Tearsheet

Cerence (CRNC)


Market Price (6/7/2026): $10.74 | Market Cap: $484.3 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Cerence (CRNC)


Market Price (6/7/2026): $10.74
Market Cap: $484.3 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 16%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -139%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -18%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3%

Key risks
CRNC key risks include [1] a significant convertible debt maturing in June 2025 straining its financial position, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 16%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -139%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -18%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3%
7 Key risks
CRNC key risks include [1] a significant convertible debt maturing in June 2025 straining its financial position, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 6/5/2026

Cerence (CRNC) stock has gained about 35% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Performance with Revenue Exceeding Guidance.

Cerence reported robust results for its fiscal Q2 2026, which ended March 31, 2026. The company announced revenue of $64.2 million, surpassing analysts' expectations of $60.87 million and exceeding the high end of its own guidance. Additionally, Adjusted EBITDA reached $7.2 million, also above the higher end of guidance.

2. Upward Revision of Full-Year Fiscal 2026 Financial Outlook.

Following the strong fiscal Q2 2026 performance, Cerence raised the midpoints of its full-year fiscal 2026 (ending September 30, 2026) guidance. The company now expects revenue to be in the range of $305 million to $320 million, with the midpoint raised to $312.5 million. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also increased, with its midpoint raised by 8%, to a range of $60 million to $70 million. Furthermore, free cash flow guidance was raised by $10 million, representing a 16% increase at the midpoint.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 34.1% change in CRNC stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 40.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820266062026Change
Stock Price ($)7.9110.6134.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)316302-4.4%
P/S Multiple1.11.640.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4545-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution34.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 6/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CRNC34.1% 
Market (SPY)7.8%52.2%
Sector (XLK)30.1%54.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -4.2% change in CRNC stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020256062026Change
Stock Price ($)11.0810.61-4.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)25230220.0%
P/S Multiple1.91.6-17.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4345-3.9%
Cumulative Contribution-4.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 6/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CRNC-4.2% 
Market (SPY)8.5%48.0%
Sector (XLK)26.3%47.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 24.7% change in CRNC stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)53120256062026Change
Stock Price ($)8.5110.6124.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)25430218.8%
P/S Multiple1.41.69.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4345-4.2%
Cumulative Contribution24.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2025 to 6/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CRNC24.7% 
Market (SPY)26.6%41.7%
Sector (XLK)57.1%37.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -62.8% change in CRNC stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -58.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120236062026Change
Stock Price ($)28.5210.61-62.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2993021.0%
P/S Multiple3.81.6-58.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4045-10.8%
Cumulative Contribution-62.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2023 to 6/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CRNC-62.8% 
Market (SPY)83.4%28.5%
Sector (XLK)124.1%27.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CRNC Return-24%-76%6%-60%36%15%-88%
Peers Return27%-49%26%84%-35%-5%-8%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%102%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CRNC Win Rate58%33%58%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate55%25%59%56%35%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CRNC Max Drawdown-48%-83%-58%-89%-66%-53% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-52%-28%-48%-48%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: S, BGIN, BMR, VTIX, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/5/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventCRNCS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-19.4%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven24.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven13 days18 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-20.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven20 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-44.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven55 days140 days

Compare to S, BGIN, BMR, VTIX, AAPL

In The Past

Cerence's stock fell -19.4% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 24.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventCRNCS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-20.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven20 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-44.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven55 days140 days

Compare to S, BGIN, BMR, VTIX, AAPL

In The Past

Cerence's stock fell -19.4% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 24.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cerence (CRNC)

Cerence Inc. provides AI powered virtual assistants for the mobility/transportation market worldwide. The company offers edge software components; cloud-connected components and related toolkits and applications; and virtual assistant coexistence and professional services. It also provides conversational artificial intelligence-based solutions, including speech recognition, natural language understanding, speech signal enhancement, text-to-speech, and acoustic modeling technology. Cerence Inc. is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Cerence:

  • The Amazon Alexa or Apple Siri specifically for cars, sold to automakers.
  • The underlying AI intelligence for car voice assistants, like a specialized Google Assistant for the automotive industry.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • AI-powered Virtual Assistants: Cerence provides intelligent virtual assistants specifically designed for the automotive and mobility industries.
  • Edge Software Components: These are software modules optimized to run directly on in-vehicle systems for real-time processing.
  • Cloud-Connected Components: Cerence offers cloud-based software services that enhance and expand the capabilities of their virtual assistants.
  • Conversational AI Solutions: The company provides foundational technologies like speech recognition, natural language understanding, and text-to-speech for human-like interaction.
  • Development Toolkits and Applications: Cerence offers tools and pre-built applications to assist in the creation and customization of virtual assistant experiences.
  • Virtual Assistant Coexistence Solutions: Services and technologies that enable seamless operation of multiple virtual assistants within a single vehicle environment.
  • Professional Services: Cerence delivers expert consulting, integration, and ongoing support to deploy and optimize their AI solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Cerence Inc. (CRNC) sells primarily to other companies. Its major customers are leading global automotive manufacturers that integrate Cerence's AI-powered virtual assistants and conversational AI solutions into their vehicles.

Major customers include:

  • BMW AG (symbol: BMWYY)
  • Ford Motor Company (symbol: F)
  • General Motors Company (symbol: GM)
  • Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (symbol: HMC)
  • Mercedes-Benz Group AG (formerly Daimler AG) (symbol: MBG)
  • Stellantis N.V. (symbol: STLA)
  • Toyota Motor Corporation (symbol: TM)
  • Volkswagen AG (symbol: VWAGY)

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  • Amazon Web Services (part of Amazon.com, Inc. - AMZN)

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Brian Krzanich, President and Chief Executive Officer

Brian Krzanich joined Cerence as President and Chief Executive Officer in October 2024. He is an accomplished engineer and business executive, well-known for his tenure as CEO of Intel Corporation from 2013 to 2018. During his leadership at Intel, he guided the company into emerging fields such as cloud computing, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving, expanding the business from $52 billion to over $70 billion in revenue. Prior to Intel, Mr. Krzanich served as CEO of CDK Global Inc. from 2018 to 2022, where he achieved ten consecutive quarters of growth and ultimately oversaw an $8.3 billion take-private acquisition by Brookfield Business Partners in 2022. He began his career at Intel in 1982 as a process engineer and progressed through various manufacturing roles, including overseeing Intel's global manufacturing, supply chain, and infrastructure.

Antonio Rodriquez, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

Antonio Rodriquez has served as Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer of Cerence since November 2024, having previously held the role of Interim Chief Financial Officer from June 2024. In his capacity as CFO, Mr. Rodriquez is responsible for managing and overseeing Cerence's finance organization, which includes accounting, tax, financial planning and analysis, treasury, facilities, and procurement.

Nils Schanz, Executive Vice President, Product & Technology

Nils Schanz was appointed Executive Vice President, Product and Technology in August 2024, after serving as Chief Product Officer since November 2022. He leads Cerence's global technology, engineering, and product development organization, focusing on aligning innovation, product, and customer delivery. Before joining Cerence, Mr. Schanz spent fifteen years at Daimler and Mercedes-Benz AG, where he was instrumental in developing the acclaimed MBUX (Mercedes-Benz User Experience) system, the MBUX Hyperscreen, and the "Hey Mercedes" Voice Assistant. He also held roles as Global Head of User Interaction & Voice Control and served in various R&D, Product Management, and Marketing positions, including Director of IoT & Wearables at Mercedes-Benz Research & Development North America in Silicon Valley.

Jennifer Salinas, Executive Vice President, Chief Administrative Officer and General Counsel

Jennifer Salinas has served as Cerence's Executive Vice President, Chief Administrative Officer and General Counsel since June 2024. Prior to this, she was the Senior Vice President and General Counsel from April 2022 to June 2024.

Christian Mentz, Executive Vice President and Chief Revenue Officer

Christian Mentz holds the position of Executive Vice President and Chief Revenue Officer at Cerence. In this role, he is responsible for driving the company's go-to-market strategy. Before his tenure at Cerence, Mr. Mentz led Global Business Development and Marketing for Amazon Smart Vehicles.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Cerence Inc. (CRNC) are primarily driven by intense market competition, its concentrated reliance on the automotive sector, and ongoing financial volatility.

  1. Intense Competition from Well-Capitalized Tech Giants: Cerence faces significant revenue-side competition from major technology companies such as Google, Amazon, and Microsoft. These tech giants offer "free" voice solutions and are actively integrating their AI platforms into the automotive ecosystem, posing a substantial threat to Cerence's market share despite its established relationships with automakers.
  2. Reliance on the Automotive Sector and Cyclical Demand: Cerence's business is highly dependent on the automotive industry, making it vulnerable to the sector's cyclical demand fluctuations. Its reliance on key contracts with specific automakers means that any shifts or downturns in the automotive market or changes in these contracts can significantly impact the company's financial performance.
  3. Financial Health and Revenue Volatility: Cerence has experienced revenue declines, net losses, and goodwill impairment charges in recent fiscal years, indicating challenges with profitability and financial stability. The company is also navigating a transition to new generative AI platforms, which introduces execution risks and potential revenue volatility as it shifts its business model.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The rapid advancement and adoption of large language models (LLMs) and generative artificial intelligence pose an emerging threat. Automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and major tech companies are increasingly integrating powerful, general-purpose LLMs for conversational AI. These models offer broad capabilities in natural language understanding, generation, and complex reasoning, potentially reducing the reliance on specialized conversational AI providers like Cerence for core components such as speech recognition, natural language understanding, and text-to-speech. OEMs may choose to leverage these foundational LLMs, augmenting them with their own domain-specific data and features, rather than licensing Cerence's specialized solutions, thereby commoditizing Cerence's core technological offerings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Cerence Inc. (CRNC) operates within several significant addressable markets related to AI-powered virtual assistants and conversational AI for the mobility and transportation industry globally.

Addressable Market Sizes for Cerence's Main Products and Services:

  • Global Automotive Conversational AI Market: This market was valued at US$ 855.7 million in 2024 and is projected to grow to US$ 3,453.0 million by 2030, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.2%.
  • Global Automotive Voice Recognition System Market: This market was estimated at USD 2.13 billion in 2022 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 11.3% during 2023-2029, reaching USD 4.49 billion by 2029. Another report valued it at USD 3.7 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 9.9 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 10.6%. Furthermore, another estimate indicates the market size at USD 3.74 billion in 2025, with an anticipated increase to approximately USD 15.01 billion by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 14.91% from 2026 to 2035.
  • Global Automotive GenAI Copilot Market (including In-Cabin Conversational AI): This market was valued at USD 1.3 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 18.5 billion by 2036, at a CAGR of 25.8% during the forecast period from 2026. In-cabin conversational AI specifically accounts for approximately 45.2% of the total market demand in 2026 within this segment.
  • Global Automotive Artificial Intelligence (AI) Market: This broader market, which includes infotainment and voice assistants and personalization, was valued at USD 12.84 billion in 2025. It is projected to grow to USD 51.68 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 16.7%.
  • Global Intelligent Virtual Assistant Market: This wider market, with automotive emerging as one of the fastest-growing application segments, was estimated at USD 2.48 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 14.10 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 24.3%.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Cerence (CRNC)

  • Expanding Adoption of Cerence xUI Platform: Cerence is poised for revenue growth through the continued market adoption and customer programs of its next-generation hybrid agentic AI assistant platform, Cerence xUI. The company has achieved major milestones, including the market launch of xUI and securing several agreements with top automakers for its implementation, often at a higher price per unit than previous offerings.
  • Penetration into Non-Automotive Verticals: Cerence is actively expanding its conversational AI solutions beyond its core automotive market into new verticals. Examples include collaborations to introduce VoiceTopping for kiosks, partnerships with companies like LG for voice interaction in televisions, and development for call center agents with potential applications in retail, healthcare, and banking.
  • Growth in Connected Vehicle Services and Variable Licenses: Increased demand for connected vehicle technology and higher adoption rates are driving growth in Cerence's variable license revenue and connected services. The company has reported a rise in connected vehicle penetration and strong year-over-year increases in variable license revenue, reflecting robust utilization across its customer base.
  • Strategic Monetization of Intellectual Property (IP): Cerence is focusing on protecting and monetizing its extensive intellectual property portfolio. This strategy has already yielded significant revenue, such as a $49.5 million patent license payment from a Samsung settlement, and is expected to continue enhancing future revenue streams.
  • Increased Price Per Unit (PPU) for New Implementations: New customer programs, particularly those involving the Cerence xUI platform, are being secured at a higher price per unit (PPU) compared to the company's historical average. This indicates a shift towards higher-value engagements and improved pricing power for Cerence's advanced AI solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Cerence repurchased $30 million of its 1.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028 in December 2025, at a cash price equal to 92% of their principal amount.
  • In December 2024, the company repurchased approximately $27 million of its 3.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2025 at 98.5% of face value.
  • These repurchases were strategic decisions aimed at reducing interest expenses, eliminating potential dilution, and lowering leverage.

Share Issuance

  • For the three months ended December 31, 2025 (Q1 FY26), Cerence reported net cash provided by the issuance of common stock of $7.5 million.
  • In October 2025, Executive Vice President, Product & Technology, Nils Schanz, was granted 90,252 restricted stock units.
  • Director Marcy S. Klevorn received an equity award of 12,968 shares of common stock at $0.01 per share in February 2026, in the form of restricted stock units.

Inbound Investments

  • Cerence received a one-time lump sum payment of $49.5 million from Samsung in October 2025, as part of a patent cross-license agreement and settlement.
  • This payment significantly contributed to the company's Q1 FY26 revenue and resulted in a quarterly record for free cash flow.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for the three months ended December 31, 2025 (Q1 FY26) were approximately $2.2 million.
  • For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2024, capital expenditures amounted to $5.0 million.
  • In the fiscal year ending September 30, 2023, capital expenditures were $5.12 million.

Better Bets vs. Cerence (CRNC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CRNCSBGINBMRVTIXAAPLMedian
NameCerence Sentinel.BGIN Blo.Beamr Im.Virtuix Apple  
Mkt Price10.6115.95-1.733.38307.3410.61
Mkt Cap0.55.4---4,509.75.4
Rev LTM3021,049--4451,442676
Op Inc LTM34-306---8147,36613
FCF LTM7537---7129,17456
FCF 3Y Avg3611---109,86036
CFO LTM8863---7140,22276
CFO 3Y Avg4436---120,11444

Growth & Margins

CRNCSBGINBMRVTIXAAPLMedian
NameCerence Sentinel.BGIN Blo.Beamr Im.Virtuix Apple  
Rev Chg LTM18.8%21.4%---12.8%18.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.8%30.3%---5.6%5.6%
Rev Chg Q-17.7%20.8%---23.8%16.6%-0.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.4%4.8%---6.3%3.6%-0.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM270.2%7.4%---15.7%15.7%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg278.5%10.1%---9.6%10.1%
Op Mgn LTM11.1%-29.2%---177.0%32.6%-9.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.6%-39.2%---31.8%9.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-6.6%1.7%---11.3%0.3%-3.2%
CFO/Rev LTM29.3%6.0%---158.8%31.1%17.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.6%3.8%---29.1%15.6%
FCF/Rev LTM24.8%3.5%---160.8%28.6%14.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.8%0.8%---26.6%12.8%

Valuation

CRNCSBGINBMRVTIXAAPLMedian
NameCerence Sentinel.BGIN Blo.Beamr Im.Virtuix Apple  
Mkt Cap0.55.4---4,509.75.4
P/S1.65.1---10.05.1
P/Op Inc14.2-17.5---30.614.2
P/EBIT17.0-17.5---30.617.0
P/E-24.4-16.9---36.8-16.9
P/CFO5.485.5---32.232.2
Total Yield-4.1%-5.9%---3.1%-4.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%---0.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.3%0.3%---3.4%3.4%
D/E0.40.0---0.00.0
Net D/E0.2-0.1---0.00.0

Returns

CRNCSBGINBMRVTIXAAPLMedian
NameCerence Sentinel.BGIN Blo.Beamr Im.Virtuix Apple  
1M Rtn0.7%0.2%--9.9%-14.9%7.0%0.2%
3M Rtn44.7%12.4%-0.0%-49.2%19.5%12.4%
6M Rtn-16.1%9.8%--24.1%-86.1%10.4%-16.1%
12M Rtn4.2%-13.1%--44.2%-86.1%51.3%-13.1%
3Y Rtn-65.1%16.6%--45.4%-86.1%75.3%-45.4%
1M Excs Rtn3.9%3.8%--11.1%-7.7%6.7%3.8%
3M Excs Rtn35.2%2.9%--9.6%-58.8%9.9%2.9%
6M Excs Rtn-20.2%-13.8%--29.9%-93.9%0.6%-20.2%
12M Excs Rtn-14.5%-34.9%--69.6%-109.8%28.5%-34.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-139.4%-102.0%--120.3%-162.8%-0.8%-120.3%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Connected services133758611097
License125145159202164
Professional services7374847569
Total332294328387331


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$10.61 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.5 
First Trading Date10/02/2019 
Distance from 52W High-21.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$9.30$10.03
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA14.1%5.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility75.3%86.9%
Downside Capture317.05383.65
Upside Capture346.69290.44
Correlation (SPY)45.1%39.6%
CRNC Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.111.932.082.652.932.54
Up Beta-6.78-1.170.140.122.002.66
Down Beta6.425.282.113.302.632.25
Up Capture484%593%463%550%961%1491%
Bmk +ve Days13283667141432
Stock +ve Days14283664125350
Down Capture-38%247%213%257%201%114%
Bmk -ve Days7132757109318
Stock -ve Days6132759123395

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CRNC
CRNC7.7%87.5%0.47-
Sector ETF (XLK)53.4%22.0%1.8636.8%
Equity (SPY)25.3%12.1%1.5742.1%
Gold (GLD)27.6%26.9%0.8810.3%
Commodities (DBC)36.9%19.0%1.52-5.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.5%13.3%0.6316.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-42.0%42.5%-1.1634.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CRNC
CRNC-35.7%113.6%0.02-
Sector ETF (XLK)22.1%25.1%0.7831.7%
Equity (SPY)13.5%17.1%0.6231.8%
Gold (GLD)17.3%18.1%0.784.6%
Commodities (DBC)9.5%19.4%0.384.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.2%18.8%0.0722.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)11.3%54.6%0.4017.5%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CRNC
CRNC-3.8%106.5%0.35-
Sector ETF (XLK)24.8%24.6%0.9132.4%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7332.1%
Gold (GLD)13.0%16.0%0.677.9%
Commodities (DBC)7.1%18.0%0.327.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2423.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.3%66.9%1.0317.9%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date5152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 43020262.1%
Average Daily Volume1.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity45.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares13.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/2026-6.4%-1.1% 
2/4/2026-29.0%-24.9%-32.0%
11/19/202527.5%31.8%43.7%
5/7/2025-12.2%-4.3%1.8%
2/6/202513.7%14.0%-26.8%
11/21/2024106.7%137.2%172.0%
8/8/202416.9%2.3%23.2%
5/9/2024-34.3%-49.3%-68.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111312
# Negative121010
Median Positive13.7%10.0%21.0%
Median Negative-12.4%-19.9%-30.5%
Max Positive106.7%137.2%172.0%
Max Negative-34.3%-49.3%-68.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/05/202610-Q
09/30/202511/20/202510-K
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-Q
09/30/202411/25/202410-K
06/30/202408/09/202410-Q
03/31/202405/10/202410-Q
12/31/202302/08/202410-Q
09/30/202311/29/202310-K
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202202/08/202310-Q
09/30/202211/29/202210-K
06/30/202208/09/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 5/31/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Revenue68.00 Mil70.00 Mil72.00 Mil   
Q3 2026 Adjusted EBITDA8.00 Mil10.00 Mil12.00 Mil   
2026 Revenue305.00 Mil312.50 Mil320.00 Mil0.8% RaisedGuidance: 310.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA60.00 Mil65.00 Mil70.00 Mil8.3% RaisedGuidance: 60.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Free Cash Flow66.00 Mil71.00 Mil76.00 Mil17.4% RaisedGuidance: 60.50 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Revenue58.00 Mil60.00 Mil62.00 Mil   
Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA2.00 Mil4.00 Mil6.00 Mil   
2026 Revenue300.00 Mil310.00 Mil320.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 310.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA50.00 Mil60.00 Mil70.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 60.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Free Cash Flow55.50 Mil60.50 Mil65.50 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 60.50 Mil for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 4/26/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Krzanich, Brian MChief Executive OfficerDirectSell1010202511.46132,0751,513,38110,381,252Form
2Salinas, JenniferEVP Chief Admin OfficerDirectSell1007202512.3177,994960,2784,263,579Form
3Salinas, JenniferEVP Chief Admin OfficerDirectSell1007202512.7664,784826,4695,412,706Form
4Rodriquez, AntonioCFODirectSell1007202512.7638,347489,2043,530,340Form
5Mentz, ChristianEVP, Chief Revenue OfficerDirectSell1007202512.7626,872342,8141,427,223Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 6/6/2026