Enterprise Financial Services (EFSC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $56.08 | Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
Enterprise Financial Services (EFSC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $56.08Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.0%, FCF Yield is 8.9% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -9.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -45% | Key risksEFSC key risks include [1] a significant surge in nonperforming loans and [2] rising noninterest expenses driven by higher compensation and deposit costs. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -68% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% | ||
| Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 12% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.0%, FCF Yield is 8.9% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -68% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 12% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -9.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -45% |
| Key risksEFSC key risks include [1] a significant surge in nonperforming loans and [2] rising noninterest expenses driven by higher compensation and deposit costs. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EFSC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period for Enterprise Financial Services (symbol: EFSC) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future. As such, historical data explaining stock movements for this specific future period is not available.
However, based on available information for Enterprise Financial Services (EFSC) in 2025, here are some recent key points from earlier in the year and leading up to the specified period that provide context on the company's performance:
**1. Q2 2025 Earnings Exceeded Expectations.** Enterprise Financial Services reported strong second-quarter 2025 financial results on July 29, 2025, with adjusted earnings per share of $1.37, significantly beating analyst estimates of $1.21. Revenue also surpassed Wall Street forecasts, driven by increased net interest income and a rise in total loans.
**2. Dividend Increase Announced.** Following its strong Q2 2025 performance, Enterprise Financial Services announced an increase in its quarterly dividend by $0.01 to $0.31 per share for Q3 2025, signaling management's confidence in the company's financial health.
**3. Analyst Upgrade to "Hold/Accumulate".** As of December 15, 2025, an analysis upgraded Enterprise Financial Services Corporation stock from a "Sell" to a "Hold/Accumulate" candidate, indicating an improved outlook.
**4. Mixed Insider Trading Sentiment but No High-Impact Selling.** While insider sentiment for EFSC was reported as Neutral, with mixed or low-impact activity, there were no high-impact open-market insider selling transactions exceeding USD 5 million mentioned around December 15, 2025. Over the last year, insiders collectively bought or received $7.77M worth of shares and sold $1.22M.
**5. Anticipated Slight Net Interest Margin Pressure in Q3 2025.** Despite overall positive Q2 2025 results and outlook, management noted a potential for slight net interest margin pressure in Q3 2025, partly due to floating-rate sub debt costs and the impact of securities portfolio growth funded by brokered CDs.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EFSC Return | -26% | 37% | 6% | -7% | 29% | 3% | 33% |
| Peers Return | -5% | 47% | -14% | -2% | 26% | 6% | 58% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EFSC Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 33% | 42% | 58% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 70% | 52% | 45% | 55% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EFSC Max Drawdown | -50% | -1% | -14% | -30% | -15% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -1% | -25% | -47% | -10% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CBSH, UMBF, ASB, ZION, WAL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EFSC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 379 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -50.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 100.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 298 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -36.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,144 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -77.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 349.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,486 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU
In The Past
Enterprise Financial Services's stock fell -39.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/7/2023. A -39.8% loss requires a 66.2% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EFSC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Enterprise Financial Services
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 57.72 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.9 |
| Rev LTM | 1,949 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 377 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 456 |
| CFO LTM | 423 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 513 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 16.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 33.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 30.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.9 |
| P/S | 3.6 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 12.1 |
| P/CFO | 9.1 |
| Total Yield | 9.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | -0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 18.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -0.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 40.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -12.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -35.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/27/2025 | -1.8% | -4.6% | 0.8% |
| 7/28/2025 | 0.4% | -3.8% | 8.3% |
| 4/28/2025 | -0.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% |
| 1/27/2025 | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 10/21/2024 | 2.8% | 3.5% | 14.1% |
| 7/22/2024 | 12.4% | 10.6% | 4.3% |
| 4/22/2024 | -1.3% | -3.9% | 0.7% |
| 1/22/2024 | -3.8% | -0.9% | -7.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 16 |
| # Negative | 13 | 11 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 2.8% | 3.9% | 7.6% |
| Median Negative | -1.8% | -3.8% | -4.2% |
| Max Positive | 12.4% | 11.9% | 19.7% |
| Max Negative | -5.9% | -7.3% | -10.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Finn Michael E | 8062025 | Buy | 54.11 | 1,500 | 81,165 | 162,330 | Form | |
| 1 | LALLY JAMES BRIAN | CEO | 6272025 | Sell | 55.16 | 1,828 | 100,832 | 5,564,817 | Form |
| 2 | LALLY JAMES BRIAN | CEO | 6262025 | Sell | 55.04 | 1,655 | 91,091 | 5,653,324 | Form |
| 3 | Finn Michael E | 6092025 | Buy | 52.25 | 8 | 418 | 418 | Form | |
| 4 | LALLY JAMES BRIAN | CEO | 5162025 | Sell | 55.01 | 400 | 22,004 | 5,741,284 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |