Salesforce (CRM)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $249.5 | Market Cap: $238.5 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Salesforce (CRM)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $249.5Market Cap: $238.5 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 13 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -8.4% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Artificial Intelligence, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 13 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Artificial Intelligence, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -8.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CRM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Salesforce (CRM) stock experienced a significant event around the end of Q3 fiscal year 2026 (calendar year 2025). While the requested period spans into the future, available information as of December 5, 2025, provides insights into Salesforce's Q3 fiscal 2026 performance and outlook, which concluded on October 31, 2025. This period saw Salesforce stock shares reportedly lose nearly 30% of their value in 2025 heading into the Q3 earnings report.
Here are key points highlighting factors related to Salesforce's stock movement around the specified period:
1. Salesforce's Q3 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Performance: Salesforce reported its Q3 fiscal 2026 results (ending October 31, 2025) which showed adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.25, exceeding analyst estimates of $2.86. Revenue was approximately $10.3 billion, in line with forecasts. Despite beating EPS estimates, concerns about a conservative outlook had previously caused shares to fall.
2. Strong Growth in AI-driven Offerings, particularly Agentforce and Data 360: The company highlighted significant expansion in AI-driven solutions, with Agentforce and Data 360 annual recurring revenue (ARR) reaching nearly $1.4 billion, a 114% year-over-year increase. Agentforce ARR alone surpassed $500 million, growing 330% year-over-year. Management credited strong adoption of its AI-driven AgentForce platform as a major driver of growth.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CRM Return | 37% | 14% | -48% | 98% | 28% | -26% | 54% |
| Peers Return | 33% | 38% | -20% | 50% | 18% | 14% | 192% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CRM Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 65% | 33% | 63% | 52% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CRM Max Drawdown | -24% | -8% | -50% | 0% | -17% | -32% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -7% | -34% | -5% | -9% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, ORCL, IBM, INTU, ADBE. See CRM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CRM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -58.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 141.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 441 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -35.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 112 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 84 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -70.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 238.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 405 days | 1480 days |
Compare to MSFT, ORCL, IBM, INTU, ADBE
In The Past
Salesforce's stock fell -58.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -58.6% loss requires a 141.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CRM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Salesforce
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 318.36 |
| Mkt Cap | 262.1 |
| Rev LTM | 49,260 |
| Op Inc LTM | 9,973 |
| FCF LTM | 10,726 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 9,216 |
| CFO LTM | 13,326 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 12,356 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 28.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 27.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 34.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 34.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 29.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 262.1 |
| P/S | 8.8 |
| P/EBIT | 30.3 |
| P/E | 37.9 |
| P/CFO | 23.0 |
| Total Yield | 3.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 6.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 91.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 18.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Service | 8,245 | 7,369 | 6,474 | 5,377 | 4,466 |
| Sales | 7,580 | 6,831 | 5,989 | 5,191 | 4,598 |
| Platform and Other | 6,611 | 5,967 | 4,509 | 3,324 | 4,473 |
| Integration and Analytics | 5,189 | 4,338 | 3,783 | 2,951 | |
| Marketing and Commerce | 4,912 | 4,516 | 3,902 | 3,133 | 2,506 |
| Professional services and other | 2,320 | 2,331 | 1,835 | 1,276 | 1,055 |
| Total | 34,857 | 31,352 | 26,492 | 21,252 | 17,098 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9042025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 5292025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3052025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12042024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8292024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5302024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3062024 | 10-K 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11302023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8312023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6012023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3082023 | 10-K 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12012022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8252022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6012022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3112022 | 10-K 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12022021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
