Tearsheet

Enphase Energy (ENPH)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $32.215 | Market Cap: $4.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Enphase Energy (ENPH)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $32.215
Market Cap: $4.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -117%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -163%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -47%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -47%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -117%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -163%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.5%
6 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ENPH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Disappointing Q4 2025 Revenue Guidance: Enphase Energy's projected revenue for the fourth quarter of 2025, guided between $310 million and $350 million, significantly missed analyst expectations, which were around $374.4 million to $385.8 million. This shortfall in outlook was a primary driver of the stock's negative movement.

2. Weakening Demand in Europe: Management specifically cited a softening in demand within the European market as a contributing factor to the lower-than-expected revenue guidance for Q4 2025.

3. Impact of Reciprocal Tariffs on Margins: The company indicated that reciprocal tariffs were negatively affecting its profitability, with an anticipated approximately 5 percentage points drag on the non-GAAP gross margin for Q4 2025.

4. Preliminary Weak Q1 2026 Outlook: Beyond the immediate quarter, Enphase Energy's preliminary forecast for Q1 2026 revenue was also notably weak, estimated around $250 million. This was attributed to expected seasonal weakness and a deliberate channel destocking process extending into 2026, further dampening investor sentiment.

5. Stalling U.S. Electrification Trends and Policy Concerns: Market watchers expressed caution due to perceived stalling U.S. electrification trends and the potential impact of evolving policy landscapes, including the accelerated phasing out of key renewable energy tax credits starting in 2026.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ENPH Return572%4%45%-50%-48%-52%26%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ENPH Win Rate83%50%67%25%33%25% 
Peers Win Rate51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ENPH Max Drawdown-8%-35%-34%-71%-55%-62% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SEDG, TSLA, GNRC, RUN, SPWR. See ENPH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventENPHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-77.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven344.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven146.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven54 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-63.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven171.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven176 days120 days

Compare to FSLR, RUN, SEDG, CSIQ, MAXN


In The Past

Enphase Energy's stock fell -77.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/2/2022. A -77.5% loss requires a 344.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Enphase Energy (ENPH)

Better Bets than Enphase Energy (ENPH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ENPH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
ENPH_5312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE05312025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-30.3%-22.3%-36.9%
ENPH_11302024_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302024ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-42.0%-59.6%-63.4%
ENPH_8312023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE08312023ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.4%-4.3%-40.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
ENPH_5312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE05312025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-30.3%-22.3%-36.9%
ENPH_11302024_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302024ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-42.0%-59.6%-63.4%
ENPH_8312023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE08312023ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.4%-4.3%-40.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Enphase Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ENPHSEDGTSLAGNRCRUNSPWRMedian
NameEnphase .SolarEdg.Tesla Generac Sunrun SunPower  
Mkt Price32.1829.53458.96160.7517.931.5930.86
Mkt Cap4.21.81,481.19.44.10.14.2
Rev LTM1,5121,04595,6334,3522,3172441,915
Op Inc LTM207-4714,868497-358-5377
FCF LTM217636,834424-3,661-54140
FCF 3Y Avg454-2294,719405-3,443-405
CFO LTM2568915,748588-777-54173
CFO 3Y Avg518-11014,130538-803-518

Growth & Margins

ENPHSEDGTSLAGNRCRUNSPWRMedian
NameEnphase .SolarEdg.Tesla Generac Sunrun SunPower  
Rev Chg LTM21.0%2.4%-1.6%5.5%13.8%308.5%9.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.5%-13.6%9.3%-1.4%3.3%-0.5%
Rev Chg Q7.8%44.5%11.6%-5.0%34.9%1,403.2%23.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%11.1%3.1%-1.3%8.8%34.7%6.0%
Op Mgn LTM13.7%-45.1%5.1%11.4%-15.4%-21.7%-5.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.9%-57.7%8.3%10.6%-27.1%-49.6%-9.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%95.1%-1.1%-1.3%7.5%11.3%4.2%
CFO/Rev LTM16.9%8.6%16.5%13.5%-33.5%-22.1%11.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.1%-12.5%14.7%12.9%-35.7%-12.9%
FCF/Rev LTM14.4%6.0%7.1%9.7%-158.0%-22.2%6.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg23.7%-19.9%4.9%9.7%-154.2%-4.9%

Valuation

ENPHSEDGTSLAGNRCRUNSPWRMedian
NameEnphase .SolarEdg.Tesla Generac Sunrun SunPower  
Mkt Cap4.21.81,481.19.44.10.14.2
P/S3.12.115.02.21.70.62.2
P/EBIT19.1-3.2205.921.9-1.2-7.59.0
P/E23.7-3.9282.631.4-1.6-3.311.0
P/CFO18.124.591.116.6-5.1-2.817.3
Total Yield4.2%-25.6%0.4%3.2%-61.8%-30.4%-12.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.9%-15.8%0.5%4.5%-99.4%-0.5%
D/E0.30.20.00.23.71.10.2
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.00.13.51.00.1

Returns

ENPHSEDGTSLAGNRCRUNSPWRMedian
NameEnphase .SolarEdg.Tesla Generac Sunrun SunPower  
1M Rtn12.2%-18.4%13.5%6.3%-3.9%-1.9%2.2%
3M Rtn-14.5%1.9%15.9%-12.8%11.6%3.2%2.6%
6M Rtn-29.4%26.7%41.1%28.9%79.3%-17.2%27.8%
12M Rtn-56.4%121.2%5.2%-3.9%77.2%-5.2%
3Y Rtn-89.8%-91.0%191.1%73.1%-42.8%--42.8%
1M Excs Rtn5.1%-30.2%6.9%-0.7%-7.4%-7.2%-4.0%
3M Excs Rtn-18.5%-6.7%8.7%-16.6%5.8%-1.9%-4.3%
6M Excs Rtn-43.7%12.5%26.9%14.7%65.1%-31.4%13.6%
12M Excs Rtn-69.9%96.4%1.3%-19.3%57.0%-1.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-163.4%-164.1%90.2%3.6%-111.1%--111.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Design, development, manufacture and sale of solutions for the solar photovoltaic (PV) industry2,2912,3311,382774624
Total2,2912,3311,382774624


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity30,064,704
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202510.5%
Average Daily Volume5,883,518
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.11
Basic Shares Quantity130,797,000
Short % of Basic Shares23.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/2025-15.1%-21.0%-24.2%
7/22/2025-14.2%-21.2%-16.0%
4/22/2025-15.6%-10.7%-11.5%
2/4/2025-1.5%-5.5%-11.4%
10/22/2024-14.9%-9.9%-31.3%
7/23/202412.8%5.5%15.1%
4/23/2024-5.6%-4.2%6.8%
2/6/202416.9%22.9%29.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131112
# Negative101211
Median Positive12.0%13.5%17.6%
Median Negative-14.2%-10.3%-17.4%
Max Positive42.4%37.0%47.1%
Max Negative-25.7%-30.7%-40.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025722202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025422202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241022202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024723202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024423202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023209202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023425202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022213202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221025202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022726202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022426202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Kothandaraman BadrinarayananPresident & CEO11102025Buy30.695,000153,43850,193,784Form
1Kothandaraman BadrinarayananPresident & CEO11032025Buy30.9310,000309,31750,438,220Form