Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -23%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -135 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 160%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16%
4   Key risks
ERAS key risks include [1] its complete dependence on positive clinical trial outcomes for its lead drug candidates, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -23%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -135 Mil
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 160%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16%
8 Key risks
ERAS key risks include [1] its complete dependence on positive clinical trial outcomes for its lead drug candidates, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ERAS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the stock movement for Erasca (ERAS) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to today (December 18, 2025), based on the most recent available information:

1. Advancement of Pan-RAS and Pan-KRAS Inhibitors into Clinical Trials. The company received FDA clearance for Investigational New Drug (IND) applications for ERAS-0015 (a pan-RAS molecular glue) in May 2025 and ERAS-4001 (a pan-KRAS inhibitor) in June 2025. Both candidates are slated to enter Phase 1 clinical trials in 2025, with initial monotherapy data anticipated in 2026. Preclinical data presented in April 2025 further supported the potential "best-in-class" profiles of these agents.

2. Extended Cash Runway and Strong Financial Position. Erasca substantially extended its projected cash runway multiple times, notably from the second half of 2027 to the second half of 2028, as announced in May and June 2025. This was bolstered by a strong cash position, with $411.1 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of March 31, 2025, and $386.7 million as of June 30, 2025. The extended runway, following successful equity financings in 2024 that raised $251 million, helped mitigate concerns about near-term dilution.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ERAS Return-72%-51%18%40%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ERAS Win Rate40%42%25%33%58% 
Peers Win Rate52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ERAS Max Drawdown-75%-61%-22%-58% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventERASS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1357.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Erasca's stock fell -93.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2021. A -93.1% loss requires a 1357.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Erasca (ERAS)

Better Bets than Erasca (ERAS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Erasca Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ERAS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Erasca

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ERASVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameErasca Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price3.64449.522.850.9811.4315.927.54
Mkt Cap1.0114.9--0.5-1.0
Rev LTM011,7230-0130
Op Inc LTM-135-92-7--124-73-92
FCF LTM-1083,337-7--87-78-78
FCF 3Y Avg-1222,064-8----8
CFO LTM-983,718-7--87-78-78
CFO 3Y Avg-1042,419-8----8

Growth & Margins

ERASVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameErasca Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%---333.3%168.0%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----560.1%-280.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%---1,973.2%987.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----602.0%-285.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----602.0%-286.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

ERASVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameErasca Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap1.0114.9--0.5-1.0
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-7.722.4----7.4
P/E-8.127.2---4.4--4.4
P/CFO-10.526.9---5.8--5.8
Total Yield-12.4%3.7%---22.8%--12.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%--0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-25.6%2.3%-----11.7%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.2-0.0-----0.1

Returns

ERASVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameErasca Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn26.8%3.6%-9.5%-16.8%-18.1%3.6%
3M Rtn118.0%16.1%--5.9%-16.1%
6M Rtn160.0%0.2%----80.1%
12M Rtn38.4%-4.2%----17.1%
3Y Rtn-20.0%47.5%----13.7%
1M Excs Rtn26.1%2.8%-8.8%-17.5%-18.9%2.8%
3M Excs Rtn93.3%14.8%--4.3%-14.8%
6M Excs Rtn147.6%-12.1%----67.7%
12M Excs Rtn31.1%-14.1%----8.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-94.6%-25.4%-----60.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Discovery and development of precision medicines for the benefit of patients with cancer395515501125
Total395515501125


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,365,359
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.7%
Average Daily Volume1,844,303
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.87
Basic Shares Quantity283,681,570
Short % of Basic Shares5.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/2025-4.2%4.2%29.4%
8/12/20253.8%-2.6%3.2%
3/20/20253.4%4.7%-16.2%
11/12/2024-4.7%-6.7%-12.0%
8/12/20240.4%6.2%18.5%
3/27/20240.0%1.5%-8.3%
11/9/20230.0%10.4%-8.5%
8/10/202311.9%-3.5%3.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12105
# Negative249
Median Positive3.6%5.5%5.8%
Median Negative-4.4%-4.6%-9.3%
Max Positive16.6%12.3%29.4%
Max Negative-4.7%-6.7%-26.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024320202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023327202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022323202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021324202210-K 12/31/2021