Tearsheet

European Wax Center (EWCZ)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $3.75 | Market Cap: $162.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Household Products

European Wax Center (EWCZ)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $3.75
Market Cap: $162.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Household Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, FCF Yield is 37%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -115%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -141%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 190%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.2%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
  Key risks
EWCZ key risks include [1] a challenged franchise model leading to stalled growth and anticipated net location closures, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Personal Beauty & Grooming Services.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, FCF Yield is 37%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Personal Beauty & Grooming Services.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -115%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -141%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 190%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.2%
7 Key risks
EWCZ key risks include [1] a challenged franchise model leading to stalled growth and anticipated net location closures, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EWCZ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why European Wax Center (EWCZ) stock moved by approximately -12.8% in the period leading up to December 18, 2025:

1. Negative Technical Signals and Momentum: The stock experienced a significant drop following a "sell signal from a pivot top point on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, and so far it has fallen -11.53%." This indicates a negative technical trend and bearish investor sentiment.

2. Outlook for Net Center Closings: European Wax Center's financial outlook for fiscal year 2025, reiterated in both its Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 earnings reports, projected 28 to 50 net center closings. This potential contraction in its physical footprint could signal concerns about growth opportunities to investors.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EWCZ Return-54%9%-51%-44%
Peers Return-25%-25%21%19%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EWCZ Win Rate75%50%33%25%25% 
Peers Win Rate58%47%50%45%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EWCZ Max Drawdown-54%-3%-63%-54% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-53%-41%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ULTA, RGS, PLNT, SBH, SKIN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEWCZS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-63.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven173.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to IPAR, CENT, CL, KMB, CHD


In The Past

European Wax Center's stock fell -63.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/28/2021. A -63.4% loss requires a 173.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About European Wax Center (EWCZ)

Better Bets than European Wax Center (EWCZ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EWCZ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for European Wax Center

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EWCZULTARGSPLNTSBHSKINMedian
NameEuropean.Ulta Bea.Regis Planet F.Sally Be.Beauty H. 
Mkt Price3.74585.9828.75110.0015.071.5021.91
Mkt Cap0.224.50.19.21.60.20.9
Rev LTM21111,9822231,2883,701302795
Op Inc LTM511,58624378328-28190
FCF LTM591,0421620317334116
FCF 3Y Avg5796131981599108
CFO LTM621,3591735827539168
CFO 3Y Avg581,349434425718157

Growth & Margins

EWCZULTARGSPLNTSBHSKINMedian
NameEuropean.Ulta Bea.Regis Planet F.Sally Be.Beauty H. 
Rev Chg LTM-5.5%5.5%14.0%14.4%-0.4%-13.1%2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.2%7.3%-4.3%15.7%-1.0%-3.5%0.6%
Rev Chg Q-2.2%12.9%28.0%13.0%1.3%-10.3%7.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.6%2.8%6.1%3.0%0.3%-2.6%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM24.4%13.2%10.6%29.4%8.9%-9.3%11.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.9%14.0%8.5%27.1%8.5%-20.3%11.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.3%-0.4%1.0%1.2%-0.1%4.7%1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM29.2%11.3%7.8%27.8%7.4%12.8%12.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.6%11.8%1.7%29.8%6.9%5.5%9.4%
FCF/Rev LTM28.1%8.7%7.0%15.7%4.7%11.3%10.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg26.1%8.4%1.3%17.1%4.3%3.1%6.3%

Valuation

EWCZULTARGSPLNTSBHSKINMedian
NameEuropean.Ulta Bea.Regis Planet F.Sally Be.Beauty H. 
Mkt Cap0.224.50.19.21.60.20.9
P/S0.82.00.36.70.40.80.8
P/EBIT3.5--21.5-98.321.5
P/E14.420.60.642.18.2-21.511.3
P/CFO2.618.04.124.25.86.56.2
Total Yield7.0%4.9%176.8%2.4%12.2%-4.7%5.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg19.6%--3.3%-2.3%3.3%
D/E2.4--0.3-1.51.5
Net D/E1.9--0.2-0.60.6

Returns

EWCZULTARGSPLNTSBHSKINMedian
NameEuropean.Ulta Bea.Regis Planet F.Sally Be.Beauty H. 
1M Rtn2.2%15.0%6.7%7.6%5.9%18.1%7.1%
3M Rtn-8.6%10.8%0.9%11.5%-1.5%-37.2%-0.3%
6M Rtn-32.4%23.8%33.3%2.1%77.3%2.7%13.3%
12M Rtn-35.5%38.3%25.0%8.0%22.6%-6.8%15.3%
3Y Rtn-71.8%29.9%30.7%45.6%17.3%-84.3%23.6%
1M Excs Rtn1.5%14.3%5.9%6.9%5.2%17.4%6.4%
3M Excs Rtn-11.2%8.2%-0.4%8.3%-4.5%-38.1%-2.4%
6M Excs Rtn-44.8%11.4%21.0%-10.2%64.9%-9.6%0.9%
12M Excs Rtn-49.2%27.1%15.1%-1.5%9.8%-16.1%4.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-141.0%-44.3%-49.6%-22.2%-37.6%-154.0%-47.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
Single Segment221  
Marketing fees 2825
Other revenue 1211
Product sales 118100
Royalty fees 5044
Total221207179


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,068,667
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-7.5%
Average Daily Volume405,168
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.64
Basic Shares Quantity43,375,077
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/202514.0%0.8%11.2%
8/13/202513.8%5.0%-11.3%
3/11/2025-12.9%-17.4%-35.6%
11/14/2024-23.2%-28.7%-24.6%
8/14/2024-27.0%-10.4%-2.2%
5/15/20244.9%-3.5%5.9%
3/6/202416.9%3.3%-6.5%
11/8/2023-11.0%-12.4%-4.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive866
# Negative799
Median Positive10.6%4.6%6.9%
Median Negative-11.0%-10.4%-7.0%
Max Positive16.9%25.5%19.4%
Max Negative-27.0%-28.7%-35.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 10/4/2025
6302025813202510-Q 7/5/2025
3312025514202510-Q 4/5/2025
12312024311202510-K 1/4/2025
93020241115202410-Q 10/5/2024
6302024814202410-Q 7/6/2024
3312024515202410-Q 4/6/2024
12312023306202410-K 1/6/2024
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023510202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/24/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021315202210-K 12/25/2021