CytomX Therapeutics (CTMX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $4.105 | Market Cap: $677.3 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
CytomX Therapeutics (CTMX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $4.105Market Cap: $677.3 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.2% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 264% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -82% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -64%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -64% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 1134% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 160% | ||
| Key risksCTMX key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on its unproven PROBODY® therapeutic technology platform, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.2% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 264% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -82% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -64%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -64% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 1134% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 160% |
| Key risksCTMX key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on its unproven PROBODY® therapeutic technology platform, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CTMX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Positive initial clinical results for CX-2051 in advanced colorectal cancer continued to drive positive sentiment. CytomX Therapeutics announced positive initial clinical results for CX-2051 in advanced colorectal cancer on August 7, 2025, just before the start of the specified period.
2. CytomX Therapeutics announced a strong financial position with a cash runway extending into the second quarter of 2027. This was reported on August 7, 2025, with $158.1 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, providing stability for ongoing pipeline development.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CTMX Return | -21% | -34% | -63% | -3% | -34% | 313% | -49% |
| Peers Return | � | -35% | -61% | -33% | -45% | 6% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CTMX Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 33% | 58% | 33% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 31% | 35% | 35% | 40% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CTMX Max Drawdown | -57% | -41% | -73% | -33% | -44% | -58% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -37% | -85% | -70% | -51% | -60% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADCT, BCAB, MGNX, STRO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CTMX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -89.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 826.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 28 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -84.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 561.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN
In The Past
CytomX Therapeutics's stock fell -89.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2021. A -89.2% loss requires a 826.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CTMX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for CytomX Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 3.67 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| Rev LTM | 106 |
| Op Inc LTM | -114 |
| FCF LTM | -132 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -83 |
| CFO LTM | -132 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -80 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -10.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 34.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -34.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -19.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -109.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -120.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -4.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -152.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -111.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -153.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -112.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| P/EBIT | -0.4 |
| P/E | -0.6 |
| P/CFO | -0.7 |
| Total Yield | -74.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -64.2% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -1.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 12.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -40.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -74.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 8.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -57.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -142.9% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | -13.6% | -7.9% | -7.2% |
| 8/7/2025 | 11.9% | -16.2% | 3.8% |
| 3/6/2025 | 7.7% | -4.3% | -26.2% |
| 11/7/2024 | 9.0% | 0.0% | 26.0% |
| 8/8/2024 | 1.7% | 0.8% | 5.9% |
| 3/11/2024 | -14.3% | -19.5% | -16.3% |
| 11/7/2023 | -2.3% | 0.0% | 14.1% |
| 8/8/2023 | -3.6% | -5.9% | -18.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 8 | 6 |
| # Negative | 9 | 12 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 7.7% | 1.5% | 10.0% |
| Median Negative | -6.1% | -7.6% | -12.7% |
| Max Positive | 16.2% | 17.2% | 31.7% |
| Max Negative | -15.1% | -24.7% | -31.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3062025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3112024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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