Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.23 | Market Cap: $95.0 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment
Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.23Market Cap: $95.0 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Communications Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -123%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -144% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -71 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -14% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Wireless Services, Show more. | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 310% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.0% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.1% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -357% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 100% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Wireless Services, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -123%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -144% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -71 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -14% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 310% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.0% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.1% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -357% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 100% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CMTL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) has experienced significant events in recent periods that have influenced its stock performance. Here are key highlights contributing to such movements:
1. Strong Fiscal Year 2023 Performance and Positive Momentum: Comtech concluded a robust fiscal year 2023 with positive momentum carrying into fiscal year 2024. The company reported strong Q4 fiscal 2023 results, with consolidated net sales increasing by 9.2% sequentially to $148.8 million and adjusted EBITDA reaching $18.9 million, or 12.7% of consolidated net sales. This performance demonstrated success in the company's "One Comtech" transformation efforts.
2. Strategic Divestiture to Enhance Financial Profile: Comtech announced a deal to sell its power systems technology product line to Stellant Systems for $35 million, with a potential additional $5 million contingent consideration. This divestiture of a non-core business is intended to primarily reduce outstanding debt, thereby lowering the company's leverage ratio and interest payments, and improving its overall financial profile.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CMTL Return | -40% | 17% | -47% | -30% | -52% | -22% | -90% |
| Peers Return | 18% | 46% | -5% | 9% | 25% | 4% | 130% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CMTL Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 52% | 27% | 42% | 50% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CMTL Max Drawdown | -67% | -2% | -63% | -37% | -81% | -69% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -4% | -21% | -23% | -16% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HLIT, ADTN, FIEE, CSCO, ANET. See CMTL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CMTL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -74.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 298.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -68.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 217.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -42.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 72.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 235 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 169.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to HLIT, ADTN, FIEE, CSCO, ANET
In The Past
Comtech Telecommunications's stock fell -74.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/11/2021. A -74.9% loss requires a 298.0% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CMTL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Comtech Telecommunications
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| Rev LTM | 835 |
| Op Inc LTM | 40 |
| FCF LTM | 80 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 26 |
| CFO LTM | 117 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 55 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 1.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 13.9 |
| P/E | 23.2 |
| P/CFO | 8.3 |
| Total Yield | 1.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -13.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -4.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -35.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -13.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -16.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -107.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 4302025 | 6092025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3122025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 1132025 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 10302024 | 10-K 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6182024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3182024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12072023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 10122023 | 10-K 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6082023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3092023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12082022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9292022 | 10-K 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6092022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3102022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12092021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
| 7312021 | 10042021 | 10-K 7/31/2021 |
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