Tearsheet

Dynavax Technologies (DVAX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.965 | Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Dynavax Technologies (DVAX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.965
Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -31%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.9%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -36%
  
3 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.9%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Vaccine & Adjuvant Technology, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -31%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -36%
3 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.9%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Vaccine & Adjuvant Technology, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81%
7 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DVAX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Dynavax Technologies (DVAX) stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Dynavax reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, significantly exceeding analysts' expectations. The company announced an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.21, surpassing the forecasted $0.13 by 61.54%, and revenue reached $94.9 million, slightly above the anticipated $94.41 million. Following the earnings release, Dynavax's stock rose by 2.49% in aftermarket trading.

2. The company experienced significant growth in HEPLISAV-B net product revenue and market share during Q3 2025. HEPLISAV-B generated $90 million in net product revenue, a 13% increase year-over-year. Its total estimated market share in the U.S. adult hepatitis B vaccine market expanded to approximately 46%, up from 44% in the third quarter of 2024.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DVAX Return-22%216%-24%31%-9%-15%90%
Peers Return6%-1%-7%-13%-25%2%-34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DVAX Win Rate33%58%42%67%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate29%21%25%27%15%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DVAX Max Drawdown-60%0%-47%-11%-28%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-10%-17%-24%-25%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDVAXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-64.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven181.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-68.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven213.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven285 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-88.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven795.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-98.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5979.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI


In The Past

Dynavax Technologies's stock fell -64.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/3/2021. A -64.4% loss requires a 181.1% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Dynavax Technologies (DVAX)

Better Bets than Dynavax Technologies (DVAX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DVAX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dynavax Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DVAXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameDynavax .Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Mkt Price10.97463.13-2.541.07-6.76
Mkt Cap1.3118.4----59.8
Rev LTM33111,723-0--331
Op Inc LTM21-92--5---5
FCF LTM813,337--6--81
FCF 3Y Avg742,064--10--74
CFO LTM913,718--6--91
CFO 3Y Avg802,419--10--80

Growth & Margins

DVAXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameDynavax .Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Rev Chg LTM26.7%10.3%----18.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-17.3%10.5%-----3.4%
Rev Chg Q17.7%11.0%----14.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.5%2.7%----3.6%
Op Mgn LTM6.5%-0.8%----2.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.0%26.2%----15.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.2%1.0%----2.1%
CFO/Rev LTM27.4%31.7%----29.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.9%23.1%----23.5%
FCF/Rev LTM24.4%28.5%----26.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg21.9%19.8%----20.8%

Valuation

DVAXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameDynavax .Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Mkt Cap1.3118.4----59.8
P/S3.58.5----6.0
P/EBIT-34.422.4-----6.0
P/E-26.827.2----0.2
P/CFO12.926.9----19.9
Total Yield-3.7%3.7%-----0.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%2.3%----3.6%
D/E0.20.0----0.1
Net D/E-0.3-0.0-----0.2

Returns

DVAXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameDynavax .Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
1M Rtn7.7%8.7%----8.2%
3M Rtn8.3%16.8%----12.5%
6M Rtn10.9%3.9%----7.4%
12M Rtn-14.2%1.3%-----6.4%
3Y Rtn-13.8%44.1%----15.2%
1M Excs Rtn7.7%8.7%----8.2%
3M Excs Rtn4.6%11.3%----8.0%
6M Excs Rtn-3.8%-10.8%-----7.3%
12M Excs Rtn-28.2%-14.6%-----21.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-80.8%-25.9%-----53.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
HEPLISAV-B213    
Other revenue199271
CpG 1018 adjuvant0    
Product revenue, net 7144373935
Total2327234394735


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,723,263
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.6%
Average Daily Volume2,160,276
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.35
Basic Shares Quantity117,307,000
Short % of Basic Shares11.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Myers Scott Dunseth 8252025Buy10.823,80041,116378,743Form
1Deep Track Biotechnology Master Fund, Ltd. 8222025Sell11.031,094,99412,077,784184,162,307Form
2Novack David FPresident & COO3202025Sell13.5814,020190,392109,699Form
3Novack David FPresident & COO3102025Sell14.3932,764471,474317,990Form