Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -89%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 33x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 46x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
  Key risks
DXCM key risks include [1] heightened regulatory scrutiny, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Wearable Health Devices, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Wearable Health Devices, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -89%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 33x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 46x
5 Key risks
DXCM key risks include [1] heightened regulatory scrutiny, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DXCM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Investor concerns over margin pressure following third-quarter 2025 earnings. Despite exceeding analyst expectations for earnings and revenue, DexCom's stock declined due to investor focus on margin pressure. Non-GAAP gross profit margin for the third quarter of 2025 decreased to 61.3% from 63.0% in the prior year.

2. Rising operational costs impacting profitability. Elevated scrap rates and freight costs were identified as ongoing factors contributing to the pressure on profits.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DXCM Return69%45%-16%10%-37%-15%21%
Peers Return28%58%-33%-19%8%-5%13%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DXCM Win Rate67%67%42%50%33%58% 
Peers Win Rate55%53%43%42%48%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DXCM Max Drawdown-13%-12%-49%-33%-48%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-10%-45%-41%-24%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABT, MDT, PODD, TNDM, SENS. See DXCM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDXCMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-58.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven139.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven29 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-48.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven193 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-87.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven666.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven488 days1,480 days

Compare to ABT, MDT, IDXX, BDX, PODD


In The Past

DexCom's stock fell -58.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/17/2021. A -58.2% loss requires a 139.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About DexCom (DXCM)

Better Bets than DexCom (DXCM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DXCM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
14.0%14.0%-5.8%
DXCM_1312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper01312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.7%-23.6%-36.8%
DXCM_7312024_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE07312024DXCMDexComDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
27.4%19.1%-11.8%
DXCM_5312022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE05312022DXCMDexComDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
48.2%57.4%-8.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
14.0%14.0%-5.8%
DXCM_1312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper01312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.7%-23.6%-36.8%
DXCM_7312024_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE07312024DXCMDexComDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
27.4%19.1%-11.8%
DXCM_5312022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE05312022DXCMDexComDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
48.2%57.4%-8.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for DexCom

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DXCMABTMDTPODDTNDMSENSMedian
NameDexCom Abbott L.MedtronicInsulet Tandem D.Senseoni. 
Mkt Price65.75126.7198.30289.5722.426.0982.03
Mkt Cap25.8220.7126.020.41.50.423.1
Rev LTM4,30143,84334,7582,5221,007293,411
Op Inc LTM6877,7136,719437-176-62562
FCF LTM5716,9175,206408-69-56489
FCF 3Y Avg5675,9654,917204-43-64386
CFO LTM9889,1197,113534-9-55761
CFO 3Y Avg8848,1326,626338-7-63611

Growth & Margins

DXCMABTMDTPODDTNDMSENSMedian
NameDexCom Abbott L.MedtronicInsulet Tandem D.Senseoni. 
Rev Chg LTM9.3%6.4%5.3%27.1%17.9%31.9%13.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.3%-0.6%4.1%26.6%8.7%25.9%13.0%
Rev Chg Q15.2%6.9%6.6%29.9%2.2%89.9%11.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.7%1.7%1.6%6.9%0.5%15.0%2.7%
Op Mgn LTM16.0%17.6%19.3%17.3%-17.5%-210.5%16.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.8%16.3%18.6%13.9%-23.4%-316.2%14.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%0.2%-0.1%0.1%0.4%44.4%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM23.0%20.8%20.5%21.2%-0.9%-189.1%20.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.2%19.5%19.9%15.8%-0.9%-276.3%17.6%
FCF/Rev LTM13.3%15.8%15.0%16.2%-6.8%-191.7%14.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.9%14.3%14.8%8.7%-4.9%-281.4%11.5%

Valuation

DXCMABTMDTPODDTNDMSENSMedian
NameDexCom Abbott L.MedtronicInsulet Tandem D.Senseoni. 
Mkt Cap25.8220.7126.020.41.50.423.1
P/S6.15.33.68.60.813.45.7
P/EBIT32.927.019.759.7-4.1-27.0
P/E46.216.726.588.2-4.0-6.121.6
P/CFO26.725.617.740.7-93.4-7.121.7
Total Yield2.2%7.7%6.6%1.1%-24.8%-16.3%1.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.7%2.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.0%3.0%4.3%1.0%-4.1%-2.0%
D/E0.10.10.20.00.5-0.1
Net D/E-0.00.00.20.00.2-0.0

Returns

DXCMABTMDTPODDTNDMSENSMedian
NameDexCom Abbott L.MedtronicInsulet Tandem D.Senseoni. 
1M Rtn12.4%-2.6%2.1%-11.7%22.2%3.2%2.7%
3M Rtn-14.0%-5.1%4.7%-10.1%84.1%-32.0%-7.6%
6M Rtn-18.8%-3.4%16.5%-4.0%9.9%-39.8%-3.7%
12M Rtn-15.5%14.0%24.8%10.0%-34.5%-27.4%-2.8%
3Y Rtn-42.6%25.6%41.5%-3.2%-45.9%-73.3%-22.9%
1M Excs Rtn11.7%-3.3%1.4%-12.5%21.5%2.5%1.9%
3M Excs Rtn-14.6%-6.8%2.3%-14.5%68.0%-34.5%-10.6%
6M Excs Rtn-31.2%-15.8%4.1%-16.4%-2.5%-52.1%-16.1%
12M Excs Rtn-25.9%2.8%12.0%-3.6%-42.4%-42.9%-14.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-112.1%-45.8%-32.2%-72.2%-117.1%-141.2%-92.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment3,6222,9102,4481,9271,476
Total3,6222,9102,4481,9271,476


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment598    
Total598    


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment542    
Total542    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,046,267
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.7%
Average Daily Volume5,319,455
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.45
Basic Shares Quantity392,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-14.6%-14.9%-5.5%
7/30/2025-9.3%-14.2%-15.7%
5/1/202516.2%21.5%21.7%
1/13/20252.7%8.5%11.1%
10/24/2024-1.9%-5.8%-2.7%
7/25/2024-40.7%-34.8%-31.3%
4/25/2024-9.9%-8.2%-7.7%
1/8/20244.6%0.8%0.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111110
# Negative131314
Median Positive10.2%14.9%12.7%
Median Negative-5.6%-8.2%-11.1%
Max Positive27.2%32.5%46.8%
Max Negative-40.7%-34.8%-31.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021214202210-K 12/31/2021