluted EPS of $1.30 for fiscal Q1 2026, a 34% increase from $0.97 in fiscal Q1 2025. This growth was driven by a $1.8 million increase in net interest income after provision for credit losses and an improved tax-equivalent net interest margin, which rose to 3.81% in fiscal Q1 2026 from 3.34% in fiscal Q1 2025. Management highlighted steady operational performance, effective expense management, and stable net interest income even within a challenging interest rate environment.
3. Consistent Shareholder Returns through Dividends and an Active Repurchase Program.
First Capital demonstrated a sustained commitment to shareholder returns by maintaining a quarterly cash dividend of $0.31 per share, with declarations made in March and May 2026. Additionally, the company continued its stock repurchase program, which authorized the repurchase of up to 113,236 shares of common stock between September 4, 2025, and August 28, 2026. This ongoing program represents approximately 3.3% of the company's 3.35 million shares outstanding, contributing to reduced share count and enhanced EPS.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.4% change in FCAP stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 50.22 | 63.00 | 25.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 48 | 53 | 8.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 30.4% | 33.2% | 9.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.4 | 12.0 | 5.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3 | 3 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 25.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FCAP | 25.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | -1.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.7% | 16.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 28.1% change in FCAP stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 49.16 | 63.00 | 28.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 48 | 53 | 8.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 30.4% | 33.2% | 9.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.2 | 12.0 | 7.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3 | 3 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 28.1% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FCAP | 28.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | -6.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.3% | 19.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 32.1% change in FCAP stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 47.69 | 63.00 | 32.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 44 | 53 | 18.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 27.5% | 33.2% | 20.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.1 | 12.0 | -7.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3 | 3 | 0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 32.1% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FCAP | 32.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 5.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.7% | 25.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 179.2% change in FCAP stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 109.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.56 | 63.00 | 179.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 42 | 53 | 24.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 31.1% | 33.2% | 6.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 5.7 | 12.0 | 109.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3 | 3 | 0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 179.2% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FCAP | 179.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 8.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 77.0% | 14.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FCAP Return | -32% | -36% | 17% | 20% | 88% | 8% | 24% |
| Peers Return | 42% | -7% | 17% | 24% | -1% | 21% | 130% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FCAP Win Rate | 25% | 33% | 58% | 67% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 70% | 38% | 48% | 57% | 52% | 80% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FCAP Max Drawdown | -34% | -41% | -36% | -22% | -32% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -26% | -31% | -19% | -23% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ONB, SYBT, MBIN, GABC, RBCAA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FCAP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 328 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -13.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -38.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 695 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 68 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -12.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.6% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3 days | 105 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -15.9% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 28 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
First Capital's stock fell -2.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 2.9% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | FCAP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 328 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -38.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 695 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 68 days | 140 days |
In The Past
First Capital's stock fell -2.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 2.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About First Capital (FCAP)
First Capital, Inc. (FCAP) operates as the bank holding company for First Harrison Bank, providing a comprehensive range of banking services to individuals and business customers. Established in 1891 and based in Corydon, Indiana, the company focuses on serving the financial needs of its regional market.
The company's core services include a variety of deposit instruments such as non-interest bearing checking accounts, negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts, money market accounts, regular savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and retirement savings plans. On the lending side, First Capital offers real estate mortgage loans for residential and commercial properties, including construction loans. It also provides commercial business loans and a diverse portfolio of consumer loans, which include secured options like automobile, home equity, and boat loans, as well as unsecured consumer loans.
In addition to traditional banking services, First Capital originates mortgage loans for sale in the secondary market and sells non-deposit investment products. These services are delivered through its network of 18 branch locations situated across both Indiana and Kentucky, serving its localized customer base.
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1. A community bank operating in Indiana and Kentucky, similar to a smaller, regional version of PNC Bank or U.S. Bank.
2. Think of it as the "neighborhood bank" for its operating areas, akin to a locally-focused iteration of a Bank of America branch, but as an independent company.
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- Deposit Accounts: Offers various checking, savings, money market, and certificate of deposit accounts, along with retirement savings plans.
- Mortgage Loans: Provides fixed-rate and adjustable-rate residential, construction, and commercial real estate loans, including those originated for the secondary market.
- Commercial Business Loans: Extends loans to businesses for various operational and investment purposes.
- Consumer Loans: Offers secured loans such as automobile, home equity, home improvement, and boat loans, as well as unsecured personal loans.
- Non-Deposit Investment Products: Sells various investment products that are not FDIC-insured bank deposits.
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First Capital, Inc. (FCAP) is a bank holding company that provides banking services to a diverse customer base. As a financial institution, it does not have a few major "customers" in the traditional sense of named companies. Instead, its customers are the individuals and businesses that utilize its deposit, lending, and other financial services. The company primarily serves the following categories of customers:
- Individual Customers (Consumers): This category includes everyday people who use First Capital for personal banking needs. Services offered to individuals include checking accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts, certificates of deposit, retirement savings plans, residential mortgage loans (both fixed-rate and adjustable-rate), and a variety of consumer loans such as automobile and truck loans, home equity loans, home improvement loans, boat loans, mobile home loans, and unsecured consumer loans.
- Business Customers: This category encompasses various businesses and commercial enterprises that utilize First Capital's services for their operational and financial needs. These services include business checking and savings accounts, money market accounts, certificates of deposit, commercial real estate loans, and general commercial business loans.
- Real Estate Developers and Investors: This specific segment within business customers focuses on entities involved in property development and investment. First Capital provides them with construction loans for both residential and commercial properties, as well as commercial real estate loans.
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Names of Suppliers:
- Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (Symbol: JHC)
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Michael Chris Frederick, Chief Executive Officer, President, and Director
Michael Chris Frederick was appointed Chief Executive Officer and President in July 2023. He has been affiliated with First Harrison Bank, a subsidiary of First Capital, Inc., since 1990, and previously served as the Chief Financial Officer of both the Bank and the Company.
Joshua Stevens, Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President, Treasurer, and Director
Joshua Stevens, a CPA, assumed the role of Chief Financial Officer of First Harrison Bank and First Capital, Inc. in March 2023. He joined the bank in August 2022, bringing experience from various leadership roles at Monroe Shine & Co., Inc. from 2009 to 2022, where he provided audit, tax, compliance, and consulting services to financial institutions.
William W. Harrod, Chief Operating Officer and Director
William W. Harrod serves as a key executive at First Capital, Inc., holding the positions of Chief Operating Officer and Director. He was previously the President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company until July 1, 2023. He is known for his deep understanding of operational complexities and commitment to driving results.
Joseph D. Mahuron, Chief Credit Officer
Joseph D. Mahuron is the Chief Credit Officer for First Capital, Inc. and First Harrison Bank. In this role, he is responsible for the company's credit policies, procedures, and the overall management of its credit portfolio. His expertise in credit analysis and risk management is crucial for the financial stability and prudent lending practices of both organizations.
Jennifer Meredith, Corporation Secretary and HR & Admin. Officer
Jennifer Meredith holds dual roles as Corporation Secretary and HR & Admin. Officer at First Capital, Inc. She manages corporate governance functions, ensuring compliance with legal and regulatory requirements, maintaining corporate records, and facilitating board meetings. Additionally, she is instrumental in shaping the company's human capital strategy, including talent acquisition, employee development, and compensation and benefits.
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Interest Rate Volatility
First Capital faces a persistent threat from interest rate volatility. Sustained high interest rates could lead to a faster increase in the cost of deposits compared to the yield on new loans, thereby pressuring the bank's Net Interest Margin (NIM), which is crucial for profitability. This is identified as a primary near-term risk for the company. *Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Exposure
The company has significant exposure to Commercial Real Estate (CRE) loans, which are inherently riskier than residential mortgage lending. As of December 31, 2024, First Capital's commercial real estate loan portfolio represented 28.9% of its total loans. This substantial portion of its loan portfolio exposes the company to increased lending risks associated with the commercial real estate market. *Digital Competition
First Capital is subject to the relentless pace of digital competition. This risk encompasses challenges from financial technology companies and larger banks that may possess more advanced digital offerings, potentially impacting customer acquisition and retention for a community bank.AI Analysis | Feedback
- The rise of online-only banks and neobanks (e.g., Ally Bank, Chime, SoFi) which offer competitive deposit rates, lower fees, and superior digital user experiences. These entities directly compete for First Capital's deposit base and basic banking services, particularly among younger, digitally-savvy customers who may prioritize convenience over physical branch locations.
- Digital-first lenders specializing in specific loan products, such as online mortgage originators (e.g., Rocket Mortgage) and consumer loan platforms. These companies leverage technology to offer faster approval processes, streamlined applications, and potentially more competitive rates, directly challenging First Capital's core lending business without the overhead of physical branches.
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Addressable Markets for First Capital (FCAP) Products and Services
For First Capital (symbol: FCAP), operating in Indiana and Kentucky, the addressable markets for its main products and services are identified by state-specific banking and lending volumes.
Indiana
- Deposit Instruments: The total bank deposits in Indiana were approximately $209 billion in 2024.
- Real Estate Mortgage Loans (New Home Loans): The market for new home loans booked in Indiana was approximately $17.2 billion in 2024.
- Commercial Business Loans (Small Business Loans): The market for small business loans in Indiana was approximately $12.3 billion in 2024.
Kentucky
- Deposit Instruments: The total bank deposits in Kentucky were approximately $116 billion in 2024.
- Real Estate Mortgage Loans (New Home Loans): The market for new home loans booked in Kentucky was approximately $8.9 billion in 2024.
- Commercial Business Loans (Small Business Loans): The market for small business loans in Kentucky was approximately $7.2 billion in 2024.
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For First Capital, Inc. (FCAP), expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years include a focus on expanding net interest margin, growth in its loan portfolio, continued deposit growth, and diversification of noninterest income.
- Net Interest Margin (NIM) Expansion and Optimized Asset Yields: A primary driver of revenue growth is the increase in Net Interest Income (NII), largely propelled by higher yields on interest-earning assets. The company has demonstrated improved efficiency in its core banking operations, with the tax-equivalent net interest margin (NIM) showing a significant jump in recent periods. This indicates successful balance sheet management in a changing rate environment.
- Growth in Loan Portfolio: The deployment of operating cash and new deposits into interest-earning assets, particularly loans, is a positive indicator for future interest income. First Capital has reported growth in gross loans, contributing to overall balance sheet expansion and supporting net interest margin improvement.
- Deposit Growth and Funding Stability: Sustained growth in customer deposits directly underpins the bank's funding stability and capacity for growth. An increase in deposits provides the necessary capital to fund new loans and other interest-earning assets, supporting overall revenue generation.
- Diversification and Growth in Noninterest Income: The noninterest income segment is contributing significantly to revenue diversification. This growth is being fueled by specific positive changes, including gains on equity securities, increased gains from the sale of loans, and higher service charges on deposits, signaling a stronger contribution from fee-based activities.
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Share Repurchases
- First Capital, Inc. announced a Joint Rule 10b5-1/Rule 10b-18 Plan Agreement on August 29, 2025, authorizing the repurchase of up to 113,236 shares of common stock between September 4, 2025, and August 28, 2026.
- This plan is part of a broader stock repurchase authorization approved on August 19, 2008, which initially permitted the repurchase of up to 240,467 shares.
- As of August 29, 2025, the company had already repurchased 127,231 shares under the 2008 authorization.
Share Issuance
- Information regarding the dollar amount of shares issued by First Capital (FCAP) over the last 3-5 years is not available in the provided search results.
Inbound Investments
- Information regarding large investments made in First Capital (FCAP) by third-parties over the last 3-5 years is not available in the provided search results.
Outbound Investments
- As of June 30, 2025, First Capital made an equity investment of 90,000 shares, representing approximately 5% ownership, with a cost of $1.9 million.
- The company has unfunded commitments related to limited partnership, qualified affordable housing, and solar energy tax credit investments, with expected capital calls through 2026–2029.
Capital Expenditures
- Information regarding the dollar value of capital expenditures for First Capital (FCAP) over the last 3-5 years, or expected capital expenditures for the upcoming year, is not available in the provided search results.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| First Capital Stock Fell 12% in a Month, What Now? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 56.05 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| Rev LTM | 397 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 144 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 123 |
| CFO LTM | 155 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 131 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 39.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 37.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 36.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.3% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $63.00 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/04/1999 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -8.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $57.09 | $50.24 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 10.4% | 25.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 39.1% | 47.3% |
| Downside Capture | -67.59 | -7.47 |
| Upside Capture | 50.33 | 39.04 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -10.2% | 5.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.26 | 0.59 | 0.27 | -0.10 | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| Up Beta | 1.81 | 0.21 | -0.68 | -0.46 | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| Down Beta | 6.10 | 3.65 | 0.60 | 0.69 | 0.44 | 0.07 |
| Up Capture | 110% | 98% | 89% | 10% | 32% | 12% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 61 | 117 | 353 |
| Down Capture | -173% | -56% | 26% | -69% | 21% | 1% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 17 | 29 | 62 | 130 | 336 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FCAP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCAP | 48.5% | 47.1% | 0.98 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.3% | 14.6% | 0.33 | 24.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 4.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | -9.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -14.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 25.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.5% | -1.08 | 9.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FCAP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCAP | 15.7% | 37.1% | 0.53 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.3% | 18.6% | 0.37 | 14.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 9.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | -4.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | -2.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 9.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 2.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FCAP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCAP | 12.9% | 40.0% | 0.45 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.0% | 22.2% | 0.54 | 28.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 24.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | -2.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 7.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 25.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 2.9% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/24/2026 | -0.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% |
| 1/23/2026 | 2.1% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| 10/24/2025 | -2.0% | 0.3% | 13.5% |
| 7/25/2025 | -0.7% | -7.1% | 0.6% |
| 4/25/2025 | 1.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| 1/24/2025 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 13.0% |
| 10/25/2024 | 6.3% | 7.5% | -3.5% |
| 7/26/2024 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| Median Negative | -1.1% | -2.2% | -4.7% |
| Max Positive | 6.3% | 15.8% | 13.5% |
| Max Negative | -4.1% | -7.1% | -15.5% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/24/2026 | -0.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% |
| 1/23/2026 | 2.1% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| 10/24/2025 | -2.0% | 0.3% | 13.5% |
| 7/25/2025 | -0.7% | -7.1% | 0.6% |
| 4/25/2025 | 1.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| 1/24/2025 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 13.0% |
| 10/25/2024 | 6.3% | 7.5% | -3.5% |
| 7/26/2024 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% |
| 4/26/2024 | -0.8% | -2.2% | 5.1% |
| 1/31/2024 | 0.0% | -0.3% | -4.6% |
| 10/27/2023 | 1.4% | 3.4% | 7.7% |
| 7/28/2023 | 0.0% | -0.7% | -15.5% |
| 4/28/2023 | 0.2% | -4.3% | 3.3% |
| 1/26/2023 | -0.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% |
| 10/31/2022 | -0.0% | -2.0% | -1.1% |
| 7/21/2022 | 0.4% | 3.8% | -6.2% |
| 4/26/2022 | -3.2% | -4.0% | -10.4% |
| 1/27/2022 | 0.0% | -2.0% | -4.8% |
| 7/26/2021 | -1.6% | -1.2% | -4.3% |
| 4/26/2021 | -1.3% | 0.1% | -2.4% |
| 1/25/2021 | 0.4% | -6.3% | -5.2% |
| 10/23/2020 | 3.4% | 3.8% | 12.4% |
| 7/23/2020 | -4.1% | -4.7% | 6.3% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| Median Negative | -1.1% | -2.2% | -4.7% |
| Max Positive | 6.3% | 15.8% | 13.5% |
| Max Negative | -4.1% | -7.1% | -15.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/31/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/31/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/16/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/14/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/12/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/13/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/14/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/15/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/09/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/08/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/16/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/12/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/09/2019 | 10-Q |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Regional Banks Resources |
| Bank Director |
| Independent Banker |
| S&P Global Market Intelligence |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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