Deluxe (DLX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $23.05 | Market Cap: $1.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Commercial Printing
Deluxe (DLX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $23.05Market Cap: $1.0 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Commercial Printing
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 6.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 15% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 170% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -9.6%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -9.6% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.9% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% | Key risksDLX key risks include [1] the ongoing decline of its legacy print business, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 6.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 15% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -9.6%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -9.6% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 170% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.9% |
| Key risksDLX key risks include [1] the ongoing decline of its legacy print business, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DLX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining Deluxe (DLX) stock movement during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Deluxe reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results. The company's adjusted diluted EPS reached $1.09, significantly beating the consensus estimate of $0.92 by $0.17. Quarterly revenue also rose 2.2% year-over-year to $540.20 million, surpassing analysts' expectations of $526.50 million.
2. Significant growth was observed in the Data Solutions segment. In Q3 2025, Data Solutions revenue surged 46.0% year-over-year to $89.2 million, with adjusted EBITDA jumping 66.3%. This followed an 18.1% year-over-year revenue surge in the Data Solutions segment for Q2 2025, highlighting the success of the company's strategic shift.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DLX Return | -39% | 13% | -44% | 35% | 11% | 7% | -38% |
| Peers Return | 52% | 12% | -25% | 46% | 29% | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DLX Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 33% | 58% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 52% | 38% | 58% | 62% | 39% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DLX Max Drawdown | -61% | -0% | -50% | -17% | -12% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -18% | -36% | -17% | -14% | -45% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FI, GDDY, BILL, JKHY, CMPR. See DLX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DLX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -71.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 247.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -61.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 160.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -52.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 110.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -86.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 617.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,677 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to BRC, CMPR, EBF, DSS, DLX
In The Past
Deluxe's stock fell -71.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2021. A -71.2% loss requires a 247.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Deluxe Earnings Notes | ||
| Is Deluxe Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | Return | |
| Deluxe (DLX) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Deluxe (DLX) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| Deluxe (DLX) Revenue Comparison | Financials | |
| Deluxe (DLX) Debt Comparison | Financials | |
| Deluxe (DLX) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | |
| Deluxe (DLX) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | |
| Deluxe (DLX) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| DLX Dip Buy Analysis |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DLX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Deluxe
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 74.43 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.6 |
| Rev LTM | 2,940 |
| Op Inc LTM | 430 |
| FCF LTM | 362 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 281 |
| CFO LTM | 502 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 412 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.6 |
| P/S | 3.5 |
| P/EBIT | 14.4 |
| P/E | 23.0 |
| P/CFO | 11.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 14.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 18.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 24.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -5.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 69.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 13.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 16.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 12.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -16.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -9.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 14.1% | 14.0% | 16.9% |
| 8/6/2025 | 19.8% | 21.8% | 23.7% |
| 4/30/2025 | 1.0% | 4.9% | -0.4% |
| 2/5/2025 | -11.3% | -18.6% | -26.4% |
| 11/6/2024 | 9.4% | 16.5% | 14.0% |
| 7/31/2024 | -10.3% | -20.6% | -15.2% |
| 5/1/2024 | 8.4% | 11.4% | 15.8% |
| 2/1/2024 | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 13 | 14 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 7.9% | 9.8% | 16.3% |
| Median Negative | -5.1% | -9.5% | -13.0% |
| Max Positive | 19.8% | 21.8% | 26.4% |
| Max Negative | -12.0% | -20.6% | -41.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |