DeFi Technologies (DEFT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.02 | Market Cap: $350.9 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets
DeFi Technologies (DEFT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.02Market Cap: $350.9 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Capital Markets
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -62% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 30x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 36x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Cryptocurrency Exchanges, Blockchain Enterprise Solutions, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -47%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -20% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -206%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -206% | |
| Key risksDEFT key risks include [1] an active securities fraud lawsuit alleging strategic delays and a likely revenue guidance miss, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -62% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Cryptocurrency Exchanges, Blockchain Enterprise Solutions, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 30x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 36x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -47%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -20% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -206%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -206% |
| Key risksDEFT key risks include [1] an active securities fraud lawsuit alleging strategic delays and a likely revenue guidance miss, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DEFT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The approximate -51.4% stock movement for DeFi Technologies (DEFT) between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors:
1. Significant Downward Revision of 2025 Revenue Guidance. DeFi Technologies sharply reduced its 2025 revenue guidance from an initial $218.6 million to approximately $116.6 million. This substantial cut, nearly 50%, was a major blow to investor confidence, signaling a significant deterioration in the company's financial outlook.
2. Underperforming Q3 2025 Financial Results. The company reported Q3 2025 revenue of $22.5 million, a notable decrease from $28.1 million in Q3 2024, representing a nearly 20% decline. Furthermore, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.01 fell well short of the consensus estimate of $0.07. These results missed market expectations and contributed to negative sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DEFT Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | 3% | 21% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DEFT Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 14% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 45% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DEFT Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | -45% | -38% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COIN, MARA, RIOT, CLSK, HUT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
DEFT has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 525 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 515.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,470 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DEFT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for DeFi Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 12.22 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| Rev LTM | 717 |
| Op Inc LTM | -48 |
| FCF LTM | -888 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -519 |
| CFO LTM | -323 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -160 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 71.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 85.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 102.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 16.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -16.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -74.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -43.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -138.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -105.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| P/S | 6.4 |
| P/EBIT | 17.0 |
| P/E | 24.0 |
| P/CFO | -7.3 |
| Total Yield | 4.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -22.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -25.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 374.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -28.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -15.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 236.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeFi | 11 | ||||
| DeFi Bermuda | 0 | ||||
| Valour Inc | -3 | ||||
| Single segment | -10 | 12 | 2 | -1 | |
| Total | 8 | -10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeFi | 4 | ||||
| DeFi Bermuda | 0 | ||||
| Valour Inc | -19 | ||||
| Total | -15 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valour Inc | 446 | ||||
| DeFi | 0 | ||||
| DeFi Bermuda | 0 | ||||
| Total | 446 |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11142025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 7292025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |