VAALCO Energy (EGY)
Market Price (9/21/2026): $6.055 | Market Cap: $632.9 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
VAALCO Energy (EGY)
Market Price (9/21/2026): $6.055Market Cap: $632.9 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50% Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 4.2% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Supply. Themes include Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, and Offshore Oil & Gas Development. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -3.9% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -34% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17% Key risksEGY key risks include [1] substantial geopolitical, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 4.2% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Supply. Themes include Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, and Offshore Oil & Gas Development. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -3.9% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -34% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17% |
| Key risksEGY key risks include [1] substantial geopolitical, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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VAALCO Energy (EGY) stock has gained about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Robust Q2 2026 Financial Performance and Upgraded Guidance. VAALCO Energy reported strong fiscal Q2 2026 results (ended June 30, 2026) on August 6, 2026, with a net income of $42.4 million ($0.39 per diluted share), a significant improvement from a net loss in the prior quarter. The company reported a 47% increase in net revenue interest (NRI) sales volumes compared to fiscal Q1 2026 and affirmed its previously increased full-year 2026 production and sales NRI volumes by 8% and 12% respectively at the midpoint, while maintaining its capital expenditure guidance.
2. Successful Drilling Campaigns and Baobab Field Restart Driving Production Growth. The company announced positive operational updates from its drilling campaigns in Gabon and Egypt. In early June 2026, the HE-9 development well in Egypt began production with an initial flow rate of 529 gross barrels of oil per day (bbl/d), surpassing pre-drill expectations. Concurrently, the Ebouri-5H development well in Gabon achieved initial production rates exceeding 8,000 gross barrels of oil per day (BOPD), or 4,700 BOPD net to VAALCO. Additionally, production at the Baobab field in Côte d'Ivoire successfully restarted in June 2026 following a major Floating Production Storage and Offloading vessel (FPSO) refurbishment.
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VAALCO Energy (EGY) stock has gained about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Robust Q2 2026 Financial Performance and Upgraded Guidance. VAALCO Energy reported strong fiscal Q2 2026 results (ended June 30, 2026) on August 6, 2026, with a net income of $42.4 million ($0.39 per diluted share), a significant improvement from a net loss in the prior quarter. The company reported a 47% increase in net revenue interest (NRI) sales volumes compared to fiscal Q1 2026 and affirmed its previously increased full-year 2026 production and sales NRI volumes by 8% and 12% respectively at the midpoint, while maintaining its capital expenditure guidance.
2. Successful Drilling Campaigns and Baobab Field Restart Driving Production Growth. The company announced positive operational updates from its drilling campaigns in Gabon and Egypt. In early June 2026, the HE-9 development well in Egypt began production with an initial flow rate of 529 gross barrels of oil per day (bbl/d), surpassing pre-drill expectations. Concurrently, the Ebouri-5H development well in Gabon achieved initial production rates exceeding 8,000 gross barrels of oil per day (BOPD), or 4,700 BOPD net to VAALCO. Additionally, production at the Baobab field in Côte d'Ivoire successfully restarted in June 2026 following a major Floating Production Storage and Offloading vessel (FPSO) refurbishment.
3. Sustained Shareholder Returns and Favorable Oil Price Environment. VAALCO declared its 19th consecutive quarterly cash dividend of $0.0625 per share for fiscal Q3 2026 on August 6, 2026, demonstrating a consistent return of capital to shareholders. This company-specific initiative was supported by a broader macroeconomic environment of elevated crude prices, with Brent crude surging towards $100-$107 per barrel, providing a tailwind for upstream energy producers.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 17.3% change in EGY stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 26.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312026 | 9202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.17 | 6.06 | 17.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 312 | 393 | 26.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.7 | 1.6 | -6.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 104 | 105 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 17.3% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2026 to 9/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| EGY | 17.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.9% | -4.2% |
| Sector (XLE) | 14.2% | 60.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 20.2% change in EGY stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 9202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.04 | 6.06 | 20.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 390 | 393 | 0.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.3 | 1.6 | 19.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 104 | 105 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 20.2% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 9/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| EGY | 20.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.6% | -28.0% |
| Sector (XLE) | 15.8% | 62.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 64.4% change in EGY stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 97.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 9202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.69 | 6.06 | 64.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 469 | 393 | -16.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.8 | 1.6 | 97.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 104 | 105 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 64.4% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 9/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| EGY | 64.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 19.4% | -8.4% |
| Sector (XLE) | 45.7% | 63.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 72.2% change in EGY stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 63.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312023 | 9202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.52 | 6.06 | 72.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 380 | 393 | 3.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.0 | 1.6 | 63.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 107 | 105 | 2.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 72.2% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2023 to 9/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| EGY | 72.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.6% | 22.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 58.1% | 65.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EGY Return | 81% | 45% | 4% | 2% | -11% | 77% | 344% |
| Peers Return | 69% | 77% | -5% | -36% | -18% | 109% | 212% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 103% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EGY Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 50% | 33% | 42% | 78% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 64% | 36% | 28% | 50% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 44% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EGY Max Drawdown | -39% | -54% | -28% | -41% | -34% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -42% | -31% | -48% | -54% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KOS, MUR, APA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EGY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 161 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -19.7% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -67.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 203.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -56.1% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.9% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 772 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -25.2% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.7% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 27 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -29.7% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 781 days | 62 days |
In The Past
VAALCO Energy's stock fell -29.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 41.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | EGY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 161 days | 79 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -67.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 203.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -56.1% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.9% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 772 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -25.2% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.7% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 27 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -29.7% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 781 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -34.6% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.9% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 24 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -21.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.0% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -27.3% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.5% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 69 days | 47 days |
In The Past
VAALCO Energy's stock fell -29.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 41.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About VAALCO Energy (EGY)
VAALCO Energy, Inc. (EGY) is an independent energy company primarily engaged in the upstream segment of the oil and gas industry. Its core business revolves around the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas resources. Essentially, VAALCO's operations are focused on finding hydrocarbon deposits, extracting them from the earth, and bringing them to market.
The company's main products are crude oil and, to a lesser extent, natural gas. VAALCO's operational footprint is concentrated offshore West Africa, with its flagship asset being the Etame Marin block in the Republic of Gabon, where it actively produces crude oil. The company also holds interests in an undeveloped block offshore Equatorial Guinea, representing future growth potential. VAALCO's primary customers are purchasers in the global energy market, including refiners and other commodity traders, who acquire the crude oil and natural gas for further processing and distribution.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe VAALCO Energy (EGY):
- A regional ConocoPhillips, specializing in West African offshore oil.
- A boutique Chevron focused on West African offshore oil production.
- An independent oil producer, like a micro-ExxonMobil focused solely on offshore West Africa.
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- Crude Oil Production: Extraction and sale of crude oil from its offshore oil fields in West Africa.
- Natural Gas Production: Extraction and sale of natural gas, often associated with crude oil production, from its operational blocks.
- Oil and Gas Exploration: Activities involved in identifying and assessing potential new crude oil and natural gas reserves.
- Oil and Gas Development: Processes for planning, constructing, and managing infrastructure to bring discovered crude oil and natural gas reserves into production.
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VAALCO Energy (EGY) is an independent energy company focused on crude oil and natural gas exploration and production. As such, it sells its crude oil production to other companies, primarily international commodity traders.
According to VAALCO Energy's latest financial filings, its major customers, each representing 10% or more of its total revenues, include:
- Glencore Energy UK Ltd. (a subsidiary of Glencore plc, which trades under the symbol GLEN on the London Stock Exchange)
- Vitol SA (a privately held company)
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- MPF Corporation Limited
- Vantage Drilling International (VTGDF)
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Mr. Maxwell has over 25 years of experience in the oil and gas industry. He founded Eland Oil & Gas Plc. in 2009, serving as its Chief Executive Officer from September 2014 to December 2019, Chief Financial Officer from 2010 to 2014, and as a board member from 2009 to 2019. Eland Oil & Gas Plc. was acquired by Seplat Petroleum Development Company Plc. in December 2019. Prior to founding Eland, he was business development manager and commercial manager for Addax Petroleum. He also worked with ABB Oil & Gas as Vice President of Finance.
Ronald Bain, Chief Financial OfficerMr. Bain joined VAALCO in June 2021 and has over 25 years of oil industry experience, including capital markets and statutory reporting, taxation, and compliance in numerous African countries. Prior to VAALCO, he served as Finance Director of Boskalis Subsea Services and was Chief Financial Officer and a board member of Eland Oil & Gas Plc from July 2017 until its acquisition by Seplat Petroleum Development Plc in December 2019. He worked closely with George Maxwell at Eland Oil & Gas.
Thor Pruckl, Chief Operating OfficerMr. Pruckl joined Vaalco in 2019 as Executive Vice President of International Operations, overseeing the company's activities in West Africa. He brings over 40 years of domestic and international experience in upstream and midstream operations across onshore and offshore environments, covering the full project lifecycle from seismic exploration to drilling and production.
Edward Cozens, VP, Commercial and Strategic PlanningMr. Cozens joined Vaalco Energy in November 2021 and has over fifteen years of experience in the energy industry. Prior to Vaalco, he served as General Manager, Commercial at Eland Oil & Gas, where he oversaw the commercial, economics, and corporate finance teams, and played a key role in the company's growth until its acquisition by Seplat Petroleum Development Company in 2019.
Lynn Willis, Chief Accounting Officer and ControllerMs. Willis has served as VAALCO's Chief Accounting Officer and Controller since April 10, 2024. She has over 30 years of diversified accounting and finance experience in the oil and gas industry, including with international and emerging companies, as well as public accounting experience. Before joining the Company, Ms. Willis served as an independent consultant from April 2020 to October 2023, providing accounting and financial reporting assistance to various energy companies.
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The key risks to VAALCO Energy's business are primarily associated with the inherent nature of crude oil and natural gas exploration and production, its concentrated geographic operations in West Africa, and the successful execution of capital-intensive projects.
- Commodity Price Volatility: As an independent energy company, VAALCO Energy's revenues and cash flows are highly sensitive to fluctuations in global crude oil and natural gas prices. A significant, sustained drop in commodity prices could severely impact unhedged volumes and overall revenue, affecting profitability and financial stability.
- Geopolitical and Operational Risks in West Africa: VAALCO Energy's production is predominantly tied to its assets in African countries, including Gabon, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, and Côte d'Ivoire. This geographic concentration exposes the company to significant geopolitical risks, such as political instability, regulatory changes, and potential shifts in government policies towards foreign companies exploiting resources. Operational challenges are also present, as demonstrated by mixed drilling results where exploration wells encountered water-bearing sands, leading to the abandonment of certain sections.
- Project Execution and Capital Expenditure Risk: The company's growth strategy and future production hinge on the successful execution of large-scale, capital-intensive projects, such as drilling campaigns and infrastructure rebuilds (e.g., the Baobab FPSO refurbishment in Côte d'Ivoire). There is a risk of project delays, cost overruns, or technical challenges, which could impact projected revenues and margins. Increased cost estimates for projects, and the need for significant capital expenditure, pose a financial risk and can affect profitability sustainability.
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VAALCO Energy (EGY) anticipates several key drivers for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, primarily centered around increasing production volumes through drilling, strategic acquisitions, and the development of new and existing fields across its West African and Egyptian operations.
Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth:
- Increased Production from Ongoing Drilling Campaigns in Gabon and Egypt: VAALCO Energy is actively engaged in drilling programs across its key operational areas. In Gabon, a five-well drilling campaign commenced in December 2025, with development wells, such as Etame 15H-ST, successfully brought online in January 2026, contributing to increased production. Similarly, in Egypt, a drilling campaign initiated in December 2024 and concluded in Q4 2025, including successful development wells and an exploration well that opened a new development area. These sustained drilling efforts are expected to continue yielding production uplifts in both regions through 2026 and 2027.
- Enhanced Production and Development from the Côte d'Ivoire Assets: The acquisition of Svenska Petroleum Exploration AB in April 2024 significantly diversified VAALCO's portfolio by adding interests in Côte d'Ivoire, including the producing Baobab field and the substantial Kossipo discovery on Block CI-40. The company quickly realized a 1.8x payback on its initial investment in Côte d'Ivoire by year-end 2024. VAALCO has secured operatorship of the Kossipo field and plans to complete a field development plan in the second half of 2026. A drilling program on the Baobab field is also anticipated to commence as soon as the Floating, Storage, and Offloading (FPSO) vessel returns to station in Q2 2026.
- Restart of Production at the Baobab Field in Côte d'Ivoire: A significant driver for 2026 revenue is the successful restart of production from the Baobab field. Production from Côte d'Ivoire was temporarily offline in Q1 2025 due to an FPSO project. The FPSO is projected to be back in the field, with production restored by the second half of 2026, potentially as early as the end of May. This resumption of production is a critical factor for the company's performance in the coming year.
- Future Development of Discoveries in Equatorial Guinea: VAALCO Energy holds interests in an undeveloped block offshore Equatorial Guinea, which includes the Venus and Europa discoveries on Block P. The company has completed a FEED (Front-End Engineering Design) study, confirming the technical viability of its development plan for these discoveries. A final investment decision and potential drilling are anticipated post-2026, with target identification for a drill program around 2027, indicating future growth potential beyond the immediate 2-3 year horizon but laying the groundwork for it.
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Share Repurchases
- VAALCO Energy announced a share buyback program of up to $30 million in November 2022, which was completed in Q1 2024.
- The company has returned over $115 million to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks since Q4 2021.
Share Issuance
- In October 2022, approximately 49.3 million VAALCO shares were issued to TransGlobe shareholders as part of a stock-for-stock business combination.
Outbound Investments
- In July 2022, VAALCO Energy entered into an agreement to acquire TransGlobe Energy Corporation in a stock-for-stock transaction valued at approximately $307 million, which closed in October 2022.
- VAALCO diversified its portfolio by acquiring a 27.4% non-operated working interest in Block CI-40 offshore Côte d'Ivoire in 2024, followed by a 70% working interest and operatorship in the CI-705 block offshore Côte d'Ivoire in 2025.
- In February 2026, VAALCO agreed to divest all its producing properties in Canada for approximately $25.5 million.
Capital Expenditures
- Full-year 2025 capital expenditures were $236 million, with 59% allocated to Côte d'Ivoire, 26% to Gabon, and 12% to Egypt.
- For 2026, VAALCO has set a capital budget ranging from $290 million to $360 million, primarily focused on Gabon (35-40%) and Côte d'Ivoire (55-60%), for drilling campaigns and FPSO hookup.
- The company invested over $100 million in developmental capital expenditures, including initiating a 5-well drilling campaign in Gabon in December 2025 and preparing for a Phase 5 drilling campaign in Côte d'Ivoire in 2026.
Peer Outperformance in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
| Ticker | Name | Rev Growth 3Y Avg | P/E | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 5Y Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EGY | VAALCO Energy | 3.6% | -5.8x | 54.1% | 66.9% | 210.1% | — |
| CNQ | Canadian Natural Resources | 7.2% | 8.8x | 63.8% | 85.1% | 290.8% | +81pp |
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | 11 | 127.9% | 120.7% | 484.3% | PBF 748% · MPC 721% · VLO 662% |
| Integrated Oil & Gas | 7 | 41.9% | 57.3% | 263.3% | IMO 435% · SU 355% · CVE 340% |
| Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation | 18 | 33.9% | 116.5% | 212.0% | INSW 1041% · LPG 981% · TRGP 626% |
| Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | 34 | 49.6% | 21.9% | 117.8% | SEI 1073% · FTI 1002% · TDW 700% |
| Coal & Consumable Fuels | 14 | -10.0% | 33.0% | 94.7% | EU 799% · CCJ 340% · CNR 327% |
| Oil & Gas Drilling | 7 | 66.4% | 3.8% | 94.3% | PDS 169% · VAL 166% · NE 99% |
| Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ← | 51 | 28.9% | 15.1% | 93.5% | KGEI 10187% · OBE 7421% · EP 2332% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| VAALCO Energy Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Is VAALCO Energy Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.5 |
| Rev LTM | 2,288 |
| Op Inc LTM | 420 |
| FCF LTM | 145 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 270 |
| CFO LTM | 928 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,098 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 45.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 12.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 20.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -8.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 7.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 50.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 40.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 359 | 479 | 455 | 354 | 199 |
| Total | 359 | 479 | 455 | 354 | 199 |
| $ Mil | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equatorial Guinea | -1 | -2 | -1 | -1 | |
| United States | -4 | -0 | -12 | -8 | |
| Corporate and Other | -10 | -7 | -6 | -8 | -9 |
| Angola | -40 | -4 | -3 | -3 | -6 |
| Gabon | -87 | -42 | 99 | 148 | 156 |
| North Sea | -0 | -0 | |||
| USA | -49 | ||||
| Total | -144 | -54 | 77 | 87 | 133 |
| $ Mil | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabon | 99 | 193 | 256 | 191 | 185 |
| Angola | 10 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 21 |
| Equatorial Guinea | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | |
| Corporate and Other | 3 | 17 | 20 | 39 | 46 |
| United States | 1 | 7 | 10 | 22 | |
| USA | 17 | ||||
| Total | 124 | 249 | 308 | 268 | 275 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $6.06 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/29/1993 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -7.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $5.67 | $5.18 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.9% | 17.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 42.1% | 45.7% |
| Downside Capture | -102.37 | -89.11 |
| Upside Capture | -41.66 | -22.54 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -10.1% | -9.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.69 | -1.08 | -0.14 | -1.03 | -0.32 | 0.68 |
| Up Beta | -1.17 | 0.92 | -0.06 | -1.56 | -0.85 | 0.74 |
| Down Beta | 1.67 | -0.61 | 0.61 | 0.10 | 0.91 | 1.37 |
| Up Capture | 32% | -92% | -11% | -55% | -13% | 11% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 32 | 68 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 62 | 122 | 350 |
| Down Capture | -281% | -404% | -100% | -255% | -193% | 41% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 59 | 113 | 324 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 20 | 31 | 61 | 119 | 361 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with EGY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EGY | 51.8% | 45.6% | 1.04 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 46.5% | 21.8% | 1.66 | 62.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.9% | 12.9% | 0.94 | -9.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.1% | 29.3% | 0.60 | 5.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 46.3% | 20.6% | 1.73 | 58.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 13.6% | 0.10 | -11.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -30.6% | 44.3% | -0.70 | 15.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with EGY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EGY | 25.2% | 55.8% | 0.61 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 26.3% | 25.7% | 0.89 | 67.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.2% | 0.57 | 27.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.1% | 18.8% | 0.83 | 13.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.5% | 0.45 | 53.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.1% | 18.8% | -0.05 | 17.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.5% | 52.5% | 0.42 | 13.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with EGY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EGY | 22.2% | 64.8% | 0.58 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 10.3% | 29.6% | 0.38 | 51.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 18.0% | 0.72 | 29.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.4% | 0.61 | 6.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 18.1% | 0.37 | 44.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.4% | 20.7% | 0.18 | 20.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 62.6% | 66.2% | 1.02 | 8.3% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 9/9/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | 7.6% | 9.1% | 17.5% |
| 5/7/2026 | -6.2% | 0.5% | -6.4% |
| 3/12/2026 | -4.4% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| 1/15/2026 | 5.8% | 13.9% | 18.2% |
| 11/10/2025 | -4.0% | -6.6% | -9.3% |
| 8/8/2025 | -4.0% | -1.3% | 4.6% |
| 5/9/2025 | -0.3% | 2.3% | 5.5% |
| 3/14/2025 | -6.2% | -9.9% | -23.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| # Negative | 15 | 15 | 16 |
| Median Positive | 5.8% | 6.9% | 15.3% |
| Median Negative | -4.0% | -6.4% | -8.1% |
| Max Positive | 19.7% | 37.4% | 57.2% |
| Max Negative | -9.0% | -18.6% | -40.5% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | 7.6% | 9.1% | 17.5% |
| 5/7/2026 | -6.2% | 0.5% | -6.4% |
| 3/12/2026 | -4.4% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| 1/15/2026 | 5.8% | 13.9% | 18.2% |
| 11/10/2025 | -4.0% | -6.6% | -9.3% |
| 8/8/2025 | -4.0% | -1.3% | 4.6% |
| 5/9/2025 | -0.3% | 2.3% | 5.5% |
| 3/14/2025 | -6.2% | -9.9% | -23.3% |
| 1/21/2025 | 0.2% | -6.4% | -1.5% |
| 11/12/2024 | -1.8% | -2.9% | -8.5% |
| 8/7/2024 | 8.4% | 6.9% | -4.6% |
| 5/7/2024 | -4.1% | -1.6% | -4.6% |
| 3/14/2024 | 19.7% | 37.4% | 57.2% |
| 1/17/2024 | 0.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% |
| 11/8/2023 | 0.0% | 7.5% | 17.0% |
| 8/9/2023 | 8.4% | 8.2% | -1.2% |
| 5/10/2023 | -2.6% | 0.0% | 7.9% |
| 2/14/2023 | 0.8% | -10.9% | -11.7% |
| 12/9/2022 | 5.3% | 3.4% | 6.8% |
| 10/19/2022 | -0.2% | -3.9% | -1.1% |
| 8/10/2022 | 0.8% | -2.7% | -7.7% |
| 6/21/2022 | -9.0% | -6.0% | -40.5% |
| 5/4/2022 | -4.8% | -12.0% | 25.7% |
| 3/10/2022 | -3.2% | -14.2% | 13.6% |
| 11/3/2021 | 15.1% | 17.3% | -9.6% |
| 8/12/2021 | -3.4% | -18.6% | -4.6% |
| 5/13/2021 | 6.0% | 5.6% | 29.9% |
| 3/11/2021 | 3.3% | -11.1% | -26.2% |
| 12/7/2020 | -1.9% | 0.0% | 25.2% |
| 10/1/2020 | 12.0% | -1.0% | -14.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| # Negative | 15 | 15 | 16 |
| Median Positive | 5.8% | 6.9% | 15.3% |
| Median Negative | -4.0% | -6.4% | -8.1% |
| Max Positive | 19.7% | 37.4% | 57.2% |
| Max Negative | -9.0% | -18.6% | -40.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/10/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/16/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/17/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 04/06/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/10/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/16/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/17/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 04/06/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/11/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/03/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/11/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/12/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/09/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/11/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/10/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/07/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 8/7/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2026 Production (BOEPD) WI | Reported | 24,400 | 25,650 | 26,900 | 13.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 22,700 for Q2 2026 | |
| Q3 2026 Production (BOEPD) NRI | Reported | 19,600 | 20,600 | 21,600 | 16.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 17,750 for Q2 2026 | |
| Q3 2026 CAPEX Excluding Acquisitions | Reported | 75.00 Mil | 95.00 Mil | 115.00 Mil | -20.8% | Lower New | Guidance: 120.00 Mil for Q2 2026 | |
| 2026 Production (BOEPD) WI | Reported | 22,300 | 23,575 | 24,850 | 1.3% | Raised | Guidance: 23,275 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Production (BOEPD) NRI | Reported | 17,500 | 18,450 | 19,400 | 0.1% | Raised | Guidance: 18,425 for 2026 | |
| 2026 CAPEX Excluding Acquisitions | Reported | 290.00 Mil | 325.00 Mil | 360.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 325.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Production (BOEPD) WI | Reported | 21,600 | 22,700 | 23,800 | ||||
| Q2 2026 Production (BOEPD) NRI | Reported | 16,800 | 17,750 | 18,700 | ||||
| Q2 2026 Sales Volume (BOEPD) NRI | Reported | 16,800 | 17,550 | 18,300 | ||||
| Q2 2026 CAPEX Excluding Acquisitions (millions) | Reported | 110.00 Mil | 120.00 Mil | 130.00 Mil | 20.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 100.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| 2026 Production (BOEPD) WI | Reported | 22,050 | 23,275 | 24,500 | ||||
| 2026 Production (BOEPD) NRI | Reported | 17,400 | 18,425 | 19,450 | ||||
| 2026 Production Expense (millions) | Reported | 150.50 Mil | 164.25 Mil | 178.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Sales Volume (BOEPD) WI | Reported | 21,350 | 23,175 | 25,000 | ||||
| 2026 Sales Volume (BOEPD) NRI | Reported | 16,800 | 18,375 | 19,950 | ||||
| 2026 CAPEX Excluding Acquisitions (millions) | Reported | 290.00 Mil | 325.00 Mil | 360.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 325.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 CAPEX Excluding Acquisitions | Reported | 90.00 Mil | 100.00 Mil | 110.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 CAPEX Excluding Acquisitions | Reported | 290.00 Mil | 325.00 Mil | 360.00 Mil | ||||
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/15/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Production | Reported | |||||||
| Q2 2026 Production | Reported | |||||||
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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