Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -246%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.4%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -246%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.4%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EGBN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Eagle Bancorp's (EGBN) stock movement for the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Reduced Net Loss in Q3 2025

Eagle Bancorp reported a net loss of $67.5 million, or $2.22 per share, for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. This represented a slight improvement from the $69.8 million net loss, or $2.30 per share, recorded in the second quarter of 2025.

2. Decreased Provision for Credit Losses

The improvement in the third-quarter net loss was primarily driven by a $24.9 million decrease in the provision expense for credit losses.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EGBN Return-13%45%-22%-27%-8%-22%-48%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EGBN Win Rate42%58%33%42%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EGBN Max Drawdown-48%-1%-26%-61%-44%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEGBNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-73.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven275.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven340 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven222.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1123 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Eagle Bancorp's stock fell -73.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/18/2022. A -73.4% loss requires a 275.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Eagle Bancorp (EGBN)

Better Bets than Eagle Bancorp (EGBN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EGBN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Eagle Bancorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EGBNNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameEagle Ba.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price20.7411.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap0.60.30.2--84.20.5
Rev LTM2942696090268,967180
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM39-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg134-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM44-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg136-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

EGBNNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameEagle Ba.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM-5.2%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.1%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%0.0%
Rev Chg Q-10.3%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%19.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM15.2%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%16.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg43.2%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM13.4%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%14.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg42.5%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%27.6%

Valuation

EGBNNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameEagle Ba.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap0.60.30.2--84.20.5
P/S2.11.12.7--7.42.4
P/EBIT-------
P/E-5.14.911.6--28.88.3
P/CFO13.8-0.67.9--16.810.8
Total Yield-18.0%20.2%13.5%--3.5%8.5%
Dividend Yield1.6%0.0%4.9%--0.0%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg20.5%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.9%
D/E0.22.60.2--0.00.2
Net D/E-2.51.8-4.5---0.4-1.4

Returns

EGBNNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameEagle Ba.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn23.4%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.6%
3M Rtn5.9%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn22.2%10.7%29.3%--46.1%25.8%
12M Rtn-27.1%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%9.1%
3Y Rtn-48.1%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%-8.0%
1M Excs Rtn23.4%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.7%
3M Excs Rtn-1.3%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn7.5%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%11.0%
12M Excs Rtn-41.1%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%-4.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-120.5%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-77.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment312357365367350
Total312357365367350


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,868,479
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.7%
Average Daily Volume496,474
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.78
Basic Shares Quantity30,368,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021