Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Wearable Health Devices, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Wearable Health Devices, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DXCM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why DexCom (DXCM) stock moved by -13.9% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. DexCom's Q3 2025 Earnings Call and 2026 Revenue Outlook: Despite reporting strong third-quarter 2025 financial results that surpassed analyst expectations for both EPS and revenue, and raising its full-year 2025 revenue guidance, the stock experienced a significant drop. This decline, including a nearly 12.8% fall in after-hours trading on October 30, 2025, and a 14.6% decrease in the subsequent trading session, was primarily attributed to the interim CEO's cautious forecast for 2026 revenue growth, which was indicated to potentially fall short of analyst expectations.

2. Short Report and Concerns over G7 Continuous Glucose Monitor Reliability: DexCom's stock fell by 9.7% to a four-month low on September 19, 2025, after Hunterbrook Capital announced it was short on DXCM, citing "inaccurate readings" from the company's G7 continuous glucose monitor. This concern was further supported by Oppenheimer's downgrade of DexCom on September 8, 2025, to "perform" from "outperform," with the firm removing its price target, citing patient and consumer concerns regarding the G7's accuracy, failed sensor insertions, and abrupt stoppages.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DXCM Return69%45%-16%10%-37%-17%18%
Peers Return34%12%-13%4%-1%25%66%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DXCM Win Rate67%67%42%50%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate60%53%48%45%50%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DXCM Max Drawdown-13%-12%-49%-33%-48%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-8%-29%-19%-15%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABT, MDT, IDXX, BDX, PODD. See DXCM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDXCMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-58.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven139.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven29 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-48.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven193 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-87.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven666.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven488 days1480 days

Compare to ABT, MDT, IDXX, BDX, PODD


In The Past

DexCom's stock fell -58.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/17/2021. A -58.2% loss requires a 139.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About DexCom (DXCM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DXCM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
10.7%10.7%-5.8%
DXCM_1312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper01312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.7%-25.8%-36.8%
DXCM_7312024_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE07312024DXCMDexComDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
27.4%19.1%-11.8%
DXCM_5312022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE05312022DXCMDexComDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
48.2%57.4%-8.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
10.7%10.7%-5.8%
DXCM_1312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper01312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.7%-25.8%-36.8%
DXCM_7312024_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE07312024DXCMDexComDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
27.4%19.1%-11.8%
DXCM_5312022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE05312022DXCMDexComDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
48.2%57.4%-8.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for DexCom

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DXCMABTMDTIDXXBDXPODDMedian
NameDexCom Abbott L.MedtronicIDEXX La.Becton D.Insulet  
Mkt Price-------
Mkt Cap-------
Rev LTM-------
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-------
FCF 3Y Avg-------
CFO LTM-------
CFO 3Y Avg-------

Growth & Margins

DXCMABTMDTIDXXBDXPODDMedian
NameDexCom Abbott L.MedtronicIDEXX La.Becton D.Insulet  
Rev Chg LTM-------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-------
Rev Chg Q-------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-------
FCF/Rev LTM-------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-------

Valuation

DXCMABTMDTIDXXBDXPODDMedian
NameDexCom Abbott L.MedtronicIDEXX La.Becton D.Insulet  
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E-------
Net D/E-------

Returns

DXCMABTMDTIDXXBDXPODDMedian
NameDexCom Abbott L.MedtronicIDEXX La.Becton D.Insulet  
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn-------
3M Excs Rtn-------
6M Excs Rtn-------
12M Excs Rtn-------
3Y Excs Rtn-------

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment3,6222,9102,4481,9271,476
Total3,6222,9102,4481,9271,476


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment598    
Total598    


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment542    
Total542    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,410,567
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202520.0%
Average Daily Volume9,464,204
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.42
Basic Shares Quantity392,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021214202210-K 12/31/2021