Tearsheet

Dynavax Technologies (DVAX)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $11.155 | Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Dynavax Technologies (DVAX)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $11.155
Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.2%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.5%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  Key risks
DVAX key risks include [1] its significant revenue reliance on a single vaccine, Show more.
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Vaccine & Adjuvant Technology, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.2%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Vaccine & Adjuvant Technology, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%
8 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.5%
10 Key risks
DVAX key risks include [1] its significant revenue reliance on a single vaccine, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DVAX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. Q2 2025 Financial Results and Upgraded Guidance.

Dynavax Technologies reported record HEPLISAV-B quarterly net product revenue of $92 million for the second quarter of 2025, marking a 31% increase year-over-year. The company subsequently refined its full-year 2025 HEPLISAV-B net product revenue guidance range upwards to $315 million to $325 million, signaling strong commercial performance just before the requested period. 2. Positive Topline Data from Shingles Vaccine Trial.

On October 21, 2025, Dynavax presented positive topline data from Part 1 of its Phase 1/2 clinical trial for Z-1018, its novel shingles vaccine candidate. The results demonstrated comparable antibody and CD4+ T-cell responses to Shingrix with a favorable tolerability profile, leading the company to initiate Part 2 of the trial. Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.2% change in DVAX stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 8.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
922202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)9.6911.1615.17%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)316.27330.514.50%
P/S Multiple3.663.968.35%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)119.32117.311.68%
Cumulative Contribution15.14%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
DVAX15.2% 
Market (SPY)2.7%34.1%
Sector (XLV)13.7%50.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 14.2% change in DVAX stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 12.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
623202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)9.7711.1614.23%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)294.62330.5112.18%
P/S Multiple4.143.96-4.35%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)124.87117.316.06%
Cumulative Contribution13.81%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
DVAX14.2% 
Market (SPY)14.4%22.3%
Sector (XLV)18.0%38.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -12.3% change in DVAX stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -38.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1222202412222025Change
Stock Price ($)12.7211.16-12.26%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)260.81330.5126.73%
P/S Multiple6.403.96-38.07%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)131.13117.3110.54%
Cumulative Contribution-13.24%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
DVAX-12.3% 
Market (SPY)16.9%28.5%
Sector (XLV)14.5%40.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.4% change in DVAX stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 111.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1223202212222025Change
Stock Price ($)10.7911.163.43%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)733.26330.51-54.93%
P/S Multiple1.873.96111.85%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)127.06117.317.68%
Cumulative Contribution2.82%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
DVAX-19.4% 
Market (SPY)47.7%23.2%
Sector (XLV)18.4%33.3%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DVAX Return-22%216%-24%31%-9%-15%90%
Peers Return688%2%-23%-33%95%14%814%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%113%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DVAX Win Rate33%58%42%67%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%44%37%35%48%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DVAX Max Drawdown-60%0%-47%-11%-28%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-19%-48%-39%-23%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MRK, NVAX, EBS, GILD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDVAXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-64.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven181.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-68.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven213.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven285 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-88.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven795.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-98.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5979.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, CRMO

In The Past

Dynavax Technologies's stock fell -64.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/3/2021. A -64.4% loss requires a 181.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dynavax Technologies (DVAX)

Dynavax Technologies Corporation, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing novel vaccines in the United States. The company markets HEPLISAV-B, a hepatitis B vaccine for prevention of infection caused by all known subtypes of hepatitis B virus in age 18 years and older in the United States and Europe. It also manufactures and sells CpG 1018, the adjuvant used in HEPLISAV-B. Dynavax Technologies Corporation has a collaboration agreement with Valneva Scotland Limited; agreement with Serum Institute of India Pvt. Ltd.; and sublicense agreement with Merck, Sharp & Dohme Corp. The company was formerly known as Double Helix Corporation and changed its name to Dynavax Technologies Corporation in September 1996. Dynavax Technologies Corporation was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Dynavax Technologies (DVAX):

  • Dynavax is a focused vaccine developer, similar to a smaller, specialized version of a major pharmaceutical's vaccine division (e.g., Merck or GSK).
  • They are a 'secret ingredient' supplier that helps other vaccines work better, similar to how Dolby Labs licenses its audio enhancement technology to many electronics manufacturers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • HEPLISAV-B®: An FDA-approved adult hepatitis B vaccine for individuals 18 years of age and older.
  • CpG 1018 Adjuvant: A proprietary Toll-like Receptor (TLR) 9 agonist adjuvant used in HEPLISAV-B and licensed to other vaccine developers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dynavax Technologies (symbol: DVAX) primarily sells its products to other companies and governmental entities, rather than directly to individuals. Based on their public filings, their major customers and customer categories include: * **Valneva SE** (Symbol: VLS; listed on Euronext Paris and NASDAQ): A biopharmaceutical company that serves as a commercialization partner for HEPLISAV-B in Europe and is also a licensee of Dynavax's CpG 1018 adjuvant for use in its vaccine candidates. * **United States Government (specifically the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention - CDC):** The CDC is a significant institutional customer, particularly for Dynavax's HEPLISAV-B vaccine under programs like the Vaccines for Children program. * **U.S. Wholesalers and Large Chain Pharmacies:** Dynavax's sales of HEPLISAV-B in the United States are distributed through various wholesalers and large chain pharmacies. While Dynavax does not typically name individual major customers within these categories due to the diversified nature of their sales channels (and often states that no single customer accounts for 10% or more of total revenues), these categories collectively represent a significant portion of their domestic sales. Examples of such entities in the market include major pharmaceutical wholesalers (e.g., McKesson, AmerisourceBergen, Cardinal Health) and large pharmacy chains (e.g., CVS Health, Walgreens). * **Other Biopharmaceutical Companies:** Dynavax licenses its CpG 1018 adjuvant to several other biopharmaceutical companies for use in their vaccine development programs. One publicly known licensee is **Clover Biopharmaceuticals** (HKEX: 2171).

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Merck KGaA (MRK.DE)
  • AGC Biologics
  • Lonza Group AG (LONN.SW)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Ryan Spencer, Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Spencer joined Dynavax in 2005 and has served as Chief Executive Officer since December 2019. He previously held various roles of increasing responsibility within the company, including Senior Vice President of Commercial, where he was instrumental in leading the launch and commercialization of HEPLISAV-B®. His background at Dynavax spans corporate finance, business strategy, and investor relations. Before joining Dynavax, Mr. Spencer was Assistant Controller at QRS Corporation, a publicly-held technology company, and worked in the audit practice at Ernst & Young.

Kelly MacDonald, Chief Financial Officer

Ms. MacDonald serves as the Chief Financial Officer of Dynavax Technologies.

David Novack, President and Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Novack joined Dynavax in 2013 and is currently the President and Chief Operating Officer. He has led the company’s technical operations, supply chain, and quality teams through the FDA approval, launch, and commercialization of HEPLISAV-B®. Prior to Dynavax, Mr. Novack held various roles at Novartis, including Global Head of Technical Operations and Supply Chain for Diagnostics, and Global Head of Manufacturing Strategy for Vaccines. Effective January 1, 2026, Mr. Novack will transition to the role of Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer.

Robert Janssen, Chief Medical Officer

Dr. Janssen was appointed Chief Medical Officer and Senior Vice President, Clinical Development in 2018, having joined Dynavax in 2010. He previously served as Dynavax's Vice President, Medical Affairs and Senior Director, Clinical Development. Before his tenure at Dynavax, Dr. Janssen was Vice President, Medical Affairs at Gilead from 2008 to 2010, overseeing physician and healthcare provider education focused on HIV and hepatitis B therapies. Dr. Janssen will be removed from his positions as Chief Medical Officer and Senior Vice President, Clinical Development, Medical and Regulatory Affairs, with his employment concluding by March 2, 2026.

Jeff Coon, Chief Human Resources Officer

Mr. Coon serves as the Chief Human Resources Officer at Dynavax Technologies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Dynavax Technologies (DVAX) are primarily centered around its reliance on a single commercial product, the inherent challenges of vaccine pipeline development, and ongoing profitability concerns alongside activist investor pressures.

  1. High Reliance on HEPLISAV-B and Market Competition: Dynavax Technologies is significantly reliant on its flagship hepatitis B vaccine, HEPLISAV-B, for the majority of its revenue. This heavy product reliance makes the company vulnerable to intense competition within the vaccine market, potential pricing pressures, and the emergence of new or improved formulations from competitors that could erode its market share. While HEPLISAV-B has gained significant market share, its dependence exposes Dynavax to revenue and margin instability should a superior alternative emerge or if pricing strategies are challenged by healthcare systems seeking to control costs.
  2. Pipeline Development and Regulatory Risks: The biopharmaceutical industry, particularly vaccine development, is characterized by inherently high risks and elevated failure rates during clinical trials. Dynavax's pipeline candidates, such as Z-1018 for shingles, face substantial hurdles in demonstrating superior efficacy and safety compared to already established products like Shingrix. Any setbacks in clinical trials or delays in obtaining regulatory approvals for its pipeline products could negatively impact investor confidence and the company's future growth prospects. The extended timelines for vaccine development and approval also mean that diversifying revenue streams through new products could be significantly delayed.
  3. Profitability and Activist Investor Scrutiny: Despite robust revenue growth, Dynavax operates at a net income loss and has a negative return on equity, which are metrics investors should closely monitor. This financial performance is exacerbated by an ongoing dispute with activist investor Deep Track Capital. Deep Track Capital has criticized Dynavax's strategy of pursuing external asset acquisitions and high-risk vaccine projects, arguing that these endeavors divert management's attention and capital away from maximizing the value of HEPLISAV-B, which they refer to as the company's "crown jewel." The activist investor has also highlighted that Dynavax reportedly failed to achieve its own market share and sales targets for HEPLISAV-B in 2024.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The severe and accelerating contraction of revenue from Dynavax's adjuvant systems business, primarily due to the significant and ongoing decline in demand for Novavax's COVID-19 vaccine, which utilizes Dynavax's CpG 1018 adjuvant. This trend, evidenced by substantial year-over-year revenue decreases and forward guidance indicating further steep declines, threatens a key diversification strategy and future growth driver beyond their core HEPLISAV-B product.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dynavax Technologies (symbol: DVAX) has two main commercial products: HEPLISAV-B vaccine and CpG 1018 adjuvant. The addressable markets for these products are as follows:

HEPLISAV-B® Vaccine

  • U.S. Market: The U.S. adult hepatitis B vaccine market is projected to exceed $900 million in annual sales by 2030. Dynavax aims to secure at least 60% of this expanding U.S. market.
  • Global Market: The global Hepatitis B Vaccine Market was valued at USD 8.1 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach USD 13.2 billion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.6% from 2024 to 2032. Another estimate indicates the global hepatitis B market reached USD 3.3 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 4.9 billion by 2034. HEPLISAV-B is approved in the U.S., European Union, and United Kingdom for adults aged 18 years and older.

CpG 1018® Adjuvant

  • Global Adjuvant Market: The global vaccine adjuvants market size reached US$ 703.15 million in 2024 and is expected to grow to US$ 1,280.35 million by 2033, with a CAGR of 6.9% during the forecast period of 2025-2033. North America is expected to dominate this global market with a 44.02% share in 2024. CpG 1018 is utilized in HEPLISAV-B and has been licensed for use in multiple COVID-19 vaccines by partners.
  • Shingles Vaccine Market (using CpG 1018): Dynavax is developing a shingles vaccine candidate (Z-1018) that uses CpG 1018 adjuvant. The current shingles vaccine market is approximately $2 billion and is expected to grow over time.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dynavax Technologies (DVAX) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:

  1. Continued Market Share Expansion of HEPLISAV-B within an Expanding U.S. Adult Hepatitis B Vaccine Market: HEPLISAV-B, Dynavax's flagship hepatitis B vaccine, is projected to continue increasing its market share in the U.S. adult hepatitis B vaccine market. By Q3 2025, HEPLISAV-B had already captured 46% of the total U.S. market, with a notable 63% share in the retail pharmacy segment. The company aims to achieve at least 60% market share by 2030. This growth is supported by an expanding overall U.S. adult hepatitis B vaccine market, which is anticipated to exceed $900 million by 2030, with the retail pharmacy segment expected to comprise 50% of the total market.
  2. Advancement of the Shingles Vaccine Program (Z1018): Dynavax is progressing its shingles vaccine candidate, Z1018, through clinical development. The company has initiated Part 2 of the Phase I/II study for adults aged 70 and older, with top-line immunogenicity and safety results from Part 2 and 12-month follow-up data from Part 1 expected in the second half of 2026. This program targets a multi-billion-dollar market and represents a significant pipeline opportunity for future revenue.
  3. Strategic License Agreement for Vaxart's Oral COVID-19 Vaccine Program: Dynavax entered an exclusive license agreement for Vaxart's novel oral COVID-19 vaccine program. This strategic deal expands Dynavax's pipeline with a late-stage candidate that could address a significant unmet need in the multi-billion-dollar COVID-19 vaccine market, offering a potential near-term clinical catalyst.
  4. Broader Utilization and Collaborations Involving the CpG 1018 Adjuvant: Beyond HEPLISAV-B, Dynavax's CpG 1018 adjuvant technology is leveraged in various collaborations for other vaccine candidates, including those for COVID-19, pertussis, and universal flu. The company had previously projected the potential for CpG 1018 to be utilized in up to 500 million to 1.5 billion doses of vaccine annually starting in 2022, highlighting its ongoing potential to contribute significant revenue through partnerships.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • In November 2024, Dynavax authorized a $200 million share repurchase program, with $100 million completed via an Accelerated Share Repurchase (ASR) in Q1 2025, and the remainder expected by the end of 2025.
  • By May 2025, over 85% ($172 million) of the $200 million share repurchase program had been executed.
  • In November 2025, a new $100 million share repurchase program was authorized, with an expected completion within approximately one year.

Share Issuance

  • In May 2020, Dynavax announced a public offering of 14,000,000 shares of its common stock at $5.00 per share, resulting in expected gross proceeds of approximately $70.0 million.
  • In March 2025, the company issued $225 million in 2.0% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030, which included $40 million in new notes and an exchange for $185 million of existing convertible notes due 2026.

Outbound Investments

  • In November 2025, Dynavax entered an exclusive worldwide license agreement for Vaxart's oral COVID-19 vaccine candidate, involving a $25 million upfront license fee and a $5 million equity investment in Vaxart.
  • The agreement with Vaxart includes a potential additional $50 million payment after Phase 2b results, contingent on Dynavax electing to assume further development.

Better Bets than Dynavax Technologies (DVAX)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to DVAX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
21.0%21.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.8%-8.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.8%13.8%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dynavax Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DVAXMRKNVAXEBSGILDMedian
NameDynavax .Merck Novavax Emergent.Gilead S. 
Mkt Price11.16104.726.8912.81124.1612.81
Mkt Cap1.3261.31.10.7154.31.3
Rev LTM33164,2351,02481229,0861,024
Op Inc LTM2122,39140510611,151405
FCF LTM8113,049-3851559,162155
FCF 3Y Avg7413,685-408-558,81574
CFO LTM9117,065-3781699,667169
CFO 3Y Avg8017,506-375-119,36480

Growth & Margins

DVAXMRKNVAXEBSGILDMedian
NameDynavax .Merck Novavax Emergent.Gilead S. 
Rev Chg LTM26.7%1.7%20.9%-24.4%2.8%2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-17.3%2.9%14.1%-16.9%2.3%2.3%
Rev Chg Q17.7%3.7%-16.6%-47.5%3.0%3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.5%1.0%-1.4%-12.7%0.8%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM6.5%34.9%39.5%13.1%38.3%34.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.0%23.7%-27.4%-9.3%39.2%5.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.2%3.7%5.6%20.8%0.9%3.7%
CFO/Rev LTM27.4%26.6%-36.9%20.8%33.2%26.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.9%28.2%-45.9%0.3%33.1%23.9%
FCF/Rev LTM24.4%20.3%-37.6%19.1%31.5%20.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg21.9%22.0%-50.2%-4.0%31.2%21.9%

Valuation

DVAXMRKNVAXEBSGILDMedian
NameDynavax .Merck Novavax Emergent.Gilead S. 
Mkt Cap1.3261.31.10.7154.31.3
P/S4.04.11.10.95.34.0
P/EBIT-38.611.33.02.914.23.0
P/E-30.213.73.35.019.05.0
P/CFO14.415.3-3.04.116.014.4
Total Yield-3.3%10.4%30.6%20.1%7.8%10.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.1%0.0%0.0%2.6%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%5.5%-43.3%-55.7%8.0%4.9%
D/E0.20.20.21.00.20.2
Net D/E-0.30.1-0.50.60.10.1

Returns

DVAXMRKNVAXEBSGILDMedian
NameDynavax .Merck Novavax Emergent.Gilead S. 
1M Rtn-0.2%8.0%6.5%27.6%-1.3%6.5%
3M Rtn15.2%31.4%-22.3%56.6%11.1%15.2%
6M Rtn14.2%33.1%9.2%96.5%18.5%18.5%
12M Rtn-12.3%10.8%-20.8%58.1%37.9%10.8%
3Y Rtn3.4%2.6%-28.7%16.5%62.8%3.4%
1M Excs Rtn-1.9%6.0%5.6%35.9%-5.2%5.6%
3M Excs Rtn13.0%28.8%-23.9%53.3%5.9%13.0%
6M Excs Rtn-0.3%19.9%-6.7%76.3%4.5%4.5%
12M Excs Rtn-29.7%-6.6%-37.3%39.8%23.6%-6.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-76.5%-71.9%-115.7%-61.6%-17.2%-71.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
HEPLISAV-B213    
Other revenue199271
CpG 1018 adjuvant0    
Product revenue, net 7144373935
Total2327234394735


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$11.16 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.3 
First Trading Date02/19/2004 
Distance from 52W High-22.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$10.71$10.80
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA4.2%3.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility29.8%34.9%
Downside Capture40.2067.66
Upside Capture103.6344.16
Correlation (SPY)33.1%28.3%
DVAX Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.480.750.720.640.490.64
Up Beta1.881.661.670.620.370.40
Down Beta0.530.880.770.780.660.83
Up Capture95%99%71%64%27%28%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days9233266127366
Down Capture-37%8%21%51%68%93%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days10162754113370

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of DVAX With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 DVAXSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-13.5%13.6%14.7%67.3%6.8%-0.5%-16.6%
Annualized Volatility34.6%17.3%19.7%19.3%15.2%17.6%35.4%
Sharpe Ratio-0.370.570.572.540.23-0.18-0.25
Correlation With Other Assets 40.1%28.6%-3.0%4.4%22.5%13.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of DVAX With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 DVAXSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return16.6%8.7%15.0%18.9%11.8%5.1%35.8%
Annualized Volatility61.3%14.5%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.9%
Sharpe Ratio0.480.420.710.980.510.180.63
Correlation With Other Assets 27.8%31.1%2.2%6.8%25.3%17.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of DVAX With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 DVAXSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-7.6%10.0%14.9%14.9%6.7%5.5%69.9%
Annualized Volatility78.8%16.7%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.260.500.710.840.300.230.90
Correlation With Other Assets 25.7%25.0%4.4%9.6%16.5%13.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,287,206
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.1%
Average Daily Volume1,636,064
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.73
Basic Shares Quantity117,307,000
Short % of Basic Shares12.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20256.7%9.3%6.5%
8/7/2025-6.6%-4.0%-12.3%
5/6/2025-11.0%-11.9%-8.9%
2/20/20250.0%1.9%3.7%
11/7/20248.2%11.4%6.8%
8/6/20247.0%9.9%8.0%
5/8/2024-5.5%-5.2%3.5%
2/22/20242.5%1.8%-1.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131011
# Negative81110
Median Positive7.0%9.6%8.0%
Median Negative-8.8%-7.0%-8.7%
Max Positive16.1%22.8%79.0%
Max Negative-22.2%-22.8%-44.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More
 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Myers Scott Dunseth 8252025Buy10.823,80041,116378,743Form
1Deep Track Biotechnology Master Fund, Ltd. 8222025Sell11.031,094,99412,077,784184,162,307Form
2Novack David FPresident & COO3202025Sell13.5814,020190,392109,699Form
3Novack David FPresident & COO3102025Sell14.3932,764471,474317,990Form