Cerence (CRNC)
Market Price (4/22/2026): $8.705 | Market Cap: $391.3 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Cerence (CRNC)
Market Price (4/22/2026): $8.705Market Cap: $391.3 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 19% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -138% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 1,169x Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1% Key risksCRNC key risks include [1] a significant convertible debt maturing in June 2025 straining its financial position, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -138% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 1,169x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1% |
| Key risksCRNC key risks include [1] a significant convertible debt maturing in June 2025 straining its financial position, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Reported GAAP Net Loss Amidst Strong Revenue Growth. Cerence reported a GAAP net loss of $5.2 million, or $0.12 per diluted share, for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, ending December 31, 2025. This result missed analysts' expectations, despite the company achieving a strong revenue of $115.1 million for the quarter, which included a significant $49.5 million patent license payment. While revenue exceeded guidance, the net loss suggests underlying profitability challenges or a reliance on non-recurring revenue sources.
2. Weakening Automotive Industry Trends, Especially in EV Sales. The broader automotive market experienced headwinds during Q1 2026. Electric vehicle (EV) sales declined by 27% year-over-year and were down 7.8% compared to the previous quarter. Many major automakers saw EV sales decrease by 60-70% or more. Overall global light vehicle sales are expected to remain flat in 2026, influenced by factors such as high interest rates, semiconductor shortages, and high average vehicle prices, which are pricing out many consumers. These trends directly impact Cerence, as its AI-powered experiences are integrated into new vehicles.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -18.5% change in CRNC stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -32.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.69 | 8.71 | -18.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 252 | 316 | 25.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.8 | 1.2 | -32.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 43 | 45 | -3.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -18.5% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CRNC | -18.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 39.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 7.4% | 46.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -30.1% change in CRNC stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -43.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.46 | 8.71 | -30.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 246 | 316 | 28.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.2 | 1.2 | -43.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 43 | 45 | -3.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -30.1% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CRNC | -30.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 32.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | 9.9% | 33.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 10.3% change in CRNC stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 29.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.90 | 8.71 | 10.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 244 | 316 | 29.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.4 | 1.2 | -10.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 43 | 45 | -4.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 10.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CRNC | 10.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 47.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 50.5% | 45.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -69.0% change in CRNC stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -65.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.09 | 8.71 | -69.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 317 | 316 | -0.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.5 | 1.2 | -65.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 40 | 45 | -11.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -69.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CRNC | -69.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 27.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 108.9% | 27.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CRNC Return | -24% | -76% | 6% | -60% | 36% | -16% | -91% |
| Peers Return | 27% | -49% | 26% | 84% | -35% | -6% | -9% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 4% | 89% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CRNC Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 25% | 59% | 56% | 35% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CRNC Max Drawdown | -31% | -82% | -20% | -88% | -12% | -44% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -51% | -29% | -19% | -46% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: S, BGIN, BMR, VTIX, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CRNC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -89.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 846.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -49.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 98.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 62 days | 148 days |
Compare to S, BGIN, BMR, VTIX, AAPL
In The Past
Cerence's stock fell -89.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -89.4% loss requires a 846.3% gain to breakeven.
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About Cerence (CRNC)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Cerence:
- The Amazon Alexa or Apple Siri specifically for cars, sold to automakers.
- The underlying AI intelligence for car voice assistants, like a specialized Google Assistant for the automotive industry.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- AI-powered Virtual Assistants: Cerence provides intelligent virtual assistants specifically designed for the automotive and mobility industries.
- Edge Software Components: These are software modules optimized to run directly on in-vehicle systems for real-time processing.
- Cloud-Connected Components: Cerence offers cloud-based software services that enhance and expand the capabilities of their virtual assistants.
- Conversational AI Solutions: The company provides foundational technologies like speech recognition, natural language understanding, and text-to-speech for human-like interaction.
- Development Toolkits and Applications: Cerence offers tools and pre-built applications to assist in the creation and customization of virtual assistant experiences.
- Virtual Assistant Coexistence Solutions: Services and technologies that enable seamless operation of multiple virtual assistants within a single vehicle environment.
- Professional Services: Cerence delivers expert consulting, integration, and ongoing support to deploy and optimize their AI solutions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cerence Inc. (CRNC) sells primarily to other companies. Its major customers are leading global automotive manufacturers that integrate Cerence's AI-powered virtual assistants and conversational AI solutions into their vehicles.
Major customers include:
- BMW AG (symbol: BMWYY)
- Ford Motor Company (symbol: F)
- General Motors Company (symbol: GM)
- Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (symbol: HMC)
- Mercedes-Benz Group AG (formerly Daimler AG) (symbol: MBG)
- Stellantis N.V. (symbol: STLA)
- Toyota Motor Corporation (symbol: TM)
- Volkswagen AG (symbol: VWAGY)
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Brian Krzanich, President and Chief Executive Officer
Brian Krzanich joined Cerence as President and Chief Executive Officer in October 2024. He is an accomplished engineer and business executive, well-known for his tenure as CEO of Intel Corporation from 2013 to 2018. During his leadership at Intel, he guided the company into emerging fields such as cloud computing, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving, expanding the business from $52 billion to over $70 billion in revenue. Prior to Intel, Mr. Krzanich served as CEO of CDK Global Inc. from 2018 to 2022, where he achieved ten consecutive quarters of growth and ultimately oversaw an $8.3 billion take-private acquisition by Brookfield Business Partners in 2022. He began his career at Intel in 1982 as a process engineer and progressed through various manufacturing roles, including overseeing Intel's global manufacturing, supply chain, and infrastructure.
Antonio Rodriquez, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Antonio Rodriquez has served as Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer of Cerence since November 2024, having previously held the role of Interim Chief Financial Officer from June 2024. In his capacity as CFO, Mr. Rodriquez is responsible for managing and overseeing Cerence's finance organization, which includes accounting, tax, financial planning and analysis, treasury, facilities, and procurement.
Nils Schanz, Executive Vice President, Product & Technology
Nils Schanz was appointed Executive Vice President, Product and Technology in August 2024, after serving as Chief Product Officer since November 2022. He leads Cerence's global technology, engineering, and product development organization, focusing on aligning innovation, product, and customer delivery. Before joining Cerence, Mr. Schanz spent fifteen years at Daimler and Mercedes-Benz AG, where he was instrumental in developing the acclaimed MBUX (Mercedes-Benz User Experience) system, the MBUX Hyperscreen, and the "Hey Mercedes" Voice Assistant. He also held roles as Global Head of User Interaction & Voice Control and served in various R&D, Product Management, and Marketing positions, including Director of IoT & Wearables at Mercedes-Benz Research & Development North America in Silicon Valley.
Jennifer Salinas, Executive Vice President, Chief Administrative Officer and General Counsel
Jennifer Salinas has served as Cerence's Executive Vice President, Chief Administrative Officer and General Counsel since June 2024. Prior to this, she was the Senior Vice President and General Counsel from April 2022 to June 2024.
Christian Mentz, Executive Vice President and Chief Revenue Officer
Christian Mentz holds the position of Executive Vice President and Chief Revenue Officer at Cerence. In this role, he is responsible for driving the company's go-to-market strategy. Before his tenure at Cerence, Mr. Mentz led Global Business Development and Marketing for Amazon Smart Vehicles.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Cerence Inc. (CRNC) are primarily driven by intense market competition, its concentrated reliance on the automotive sector, and ongoing financial volatility.
- Intense Competition from Well-Capitalized Tech Giants: Cerence faces significant revenue-side competition from major technology companies such as Google, Amazon, and Microsoft. These tech giants offer "free" voice solutions and are actively integrating their AI platforms into the automotive ecosystem, posing a substantial threat to Cerence's market share despite its established relationships with automakers.
- Reliance on the Automotive Sector and Cyclical Demand: Cerence's business is highly dependent on the automotive industry, making it vulnerable to the sector's cyclical demand fluctuations. Its reliance on key contracts with specific automakers means that any shifts or downturns in the automotive market or changes in these contracts can significantly impact the company's financial performance.
- Financial Health and Revenue Volatility: Cerence has experienced revenue declines, net losses, and goodwill impairment charges in recent fiscal years, indicating challenges with profitability and financial stability. The company is also navigating a transition to new generative AI platforms, which introduces execution risks and potential revenue volatility as it shifts its business model.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The rapid advancement and adoption of large language models (LLMs) and generative artificial intelligence pose an emerging threat. Automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and major tech companies are increasingly integrating powerful, general-purpose LLMs for conversational AI. These models offer broad capabilities in natural language understanding, generation, and complex reasoning, potentially reducing the reliance on specialized conversational AI providers like Cerence for core components such as speech recognition, natural language understanding, and text-to-speech. OEMs may choose to leverage these foundational LLMs, augmenting them with their own domain-specific data and features, rather than licensing Cerence's specialized solutions, thereby commoditizing Cerence's core technological offerings.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cerence Inc. (CRNC) operates within several significant addressable markets related to AI-powered virtual assistants and conversational AI for the mobility and transportation industry globally.
Addressable Market Sizes for Cerence's Main Products and Services:
- Global Automotive Conversational AI Market: This market was valued at US$ 855.7 million in 2024 and is projected to grow to US$ 3,453.0 million by 2030, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.2%.
- Global Automotive Voice Recognition System Market: This market was estimated at USD 2.13 billion in 2022 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 11.3% during 2023-2029, reaching USD 4.49 billion by 2029. Another report valued it at USD 3.7 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 9.9 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 10.6%. Furthermore, another estimate indicates the market size at USD 3.74 billion in 2025, with an anticipated increase to approximately USD 15.01 billion by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 14.91% from 2026 to 2035.
- Global Automotive GenAI Copilot Market (including In-Cabin Conversational AI): This market was valued at USD 1.3 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 18.5 billion by 2036, at a CAGR of 25.8% during the forecast period from 2026. In-cabin conversational AI specifically accounts for approximately 45.2% of the total market demand in 2026 within this segment.
- Global Automotive Artificial Intelligence (AI) Market: This broader market, which includes infotainment and voice assistants and personalization, was valued at USD 12.84 billion in 2025. It is projected to grow to USD 51.68 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 16.7%.
- Global Intelligent Virtual Assistant Market: This wider market, with automotive emerging as one of the fastest-growing application segments, was estimated at USD 2.48 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 14.10 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 24.3%.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Cerence (CRNC)
- Expanding Adoption of Cerence xUI Platform: Cerence is poised for revenue growth through the continued market adoption and customer programs of its next-generation hybrid agentic AI assistant platform, Cerence xUI. The company has achieved major milestones, including the market launch of xUI and securing several agreements with top automakers for its implementation, often at a higher price per unit than previous offerings.
- Penetration into Non-Automotive Verticals: Cerence is actively expanding its conversational AI solutions beyond its core automotive market into new verticals. Examples include collaborations to introduce VoiceTopping for kiosks, partnerships with companies like LG for voice interaction in televisions, and development for call center agents with potential applications in retail, healthcare, and banking.
- Growth in Connected Vehicle Services and Variable Licenses: Increased demand for connected vehicle technology and higher adoption rates are driving growth in Cerence's variable license revenue and connected services. The company has reported a rise in connected vehicle penetration and strong year-over-year increases in variable license revenue, reflecting robust utilization across its customer base.
- Strategic Monetization of Intellectual Property (IP): Cerence is focusing on protecting and monetizing its extensive intellectual property portfolio. This strategy has already yielded significant revenue, such as a $49.5 million patent license payment from a Samsung settlement, and is expected to continue enhancing future revenue streams.
- Increased Price Per Unit (PPU) for New Implementations: New customer programs, particularly those involving the Cerence xUI platform, are being secured at a higher price per unit (PPU) compared to the company's historical average. This indicates a shift towards higher-value engagements and improved pricing power for Cerence's advanced AI solutions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Cerence repurchased $30 million of its 1.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028 in December 2025, at a cash price equal to 92% of their principal amount.
- In December 2024, the company repurchased approximately $27 million of its 3.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2025 at 98.5% of face value.
- These repurchases were strategic decisions aimed at reducing interest expenses, eliminating potential dilution, and lowering leverage.
Share Issuance
- For the three months ended December 31, 2025 (Q1 FY26), Cerence reported net cash provided by the issuance of common stock of $7.5 million.
- In October 2025, Executive Vice President, Product & Technology, Nils Schanz, was granted 90,252 restricted stock units.
- Director Marcy S. Klevorn received an equity award of 12,968 shares of common stock at $0.01 per share in February 2026, in the form of restricted stock units.
Inbound Investments
- Cerence received a one-time lump sum payment of $49.5 million from Samsung in October 2025, as part of a patent cross-license agreement and settlement.
- This payment significantly contributed to the company's Q1 FY26 revenue and resulted in a quarterly record for free cash flow.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the three months ended December 31, 2025 (Q1 FY26) were approximately $2.2 million.
- For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2024, capital expenditures amounted to $5.0 million.
- In the fiscal year ending September 30, 2023, capital expenditures were $5.12 million.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Cerence Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Would You Still Hold Cerence Stock If It Fell 30%? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to CRNC.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | ALKT | Alkami Technology | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | DBX | Dropbox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | DLB | Dolby Laboratories | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | PTC | PTC | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| 01312022 | CRNC | Cerence | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -55.6% | -61.4% | -77.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 7.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.8 |
| Rev LTM | 659 |
| Op Inc LTM | 24 |
| FCF LTM | 63 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 33 |
| CFO LTM | 83 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 42 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 21.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 12.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -6.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.8 |
| P/S | 4.8 |
| P/Op Inc | 7.0 |
| P/EBIT | 8.1 |
| P/E | 33.3 |
| P/CFO | 29.0 |
| Total Yield | 0.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -25.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -28.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -28.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -42.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -98.1% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $8.71 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/02/2019 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -35.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.52 | $9.94 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 15.9% | -12.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 80.6% | 89.0% |
| Downside Capture | 1.00 | 1.48 |
| Upside Capture | 144.57 | 246.68 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 39.4% | 40.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.01 | 2.32 | 2.45 | 2.22 | 2.30 | 2.51 |
| Up Beta | 2.31 | 0.53 | 0.21 | 0.99 | 2.10 | 2.75 |
| Down Beta | 0.49 | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.07 | 2.06 | 2.16 |
| Up Capture | 14% | 98% | 180% | 229% | 535% | 899% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 16 | 26 | 57 | 122 | 343 |
| Down Capture | 180% | 308% | 273% | 227% | 167% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 25 | 36 | 68 | 128 | 401 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CRNC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRNC | 13.2% | 89.2% | 0.53 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 61.4% | 20.8% | 2.20 | 37.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.7% | 12.7% | 1.52 | 41.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 41.4% | 27.5% | 1.25 | 3.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 22.4% | 16.2% | 1.25 | 3.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.8% | 0.72 | 23.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.4% | 42.7% | -0.14 | 30.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CRNC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRNC | -38.3% | 113.0% | -0.02 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 17.9% | 24.7% | 0.65 | 31.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 10.8% | 17.1% | 0.49 | 31.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.6% | 17.8% | 0.99 | 4.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.9% | 18.8% | 0.47 | 5.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.1% | 18.8% | 0.12 | 22.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.8% | 56.4% | 0.29 | 17.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CRNC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRNC | -5.6% | 106.8% | 0.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.8% | 24.3% | 0.85 | 32.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 31.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.7% | 15.9% | 0.71 | 7.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 8.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 24.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.0% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 17.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/4/2026 | -29.0% | -24.9% | -32.0% |
| 11/19/2025 | 27.5% | 31.8% | 43.7% |
| 5/7/2025 | -12.2% | -4.3% | 1.8% |
| 2/6/2025 | 13.7% | 14.0% | -26.8% |
| 11/21/2024 | 106.7% | 137.2% | 172.0% |
| 8/8/2024 | 16.9% | 2.3% | 23.2% |
| 5/9/2024 | -34.3% | -49.3% | -68.2% |
| 2/6/2024 | -7.1% | -17.3% | -29.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 13.7% | 14.0% | 23.2% |
| Median Negative | -12.4% | -19.9% | -30.5% |
| Max Positive | 106.7% | 137.2% | 172.0% |
| Max Negative | -34.3% | -49.3% | -68.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/25/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/29/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/29/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 58.00 Mil | 60.00 Mil | 62.00 Mil | ||||
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 2.00 Mil | 4.00 Mil | 6.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Revenue | 300.00 Mil | 310.00 Mil | 320.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 310.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 50.00 Mil | 60.00 Mil | 70.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 60.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow | 55.50 Mil | 60.50 Mil | 65.50 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 60.50 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 11/19/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 110.00 Mil | 115.00 Mil | 120.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| Q1 2026 Operating Margin | 85.0% | 85.5% | 86.0% | 27.6% | 18.5% | Higher New | Actual: 67.0% for Q3 2025 |
| Q1 2026 Net Income | -2.40 Mil | 2.60 Mil | 7.60 Mil | Higher New | Actual: -11.50 Mil for Q3 2025 | ||
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 30.00 Mil | 35.00 Mil | 40.00 Mil | 1300.0% | Higher New | Actual: 2.50 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| 2026 Revenue | 300.00 Mil | 310.00 Mil | 320.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| 2026 Net Income | -8.10 Mil | 1.90 Mil | 11.90 Mil | Higher New | Actual: -32.00 Mil for 2025 | ||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 50.00 Mil | 60.00 Mil | 70.00 Mil | 93.6% | Higher New | Actual: 31.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow | 55.50 Mil | 60.50 Mil | 65.50 Mil | 101.7% | Higher New | Actual: 30.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Core Technology Business Growth | 8.0% | Higher New | |||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krzanich, Brian M | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 10102025 | 11.46 | 132,075 | 1,513,381 | 10,381,252 | Form |
| 2 | Salinas, Jennifer | EVP Chief Admin Officer | Direct | Sell | 10072025 | 12.76 | 64,784 | 826,469 | 5,412,706 | Form |
| 3 | Salinas, Jennifer | EVP Chief Admin Officer | Direct | Sell | 10072025 | 12.31 | 77,994 | 960,278 | 4,263,579 | Form |
| 4 | Rodriquez, Antonio | CFO | Direct | Sell | 10072025 | 12.76 | 38,347 | 489,204 | 3,530,340 | Form |
| 5 | Mentz, Christian | EVP, Chief Revenue Officer | Direct | Sell | 10072025 | 12.76 | 26,872 | 342,814 | 1,427,223 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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