Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 6.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 170%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.9%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 6.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 170%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DLX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Deluxe (DLX) experienced an approximate 8.3% increase between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: On November 5, 2025, Deluxe announced third quarter 2025 earnings that surpassed analyst expectations. The company reported an EPS of $1.09, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.92, and quarterly revenue of $540.20 million, which was above the analyst estimate of $526.50 million. This also represented a 2.2% year-over-year revenue increase.

2. Positive Outlook Revision by Fitch Ratings: On October 31, 2025, Fitch Ratings revised Deluxe's outlook from stable to positive, while affirming its Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'B'. This positive revision was based on expectations of reduced EBITDA leverage, enhanced profitability, and robust free cash flow generation, as Deluxe continues its transition to a payment solutions provider.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DLX Return-39%13%-44%35%11%-4%-44%
Peers Return-24%-15%-35%46%-4%1%-41%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DLX Win Rate50%50%33%58%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate40%47%33%48%43%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DLX Max Drawdown-61%-0%-50%-17%-12%-37% 
Peers Max Drawdown-50%-25%-47%-13%-21%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BRC, CMPR, EBF, DSS, DLX. See DLX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDLXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven247.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven160.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-52.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven110.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-86.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven617.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1677 days1480 days

Compare to BRC, CMPR, EBF, DSS, DLX


In The Past

Deluxe's stock fell -71.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2021. A -71.2% loss requires a 247.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Deluxe (DLX)

Better Bets than Deluxe (DLX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DLX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Deluxe

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DLXBRCCMPREBFDSSMedian
NameDeluxe Brady Cimpress Ennis DSS  
Mkt Price20.9778.5573.6917.901.0220.97
Mkt Cap0.93.71.80.50.00.9
Rev LTM2,1191,5143,461388211,514
Op Inc LTM25823724251-18237
FCF LTM13215415444-3132
FCF 3Y Avg11017314554-14110
CFO LTM22918131949-3181
CFO 3Y Avg21021527659-14210

Growth & Margins

DLXBRCCMPREBFDSSMedian
NameDeluxe Brady Cimpress Ennis DSS  
Rev Chg LTM-0.9%12.8%3.6%-3.9%10.3%3.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.9%5.3%5.7%-2.6%-14.0%-1.9%
Rev Chg Q2.2%15.7%7.2%-0.4%25.5%7.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%3.7%1.7%-0.1%5.3%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM12.2%15.6%7.0%13.0%-85.2%12.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.6%16.9%6.5%13.1%-99.4%10.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.1%-1.1%0.2%-0.2%12.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM10.8%12.0%9.2%12.7%-14.5%10.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.7%15.6%8.3%14.6%-60.5%9.7%
FCF/Rev LTM6.2%10.1%4.4%11.4%-15.6%6.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.1%12.5%4.3%13.1%-64.3%5.1%

Valuation

DLXBRCCMPREBFDSSMedian
NameDeluxe Brady Cimpress Ennis DSS  
Mkt Cap0.93.71.80.50.00.9
P/S0.42.10.41.20.40.4
P/EBIT3.613.36.59.3-0.26.5
P/E10.517.044.111.1-0.211.1
P/CFO3.817.84.99.5-2.84.9
Total Yield15.8%7.3%2.3%28.6%-527.4%7.3%
Dividend Yield6.3%1.4%0.0%19.6%0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.9%6.2%8.0%9.7%-54.2%8.0%
D/E1.70.01.10.06.61.1
Net D/E1.7-0.01.0-0.05.11.0

Returns

DLXBRCCMPREBFDSSMedian
NameDeluxe Brady Cimpress Ennis DSS  
1M Rtn17.7%3.8%8.2%5.4%-9.3%5.4%
3M Rtn12.1%1.4%21.3%-0.2%-25.3%1.4%
6M Rtn45.3%12.1%63.8%-0.5%22.4%22.4%
12M Rtn-4.3%6.7%-8.2%-11.4%11.7%-4.3%
3Y Rtn33.0%71.9%135.4%-0.6%-77.1%33.0%
1M Excs Rtn17.7%3.8%8.2%5.4%-9.2%5.4%
3M Excs Rtn4.3%-10.1%16.1%-7.8%-21.4%-7.8%
6M Excs Rtn30.6%-2.6%49.1%-15.2%7.7%7.7%
12M Excs Rtn-16.9%-7.2%-21.8%-25.1%-13.9%-16.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-37.8%1.1%95.0%-71.2%-150.3%-37.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Print1,261    
Merchant Services364    
B2B Payments299    
Data Solutions212268262253318
All other56    
Checks 729703706780
Payments 679510302270
Promotional Solutions 563546530641
Total2,1922,2382,0221,7912,009


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,046,827
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120258.4%
Average Daily Volume396,865
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.68
Basic Shares Quantity44,936,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021