Amdocs (DOX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $75.98 | Market Cap: $8.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Amdocs (DOX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $75.98Market Cap: $8.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 6.3% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.4% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Wireless Services, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 6.3% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Wireless Services, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DOX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The Amdocs (DOX) stock experienced a decline of approximately 10.6% in the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. Several factors may have contributed to this movement:
1. Reported Revenue Decline and Updated Outlook: Amdocs reported a year-over-year revenue decline of 8.4% to $1.14 billion in Q3 fiscal 2025 (reported on August 6, 2025), which was primarily attributed to the intentional phase-out of low-margin, non-core business activities. Additionally, for fiscal 2025, Amdocs updated its outlook, expecting revenue growth of (10.0)%-(9.0)% year-over-year as reported. This reported decline and negative revenue outlook, despite growth on a pro forma constant currency basis, likely caused investor concern regarding future revenue stability.
2. Intensified Customer Expense Scrutiny and Slower Pipeline Conversion: Challenges in the demand environment, including slower pipeline conversion and intensified customer expense scrutiny, were noted in analysis around December 2025, raising concerns for future revenue stability and growth prospects.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DOX Return | 0% | 7% | 24% | -1% | -1% | -10% | 17% |
| Peers Return | 13% | 13% | -38% | 33% | -9% | -8% | -11% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DOX Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 67% | 50% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 23% | 40% | 30% | 45% | 45% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DOX Max Drawdown | -36% | -2% | -1% | -12% | -14% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -1% | -42% | -20% | -26% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DOX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 322 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 213 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 152.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1705 days | 1480 days |
Compare to GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW
In The Past
Amdocs's stock fell -20.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/30/2023. A -20.4% loss requires a 25.6% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Would You Still Hold Amdocs Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return | ||
| DOX Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Amdocs (DOX) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Now Is Not The Time To Buy Amdocs Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| Amdocs (DOX) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Amdocs (DOX) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Amdocs (DOX) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Amdocs (DOX) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | December 3rd, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DOX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Amdocs
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 16.96 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.2 |
| Rev LTM | 2,985 |
| Op Inc LTM | 378 |
| FCF LTM | 474 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 451 |
| CFO LTM | 536 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 522 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 1.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.2 |
| P/S | 4.2 |
| P/EBIT | -4.5 |
| P/E | 24.4 |
| P/CFO | 17.1 |
| Total Yield | 2.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -5.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -10.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 8.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -20.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -23.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -58.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5192025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 6-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 12172024 | 20-F 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8192024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5202024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 6-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 12132023 | 20-F 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5222023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 6-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 12132022 | 20-F 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5242022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2142022 | 6-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 12092021 | 20-F 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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